Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Mirren 0–3 Rangers

Sunday 8 October 2023, 12:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 8 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 6,984

St. Mirren Strain sent off 28'

Rangers Tavernier 30' (pen), 90', Sima 71'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenRangers
Goals03
xG0.032.05
Non-penalty xG0.031.26
Expected Points0.062.88

St. Mirren <1%Draw 6%Rangers 94%

Most likely score 0–2, 37%. Final score 0–3, 22%.

Rangers goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+5%25%22%6%1%1%37%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTStrain (St. Mirren), red card 28'Greive on for Kiltie, Mandron on for Olusanya, and Boyd-Munce on for Baccus, 68'Nachmani on for McMenamin, 81'McCausland on for Lovelace, 42'Dessers on for Roofe, 61'Lammers on for Sima and Rice on for Cifuentes, 90'Tavernier 30' (pen)Sima 71'Tavernier 90'Rangers 2.05St. Mirren 0.0301230153045607590HTStrain (St. Mirren), red card 28'Greive on for Kiltie, Mandron on for Olusanya, and Boyd-Munce on for Baccus, 68'Nachmani on for McMenamin, 81'McCausland on for Lovelace, 42'Dessers on for Roofe, 61'Lammers on for Sima and Rice on for Cifuentes, 90'Tavernier 30' (pen)Sima 71'Tavernier 90'2.050.03St. MirrenRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenRangers

0.03 −1.17xG2.05 +0.17
0.03Non-penalty xG1.26
0.00 −1.43xG on target2.98 +1.19
2 −9Shots13 −6
0 −3.9Shots on target8 +1.9
0 −2.7Big chances3 0.0
7 −10Touches in the opposition box17 −16
31% −13Possession69% +4
253 −52Passes593 +10
70% +9Pass accuracy89% +6
29% −12Field tilt71% +1
22 −8Final-third entries49 −15
1 −9Box entries8 −8
28.8 +14Passes per defensive action8.6 −2
3 −1.3Corners10 +4.4
13 −1Tackles15 +1
9 +0.4Interceptions5 −2.9
19 −8Clearances17 +3
5 +2.6Saves0 −2.3
8 −4Fouls16 +3
0 −2.1Offsides1 −1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Greive 83', 0.02 xGBaccus 53', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals33%0.01 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals67%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Raskin 45+2', 0.49 xGRaskin 85', 0.08 xGRaskin 2', 0.07 xGDessers 86', 0.07 xGGoldson 34', 0.06 xGSouttar 34', 0.06 xGTavernier 60', 0.04 xGSima 67', 0.04 xGTavernier 90', 0.02 xGCifuentes 67', 0.01 xGSima 71', 0.30 xG, goalTavernier 90', 0.02 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%1.03 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.03 xG, 1 goal9%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals10%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenRangers

0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play1.06 6 shots, 1 goal
0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 6 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
30 min (32%) · St. Mirren 0.00, Rangers 0.86 xG
Rangers ahead
63 min (68%) · St. Mirren 0.03, Rangers 1.19 xG

Line-ups

122135231763102011HemmingFraserGogicTaylorStrainBaccusO'HaraTanserMcMenaminOlusanyaKiltieSent offYellow card68'81'68'68'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson12653115443652519ButlandTavernierGoldsonSouttarBarisicCifuentesLundstramRaskinLovelaceRoofeSimaGoalGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal90'42'61'90'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Davis

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 68' Boyd-Munce for Baccus
  • 68' Greive for Kiltie
  • 68' Mandron for Olusanya
  • 81' Nachmani for McMenamin

Rangers substitutes

  • 42' McCausland for Lovelace
  • 61' Dessers for Roofe
  • 90' Rice for Cifuentes
  • 90' Lammers for Sima

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0000.0341
FraserCB900.000.0100.0225
GogicCB900.000.0100.0445
TaylorCB900.000.0000.04411
Strain RWB280.000.0000.0023
BaccusCM680.010.0000.0012
O'HaraCM900.000.0100.0027
TanserLWB900.000.0100.0334
McMenamin RW810.000.0400.0124
OlusanyaST680.000.0000.0101
KiltieLW680.000.0300.0410
Boyd-MunceMF220.000.0000.0110
GreiveFW220.020.000−0.0100
MandronFW220.000.0000.0001
NachmaniFW90.000.001−0.0100

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0320
TavernierRB9020.880.0410.19158
Goldson CB900.060.0100.13146
SouttarCB900.060.0100.10106
BarisicLB900.000.1130.0660
CifuentesCM900.010.0300.0002
LundstramCM900.000.2300.1193
RaskinCM9010.640.1210.0835
Lovelace RW420.000.0610.0720
RoofeST610.000.0000.0003
SimaLW9010.340.010−0.0224
McCauslandMF480.000.0530.0841
DessersFW290.070.0000.0100
RiceMF00.000.0010.0000
LammersFW00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Hemming and Tanser: 3 passesGogic and Taylor: 3 passesTaylor and Tanser: 3 passesFraser and McMenamin: 3 passesGogic and Fraser: 4 passesStrain and Baccus: 4 passesTanser and O'Hara: 4 passesTanser and Kiltie: 4 passesFraser and Strain: 7 passesStrain and McMenamin: 7 passesHemming: 3 completed passesGogic: 8 completed passesTaylor: 5 completed passesFraser: 9 completed passesStrain: 8 completed passesTanser: 9 completed passesBaccus: 4 completed passesO'Hara: 8 completed passesMcMenamin: 8 completed passesOlusanya: 0 completed passesKiltie: 5 completed passes113522233176102011HemmingGogicTaylorFraserStrainTanserBaccusO'HaraMcMenaminOlusanyaKiltieStarters until 28' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Barisic and Cifuentes: 3 passesLundstram and Lovelace: 3 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 4 passesLundstram and Sima: 4 passesButland and Goldson: 5 passesButland and Souttar: 5 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 5 passesBarisic and Sima: 5 passesRaskin and Lundstram: 5 passesSouttar and Lundstram: 6 passesSouttar and Barisic: 7 passesCifuentes and Lundstram: 8 passesCifuentes and Lovelace: 8 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 9 passesTavernier and Lovelace: 10 passesTavernier and Cifuentes: 12 passesGoldson and Souttar: 18 passesTavernier and Goldson: 22 passesButland: 12 completed passesTavernier: 29 completed passesGoldson: 29 completed passesSouttar: 23 completed passesBarisic: 11 completed passesRaskin: 6 completed passesCifuentes: 19 completed passesLundstram: 26 completed passesLovelace: 7 completed passesRoofe: 1 completed passesSima: 3 completed passes12653143154652519ButlandTavernierGoldsonSouttarBarisicRaskinCifuentesLundstramLovelaceRoofeSimaStarters until 42' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
GogicFraser9
TaylorTanser8
GogicTaylor7
HemmingTanser6
FraserMcMenamin6

Rangers

FromToPasses
SouttarGoldson27
GoldsonTavernier26
TavernierGoldson24
GoldsonSouttar21
LundstramTavernier21

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

3−1.97−2.09+0.46+1.07−1.76+0.45−3.73−3.34−3.03−0.67−0.64−3.41−2.62−0.91−1.31−2.43−1.31−0.60−1.90−0.31−0.62−0.61+0.10−0.30−1.00−0.31−0.410−5.74−4.95−5.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Rangers

9+4.94−0.314+5.41−3.74−0.79+3.45+0.62−1.712+4.18−1.06+1.95−3.170.02−3.93−1.90−3.62−2.75+0.42−0.10−3.00−1.74+2.32+0.41−0.30−0.43+2.10−0.44+2.74−5.61−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.020.010.010.020.010.020.010.03−0.01−0.010.010.010.02−0.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.010.010.05LessMore

Rangers

0.020.010.010.040.020.040.020.030.040.030.030.010.020.030.040.04−0.020.010.05−0.010.070.060.080.080.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Mirren1.10 → 1.07Rangers2.13 → 2.16Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.38 → 1.40Rangers0.76 → 0.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six67%63%−4
11th3%3%0
Bottom1%1%0
Rangers
Title15%17%+2
Celtic
Title85%83%−2
Motherwell
Top six50%51%+1
11th5%5%0
Bottom2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (8 October 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenRangers
Expected goals0.772.02
Win13%66%
Expected Points0.592.20
Clean sheet13%46%

St. Mirren 13%Draw 21%Rangers 66%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

Rangers goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+7%8%4%2%4%7%3%1%2%4%4%2%1%1%12%13%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 October 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawRangers win
St. Mirren
Top six67%83%71%63%
11th3%1%2%3%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%
Rangers
Title15%10%14%17%
Celtic
Title85%90%86%83%
Motherwell
Top six50%45%51%51%
11th5%4%4%5%
Bottom2%3%3%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. D1–130 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.79–0.73
  2. W1–023 SepHearts (H)xG 1.59–1.19
  3. W1–016 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.55–1.18
  4. D1–12 SepLivingston (A)xG 0.67–1.45
  5. D2–227 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.97–0.87
  6. W2–112 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.28–2.31

Rangers

  1. L1–330 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.55–1.64
  2. W1–024 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.00–0.72
  3. W2–016 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.02–0.32
  4. L0–13 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.80–0.95
  5. W2–026 AugRoss County (A)xG 1.96–0.48
  6. W4–012 AugLivingston (H)xG 2.44–0.12

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenRangers
Position2nd3rd
Played77
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠3–⁠04–⁠0–⁠3
Points15 (2.14 per game)12 (1.71 per game)
Expected Points per game1.282.19
Goals11–⁠710–⁠5
xG per game1.20–⁠1.311.88–⁠0.68
Home: points, xG per game2.33, 1.61–⁠1.461.50, 1.95–⁠0.86
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 0.89–⁠1.192.00, 1.78–⁠0.44
ManagerStephen Robinson (2)Steven Davis (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Mirren1.10, 8thRangers2.13, 2ndDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.38, 8thRangers0.76, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctSt. Mirren attack: 1.10Rangers attack: 2.132.131.10RangersSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctSt. Mirren defence: 1.38Rangers defence: 0.761.380.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−25%−13%+69%−51%
Counter-attacks+33%−42%+78%−80%
Set pieces−25%−3%+7%−21%
Penalties+98%+98%−100%−100%
Headers+22%−31%+100%−43%
Left side−22%+6%+37%−19%
Centre−35%−6%+33%−48%
Right side+8%−45%+105%−68%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side−22%−68%Centre−35%−48%Right side+8%−19%Open play−25%−51%Counter-attacks+33%−80%Set pieces−25%−21%Headers+22%−43%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+37%−45%Centre+33%−6%Right side+105%+6%Open play+69%−13%Counter-attacks+78%−42%Set pieces+7%−3%Headers+100%−31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenRangers

1.20xG1.88
1.31xG against0.68
44%Possession65%
10.6Shots19.4
11.6Shots against8.1
3.9Shots on target6.1
2.7Big chances3.0
17.3Touches in the opposition box32.5
305Passes583
60%Pass accuracy83%
4.3Corners5.6
40%Field tilt70%
30.5Final-third entries63.8
10.1Box entries16.4
15.2Passes per defensive action11.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.250.81
Ahead400.861.98
Behind43.930.15

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.430.64
Ahead411.870.44
Behind172.711.31

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.370.033–0
16–300.170.121–1
31–450.170.212–1
46–600.250.152–0
61–750.100.290–2
76–900.150.503–3

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.031–0
16–300.190.104–0
31–450.260.070–2
46–600.140.150–0
61–750.410.161–2
76–900.690.174–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWHemming 7Fraser 7Gogic 7Taylor 6Dunne 1Strain 7Baccus 6O'Hara 4Boyd-Munce 4Tanser 7McMenamin 7Olusanya 4Mandron 3Kiltie 73-4-3 in 4 of 7 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWButland 7Tavernier 7Goldson 6Souttar 4Davies 3Balogun 1Barisic 4Yilmaz 2Sterling 1Raskin 5Lundstram 5Jack 2Lammers 1Cifuentes 3Cantwell 3Dowell 1Lammers 5Matondo 1Roofe 1Dessers 6Danilo 1Sima 2Matondo 1Wright 14-3-3 in 3 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 May 2023St. Mirren0–3RangersxG 0.55–1.81
15 April 2023Rangers5–2St. MirrenxG 3.67–0.30
12 November 2022St. Mirren1–1RangersxG 1.10–1.85
8 October 2022Rangers4–0St. MirrenxG 2.73–0.37
10 April 2022St. Mirren0–4RangersxG 0.30–2.38
26 December 2021Rangers2–0St. MirrenxG 2.12–0.06

10 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 0, Rangers won 9, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–29 and xG 0.41–2.20 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tanser7630110.030.30
Strain7623110.180.15
Kiltie7561110.250.03
McMenamin7523000.120.13

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Lammers6482100.400.09
Tavernier7630110.070.30
Goldson6540000.020.02
Butland7630000.000.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.