Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 2–2 Dundee FC

Sunday 4 August 2024, 13:30 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 1 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 12,616

Dundee United Trapanovski 13', Thomson 23'

Dundee FC Houlden 18', McCowan 79' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Goals22
xG2.212.42
Non-penalty xG2.211.63
Expected Points1.201.53

Dundee United 31%Draw 27%Dundee FC 42%

Most likely score 2–2, 13%. Final score 2–2, 13%.

Dundee FC goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+2%2%4%8%7%2%5%4%4%9%9%3%2%4%3%1%13%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTFotheringham on for Sevelj, 79'Odada on for Thomson and Moult on for Trapanovski, 86'Tiffoney on for Ingram, 64'Mulligan on for Cameron and Main on for Houlden, 73'Trapanovski 13'Thomson 23'Houlden 18'McCowan 79' (pen)Dundee FC 2.42Dundee United 2.2101230153045607590HTFotheringham on for Sevelj, 79'Odada on for Thomson and Moult on for Trapanovski, 86'Tiffoney on for Ingram, 64'Mulligan on for Cameron and Main on for Houlden, 73'Trapanovski 13'Thomson 23'Houlden 18'McCowan 79' (pen)2.422.21Dundee UnitedDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

2.21xG2.42
2.21Non-penalty xG1.63
3.34xG on target2.17
15Shots14
9Shots on target4
3Big chances2
25Touches in the opposition box26
37%Possession63%
245Passes418
58%Pass accuracy74%
36%Field tilt64%
28Final-third entries50
14Box entries11
18.3Passes per defensive action7.9
5Corners6
21Tackles20
8Interceptions4
26Clearances28
2Saves6
8Fouls6
0Offsides1

Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Trapanovski 57', 0.57 xGBabunski 12', 0.17 xGBabunski 31', 0.12 xGOdada 90+7', 0.12 xGTrapanovski 74', 0.11 xGThomson 37', 0.06 xGTrapanovski 45+3', 0.05 xGBabunski 45+1', 0.03 xGThomson 59', 0.03 xGSevelj 4', 0.02 xGTrapanovski 7', 0.02 xGGraham 42', 0.02 xGvan der Sande 66', 0.02 xGThomson 23', 0.57 xG, goalTrapanovski 13', 0.33 xG, goal25%0.56 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.56 xG, 1 goal43%0.94 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.94 xG, 1 goal3%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals27%0.60 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.60 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Main 90+4', 0.48 xGCameron 60', 0.10 xGMurray 18', 0.07 xGLarkeche 40', 0.06 xGTiffoney 72', 0.05 xGMcGhee 72', 0.04 xGSylla 50', 0.03 xGMcCowan 85', 0.03 xGCameron 40', 0.02 xGMcCowan 70', 0.02 xGMcGhee 81', 0.02 xGHoulden 30', 0.01 xGHoulden 18', 0.71 xG, goal44%0.71 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.71 xG, 1 goal42%0.69 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals9%0.15 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals4%0.06 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

1.42 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.00 8 shots, 1 goal
0.69 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.48 1 shot, 0 goals
0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.15 4 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
36 min (36%) · Dundee United 1.21, Dundee FC 0.53 xG
Dundee United ahead
64 min (64%) · Dundee United 1.00, Dundee FC 1.89 xG

Line-ups

16314514101129720WaltonGrahamGallagherHoltSeveljSibbaldBabunskiFerryThomsonTrapanovskivan der SandeYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal79'86'86'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Jim Goodwin1296252102817211523McCrackenPortalesMcGheeGrahamIngramCameronSyllaMcCowanLarkecheMurrayHouldenGoalGoal64'73'73'Dundee FC 3-5-2Tony Docherty

Dundee United substitutes

  • 79' Fotheringham for Sevelj
  • 86' Odada for Thomson
  • 86' Moult for Trapanovski

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 64' Tiffoney for Ingram
  • 73' Mulligan for Cameron
  • 73' Main for Houlden

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0100.0542
Graham CB900.020.0710.2137
Gallagher CB900.000.0010.01110
HoltCB900.000.0000.08410
SeveljRWB7910.020.1810.2134
SibbaldCM900.000.0110.0342
BabunskiCM900.310.0610.0736
FerryLWB900.000.1410.1376
ThomsonAM8610.650.1530.1944
TrapanovskiAM8611.080.0410.0732
van der SandeST9010.020.0320.1422
FotheringhamMF110.000.000−0.0100
OdadaMF40.120.0000.0003
MoultFW40.000.1110.0710

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0800.1552
PortalesCB900.000.0700.1254
McGheeCB900.060.0110.0663
GrahamCB900.000.0200.0665
IngramRWB640.000.0100.0452
CameronCM730.120.0710.0011
SyllaCM900.030.0310.04214
McCowanCM9010.840.1520.1296
LarkecheLWB900.060.1420.121010
MurrayST900.070.2410.2234
HouldenST7310.720.010−0.0501
TiffoneyFW260.050.0100.0840
MulliganMF170.000.0000.0100
MainFW170.480.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Walton and Holt: 3 passesGallagher and Graham: 3 passesGallagher and Ferry: 3 passesGallagher and Sibbald: 3 passesGraham and Thomson: 3 passesFerry and van der Sande: 3 passesBabunski and van der Sande: 3 passesSibbald and van der Sande: 3 passesGallagher and Babunski: 4 passesGraham and Sevelj: 4 passesGraham and Babunski: 4 passesSevelj and Sibbald: 4 passesFerry and Sibbald: 4 passesTrapanovski and van der Sande: 4 passesThomson and van der Sande: 4 passesWalton and Graham: 5 passesSevelj and van der Sande: 5 passesHolt and van der Sande: 6 passesWalton and van der Sande: 8 passesHolt and Ferry: 8 passesFerry and Trapanovski: 10 passesSevelj and Thomson: 13 passesWalton: 11 completed passesGallagher: 10 completed passesHolt: 14 completed passesGraham: 15 completed passesSevelj: 18 completed passesFerry: 18 completed passesBabunski: 8 completed passesSibbald: 15 completed passesTrapanovski: 8 completed passesThomson: 9 completed passesvan der Sande: 13 completed passes13146511101472920WaltonGallagherHoltGrahamSeveljFerryBabunskiSibbaldTrapanovskiThomsonvan der SandeStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee FC

McCracken and Graham: 5 passesGraham and Portales: 5 passesGraham and Cameron: 5 passesGraham and Murray: 6 passesLarkeche and Cameron: 6 passesCameron and McCowan: 6 passesGraham and McCowan: 7 passesIngram and Cameron: 7 passesSylla and McCowan: 8 passesMcGhee and McCowan: 10 passesMcCowan and Murray: 11 passesMcCracken and McGhee: 12 passesMcGhee and Cameron: 12 passesSylla and Cameron: 12 passesLarkeche and McCowan: 15 passesGraham and Larkeche: 17 passesMcGhee and Portales: 26 passesMcGhee and Graham: 46 passesMcCracken: 11 completed passesMcGhee: 62 completed passesGraham: 52 completed passesPortales: 27 completed passesIngram: 10 completed passesLarkeche: 25 completed passesSylla: 18 completed passesCameron: 29 completed passesMcCowan: 34 completed passesHoulden: 8 completed passesMurray: 11 completed passes1625292212810172315McCrackenMcGheeGrahamPortalesIngramLarkecheSyllaCameronMcCowanHouldenMurrayStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
SeveljThomson10
Waltonvan der Sande9
FerryTrapanovski6
HoltFerry6
TrapanovskiFerry4

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
GrahamMcGhee24
McGheeGraham22
PortalesMcGhee17
McGheePortales12
McCowanLarkeche11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

385886418114535442211121118LessMore

Dundee FC

428233555233534482441211511LessMore

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.

Threat

Dundee United

0.020.060.020.020.030.010.010.010.040.010.030.030.030.010.030.070.130.020.050.100.010.090.40LessMore

Dundee FC

0.060.010.100.020.030.010.020.020.030.030.030.060.070.10−0.02−0.010.11−0.01−0.010.30LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackDundee United1.04 → 1.07Dundee FC1.08 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.55 → 1.59Dundee FC1.56 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six20%19%−1
11th17%17%0
Bottom23%24%+1
Dundee FC
Top six19%18%−1
11th17%17%0
Bottom15%15%0

From the forecast before the match (4 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Expected goals1.441.14
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.581.15
Clean sheet32%24%

Dundee United 43%Draw 27%Dundee FC 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 4 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawDundee FC win
Dundee United
Top six20%26%19%14%
11th17%15%17%18%
Bottom23%16%24%32%
Dundee FC
Top six19%13%18%29%
11th17%19%17%13%
Bottom15%19%15%8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L2–328 MayMotherwell (A)xG 2.81–2.15
  2. L0–324 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 0.99–1.90
  3. L1–220 MayLivingston (A)xG 1.17–1.06
  4. L1–313 MayRoss County (H)xG 2.19–3.37
  5. L0–16 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.12
  6. W2–022 AprLivingston (H)xG 0.72–0.51

Dundee FC

  1. D1–118 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.69–1.11
  2. L2–514 MayRangers (A)xG 1.19–3.29
  3. L0–311 MayHearts (A)xG 1.03–2.41
  4. L1–34 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 0.79–1.43
  5. L1–228 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.10–1.53
  6. D0–017 AprRangers (H)xG 0.51–1.06

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackDundee United1.04, 10thDundee FC1.08, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.55, 9thDundee FC1.56, 11th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 April 2022Dundee United2–2Dundee FCxG 3.08–1.66
1 February 2022Dundee FC0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.87–0.69
19 September 2021Dundee United1–0Dundee FCxG 0.72–0.84

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Dundee FC won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 3–2 and xG 1.50–1.12 per game.