Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 2–1 Motherwell

Saturday 1 October 2022, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 9 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 58,407

Celtic Furuhashi 15', Hatate 64' · McGregor sent off 89'

Motherwell Juranovic 36' (og)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticMotherwell
Goals21
xG3.500.35
Expected Points2.950.03

Celtic 98%Draw 2%Motherwell <1%

Most likely score 3–0, 22%. Final score 2–1, 4%.

Motherwell goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%12%4%8%1%7%1%10%4%4%1%22%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTMcGregor (Celtic), red card 89'Abada on for Maeda and Turnbull on for O'Riley, 65'Haksabanovic on for Furuhashi, 80'Mooy on for Jota and Abildgaard on for Hatate, 90+1'Moult on for van Veen and McKinstry on for Cornelius, 69'Morris on for Goss and Tierney on for Spittal, 80'Furuhashi 15'Hatate 64'Juranovic 36' (og)Celtic 3.50Motherwell 0.35012340153045607590HTMcGregor (Celtic), red card 89'Abada on for Maeda and Turnbull on for O'Riley, 65'Haksabanovic on for Furuhashi, 80'Mooy on for Jota and Abildgaard on for Hatate, 90+1'Moult on for van Veen and McKinstry on for Cornelius, 69'Morris on for Goss and Tierney on for Spittal, 80'Furuhashi 15'Hatate 64'Juranovic 36' (og)3.500.35CelticMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticMotherwell

3.50 +0.91xG0.35 −1.48
1.72 −1.12xG on target0.43 −0.87
17 −3Shots7 −9
6 −2.1Shots on target2 −2.0
5 +1.6Big chances0 −2.7
31 −3Touches in the opposition box10 −19
70% 0Possession30% −23
610 −4Passes252 −141
86% −1Pass accuracy64% −9
84% +8Field tilt16% −44
100 +22Final-third entries21 −21
20 −2.3Box entries3 −6.6
9.3 −1Passes per defensive action23.1 +11
7 −0.7Corners4 −0.7
12 −3Tackles22 +9
8 +1.1Interceptions14 +5.0
19 +5Clearances10 −7
2 +0.3Saves4 +1.6
10 +0.4Fouls9 −5.4
2 −0.7Offsides3 +1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Furuhashi 74', 0.65 xGFuruhashi 44', 0.64 xGJota 3', 0.32 xGAbada 90+5', 0.23 xGJota 68', 0.15 xGMcGregor 21', 0.14 xGJuranovic 35', 0.07 xGHatate 44', 0.06 xGO'Riley 15', 0.05 xGAbada 67', 0.05 xGJuranovic 57', 0.04 xGHaksabanovic 90+5', 0.04 xGO'Riley 37', 0.03 xGJuranovic 41', 0.03 xGHatate 76', 0.02 xGFuruhashi 15', 0.95 xG, goalHatate 64', 0.02 xG, goal52%1.83 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.83 xG, 1 goal39%1.37 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.37 xG, 0 goals3%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals6%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

McKinstry 79', 0.10 xGShields 35', 0.09 xGGoss 30', 0.07 xGMorris 90', 0.04 xGMaguire 85', 0.03 xGGoss 1', 0.02 xGvan Veen 53', 0.00 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals29%0.10 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals26%0.09 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals9%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals37%0.13 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticMotherwell

3.25 14 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.14 3 shots, 0 goals
0.24 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.21 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
43 min (45%) · Celtic 2.15, Motherwell 0.02 xG
Celtic ahead
52 min (55%) · Celtic 1.35, Motherwell 0.33 xG

Line-ups

188576333424138817HartJuranovicWelshJenzTaylorO'RileyMcGregorHatateMaedaFuruhashiJotaOwn goalYellow cardSent offGoalGoal65'90+1'65'80'90+1'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou11615424627291879KellyMcGinnJohansenLamiePenneyMaguireGossShieldsCorneliusSpittalvan VeenYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card80'69'80'69'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Steven Hammell

Celtic substitutes

  • 65' Turnbull for O'Riley
  • 65' Abada for Maeda
  • 80' Haksabanovic for Furuhashi
  • 90+1' Mooy for Jota
  • 90+1' Abildgaard for Hatate

Motherwell substitutes

  • 69' Moult for van Veen
  • 69' McKinstry for Cornelius
  • 80' Tierney for Spittal
  • 80' Morris for Goss

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0200
JuranovicRB900.130.0620.08136
Welsh CB900.000.0400.30313
JenzCB900.000.0300.24137
TaylorLB900.000.0400.0146
O'RileyCM650.080.0100.2615
McGregor CM890.140.1110.1274
HatateCM9010.110.1500.1765
MaedaRW650.000.122−0.0123
FuruhashiST8012.250.0100.0200
JotaLW9010.460.1130.2670
TurnbullMF250.000.2800.1331
AbadaFW250.280.5420.2850
HaksabanovicFW100.040.0000.0230
MooyMF00.000.0010.0111
AbildgaardMF00.000.0000.0000

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0120
McGinnRB900.000.0600.0822
JohansenCB900.000.0100.0029
Lamie CB900.000.0100.08311
Penney LB900.000.0110.0445
MaguireDM900.030.0000.0208
GossDM800.090.0100.0335
Shields RW900.090.0210.0313
CorneliusAM690.000.0000.0012
SpittalLW800.000.0000.0111
van Veen ST690.000.010−0.0101
MoultFW210.000.0010.0110
McKinstryFW210.100.0000.0001
TierneyMF100.000.0000.0000
MorrisFW100.040.030−0.0220

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Juranovic and Maeda: 5 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 5 passesO'Riley and Jota: 5 passesJuranovic and O'Riley: 6 passesJuranovic and Hatate: 6 passesWelsh and Taylor: 6 passesMcGregor and Jota: 6 passesJuranovic and Jenz: 7 passesTaylor and McGregor: 7 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 7 passesO'Riley and Maeda: 7 passesHatate and McGregor: 7 passesJenz and Jota: 8 passesWelsh and McGregor: 9 passesJenz and McGregor: 11 passesHatate and Jota: 13 passesHart and Jenz: 15 passesTaylor and Hatate: 15 passesHart and Welsh: 18 passesJuranovic and McGregor: 18 passesJenz and Hatate: 18 passesWelsh and Maeda: 18 passesTaylor and Jota: 24 passesJuranovic and Welsh: 29 passesJenz and Taylor: 33 passesJenz and Welsh: 69 passesHart: 28 completed passesJuranovic: 38 completed passesJenz: 88 completed passesWelsh: 80 completed passesTaylor: 50 completed passesO'Riley: 16 completed passesHatate: 31 completed passesMcGregor: 36 completed passesMaeda: 17 completed passesFuruhashi: 7 completed passesJota: 25 completed passes188657333414238817HartJuranovicJenzWelshTaylorO'RileyHatateMcGregorMaedaFuruhashiJotaStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Motherwell

Kelly and Johansen: 3 passesMcGinn and Goss: 3 passesMcGinn and van Veen: 3 passesJohansen and Goss: 3 passesJohansen and Shields: 3 passesJohansen and Spittal: 3 passesLamie and van Veen: 3 passesShields and van Veen: 3 passesKelly and McGinn: 4 passesPenney and Spittal: 4 passesGoss and Maguire: 4 passesShields and Cornelius: 4 passesLamie and Penney: 5 passesPenney and Goss: 5 passesKelly and Lamie: 6 passesMcGinn and Maguire: 6 passesGoss and Spittal: 8 passesMcGinn and Johansen: 9 passesKelly: 11 completed passesMcGinn: 17 completed passesJohansen: 16 completed passesLamie: 10 completed passesPenney: 11 completed passesGoss: 19 completed passesMaguire: 7 completed passesShields: 4 completed passesCornelius: 5 completed passesSpittal: 8 completed passesvan Veen: 4 completed passes11615424276291879KellyMcGinnJohansenLamiePenneyGossMaguireShieldsCorneliusSpittalvan VeenStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
JenzWelsh42
WelshJenz35
JenzTaylor21
WelshJuranovic20
JenzHatate17

Motherwell

FromToPasses
McGinnJohansen8
McGinnMaguire6
GossSpittal6
JohansenLamie5
LamieKelly4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−2.05+2.06−3.311+4.11−6.05+0.11−2.38+3.76−1.08+0.95+0.37+4.00−4.15−1.08+2.011+8.44+1.60−2.12+0.16+0.33−0.72+1.02−0.10−3.02−0.12+0.12+1.30−0.90−0.70−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Motherwell

10+5.96+2.115+0.68+2.16+0.15−1.74−1.360.011+3.713+7.63−4.62−3.92−0.64−2.95−1.42−2.61−2.62−1.15+1.71−3.94+1.12+1.03+2.10−2.33−0.40−1.42+1.70−1.30−0.12+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.030.010.020.010.030.070.130.060.080.140.120.110.140.030.23−0.010.100.110.040.010.40LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.030.010.020.030.030.01−0.010.03−0.050.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.18AttackCeltic2.21 → 2.25Motherwell1.08 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.63 → 0.62Motherwell1.27 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title73%75%+2
Motherwell
Top six39%38%−1
11th5%5%0
Bottom2%2%0
Rangers
Title27%25%−2

From the forecast before the match (1 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticMotherwell
Expected goals2.860.51
Win85%4%
Expected Points2.660.23
Clean sheet60%6%

Celtic 85%Draw 11%Motherwell 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 38%.

Motherwell goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+4%2%10%5%1%7%2%7%2%10%5%1%5%3%4%2%14%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawMotherwell win
Celtic
Title73%75%66%59%
Motherwell
Top six39%38%45%59%
11th5%5%3%2%
Bottom2%2%2%2%
Rangers
Title27%25%34%41%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. L0–218 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.18–0.82
  2. W4–03 SepRangers (H)xG 1.88–0.79
  3. W9–028 AugDundee United (A)xG 5.53–0.22
  4. W2–021 AugHearts (H)xG 2.55–0.29
  5. W5–014 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.34–0.69
  6. W3–16 AugRoss County (A)xG 1.75–0.39

Motherwell

  1. L0–318 SepHearts (H)xG 2.83–1.92
  2. D0–03 SepDundee United (H)xG 3.28–0.36
  3. L1–227 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 0.70–1.52
  4. W1–020 AugLivingston (H)xG 1.43–0.27
  5. W3–213 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.72–1.27
  6. L1–26 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.67–0.87

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticMotherwell
Position2nd8th
Played77
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠0–⁠13–⁠1–⁠3
Points18 (2.57 per game)10 (1.43 per game)
Expected Points per game2.461.71
Goals25–⁠37–⁠9
xG per game2.59–⁠0.491.83–⁠1.23
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.11–⁠0.441.00, 2.05–⁠0.85
Away: points, xG per game2.25, 2.95–⁠0.532.00, 1.53–⁠1.72
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (45)Steven Hammell (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.18AttackCeltic2.21, 1stMotherwell1.08, 6thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.63, 1stMotherwell1.27, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepCeltic attack: 2.21Motherwell attack: 1.082.211.08MotherwellCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepCeltic defence: 0.63Motherwell defence: 1.271.270.63

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+115%−65%+37%+5%
Counter-attacks+117%−100%−37%+54%
Set pieces+130%−31%−3%−10%
Penalties−100%−100%+207%−100%
Headers+45%−9%+3%−8%
Left side+68%−50%+50%−13%
Centre+168%−58%average+35%
Right side+91%−69%+42%−29%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdMotherwell concededLeft side+68%−29%Centre+168%+35%Right side+91%−13%Open play+115%+5%Counter-attacks+117%+54%Set pieces+130%−10%Headers+45%−8%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdCeltic concededLeft side+50%−69%Centreaverage−58%Right side+42%−50%Open play+37%−65%Counter-attacks−37%−100%Set pieces−3%−31%Headers+3%−9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticMotherwell

2.59xG1.83
0.49xG against1.23
70%Possession53%
20.4Shots15.6
6.7Shots against12.9
8.1Shots on target4.0
3.4Big chances2.7
34.0Touches in the opposition box29.0
614Passes393
86%Pass accuracy72%
7.7Corners4.7
76%Field tilt60%
78.4Final-third entries41.7
22.3Box entries9.6
10.3Passes per defensive action12.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level232.200.38
Ahead602.840.46
Behind71.631.19

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level422.071.33
Ahead261.121.34
Behind222.210.91

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.360.035–0
16–300.270.110–0
31–450.700.157–1
46–600.450.134–2
61–750.230.041–0
76–900.580.038–0

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.061–0
16–300.100.271–2
31–450.410.281–1
46–600.280.182–2
61–750.490.121–1
76–900.430.321–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 7Juranovic 6Ralston 1Carter-Vickers 6Welsh 2Jenz 4Starfelt 2Taylor 7O'Riley 6McGregor 7Mooy 1Turnbull 4Hatate 3Abada 3Jota 3Maeda 1Furuhashi 7Maeda 4Jota 34-3-3 in 6 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (6), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 7McGinn 7Johansen 7Mugabi 2Lamie 5O'Donnell 4Penney 2Carroll 1Maguire 3van Veen 1Shields 1Goss 6Tierney 2Spittal 1Slattery 3Cornelius 3Morris 1Spittal 2Shields 2Efford 1van Veen 5Efford 1Shields 1Spittal 4Goss 1van Veen 14-3-3 in 3 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 May 2022Celtic6–0MotherwellxG 2.32–0.90
6 February 2022Motherwell0–4CelticxG 0.24–2.79
12 December 2021Celtic1–0MotherwellxG 2.45–0.75
16 October 2021Motherwell0–2CelticxG 0.54–1.18
6 February 2021Celtic2–1MotherwellxG 1.57–0.42
8 November 2020Motherwell1–4CelticxG 1.66–2.84

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 7, Motherwell won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 22–2 and xG 2.17–0.68 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
O'Riley6485050.320.59
Jota6546440.330.51
Juranovic6532110.050.26
McGregor7630000.050.11

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen7625400.810.12
Spittal7523110.150.12
Goss7608010.110.13
McGinn7560000.110.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.