Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 1–1 Ross County

Wednesday 15 May 2024, 19:45 · McDiarmid Park · Round 37 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 4,202

St. Johnstone Sidibeh 90'

Ross County Dhanda 28'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Goals11
xG0.580.47
Expected Points1.371.15

St. Johnstone 30%Draw 48%Ross County 22%

Most likely score 0–0, 36%. Final score 1–1, 12%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+16%3%20%12%2%5%3%36%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTKimpioka on for May, 55'Jaiyesimi on for Phillips, 80'Loturi on for Dhanda, 69'Reid on for Harmon, 70'Sims on for Murray, 77'Sidibeh 90'Dhanda 28'St. Johnstone 0.58Ross County 0.4700.250.50.750153045607590HTKimpioka on for May, 55'Jaiyesimi on for Phillips, 80'Loturi on for Dhanda, 69'Reid on for Harmon, 70'Sims on for Murray, 77'Sidibeh 90'Dhanda 28'0.580.47St. JohnstoneRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.58 −0.36xG0.47 −0.49
0.34 −0.56xG on target0.56 −0.39
9 −0.8Shots10 −0.2
3 +0.1Shots on target5 +1.7
0 −1.4Big chances1 −0.6
13 −3Touches in the opposition box11 −7
52% +8Possession48% +4
362 +32Passes331 −7
67% +2Pass accuracy66% +1
44% +4Field tilt56% +13
27 0Final-third entries40 +8
9 +2.0Box entries9 −0.1
12.9 −3Passes per defensive action10.2 −5
4 +0.2Corners4 −0.6
20 +2Tackles19 +5
12 +2.5Interceptions12 +2.6
18 −8Clearances23 −4
4 +0.3Saves2 −2.0
6 −6Fouls11 −1
3 +1.6Offsides5 +3.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Phillips 20', 0.11 xGKimpioka 65', 0.10 xGClark 72', 0.09 xGMay 16', 0.07 xGSidibeh 41', 0.04 xGSidibeh 67', 0.04 xGCarey 26', 0.02 xGCarey 5', 0.01 xGSidibeh 90', 0.10 xG, goal16%0.09 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals17%0.10 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 1 goal38%0.22 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals24%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Murray 6', 0.10 xGMurray 50', 0.08 xGHarmon 8', 0.07 xGHarmon 30', 0.05 xGKing 60', 0.03 xGDhanda 43', 0.02 xGRandall 60', 0.02 xGWhite 87', 0.02 xGNightingale 51', 0.01 xGDhanda 28', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals34%0.16 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 1 goal26%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals36%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.47 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.36 7 shots, 1 goal
0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.11 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
30 min (33%) · St. Johnstone 0.21, Ross County 0.25 xG
Ross County ahead
62 min (67%) · St. Johnstone 0.37, Ross County 0.22 xG

Line-ups

11456333481110716MitovWrightMcGowanGordonKeltjensPhillipsMacPhersonCareyClarkMaySidibehYellow cardGoal80'55'St. Johnstone 4-2-3-1Craig Levein1355422421816101526LaidlawNightingaleBaldwinLeakEfeteRandallKingHarmonDhandaMurrayWhiteYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card70'69'77'Ross County 3-4-1-2Don Cowie

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 55' Kimpioka for May
  • 80' Jaiyesimi for Phillips

Ross County substitutes

  • 69' Loturi for Dhanda
  • 70' Reid for Harmon · yellow card 86'
  • 77' Sims for Murray

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0231
WrightRB900.000.0400.15136
McGowan CB900.000.0000.0444
GordonCB900.000.0000.03214
KeltjensLB900.000.0400.10311
PhillipsDM800.110.0100.0105
MacPhersonDM900.000.0420.0780
CareyRW9010.030.3430.2464
ClarkAM900.090.161−0.1314
MayLW550.070.0000.0133
SidibehST9010.170.021−0.0102
KimpiokaFW350.100.010−0.0100
JaiyesimiFW100.000.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0530
Nightingale CB900.010.0110.0875
BaldwinCB900.000.0200.0679
LeakCB900.000.0000.04312
EfeteRWB900.000.0200.0353
RandallCM900.020.0100.0128
KingCM900.030.0200.0534
Harmon LWB700.120.0100.0563
DhandaAM6910.100.1010.1863
MurrayST770.180.0710.1043
White ST9010.020.041−0.0513
LoturiMF210.000.0200.0411
Reid MF200.000.0110.0232
SimsFW130.000.0200.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Wright and McGowan: 3 passesMcGowan and MacPherson: 3 passesKeltjens and Carey: 3 passesPhillips and MacPherson: 3 passesPhillips and Carey: 3 passesPhillips and Clark: 3 passesCarey and Sidibeh: 3 passesMcGowan and Keltjens: 4 passesKeltjens and May: 4 passesKeltjens and Sidibeh: 4 passesMacPherson and Clark: 4 passesMacPherson and Sidibeh: 4 passesGordon and Keltjens: 5 passesCarey and Clark: 5 passesWright and Clark: 6 passesKeltjens and Phillips: 6 passesKeltjens and MacPherson: 8 passesKeltjens and Clark: 8 passesMacPherson and Carey: 8 passesWright and Phillips: 9 passesWright and MacPherson: 9 passesWright and Carey: 12 passesMitov: 3 completed passesWright: 23 completed passesMcGowan: 12 completed passesGordon: 8 completed passesKeltjens: 24 completed passesPhillips: 14 completed passesMacPherson: 23 completed passesCarey: 18 completed passesClark: 13 completed passesMay: 4 completed passesSidibeh: 5 completed passes11456333481110716MitovWrightMcGowanGordonKeltjensPhillipsMacPhersonCareyClarkMaySidibehStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Nightingale: 3 passesRandall and Harmon: 3 passesRandall and White: 3 passesHarmon and White: 3 passesBaldwin and White: 4 passesEfete and White: 4 passesKing and Murray: 4 passesHarmon and Murray: 4 passesLaidlaw and White: 5 passesNightingale and Efete: 5 passesNightingale and Dhanda: 5 passesBaldwin and King: 5 passesLeak and Randall: 5 passesRandall and King: 5 passesWhite and Murray: 5 passesNightingale and King: 6 passesNightingale and White: 6 passesEfete and Randall: 6 passesEfete and Murray: 6 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 6 passesKing and Harmon: 7 passesDhanda and White: 8 passesEfete and King: 10 passesKing and White: 10 passesKing and Dhanda: 13 passesLaidlaw: 10 completed passesNightingale: 16 completed passesBaldwin: 15 completed passesLeak: 9 completed passesEfete: 20 completed passesRandall: 14 completed passesKing: 30 completed passesHarmon: 17 completed passesDhanda: 17 completed passesWhite: 17 completed passesMurray: 10 completed passes1355422421816102615LaidlawNightingaleBaldwinLeakEfeteRandallKingHarmonDhandaWhiteMurrayStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
PhillipsWright11
KeltjensMacPherson10
MacPhersonWright9
WrightClark9
MacPhersonCarey8

Ross County

FromToPasses
KingDhanda8
LaidlawWhite6
EfeteRandall6
EfeteKing6
NightingaleWhite6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

6+0.49+1.66−3.28+1.011+4.54−3.39+3.18+0.28−1.08+2.08+3.41−2.64−1.15−1.55+0.92−1.20−2.02−0.71−3.420.01−0.60−1.13+1.83+0.71+0.40−0.11+0.62+1.60−0.97−8.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Ross County

7+2.97−1.57+1.76−1.36−0.812+2.97+2.13−2.11−2.68+3.111+4.57+2.76+2.02−0.38+4.66+0.93+0.50−1.610.01−0.74+1.80−1.10−0.60−0.71+0.60−0.81−6.810−6.40−5.82−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.020.050.020.040.040.050.020.020.020.050.10−0.02−0.110.16LessMore

Ross County

0.030.020.010.010.010.010.050.020.030.040.020.020.050.010.050.020.080.07−0.05−0.030.020.090.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackSt. Johnstone0.94 → 0.94Ross County1.00 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.57 → 1.56Ross County1.57 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th65%89%+24
Ross County
11th35%11%−24

From the forecast before the match (15 May 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Expected goals1.341.08
Win42%30%
Expected Points1.541.17
Clean sheet34%26%

St. Johnstone 42%Draw 29%Ross County 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+10%9%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawRoss County win
St. Johnstone
11th65%26%89%>99%
Ross County
11th35%74%11%–

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–211 MayLivingston (A)xG 2.62–1.30
  2. L0–14 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.99–3.34
  3. L1–327 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.82–1.76
  4. L0–213 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 1.22–3.51
  5. W2–16 AprHibernian (A)xG 0.62–0.95
  6. L1–230 MarDundee FC (H)xG 1.28–1.03

Ross County

  1. L1–511 MayMotherwell (H)xG 1.21–1.65
  2. W2–14 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.83–2.55
  3. L0–227 AprLivingston (A)xG 0.99–1.46
  4. W3–214 AprRangers (H)xG 2.91–3.57
  5. L0–16 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 0.47–0.98
  6. L1–230 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.82–0.71

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Position11th10th
Played3636
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠10–⁠198–⁠9–⁠19
Points31 (0.86 per game)33 (0.92 per game)
Expected Points per game0.920.98
Goals26–⁠5235–⁠64
xG per game0.94–⁠1.720.96–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.01–⁠1.521.39, 1.12–⁠1.44
Away: points, xG per game0.72, 0.87–⁠1.920.44, 0.81–⁠1.82
ManagerCraig Levein (26)Don Cowie (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackSt. Johnstone0.94, 11thRoss County1.00, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.57, 10thRoss County1.57, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMaySt. Johnstone attack: 0.94Ross County attack: 1.001.000.94Ross CountySt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMaySt. Johnstone defence: 1.57Ross County defence: 1.571.571.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+15%−16%+22%
Counter-attacks−61%+36%−22%+23%
Set pieces−5%+49%−40%+6%
Penalties−72%−1%−100%−1%
Headers−3%+34%−26%−23%
Left side−41%+14%−15%+25%
Centre−17%+25%−27%+21%
Right side−38%+39%−22%+6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−41%+6%Centre−17%+21%Right side−38%+25%Open play−34%+22%Counter-attacks−61%+23%Set pieces−5%+6%Headers−3%−23%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−15%+39%Centre−27%+25%Right side−22%+14%Open play−16%+15%Counter-attacks−22%+36%Set pieces−40%+49%Headers−26%+34%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.94xG0.96
1.72xG against1.63
44%Possession44%
9.8Shots10.2
14.8Shots against15.8
2.9Shots on target3.3
1.4Big chances1.6
15.6Touches in the opposition box18.4
330Passes338
65%Pass accuracy66%
3.8Corners4.6
39%Field tilt43%
27.3Final-third entries31.7
7.0Box entries9.1
16.3Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.861.32
Ahead160.931.95
Behind271.072.29

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.071.34
Ahead140.941.89
Behind290.801.98

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.145–3
16–300.130.212–5
31–450.140.244–9
46–600.160.314–8
61–750.120.372–13
76–900.270.459–14

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.193–8
16–300.160.247–8
31–450.150.343–10
46–600.170.249–9
61–750.140.235–7
76–900.170.398–22

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 36McGowan 21M. Smith 4Costelloe 4Gordon 29McClelland 5Considine 24Robinson 9Keltjens 10Brown 8Olufunwa 6Phillips 16M. Smith 12Kucheriavyi 6Robinson 15Carey 8Sprangler 4Phillips 7Sprangler 6M. Smith 5M. Smith 8Carey 7Phillips 5Clark 11May 7Kimpioka 7Sidibeh 9Carey 8Jaiyesimi 83-4-1-2 in 7 of 36 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-5-2 (5), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 23Wickens 13Nightingale 16Ayina 10Efete 7Baldwin 28Leak 31Borthwick-Jacks… 2Borthwick-JacksonHarmon 1Brown 24Efete 6Randall 3Randall 20Dhanda 5Sheaf 4Loturi 15Allardice 10King 8Reid 13Purrington 11Harmon 8Dhanda 18King 4Sims 4White 23Murray 33Brophy 9Sims 43-4-1-2 in 16 of 36 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (16), 4-4-2 (6), 4-5-1 (4), 3-4-3 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 February 2024Ross County0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.58–0.54
11 November 2023St. Johnstone1–0Ross CountyxG 0.69–0.21
12 August 2023Ross County2–0St. JohnstonexG 2.60–0.49
24 May 2023Ross County3–3St. JohnstonexG 2.29–2.53
8 April 2023St. Johnstone0–2Ross CountyxG 0.86–0.91
17 December 2022Ross County1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.42–2.31

13 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 4, Ross County won 5, and 4 were drawn. Goals 11–15 and xG 1.17–0.87 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sidibeh9777300.560.04
Kane7788100.390.03
Clark141,217600.330.03
Jaiyesimi9711110.270.07

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sims10982300.360.05
Murray342,7881340.260.10
White232,069520.280.04
Brophy111,121320.220.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.