Matches › 2022/23

Motherwell 1–2 Celtic

Wednesday 9 November 2022, 19:45 · Fir Park · Round 15 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 8,658

Motherwell Tierney 86'

Celtic Furuhashi 15', Maeda 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	Celtic
Goals	1	2
xG	0.47	1.43
Expected Points	0.59	2.13

Motherwell 10%Draw 28%Celtic 62%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 1–2, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellCeltic

0.47 −0.97xG1.43 −1.22

0.77 −0.46xG on target0.97 −1.82

7 −6Shots16 −3

2 −1.6Shots on target3 −4.8

2 0.0Big chances1 −2.7

13 −4Touches in the opposition box26 −11

29% −21Possession71% +2

220 −146Passes556 −55

59% −10Pass accuracy85% −1

14% −38Field tilt86% +9

13 −23Final-third entries63 −12

4 −4.6Box entries15 −7.4

19.6 +7Passes per defensive action12.5 +2

5 −0.1Corners10 +2.5

12 −4Tackles9 −4

19 +9.1Interceptions11 +4.5

17 +2Clearances21 +6

1 −1.5Saves1 −0.9

7 −7Fouls11 0

0 −1.9Offsides3 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellCeltic

0.35 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.99 11 shots, 1 goal

0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.30 1 shot, 1 goal

0.11 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.14 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–2

Level: 15 min (16%) · Motherwell 0.14, Celtic 0.29 xG
Celtic ahead: 78 min (84%) · Motherwell 0.33, Celtic 1.14 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

22' Johansen for Mugabi
46' Shields for van Veen
55' Morris for McKinstry · yellow card 81'
60' Tierney for Cornelius · goal 86'
60' Moult for Spittal · yellow card 64'

Celtic substitutes

60' Haksabanovic for Abada
69' Turnbull for Hatate · 1 assist
69' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi
80' Abildgaard for Mooy
80' Maeda for Jota · goal 84'

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kelly	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	1
O'Donnell	RB	90			0.10	0.02	1	0.03	2	4
Mugabi	CB	22			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Lamie	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	−0.03	1	15
Penney	LB	90			0.00	0.11	1	0.18	3	4
Cornelius	DM	60			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	5	1
Goss	DM	90			0.00	0.02	1	0.03	2	9
McKinstry	RW	55			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Slattery	AM	90		1	0.01	0.19	1	0.07	2	7
Spittal	LW	60			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	2
van Veen	ST	46			0.14	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Johansen	DF	68			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Shields	MF	44			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Morris	FW	35			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Tierney	MF	30	1		0.08	0.01	0	0.03	2	0
Moult	FW	30			0.14	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	2
Juranovic	RB	90			0.00	0.04	1	0.06	10	3
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.22	16	8
Starfelt	CB	90			0.07	0.02	0	0.14	8	6
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.01	1	−0.01	5	2
Mooy	CM	80			0.07	0.06	1	0.06	6	4
O'Riley	CM	90		1	0.00	0.69	4	0.26	4	9
Hatate	CM	69			0.08	0.06	0	−0.11	0	2
Abada	RW	60			0.00	0.08	1	0.11	9	2
Furuhashi	ST	69	1		0.29	0.04	1	0.03	1	2
Jota	LW	80			0.23	0.05	0	0.21	5	0
Haksabanovic	MF	30			0.00	0.14	0	0.24	8	0
Turnbull	MF	21		1	0.07	0.01	1	−0.02	1	0
Giakoumakis	FW	21			0.30	0.00	1	−0.01	0	0
Abildgaard	MF	10			0.01	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
Maeda	FW	10	1		0.30	0.00	0	0.09	2	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
Penney	Goss	8
Goss	Penney	5
O'Donnell	Johansen	5
Kelly	O'Donnell	4
Johansen	Lamie	4

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Hart	Starfelt	20
Starfelt	Taylor	17
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	17
Carter-Vickers	Juranovic	15
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 14 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Motherwell
Top six	30%	26%	−4
11th	7%	7%	0
Bottom	3%	3%	0
Celtic
Title	87%	90%	+3
Rangers
Title	13%	10%	−3
St. Johnstone
Top six	30%	31%	+1
11th	8%	7%	−1
Bottom	4%	4%	0

From the forecast before the match (9 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	Celtic
Expected goals	0.70	2.26
Win	10%	72%
Expected Points	0.47	2.35
Clean sheet	10%	50%

Motherwell 10%Draw 18%Celtic 72%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

From the forecast as it stood on 9 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Motherwell win	Draw	Celtic win
Motherwell
Top six	30%	47%	35%	26%
11th	7%	3%	5%	7%
Bottom	3%	1%	2%	3%
Celtic
Title	87%	79%	83%	90%
Rangers
Title	13%	21%	17%	10%
St. Johnstone
Top six	30%	26%	28%	31%
11th	8%	8%	9%	7%
Bottom	4%	4%	3%	4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	Celtic
Position	9th	1st
Played	14	13
Won, drawn, lost	5–⁠1–⁠8	12–⁠0–⁠1
Points	16 (1.14 per game)	36 (2.77 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.41	2.46
Goals	18–⁠19	46–⁠11
xG per game	1.44–⁠1.35	2.65–⁠0.68
Home: points, xG per game	0.67, 1.51–⁠0.95	3.00, 2.61–⁠0.53
Away: points, xG per game	1.50, 1.38–⁠1.65	2.57, 2.68–⁠0.81
Manager	Steven Hammell (14)	Ange Postecoglou (51)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−3%	+21%	+142%	−62%
Counter-attacks	+115%	−10%	+76%	−100%
Set pieces	−10%	−11%	+78%	−32%
Penalties	+98%	−60%	−57%	+28%
Headers	−29%	+36%	+102%	−40%
Left side	+7%	−10%	+52%	−41%
Centre	−7%	+46%	+198%	−60%
Right side	+5%	−17%	+82%	−68%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdCeltic concededLeft side+7%−68%Centre−7%−60%Right side+5%−41%Open play−3%−62%Counter-attacks+115%−100%Set pieces−10%−32%Headers−29%−40%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdMotherwell concededLeft side+52%−17%Centre+198%+46%Right side+82%−10%Open play+142%+21%Counter-attacks+76%−10%Set pieces+78%−11%Headers+102%+36%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellCeltic

1.44xG2.65

1.35xG against0.68

50%Possession70%

12.9Shots18.7

12.1Shots against7.4

3.6Shots on target7.8

2.0Big chances3.7

17.4Touches in the opposition box37.0

366Passes611

69%Pass accuracy86%

5.1Corners7.5

52%Field tilt77%

36.4Final-third entries75.4

8.6Box entries22.4

12.8Passes per defensive action10.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	41	1.46	1.84
Ahead	23	1.19	1.01
Behind	26	1.61	0.89

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	25	2.99	0.45
Ahead	60	2.52	0.74
Behind	4	2.37	1.18

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.27	1–2
16–30	0.17	0.19	3–2
31–45	0.25	0.28	2–2
46–60	0.26	0.19	6–4
61–75	0.34	0.17	2–5
76–90	0.31	0.25	4–4

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.48	0.12	10–1
16–30	0.25	0.09	2–0
31–45	0.47	0.16	9–3
46–60	0.43	0.13	8–4
61–75	0.30	0.10	3–1
76–90	0.71	0.08	14–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
1 October 2022	Celtic	2–1	Motherwell	xG 3.50–0.35
14 May 2022	Celtic	6–0	Motherwell	xG 2.32–0.90
6 February 2022	Motherwell	0–4	Celtic	xG 0.24–2.79
12 December 2021	Celtic	1–0	Motherwell	xG 2.45–0.75
16 October 2021	Motherwell	0–2	Celtic	xG 0.54–1.18
6 February 2021	Celtic	2–1	Motherwell	xG 1.57–0.42

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 0, Celtic won 8, and 0 were drawn. Goals 3–24 and xG 0.64–2.34 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
van Veen	14	1,216	7	0	0.65	0.09
McKinstry	4	467	2	1	0.13	0.29
Spittal	13	952	2	2	0.14	0.17
Shields	10	742	0	2	0.11	0.15

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	4	524	7	2	0.86	0.35
Furuhashi	9	650	9	1	1.03	0.04
Giakoumakis	4	533	6	1	0.83	0.06
Jota	9	768	5	6	0.37	0.49

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.