Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Aberdeen 2–1 Motherwell

Saturday 14 September 2024, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 5 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 17,155

Aberdeen Gueye 27', 80'

Motherwell Ebiye 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenMotherwell
Goals21
xG1.851.67
Expected Points1.491.19

Aberdeen 39%Draw 32%Motherwell 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 2–1, 14%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+4%6%1%4%5%1%2%6%5%3%1%1%16%13%14%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMorris on for Keskinen, 59'Clarkson on for Palaversa and Sokler on for Nisbet, 69'Besuijen on for McGrath, 83'Ambrose on for Gueye, 84'Vale on for Zdravkovski, 46'Tavares on for Maswanhise, Watt on for Robinson, and Kaleta on for O'Donnell, 59'Ebiye on for Halliday, 75'Gueye 27'Gueye 80'Ebiye 88'Aberdeen 1.85Motherwell 1.6700.511.520153045607590HTMorris on for Keskinen, 59'Clarkson on for Palaversa and Sokler on for Nisbet, 69'Besuijen on for McGrath, 83'Ambrose on for Gueye, 84'Vale on for Zdravkovski, 46'Tavares on for Maswanhise, Watt on for Robinson, and Kaleta on for O'Donnell, 59'Ebiye on for Halliday, 75'Gueye 27'Gueye 80'Ebiye 88'1.851.67AberdeenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenMotherwell

1.85 +0.50xG1.67 +0.34
2.10 +0.46xG on target1.68 +0.12
11 −2Shots13 +1
4 +0.2Shots on target4 0.0
4 +1.2Big chances2 0.0
24 0Touches in the opposition box23 −1
59% +4Possession41% +3
490 +84Passes332 +26
81% +5Pass accuracy70% +1
70% +8Field tilt30% −9
45 +6Final-third entries28 +3
12 −2.5Box entries9 +0.2
8.8 −3Passes per defensive action13.7 −7
6 −2.2Corners5 −3.5
17 +2Tackles14 −5
8 −0.2Interceptions11 +2.0
27 0Clearances24 0
3 0.0Saves2 −1.5
14 +0.5Fouls16 +8.0
2 0.0Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Devlin 80', 0.14 xGMcGrath 9', 0.12 xGRubezic 54', 0.11 xGNisbet 44', 0.10 xGKeskinen 55', 0.08 xGMcGrath 32', 0.06 xGKeskinen 16', 0.05 xGMacKenzie 80', 0.03 xGPalaversa 62', 0.02 xGGueye 80', 0.96 xG, goalGueye 27', 0.18 xG, goal58%1.08 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.08 xG, 1 goal25%0.46 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.46 xG, 1 goal9%0.17 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals7%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Watt 60', 0.18 xGTavares 70', 0.17 xGGordon 90+3', 0.10 xGEbiye 83', 0.09 xGEbiye 90+1', 0.09 xGTavares 65', 0.07 xGWatt 88', 0.07 xGMcGinn 90+4', 0.07 xGMiller 34', 0.06 xGHalliday 13', 0.03 xGHalliday 70', 0.02 xGGordon 70', 0.01 xGEbiye 88', 0.71 xG, goal43%0.71 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.71 xG, 1 goal44%0.74 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.74 xG, 0 goals10%0.16 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals3%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenMotherwell

1.39 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.35 9 shots, 1 goal
0.33 3 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.13 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.32 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
27 min (29%) · Aberdeen 0.35, Motherwell 0.03 xG
Aberdeen ahead
67 min (71%) · Aberdeen 1.50, Motherwell 1.64 xG

Line-ups

1233213186811479MitovDevlinRubezicMolloyMacKenziePalaversaNilsenKeskinenGueyeMcGrathNisbetYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card69'59'84'83'69'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin131641526112338559OxboroughMcGinnGordonCaseyO'DonnellZdravkovskiHallidayWilsonMillerMaswanhiseRobinsonYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card59'46'75'59'59'Motherwell 3-4-2-1Stuart Kettlewell

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 59' Morris for Keskinen
  • 69' Clarkson for Palaversa
  • 69' Sokler for Nisbet
  • 83' Besuijen for McGrath · yellow card 90+3'
  • 84' Ambrose for Gueye

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' Vale for Zdravkovski · yellow card 67'
  • 59' Tavares for Maswanhise
  • 59' Kaleta for O'Donnell
  • 59' Watt for Robinson
  • 75' Ebiye for Halliday · goal 88'

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0111
DevlinRB900.140.0200.0354
Rubezic CB900.110.0100.12711
MolloyCB900.000.0100.07510
MacKenzieLB9010.030.0110.0244
PalaversaDM690.020.0810.0865
Nilsen DM900.000.0300.0155
KeskinenRW590.130.0720.1121
Gueye AM8421.150.1020.2283
McGrathLW830.180.0420.0533
NisbetST690.100.0610.0602
MorrisFW310.000.2710.2351
ClarksonMF210.000.0300.0323
SoklerFW210.000.0200.0200
Besuijen FW70.000.0000.0101
AmbroseFW60.000.0000.0001

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0342
McGinn CB900.070.0100.0667
GordonCB900.110.0100.0438
CaseyCB900.000.0000.0546
O'Donnell RWB590.000.0100.0444
Zdravkovski CM460.000.0000.0113
HallidayCM750.050.041−0.0201
WilsonLWB900.000.0800.08412
MillerAM900.060.3240.0536
MaswanhiseAM590.000.0000.0111
Robinson ST590.000.0000.0110
Vale FW440.000.1730.1431
TavaresMF310.240.0000.0620
KaletaMF310.000.3510.2031
WattFW310.250.0300.0310
EbiyeMF1510.890.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Devlin and Gueye: 5 passesPalaversa and McGrath: 5 passesKeskinen and Gueye: 5 passesMitov and Devlin: 6 passesMacKenzie and Nilsen: 6 passesPalaversa and Keskinen: 6 passesGueye and McGrath: 6 passesDevlin and Keskinen: 7 passesRubezic and Nilsen: 7 passesMacKenzie and Palaversa: 7 passesMolloy and McGrath: 8 passesNilsen and Gueye: 8 passesMacKenzie and McGrath: 9 passesPalaversa and Gueye: 10 passesMitov and Rubezic: 12 passesMolloy and MacKenzie: 12 passesMitov and Molloy: 14 passesNilsen and McGrath: 14 passesMolloy and Palaversa: 15 passesDevlin and Rubezic: 16 passesDevlin and Palaversa: 16 passesMolloy and Rubezic: 18 passesPalaversa and Nilsen: 24 passesRubezic and Palaversa: 27 passesMolloy and Nilsen: 28 passesMitov: 21 completed passesDevlin: 27 completed passesMolloy: 55 completed passesRubezic: 44 completed passesMacKenzie: 23 completed passesPalaversa: 58 completed passesNilsen: 51 completed passesKeskinen: 13 completed passesGueye: 20 completed passesMcGrath: 22 completed passesNisbet: 3 completed passes1221333186811479MitovDevlinMolloyRubezicMacKenziePalaversaNilsenKeskinenGueyeMcGrathNisbetStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Motherwell

Oxborough and O'Donnell: 3 passesCasey and McGinn: 3 passesCasey and Maswanhise: 3 passesO'Donnell and Zdravkovski: 3 passesHalliday and Miller: 3 passesO'Donnell and Miller: 4 passesO'Donnell and Robinson: 4 passesWilson and Maswanhise: 4 passesMcGinn and Gordon: 6 passesCasey and Gordon: 8 passesGordon and O'Donnell: 8 passesCasey and Wilson: 12 passesMcGinn and O'Donnell: 12 passesOxborough: 7 completed passesCasey: 19 completed passesMcGinn: 14 completed passesGordon: 15 completed passesO'Donnell: 17 completed passesWilson: 13 completed passesZdravkovski: 5 completed passesHalliday: 7 completed passesMiller: 6 completed passesMaswanhise: 5 completed passesRobinson: 3 completed passes131516422361138559OxboroughCaseyMcGinnGordonO'DonnellWilsonZdravkovskiHallidayMillerMaswanhiseRobinsonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MolloyNilsen19
RubezicPalaversa15
NilsenPalaversa13
PalaversaNilsen13
NilsenMolloy12

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CaseyGordon13
GordonMcGinn11
CaseyWilson9
McGinnO'Donnell8
WilsonCasey8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

4+1.84−1.812−1.513+6.24−1.59+4.240.07−0.27−2.811+5.06+3.85+1.812+5.89+1.83−2.53−0.23+0.54+1.56+1.81−1.50−0.51+0.85+2.82−1.81+0.80−0.22+2.010.00−0.82−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Motherwell

1−2.26+1.510−5.59+1.20−4.28+3.28+1.29+1.54−3.510−1.07+2.88+4.04+0.84−0.88+3.22−2.24+2.05+1.58+5.02−1.21−0.82+0.81−0.54+2.00−1.02+1.50−0.51+0.80−0.51−7.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.070.010.010.010.010.030.030.040.050.020.030.010.070.150.080.040.12−0.010.01−0.020.020.21LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.010.060.020.040.010.020.020.060.040.010.050.03−0.010.020.020.150.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.33 → 1.33Motherwell1.27 → 1.26Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.27 → 1.27Motherwell1.35 → 1.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six93%96%+3
11th<1%<1%0
Motherwell
Top six71%65%−6
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%2%+1
Hibernian
Top six37%37%0
11th8%8%0
Bottom6%5%−1

From the forecast before the match (14 September 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenMotherwell
Expected goals1.581.09
Win48%26%
Expected Points1.711.03
Clean sheet34%21%

Aberdeen 48%Draw 26%Motherwell 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%2%7%2%9%5%2%5%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 September 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawMotherwell win
Aberdeen
Top six93%96%92%88%
11th<1%<1%<1%1%
Motherwell
Top six71%65%72%81%
11th2%3%2%1%
Bottom1%2%1%<1%
Hibernian
Top six37%37%38%34%
11th8%8%8%9%
Bottom6%5%5%6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W1–031 AugRoss County (A)xG 0.35–1.05
  2. W2–025 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 1.66–0.43
  3. W3–111 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.60–1.30
  4. W2–15 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.79–0.81
  5. D2–219 MayRoss County (A)xG 1.30–2.30
  6. W5–115 MayLivingston (H)xG 1.77–1.65

Motherwell

  1. W2–131 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.89–0.74
  2. W3–125 AugHearts (H)xG 2.54–0.62
  3. L1–210 AugRangers (A)xG 0.71–3.30
  4. D0–03 AugRoss County (H)xG 1.20–0.31
  5. L1–219 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.48–1.82
  6. L0–315 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.85–1.34

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenMotherwell
Position2nd5th
Played44
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠0–⁠02–⁠1–⁠1
Points12 (3.00 per game)7 (1.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.651.59
Goals8–⁠26–⁠4
xG per game1.35–⁠0.901.33–⁠1.24
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 1.63–⁠0.862.00, 1.87–⁠0.46
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 1.07–⁠0.931.50, 0.80–⁠2.02
ManagerJimmy Thelin (4)Stuart Kettlewell (56)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.33, 4thMotherwell1.27, 5thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.27, 3rdMotherwell1.35, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepAberdeen attack: 1.33Motherwell attack: 1.271.331.27MotherwellAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepAberdeen defence: 1.27Motherwell defence: 1.351.351.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+10%−24%−5%+19%
Counter-attacks−42%−74%−50%−54%
Set pieces+19%−21%+36%−23%
Penalties−78%+86%−65%−65%
Headers+43%−41%+96%−8%
Left side+35%−22%−24%+27%
Centre−1%−33%+28%−6%
Right side−10%−27%−36%−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side+35%−15%Centre−1%−6%Right side−10%+27%Open play+10%+19%Counter-attacks−42%−54%Set pieces+19%−23%Headers+43%−8%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side−24%−27%Centre+28%−33%Right side−36%−22%Open play−5%−24%Counter-attacks−50%−74%Set pieces+36%−21%Headers+96%−41%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenMotherwell

1.35xG1.33
0.90xG against1.24
55%Possession38%
13.2Shots11.8
10.0Shots against12.0
3.8Shots on target4.0
2.8Big chances2.0
24.5Touches in the opposition box24.2
406Passes306
76%Pass accuracy69%
8.2Corners8.5
62%Field tilt39%
39.2Final-third entries25.1
14.5Box entries8.8
12.0Passes per defensive action20.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.750.68
Ahead440.941.12
Behind0––

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.971.55
Ahead300.790.80
Behind180.681.26

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.080–0
16–300.340.012–0
31–450.240.341–1
46–600.230.041–0
61–750.160.282–0
76–900.150.152–1

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.581–1
16–300.480.122–1
31–450.090.090–0
46–600.220.101–0
61–750.100.200–2
76–900.140.162–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 4Devlin 4Rubezic 4Molloy 4MacKenzie 4Shinnie 4Nilsen 4Keskinen 2Morris 2Gueye 3Sokler 1McGrath 4Sokler 3Miovski 14-2-3-1 in every start

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 4McGinn 3Gordon 4Casey 4Blaney 1O'Donnell 4Zdravkovski 3Halliday 4Seddon 1Wilson 3Miller 1Miller 3Zdravkovski 1Maswanhise 2Wilson 1Ebiye 1Robinson 3Stamatelopoulos 13-4-2-1 in 2 of 4 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 April 2024Aberdeen1–0MotherwellxG 2.32–0.41
16 March 2024Motherwell0–1AberdeenxG 1.32–1.17
14 February 2024Aberdeen3–3MotherwellxG 1.44–2.56
1 November 2023Motherwell2–4AberdeenxG 1.44–2.24
4 February 2023Aberdeen3–1MotherwellxG 1.94–0.85
22 October 2022Motherwell1–2AberdeenxG 0.71–1.11

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 6, Motherwell won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 19–18 and xG 1.55–1.27 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski373,2421620.480.12
Sokler10985120.430.12
McGrath352,9631140.230.15
Morris5502020.080.15

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Vale9816220.230.09
Halliday12902120.240.08
Miller242,112040.080.11
O'Donnell363,161140.040.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.