Matches › 2022/23

Hearts 0–2 Celtic

Sunday 7 May 2023, 14:15 · Tynecastle Park · Round 34 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 18,143

Hearts Cochrane sent off 45'

Celtic Furuhashi 67', Oh 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hearts	Celtic
Goals	0	2
xG	0.28	1.39
Expected Points	0.39	2.37

Hearts 5%Draw 24%Celtic 71%

Most likely score 0–1, 30%. Final score 0–2, 23%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsCeltic

0.28 −1.25xG1.39 −1.03

0.00 −1.31xG on target1.98 −0.45

7 −5Shots12 −7

0 −4.3Shots on target3 −4.2

0 −2.0Big chances2 −1.5

21 −1Touches in the opposition box32 −10

29% −27Possession71% −1

236 −209Passes588 −81

58% −18Pass accuracy83% −4

18% −31Field tilt82% +1

18 −16Final-third entries69 −16

5 −7Box entries21 −4

17.2 +3.2Passes per defensive action10.4 +1.2

6 +0.7Corners5 −2.7

14 −2Tackles10 −4

21 +13.3Interceptions5 −3.0

17 −2Clearances19 +6

1 −2.1Saves0 −1.5

9 −1Fouls10 0

2 +0.9Offsides2 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hearts

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsCeltic

0.18 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.24 8 shots, 2 goals

0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.16 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–2

Level: 72 min (76%) · Hearts 0.28, Celtic 0.83 xG
Celtic ahead: 23 min (24%) · Hearts 0.00, Celtic 0.56 xG

Line-ups

Hearts substitutes

45+2' Kingsley for Oda
74' Kiomourtzoglou for Devlin
82' Grant for McKay
82' Humphrys for Ginnelly

Celtic substitutes

70' Mooy for O'Riley · 1 assist
70' Oh for Furuhashi · goal 80'
80' Abada for Maeda
80' Haksabanovic for Jota
86' Iwata for Hatate

Players

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Clark	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	4	1
Hill	RB	90	0.04	0.00	0	0.01	0	12
Sibbick	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	6
Rowles	CB	90	0.06	0.01	0	0.07	1	9
Cochrane	LB	45	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	0
Devlin	DM	74	0.02	0.11	0	0.10	1	5
Haring	DM	90	0.00	0.02	1	0.04	3	4
Oda	RW	45	0.03	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Shankland	AM	90	0.11	0.01	1	0.00	2	2
McKay	LW	82	0.00	0.20	3	0.09	4	3
Ginnelly	ST	82	0.03	0.03	0	−0.14	0	1
Kingsley	DF	45	0.00	0.05	0	0.06	3	6
Kiomourtzoglou	MF	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Grant	MF	8	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Humphrys	FW	8	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Ralston	RB	90			0.03	0.10	1	0.18	7	7
Starfelt	CB	90			0.05	0.02	1	0.10	4	7
Kobayashi	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.17	7	6
Taylor	LB	90			0.08	0.13	0	0.13	9	4
O'Riley	CM	70			0.00	0.33	3	0.20	1	2
McGregor	CM	90			0.02	0.14	2	0.09	5	3
Hatate	CM	86		1	0.11	0.65	2	−0.03	4	5
Jota	RW	80			0.00	0.04	1	0.34	11	1
Furuhashi	ST	70	1		0.55	0.03	0	0.00	0	1
Maeda	LW	80			0.04	0.01	0	0.04	3	0
Mooy	MF	20		1	0.00	0.04	2	0.01	0	1
Oh	FW	20	1		0.46	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Abada	FW	10			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	2	0
Haksabanovic	FW	10			0.05	0.03	0	0.11	3	0
Iwata	DF	4			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Clark	Shankland	8
Devlin	McKay	6
Hill	Devlin	4
McKay	Rowles	4
Devlin	Oda	4

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Kobayashi	Starfelt	22
Kobayashi	Taylor	21
Starfelt	Kobayashi	19
Ralston	Starfelt	19
Starfelt	Ralston	17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

Against its average of 33 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hearts	Celtic
Expected goals	0.81	2.18
Win	12%	68%
Expected Points	0.56	2.24
Clean sheet	11%	44%

Hearts 12%Draw 20%Celtic 68%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 7 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hearts

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hearts	Celtic
Position	4th	1st
Played	33	33
Won, drawn, lost	14–⁠6–⁠13	30–⁠2–⁠1
Points	48 (1.45 per game)	92 (2.79 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.32	2.42
Goals	56–⁠49	103–⁠25
xG per game	1.53–⁠1.62	2.42–⁠0.66
Home: points, xG per game	2.12, 2.04–⁠1.58	2.88, 2.37–⁠0.56
Away: points, xG per game	0.82, 1.05–⁠1.66	2.69, 2.47–⁠0.77
Manager	Steven Naismith (2)	Ange Postecoglou (71)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hearts		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+14%	+24%	+116%	−61%
Counter-attacks	+45%	−53%	+58%	−66%
Set pieces	−5%	+38%	+32%	−47%
Penalties	+57%	+10%	+10%	+10%
Headers	−13%	+43%	+65%	−34%
Left side	−5%	+16%	+71%	−51%
Centre	+10%	+32%	+122%	−57%
Right side	+27%	+21%	+67%	−66%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdCeltic concededLeft side−5%−66%Centre+10%−57%Right side+27%−51%Open play+14%−61%Counter-attacks+45%−66%Set pieces−5%−47%Headers−13%−34%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHearts concededLeft side+71%+21%Centre+122%+32%Right side+67%+16%Open play+116%+24%Counter-attacks+58%−53%Set pieces+32%+38%Headers+65%+43%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsCeltic

1.53xG2.42

1.62xG against0.66

56%Possession72%

12.3Shots18.8

14.1Shots against6.5

4.3Shots on target7.2

2.0Big chances3.5

22.4Touches in the opposition box42.4

445Passes669

76%Pass accuracy87%

5.3Corners7.7

49%Field tilt81%

34.1Final-third entries84.5

11.8Box entries25.2

14.0Passes per defensive action9.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	32	1.76	1.35
Ahead	29	1.67	2.01
Behind	28	1.14	1.53

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	30	2.33	0.62
Ahead	54	2.45	0.70
Behind	6	2.56	0.47

xG by period

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.17	7–9
16–30	0.19	0.21	12–7
31–45	0.34	0.29	9–3
46–60	0.20	0.31	8–12
61–75	0.22	0.27	8–7
76–90	0.34	0.37	12–11

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.32	0.10	19–3
16–30	0.33	0.06	12–1
31–45	0.44	0.16	18–7
46–60	0.38	0.16	17–8
61–75	0.28	0.10	11–2
76–90	0.67	0.09	26–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (10), 3-4-3 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (29), 4-2-3-1 (4)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
8 March 2023	Celtic	3–1	Hearts	xG 2.08–0.62
22 October 2022	Hearts	3–4	Celtic	xG 2.90–2.82
21 August 2022	Celtic	2–0	Hearts	xG 2.55–0.29
7 May 2022	Celtic	4–1	Hearts	xG 3.57–0.71
26 January 2022	Hearts	1–2	Celtic	xG 1.22–1.70
2 December 2021	Celtic	1–0	Hearts	xG 2.86–0.67

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 1, Celtic won 6, and 0 were drawn. Goals 8–17 and xG 1.12–2.44 per game.

Key players

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Shankland	28	2,588	21	4	0.72	0.12
Humphrys	7	780	3	0	0.40	0.04
Ginnelly	21	1,695	10	3	0.25	0.17
Grant	10	1,114	2	2	0.23	0.14

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Giakoumakis	4	685	6	1	0.87	0.09
Abada	10	1,255	10	4	0.53	0.42
Jota	22	1,859	11	10	0.48	0.42
Furuhashi	28	2,080	23	2	0.79	0.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.