Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Dundee FC 1–1 Kilmarnock

Saturday 18 May 2024, 12:30 · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Round 38 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 6,637

Dundee FC McCowan 37'

Kilmarnock Mackay-Steven 24' · Deas sent off 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCKilmarnock
Goals11
xG1.691.11
Non-penalty xG0.901.11
Expected Points1.840.87

Dundee FC 52%Draw 29%Kilmarnock 19%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 1–1, 16%.

Kilmarnock goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+2%3%2%11%8%2%10%9%2%4%6%3%1%1%16%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTDeas (Kilmarnock), second yellow card 84'Costelloe on for Mulligan, 46'Robertson on for Cameron, 62'Main on for Bakayoko and Boateng on for Sylla, 70'Howley on for Tiffoney, 85'Stewart on for Polworth, 46'Cameron on for Watkins and Armstrong on for Mackay-Steven, 59'Balagizi on for Murray, 71'Watson on for McKenzie, 86'McCowan 37'Mackay-Steven 24'Dundee FC 1.69Kilmarnock 1.1100.511.520153045607590HTDeas (Kilmarnock), second yellow card 84'Costelloe on for Mulligan, 46'Robertson on for Cameron, 62'Main on for Bakayoko and Boateng on for Sylla, 70'Howley on for Tiffoney, 85'Stewart on for Polworth, 46'Cameron on for Watkins and Armstrong on for Mackay-Steven, 59'Balagizi on for Murray, 71'Watson on for McKenzie, 86'McCowan 37'Mackay-Steven 24'1.691.11Dundee FCKilmarnock

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCKilmarnock

1.69 +0.50xG1.11 −0.16
0.90Non-penalty xG1.11
0.56 −0.69xG on target0.30 −1.11
11 −1Shots11 −2
2 −1.9Shots on target3 −0.9
2 +0.4Big chances1 −1.0
26 +6Touches in the opposition box20 −2
61% +18Possession39% −6
433 +100Passes268 −59
79% +12Pass accuracy58% −6
74% +35Field tilt26% −22
41 +8Final-third entries30 −2
9 +0.1Box entries11 −0.7
16.9 0Passes per defensive action18.5 +3
4 −0.9Corners3 −2.9
11 −4Tackles16 +2
3 −5.6Interceptions4 −2.8
9 −18Clearances31 +8
1 −2.4Saves1 −2.3
7 −2.8Fouls10 −1.8
4 +2.6Offsides0 −1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Donnelly 47', 0.13 xGBakayoko 69', 0.08 xGMcCowan 90+1', 0.08 xGMain 78', 0.06 xGPortales 58', 0.05 xGMcCowan 90+5', 0.05 xGCameron 51', 0.04 xGDodgson 90+3', 0.04 xGTiffoney 46', 0.02 xGMcCowan 37', 0.36 xG, goal23%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals51%0.46 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.46 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals26%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Kilmarnock

Deas 64', 0.28 xGCameron 82', 0.12 xGMurray 43', 0.08 xGMackay-Steven 31', 0.07 xGMurray 37', 0.06 xGWatkins 54', 0.06 xGMurray 24', 0.04 xGWatkins 53', 0.04 xGMurray 64', 0.03 xGBalagizi 71', 0.03 xGMackay-Steven 24', 0.30 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals80%0.89 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.89 xG, 1 goal11%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals9%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCKilmarnock

0.56 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.34 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.42 3 shots, 1 goal
0.34 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.34 3 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 0 goalsPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
82 min (86%) · Dundee FC 1.33, Kilmarnock 0.98 xG
Kilmarnock ahead
13 min (14%) · Dundee FC 0.36, Kilmarnock 0.12 xG

Line-ups

226292532815101797McCrackenMcGheePortalesDonnellyDodgsonSyllaMulliganCameronMcCowanBakayokoTiffoneyGoal70'46'62'70'85'Dundee FC 4-1-3-2Tony Docherty14617339223115723DennisWrightDeasFindlayNdabaMackay-StevenDonnellyPolworthMurrayMcKenzieWatkinsYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowGoal59'46'71'86'59'Kilmarnock 4-4-1-1Derek McInnes

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Costelloe for Mulligan
  • 62' Robertson for Cameron
  • 70' Boateng for Sylla
  • 70' Main for Bakayoko · yellow card 72'
  • 85' Howley for Tiffoney

Kilmarnock substitutes

  • 46' Stewart for Polworth
  • 59' Armstrong for Mackay-Steven
  • 59' Cameron for Watkins
  • 71' Balagizi for Murray
  • 86' Watson for McKenzie

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0400.0942
McGheeRB900.000.1300.0166
PortalesCB900.050.2200.12134
DonnellyCB900.130.0110.0652
DodgsonLB900.040.143−0.0121
SyllaDM700.000.0200.1143
MulliganCM460.000.0000.0020
CameronAM620.040.020−0.0131
McCowanCM9011.270.3220.3084
BakayokoST700.080.010−0.0310
TiffoneyST8510.020.1110.1380
CostelloeFW440.000.170−0.1311
RobertsonMF280.000.0710.0140
BoatengMF200.000.0100.0322
Main FW200.060.050−0.0400
HowleyMF50.000.0000.0110

Kilmarnock

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DennisGK900.000.0000.0002
Wright RB900.000.0010.0115
Deas CB840.280.0100.0537
FindlayCB900.000.0010.0218
NdabaLB900.000.0000.0654
Mackay-StevenRM5910.370.0200.0743
DonnellyCM900.000.0100.0025
PolworthCM460.000.0110.0423
MurrayLM710.210.3910.3051
McKenzieAM860.000.010−0.0104
WatkinsST5910.100.0310.0411
StewartMF440.000.0200.0332
ArmstrongMF310.000.0910.1251
CameronFW310.120.0000.0004
BalagiziFW190.030.0000.0001
WatsonMF40.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

McCracken and McGhee: 4 passesDonnelly and Portales: 4 passesCameron and McCowan: 4 passesCameron and Bakayoko: 4 passesMcCowan and Tiffoney: 4 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 5 passesDodgson and McCowan: 5 passesSylla and Mulligan: 5 passesDonnelly and Dodgson: 6 passesPortales and Mulligan: 6 passesPortales and Tiffoney: 6 passesDodgson and Tiffoney: 6 passesDonnelly and Tiffoney: 7 passesSylla and Tiffoney: 7 passesPortales and Sylla: 8 passesCameron and Mulligan: 9 passesMcGhee and Cameron: 10 passesMcGhee and Mulligan: 10 passesDonnelly and Sylla: 10 passesMcCracken and Portales: 14 passesPortales and Cameron: 14 passesMcCracken and Donnelly: 15 passesMcGhee and Portales: 17 passesMcCracken: 21 completed passesMcGhee: 26 completed passesDonnelly: 28 completed passesPortales: 38 completed passesDodgson: 13 completed passesSylla: 20 completed passesCameron: 21 completed passesMcCowan: 12 completed passesMulligan: 16 completed passesBakayoko: 6 completed passesTiffoney: 17 completed passes226252932810171597McCrackenMcGheeDonnellyPortalesDodgsonSyllaCameronMcCowanMulliganBakayokoTiffoneyStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Kilmarnock

Dennis and Wright: 3 passesDennis and Findlay: 3 passesDennis and Donnelly: 3 passesFindlay and Polworth: 3 passesNdaba and Murray: 3 passesNdaba and McKenzie: 3 passesMcKenzie and Watkins: 3 passesWright and Mackay-Steven: 4 passesWright and Polworth: 4 passesNdaba and Polworth: 4 passesNdaba and Watkins: 4 passesMackay-Steven and Polworth: 4 passesPolworth and McKenzie: 4 passesWright and Deas: 5 passesPolworth and Murray: 5 passesDennis and Deas: 6 passesDennis: 10 completed passesWright: 11 completed passesDeas: 9 completed passesFindlay: 6 completed passesNdaba: 11 completed passesMackay-Steven: 5 completed passesPolworth: 16 completed passesDonnelly: 7 completed passesMurray: 6 completed passesMcKenzie: 5 completed passesWatkins: 6 completed passes14617339312215723DennisWrightDeasFindlayNdabaMackay-StevenPolworthDonnellyMurrayMcKenzieWatkinsStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McGheePortales12
PortalesMcGhee11
DonnellyMcCracken10
McCrackenPortales10
McGheeCameron9

Kilmarnock

FromToPasses
WrightDeas6
DennisWright5
DennisDeas5
DonnellyDennis4
NdabaMurray4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

1−4.56−1.55−4.83−3.58+1.55−1.82−3.73−3.74−3.24−1.64−0.99+5.54−0.63−3.23−1.830.05+3.03+0.15+1.61−0.94+2.52+1.01−0.31−1.41+0.20−0.30−0.40−0.61+0.26−12.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Kilmarnock

6+1.79+2.010−2.912+3.95+0.78+1.03−3.05−1.86−0.24−1.04+0.27+2.57+2.05+1.42−0.71−2.18+3.72−0.93+1.21+0.20−1.63+0.50−0.90−0.31+0.30−0.20−0.52−4.52−4.21−4.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.030.020.030.060.030.010.040.040.040.020.060.100.010.030.030.030.03−0.030.010.03−0.010.07−0.16−0.070.030.20LessMore

Kilmarnock

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.070.010.020.070.030.010.070.090.070.010.030.010.02−0.020.020.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.32AttackDundee FC1.05 → 1.08Kilmarnock1.21 → 1.21Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.58 → 1.55Kilmarnock1.29 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCKilmarnock
Expected goals1.231.31
Win34%38%
Expected Points1.301.42
Clean sheet27%29%

Dundee FC 34%Draw 28%Kilmarnock 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Kilmarnock goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L2–514 MayRangers (A)xG 1.19–3.29
  2. L0–311 MayHearts (A)xG 1.03–2.41
  3. L1–34 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 0.79–1.43
  4. L1–228 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.10–1.53
  5. D0–017 AprRangers (H)xG 0.51–1.06
  6. D0–013 AprAberdeen (A)xG 1.11–1.01

Kilmarnock

  1. L0–515 MayCeltic (H)xG 0.75–4.60
  2. W1–011 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 1.44–0.85
  3. L1–45 MayRangers (A)xG 0.39–4.90
  4. D0–027 AprHearts (H)xG 0.89–1.95
  5. W2–013 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 3.51–1.22
  6. W1–06 AprRoss County (H)xG 0.98–0.47

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCKilmarnock
Position6th4th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠11–⁠1614–⁠13–⁠10
Points41 (1.11 per game)55 (1.49 per game)
Expected Points per game1.121.38
Goals48–⁠6745–⁠43
xG per game1.19–⁠1.711.27–⁠1.32
Home: points, xG per game1.28, 1.30–⁠1.641.84, 1.27–⁠1.13
Away: points, xG per game0.95, 1.08–⁠1.771.11, 1.27–⁠1.53
ManagerTony Docherty (37)Derek McInnes (75)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.32AttackDundee FC1.05, 9thKilmarnock1.21, 7thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.58, 11thKilmarnock1.29, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee FC attack: 1.05Kilmarnock attack: 1.211.211.05KilmarnockDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee FC defence: 1.58Kilmarnock defence: 1.291.581.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCKilmarnock
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−25%+22%−21%−4%
Counter-attacks−43%+33%+12%−7%
Set pieces+25%+4%+24%+5%
Penalties−32%+50%−32%−32%
Headersaverage+37%+23%−15%
Left side−11%+26%−9%−20%
Centre−9%+11%−6%+5%
Right side−24%+26%−6%+2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdKilmarnock concededLeft side−11%+2%Centre−9%+5%Right side−24%−20%Open play−25%−4%Counter-attacks−43%−7%Set pieces+25%+5%Headersaverage−15%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdDundee FC concededLeft side−9%+26%Centre−6%+11%Right side−6%+26%Open play−21%+22%Counter-attacks+12%+33%Set pieces+24%+4%Headers+23%+37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCKilmarnock

1.19xG1.27
1.71xG against1.32
43%Possession45%
11.6Shots12.9
15.4Shots against13.3
3.9Shots on target3.9
1.6Big chances2.0
20.2Touches in the opposition box22.1
333Passes327
68%Pass accuracy64%
4.9Corners5.9
39%Field tilt48%
33.1Final-third entries32.2
8.9Box entries11.7
17.2Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.201.41
Ahead201.021.92
Behind241.292.10

Kilmarnock

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.101.12
Ahead211.381.47
Behind241.471.57

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.173–5
16–300.130.236–8
31–450.210.319–11
46–600.200.275–10
61–750.240.2710–10
76–900.280.4615–23

Kilmarnock

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.185–7
16–300.190.187–4
31–450.230.295–13
46–600.220.096–6
61–750.200.2711–7
76–900.310.3111–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 25McCracken 11Sharp 1Portales 20McGhee 9Ashcroft 7Shaughnessy 33Astley 2Donnelly 15Lamie 15Dodgson 4McGhee 21McCowan 4Costelloe 2Cameron 26Mulligan 4Robertson 4Boateng 24Sylla 18Beck 2McCowan 30Tiffoney 1Beck 22Dodgson 6Tiffoney 4Bakayoko 33Robinson 8Main 4Tiffoney 12Rudden 9Dodgson 23-5-2 in 17 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (17), 5-3-2 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Kilmarnock

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTDennis 35O'Hara 2Mayo 23Wright 10Armstrong 2Wright 15Deas 14Mayo 11Findlay 34Ndaba 11Deas 8Watson 7Armstrong 34Mayo 2Watson 1Watson 15Lyons 15Donnelly 14Polworth 17Magennis 5McKenzie 3Kennedy 25Ndaba 8Deas 2Watkins 32Kennedy 4Vassell 32Donnelly 2Polworth 24-4-2 in 15 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (15), 3-5-2 (13), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 March 2024Dundee FC2–2KilmarnockxG 1.53–1.56
30 December 2023Kilmarnock2–2Dundee FCxG 0.69–0.53
23 September 2023Dundee FC2–2KilmarnockxG 1.49–3.56

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Kilmarnock won 0, and 3 were drawn. Goals 6–6 and xG 1.18–1.94 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson10899300.480.02
Rudden9821210.330.04
McCowan363,174950.180.14
Bakayoko332,780650.240.06

Kilmarnock

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Armstrong373,0506100.240.28
Vassell322,593930.270.06
Kennedy302,757330.160.16
Watkins332,725920.240.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.