Saturday 3 August 2024, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 1 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 4,353
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Motherwell
Ross County
Goals
0
0
xG
1.20
0.31
Expected Points
2.15
0.54
Motherwell 62%Draw 30%Ross County 8%
Most likely score 1–0, 30%. Final score 0–0, 19%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
MotherwellRoss County
1.20xG0.31
0.99xG on target0.33
12Shots7
3Shots on target3
2Big chances1
23Touches in the opposition box13
50%Possession50%
359Passes387
68%Pass accuracy67%
48%Field tilt52%
31Final-third entries39
7Box entries7
17.2Passes per defensive action9.9
9Corners3
21Tackles18
8Interceptions14
19Clearances41
3Saves3
5Fouls11
2Offsides0
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Motherwell
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
94 min (100%) · Motherwell 1.20, Ross County 0.31 xG
Line-ups
Motherwell substitutes
67'Stamatelopoulos for Robinson
73'Callachan for Miller
87'McGinn for Blaney
87'Wells for Ebiye
Ross County substitutes
62'Denholm for Grieves
73'Samuel for Hale
88'Efete for Brown
88'Chilvers for White
Players
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Oxborough
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
4
1
Casey
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
5
10
Gordon
CB
90
0.10
0.00
0
0.04
4
6
Blaney
CB
87
0.03
0.00
0
0.02
3
9
O'Donnell
RWB
90
0.04
0.08
0
0.24
6
4
Zdravkovski
CM
90
0.00
0.06
1
0.09
7
3
Halliday
CM
90
0.17
0.10
2
0.00
2
1
Wilson
LWB
90
0.13
0.61
1
0.28
4
7
Miller
AM
73
0.00
0.03
0
0.12
6
3
Robinson
ST
67
0.25
0.02
1
0.00
1
3
Ebiye
ST
87
0.49
0.04
1
0.00
2
2
Stamatelopoulos
FW
23
0.00
0.00
0
−0.03
0
0
Callachan
MF
17
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
McGinn
DF
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Wells
MF
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
6
2
Wright
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
14
Nightingale
CB
90
0.06
0.04
1
0.10
3
21
Leak
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.10
9
15
Brown
RWB
88
0.00
0.03
0
0.05
5
5
Loturi
CM
90
0.00
0.12
1
0.08
5
1
Randall
CM
90
0.04
0.02
0
0.04
3
7
Grieves
CM
62
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
3
Harmon
LWB
90
0.00
0.12
4
0.09
6
2
White
ST
88
0.15
0.01
0
−0.03
1
2
Hale
ST
73
0.08
0.00
0
0.04
2
0
Denholm
MF
28
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
4
Samuel
FW
17
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Efete
MF
2
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Chilvers
MF
2
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Motherwell
Ross County
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
O'Donnell
Casey
12
Miller
O'Donnell
9
Oxborough
Casey
8
O'Donnell
Miller
8
Wilson
Halliday
8
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Brown
Wright
11
Randall
Brown
11
Harmon
Leak
10
Wright
Brown
10
Laidlaw
White
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Motherwell
Ross County
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
Motherwell
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Motherwell
Top six
49%
45%
−4
11th
5%
6%
+1
Bottom
3%
3%
0
Ross County
Top six
14%
15%
+1
11th
19%
18%
−1
Bottom
21%
18%
−3
From the forecast before the match (3 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Motherwell
Ross County
Expected goals
1.71
0.97
Win
54%
21%
Expected Points
1.88
0.87
Clean sheet
38%
18%
Motherwell 54%Draw 25%Ross County 21%
Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 3 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Motherwell win
Draw
Ross County win
Motherwell
Top six
49%
56%
45%
37%
11th
5%
4%
6%
8%
Bottom
3%
1%
3%
6%
Ross County
Top six
14%
11%
15%
23%
11th
19%
21%
18%
15%
Bottom
21%
25%
18%
13%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Motherwell
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−6%
+8%
−16%
+19%
Counter-attacks
+12%
−19%
−25%
+17%
Set pieces
−26%
+4%
−38%
+8%
Penalties
+4%
+4%
−87%
−9%
Headers
−10%
+36%
−27%
−21%
Left side
−14%
+25%
−15%
+22%
Centre
+2%
−5%
−26%
+20%
Right side
−30%
+5%
−23%
+2%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Motherwell attacking
Motherwell createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−14%+2%Centre+2%+20%Right side−30%+22%Open play−6%+19%Counter-attacks+12%+17%Set pieces−26%+8%Headers−10%−21%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−15%+5%Centre−26%−5%Right side−23%+25%Open play−16%+8%Counter-attacks−25%−19%Set pieces−38%+4%Headers−27%+36%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts