Sunday 31 July 2022, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 1 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 5,668
Motherwell van Veen 42' (pen) · Lamie sent off 82'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Mirren
Motherwell
Goals
0
1
xG
2.38
1.16
Non-penalty xG
2.38
0.37
Expected Points
2.21
0.57
St. Mirren 66%Draw 22%Motherwell 12%
Most likely score 2–1, 17%. Final score 0–1, 3%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. MirrenMotherwell
2.38xG1.16
2.38Non-penalty xG0.37
2.65xG on target1.01
19Shots9
6Shots on target2
5Big chances1
49%Possession51%
342Passes367
67%Pass accuracy65%
50%Field tilt50%
40Final-third entries35
17Box entries5
19.1Passes per defensive action15.4
8Corners2
15Tackles11
6Interceptions12
20Clearances35
1Saves6
9Fouls11
1Offsides0
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Mirren
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
42'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
42 min (44%) · St. Mirren 1.50, Motherwell 0.90 xG
Motherwell ahead
54 min (56%) · St. Mirren 0.88, Motherwell 0.26 xG
Line-ups
St. Mirren substitutes
46'Flynn for O'Hara
52'Tait for Tanser
62'Main for Greive
74'Henderson for Strain
Motherwell substitutes
20'O'Donnell for McGinn · yellow card 45+1'
62'Cornelius for Spittal
68'Efford for Morris
68'Speirs for Goss · yellow card 73'
85'Mugabi for van Veen
Players
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Carson
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
3
0
Strain
RWB
74
0.32
0.60
4
0.49
9
4
Gallagher
CB
90
0.00
0.28
3
0.41
7
6
Shaughnessy
CB
90
0.02
0.00
0
0.02
3
7
Dunne
CB
90
0.06
0.22
1
0.17
6
7
Tanser
LWB
52
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
3
4
Baccus
CM
90
0.16
0.04
1
0.05
5
4
Erhahon
CM
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.05
5
5
O'Hara
CM
46
0.00
0.01
1
−0.01
0
1
Ayunga
ST
90
0.86
0.01
0
0.02
3
1
Greive
ST
62
0.64
0.01
0
−0.01
0
0
Flynn
MF
44
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
1
Tait
DF
38
0.03
0.06
2
0.09
2
1
Main
FW
28
0.30
0.08
1
0.08
1
1
Henderson
MF
16
0.00
0.06
1
0.22
5
0
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
6
0
McGinn
RB
20
0.00
0.00
1
0.02
2
0
Johansen
CB
90
0.06
0.00
0
0.04
3
12
Lamie
CB
82
0.00
0.02
0
0.03
3
16
Carroll
LB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.06
6
8
Maguire
DM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
7
Morris
RM
68
0.00
0.06
1
0.06
5
2
Spittal
CM
62
0.13
0.02
0
0.04
5
4
Goss
CM
68
0.06
0.06
0
0.05
3
4
Shields
LM
90
0.00
0.05
2
0.07
1
1
van Veen
ST
85
1
0.79
0.02
0
−0.03
2
2
O'Donnell
DF
70
0.00
0.03
0
0.07
9
7
Cornelius
MF
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Efford
FW
22
0.03
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Speirs
MF
22
0.08
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Mugabi
DF
5
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Mirren
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Gallagher
Henderson
10
Shaughnessy
Gallagher
8
Dunne
Carson
7
Strain
Ayunga
7
Gallagher
Carson
7
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
O'Donnell
Johansen
13
Johansen
Kelly
10
Morris
O'Donnell
9
Johansen
O'Donnell
9
Goss
Carroll
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Mirren
Motherwell
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
St. Mirren
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Mirren
Top six
20%
12%
−8
11th
16%
20%
+4
Bottom
15%
21%
+6
Motherwell
Top six
28%
36%
+8
11th
12%
8%
−4
Bottom
10%
5%
−5
Ross County
Top six
12%
11%
−1
11th
20%
20%
0
Bottom
23%
23%
0
From the forecast before the match (31 July 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Mirren
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.20
1.01
Win
40%
30%
Expected Points
1.50
1.20
Clean sheet
36%
30%
St. Mirren 40%Draw 30%Motherwell 30%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.
From the forecast as it stood on 31 July 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Mirren win
Draw
Motherwell win
St. Mirren
Top six
20%
27%
17%
12%
11th
16%
13%
16%
20%
Bottom
15%
10%
17%
21%
Motherwell
Top six
28%
21%
28%
36%
11th
12%
14%
13%
8%
Bottom
10%
13%
10%
5%
Ross County
Top six
12%
11%
13%
11%
11th
20%
19%
20%
20%
Bottom
23%
24%
21%
23%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Mirren
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−40%
+22%
−21%
+17%
Counter-attacks
−29%
+37%
−34%
−9%
Set pieces
+5%
+8%
+10%
+4%
Penalties
−44%
−6%
−44%
+31%
Headers
−2%
+9%
+10%
−14%
Left side
−22%
+29%
+1%
+22%
Centre
−25%
+10%
−5%
+3%
Right side
−40%
+27%
−44%
+24%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
St. Mirren attacking
St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−22%+24%Centre−25%+3%Right side−40%+22%Open play−40%+17%Counter-attacks−29%−9%Set pieces+5%+4%Headers−2%−14%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts