Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Motherwell 3–1 Hearts

Sunday 25 August 2024, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 3 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 6,895

Motherwell McGinn 24', O'Donnell 59', Sparrow 81'

Hearts Oda 65'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellHearts
Goals31
xG2.540.62
Expected Points2.650.23

Motherwell 85%Draw 12%Hearts 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 17%. Final score 3–1, 10%.

Hearts goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+1%8%6%2%12%4%10%3%7%5%1%2%2%17%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTWatt on for Halliday, 51'Seddon on for Maswanhise and Sparrow on for Robinson, 74'Vargas on for Dhanda and Oda on for Forrest, 54'Devlin on for Taylor, 55'McKay on for Spittal, 70'Boyce on for Salazar, 87'McGinn 24'O'Donnell 59'Sparrow 81'Oda 65'Motherwell 2.54Hearts 0.6201230153045607590HTWatt on for Halliday, 51'Seddon on for Maswanhise and Sparrow on for Robinson, 74'Vargas on for Dhanda and Oda on for Forrest, 54'Devlin on for Taylor, 55'McKay on for Spittal, 70'Boyce on for Salazar, 87'McGinn 24'O'Donnell 59'Sparrow 81'Oda 65'2.540.62MotherwellHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellHearts

2.54 +1.59xG0.62 −0.80
2.51 +1.85xG on target0.71 +0.14
14 +4.5Shots9 −7.5
6 +4.0Shots on target3 0.0
4 +2.5Big chances1 −0.5
28 +7Touches in the opposition box24 −8
32% −9Possession68% +20
287 −34Passes618 +294
70% 0Pass accuracy86% +14
35% −1Field tilt65% +16
23 0Final-third entries57 +29
12 +6.0Box entries12 −1.5
26.4 +4Passes per defensive action11.0 0
8 +1.5Corners7 −2.0
17 −2Tackles14 −16
7 −2.5Interceptions6 −5.0
28 +8Clearances23 −2
1 −3.5Saves3 −0.5
8 +1.5Fouls17 +5.0
2 0.0Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Halliday 22', 0.82 xGCasey 12', 0.54 xGMiller 46', 0.21 xGMaswanhise 11', 0.16 xGMaswanhise 40', 0.09 xGMiller 11', 0.06 xGRobinson 34', 0.06 xGMaswanhise 31', 0.04 xGMaswanhise 9', 0.03 xGWatt 51', 0.03 xGCasey 38', 0.02 xGO'Donnell 59', 0.27 xG, goalSparrow 81', 0.12 xG, goalMcGinn 24', 0.10 xG, goal57%1.45 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.45 xG, 0 goals32%0.81 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.81 xG, 2 goals9%0.22 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.22 xG, 1 goal2%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Shankland 64', 0.09 xGShankland 84', 0.09 xGShankland 80', 0.07 xGKent 90', 0.07 xGSalazar 14', 0.06 xGSpittal 36', 0.06 xGBoateng 39', 0.03 xGShankland 80', 0.02 xGOda 65', 0.14 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals76%0.47 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.47 xG, 1 goal19%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellHearts

1.52 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.53 7 shots, 1 goal
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.96 5 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.09 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
24 min (26%) · Motherwell 1.71, Hearts 0.07 xG
Motherwell ahead
67 min (74%) · Motherwell 0.82, Hearts 0.56 xG

Line-ups

131641526112338559OxboroughMcGinnGordonCaseyO'DonnellZdravkovskiHallidayWilsonMillerMaswanhiseRobinsonGoalGoalYellow card51'74'74'Motherwell 3-4-2-1Stuart Kettlewell123158218168020179GordonKentKingsleyRowlesTaylorBoatengSpittalSalazarDhandaForrestShanklandYellow cardYellow cardYellow card55'70'87'54'54'Hearts 3-4-2-1Steven Naismith

Motherwell substitutes

  • 51' Watt for Halliday
  • 74' Seddon for Maswanhise
  • 74' Sparrow for Robinson · goal 81'

Hearts substitutes

  • 54' Vargas for Dhanda
  • 54' Oda for Forrest · goal 65'
  • 55' Devlin for Taylor · yellow card 58'
  • 70' McKay for Spittal
  • 87' Boyce for Salazar

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0330
McGinnCB9010.100.0100.0358
GordonCB900.000.0000.02110
CaseyCB900.560.0000.03312
O'DonnellRWB9010.270.6820.3373
ZdravkovskiCM900.000.0100.0125
Halliday CM510.820.011−0.0203
WilsonLWB900.000.1030.1045
MillerAM9020.260.7150.2875
MaswanhiseAM740.320.0200.0843
RobinsonST740.060.040−0.0130
WattFW390.030.0100.0022
SeddonDF160.000.0000.0111
SparrowDF1610.120.000−0.0101

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0210
Kent CB900.070.0100.131313
Kingsley CB900.000.0100.0985
RowlesCB900.000.0100.121410
TaylorRWB550.000.0100.0473
BoatengCM900.030.0900.1058
SpittalCM700.060.0310.0041
Salazar LWB870.060.1400.17103
DhandaAM540.000.0100.0112
ForrestAM540.000.010−0.0310
ShanklandST9010.260.4120.0251
VargasMF360.000.0800.0710
OdaFW3610.140.0000.0240
Devlin MF350.000.0420.0321
McKayFW200.000.3820.2141
BoyceFW30.000.0600.0310

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Casey and Halliday: 4 passesCasey and Miller: 4 passesO'Donnell and Zdravkovski: 4 passesO'Donnell and Maswanhise: 4 passesO'Donnell and Robinson: 4 passesZdravkovski and Miller: 4 passesHalliday and Miller: 4 passesOxborough and McGinn: 5 passesCasey and Zdravkovski: 5 passesHalliday and Robinson: 5 passesMiller and Robinson: 5 passesMcGinn and O'Donnell: 6 passesMcGinn and Zdravkovski: 6 passesO'Donnell and Miller: 6 passesWilson and Halliday: 6 passesCasey and Gordon: 7 passesMcGinn and Miller: 10 passesCasey and Wilson: 11 passesGordon and McGinn: 11 passesWilson and Maswanhise: 11 passesOxborough: 8 completed passesCasey: 20 completed passesGordon: 16 completed passesMcGinn: 23 completed passesO'Donnell: 17 completed passesWilson: 19 completed passesZdravkovski: 14 completed passesHalliday: 15 completed passesMiller: 21 completed passesMaswanhise: 7 completed passesRobinson: 8 completed passes131541622361138559OxboroughCaseyGordonMcGinnO'DonnellWilsonZdravkovskiHallidayMillerMaswanhiseRobinsonStarters until 51' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hearts

Kent and Taylor: 5 passesKent and Dhanda: 5 passesKent and Shankland: 5 passesKingsley and Spittal: 5 passesSalazar and Boateng: 5 passesBoateng and Forrest: 5 passesGordon and Rowles: 6 passesSalazar and Shankland: 6 passesKent and Spittal: 7 passesKingsley and Dhanda: 8 passesTaylor and Boateng: 9 passesBoateng and Spittal: 9 passesForrest and Shankland: 9 passesKent and Boateng: 10 passesKingsley and Boateng: 10 passesSalazar and Spittal: 10 passesBoateng and Dhanda: 10 passesSpittal and Shankland: 11 passesRowles and Boateng: 12 passesTaylor and Dhanda: 14 passesKingsley and Taylor: 15 passesRowles and Spittal: 16 passesKent and Kingsley: 16 passesRowles and Salazar: 17 passesRowles and Kent: 24 passesGordon: 10 completed passesRowles: 45 completed passesKent: 37 completed passesKingsley: 33 completed passesTaylor: 30 completed passesSalazar: 24 completed passesBoateng: 36 completed passesSpittal: 34 completed passesDhanda: 23 completed passesForrest: 14 completed passesShankland: 16 completed passes115238280181620179GordonRowlesKentKingsleyTaylorSalazarBoatengSpittalDhandaForrestShanklandStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
WilsonMaswanhise9
O'DonnellMiller9
MillerO'Donnell8
CaseyWilson7
McGinnMiller7

Hearts

FromToPasses
RowlesKent29
KentRowles26
RowlesSalazar21
SalazarRowles19
KentKingsley15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

6+3.57+2.522+10.04−4.55+1.56+1.57−1.012+5.52−6.55−6.52−1.04−0.53−1.54−0.513+6.56+1.05+0.51−1.53+0.54+2.03+1.04+2.50−1.03+2.03+0.50−2.00−1.00−0.51+1.00−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Hearts

40.04−2.0160.06−2.09+0.59−0.56−1.58−0.58−1.56−4.52−1.54+1.05+1.59+5.03−3.02−1.05+3.54+2.01−2.02−1.50−3.50−0.52+1.01+0.51−0.50−0.50−1.50−0.52+1.03−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.020.020.010.020.010.020.010.040.050.020.020.020.01−0.060.170.030.080.16−0.05−0.020.060.24LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.010.030.030.010.040.020.040.040.020.060.020.040.040.010.030.100.03−0.030.090.01−0.020.050.150.21LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackMotherwell1.22 → 1.26Hearts1.41 → 1.38Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.40 → 1.36Hearts1.24 → 1.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six44%53%+9
11th7%5%−2
Bottom4%3%−1
Hearts
Top six76%68%−8
11th1%2%+1
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (25 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellHearts
Expected goals1.361.29
Win38%35%
Expected Points1.411.32
Clean sheet27%26%

Motherwell 38%Draw 27%Hearts 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 55%.

Hearts goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%8%6%3%9%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 25 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawHearts win
Motherwell
Top six44%53%43%36%
11th7%5%7%9%
Bottom4%3%5%6%
Hearts
Top six76%68%76%84%
11th1%2%2%1%
Bottom1%1%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L1–210 AugRangers (A)xG 0.71–3.30
  2. D0–03 AugRoss County (H)xG 1.20–0.31
  3. L1–219 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.48–1.82
  4. L0–315 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.85–1.34
  5. W5–111 MayRoss County (A)xG 1.65–1.21
  6. W4–14 MayLivingston (H)xG 2.63–0.66

Hearts

  1. L1–310 AugDundee FC (A)xG 1.52–1.53
  2. D0–03 AugRangers (H)xG 1.32–0.75
  3. D3–318 MayRangers (H)xG 2.06–1.99
  4. D2–215 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 0.83–1.72
  5. W3–011 MayDundee FC (H)xG 2.41–1.03
  6. L0–34 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.43–2.78

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellHearts
Position9th10th
Played22
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠1–⁠10–⁠1–⁠1
Points1 (0.50 per game)1 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.131.56
Goals1–⁠21–⁠3
xG per game0.95–⁠1.801.42–⁠1.14
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.20–⁠0.311.00, 1.32–⁠0.75
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 0.71–⁠3.300.00, 1.52–⁠1.53
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (54)Steven Naismith (36)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackMotherwell1.22, 5thHearts1.41, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.40, 7thHearts1.24, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02 Aug24 AugMotherwell attack: 1.22Hearts attack: 1.411.411.22HeartsMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02 Aug24 AugMotherwell defence: 1.40Hearts defence: 1.241.401.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−11%+28%−18%−19%
Counter-attacks−25%−46%−14%−13%
Set pieces−23%+6%+53%−3%
Penalties−30%−30%−22%+103%
Headers−29%+33%+57%−1%
Left side−25%+44%+4%−29%
Centre−3%+10%−7%−7%
Right side−37%−10%+5%−7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHearts concededLeft side−25%−7%Centre−3%−7%Right side−37%−29%Open play−11%−19%Counter-attacks−25%−13%Set pieces−23%−3%Headers−29%−1%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdMotherwell concededLeft side+4%−10%Centre−7%+10%Right side+5%+44%Open play−18%+28%Counter-attacks−14%−46%Set pieces+53%+6%Headers+57%+33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellHearts

0.95xG1.42
1.80xG against1.14
41%Possession48%
9.5Shots16.5
13.0Shots against10.0
2.0Shots on target3.0
1.5Big chances1.5
21.0Touches in the opposition box31.5
322Passes324
69%Pass accuracy71%
6.5Corners9.0
36%Field tilt50%
23.0Final-third entries28.0
6.0Box entries13.5
22.8Passes per defensive action11.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level551.122.15
Ahead0––
Behind350.681.26

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level561.160.77
Ahead0––
Behind341.871.75

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.091.130–1
16–300.490.121–1
31–450.050.120–0
46–600.130.150–0
61–750.150.210–0
76–900.050.080–0

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.080–0
16–300.310.170–1
31–450.010.590–2
46–600.120.170–0
61–750.310.131–0
76–900.440.000–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBRMCMCMLMSTOxborough 2O'Donnell 2Casey 2Gordon 2McGinn 1Blaney 1Halliday 1Seddon 1Miller 2Zdravkovski 2Wilson 1Halliday 1Wilson 1Ebiye 1Stamatelopoulos 1Robinson 15-4-1 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 2Oyegoke 1Dhanda 1Kent 2Rowles 2Taylor 2Grant 2Devlin 1Penrice 1Devlin 1Penrice 1McKay 2Shankland 1Vargas 1Vargas 1Shankland 13-4-2-1 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 February 2024Hearts2–0MotherwellxG 1.71–0.46
11 November 2023Motherwell1–2HeartsxG 1.10–2.08
3 September 2023Hearts0–1MotherwellxG 1.51–1.14
19 February 2023Motherwell2–0HeartsxG 1.33–0.94
6 November 2022Hearts3–2MotherwellxG 2.61–2.25
18 September 2022Motherwell0–3HeartsxG 2.83–1.92

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 4, Hearts won 6, and 0 were drawn. Goals 10–15 and xG 1.46–1.62 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Halliday10782110.180.05
Miller221,932020.080.08
O'Donnell342,981040.030.10
Blaney211,788200.080.05

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland383,4402440.460.18
Boyce7679130.340.19
Grant171,504440.350.15
McKay6525020.050.35

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.