Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 2–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 11 May 2024, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 36 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 1,242

Livingston Montano 72', Shinnie 90+5'

St. Johnstone Sidibeh 8'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Goals21
xG1.302.62
Expected Points0.632.18

Livingston 14%Draw 19%St. Johnstone 66%

Most likely score 1–2, 10%. Final score 2–1, 5%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+1%4%6%6%3%2%2%7%6%3%1%1%5%6%4%2%2%3%3%1%10%9%8%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMackay on for Pittman and Bradley on for Yengi, 67'Shinnie on for Nottingham, 79'Obileye on for Montano, 86'M. Smith on for May, 75'Kimpioka on for Sidibeh, 79'Jaiyesimi on for Phillips and C. Smith on for MacPherson, 87'Montano 72'Shinnie 90+5'Sidibeh 8'St. Johnstone 2.62Livingston 1.3001230153045607590HTMackay on for Pittman and Bradley on for Yengi, 67'Shinnie on for Nottingham, 79'Obileye on for Montano, 86'M. Smith on for May, 75'Kimpioka on for Sidibeh, 79'Jaiyesimi on for Phillips and C. Smith on for MacPherson, 87'Montano 72'Shinnie 90+5'Sidibeh 8'2.621.30LivingstonSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

1.30 +0.37xG2.62 +1.73
3.36 +2.58xG on target2.22 +1.36
15 +5.9Shots25 +15.7
8 +5.6Shots on target7 +4.2
3 +1.7Big chances5 +3.7
21 +4Touches in the opposition box41 +26
58% +15Possession42% −2
398 +74Passes274 −58
72% +9Pass accuracy63% −2
46% +5Field tilt55% +16
32 +5Final-third entries30 +3
8 +0.8Box entries19 +12.3
7.9 −7Passes per defensive action13.5 −3
4 +0.7Corners8 +4.3
11 −5Tackles22 +4
17 +9.8Interceptions12 +2.6
23 −1Clearances25 −1
7 +4.1Saves6 +2.4
12 0Fouls9 −3
0 −1.7Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Montano 26', 0.38 xGDevlin 62', 0.16 xGSean Kelly 45+1', 0.12 xGNouble 28', 0.05 xGMontano 65', 0.05 xGObileye 89', 0.05 xGAnderson 30', 0.04 xGAnderson 68', 0.04 xGMontano 28', 0.03 xGYengi 31', 0.03 xGMackay 88', 0.03 xGStephen Kelly 90', 0.03 xGStephen Kelly 14', 0.01 xGShinnie 90+5', 0.21 xG, goalMontano 72', 0.09 xG, goal36%0.47 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.47 xG, 1 goal34%0.44 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.44 xG, 1 goal10%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals20%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 5', 0.25 xGSidibeh 41', 0.20 xGClark 1', 0.18 xGMacPherson 61', 0.18 xGGordon 57', 0.14 xGGordon 19', 0.13 xGClark 55', 0.11 xGMay 8', 0.09 xGMay 47', 0.09 xGClark 90+4', 0.09 xGMcGowan 5', 0.08 xGSidibeh 9', 0.08 xGSidibeh 60', 0.08 xGMacPherson 12', 0.07 xGWright 23', 0.06 xGSidibeh 61', 0.06 xGMay 4', 0.04 xGMcGowan 64', 0.04 xGClark 71', 0.04 xGM. Smith 80', 0.03 xGMacPherson 36', 0.02 xGMay 67', 0.02 xGGordon 90+2', 0.02 xGCarey 19', 0.01 xGSidibeh 8', 0.52 xG, goal32%0.84 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.84 xG, 1 goal44%1.16 xGCentral box: 13 shots, 1.16 xG, 0 goals20%0.53 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.53 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.61 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.75 17 shots, 1 goal
0.69 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.86 8 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
31 min (32%) · Livingston 0.31, St. Johnstone 1.29 xG
Livingston ahead
1 min (1%) · Livingston 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
65 min (67%) · Livingston 0.99, St. Johnstone 1.33 xG

Line-ups

12152438121910339GeorgeNottinghamDevlinSean KellyMontanoPittmanBrandonNoubleStephen KellyYengiAndersonGoalYellow cardYellow card79'86'67'67'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale11456333481110716MitovWrightMcGowanGordonKeltjensPhillipsMacPhersonCareyClarkMaySidibehYellow cardGoal87'87'75'79'St. Johnstone 4-2-3-1Craig Levein

Livingston substitutes

  • 67' Bradley for Yengi · 1 assist
  • 67' Mackay for Pittman
  • 79' Shinnie for Nottingham · goal 90+5'
  • 86' Obileye for Montano

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 75' M. Smith for May
  • 79' Kimpioka for Sidibeh
  • 87' C. Smith for MacPherson
  • 87' Jaiyesimi for Phillips

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0102
NottinghamRB790.000.2020.17610
DevlinCB900.160.0100.0736
Sean KellyCB900.120.0210.0434
MontanoLB8610.550.0610.1059
PittmanDM670.000.0220.0113
Brandon DM900.000.0100.0776
Nouble RW900.050.0300.0651
Stephen KellyAM9010.030.0810.1345
YengiLW670.030.031−0.0524
AndersonST900.080.040−0.0320
BradleyMF2310.000.0910.0912
MackayFW230.030.000−0.0100
ShinnieFW1110.210.0110.0000
ObileyeMF40.050.0000.0002

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0331
WrightRB900.060.0510.11116
McGowanCB900.120.0200.03410
GordonCB900.290.3400.17412
KeltjensLB900.000.0120.04312
PhillipsDM870.000.1110.2546
MacPhersonDM870.270.1710.1341
CareyRW900.010.5460.54106
ClarkAM900.420.0820.0512
May LW7510.240.3530.0533
SidibehST7911.180.0940.2042
M. SmithMF150.030.000−0.0100
KimpiokaFW110.000.000−0.0100
C. SmithMF30.000.0000.0000
JaiyesimiFW30.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Sean Kelly and Pittman: 4 passesPittman and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesNouble and Yengi: 4 passesStephen Kelly and Yengi: 4 passesMontano and Yengi: 5 passesPittman and Anderson: 5 passesBrandon and Nouble: 5 passesGeorge and Sean Kelly: 6 passesDevlin and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesBrandon and Yengi: 6 passesSean Kelly and Montano: 7 passesMontano and Brandon: 7 passesDevlin and Brandon: 8 passesDevlin and Nouble: 8 passesSean Kelly and Brandon: 8 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 8 passesMontano and Stephen Kelly: 8 passesNottingham and Nouble: 9 passesBrandon and Stephen Kelly: 9 passesNottingham and Brandon: 10 passesNottingham and Stephen Kelly: 12 passesNottingham and Pittman: 13 passesGeorge and Devlin: 16 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 16 passesNottingham and Devlin: 22 passesGeorge: 20 completed passesNottingham: 41 completed passesDevlin: 43 completed passesSean Kelly: 25 completed passesMontano: 18 completed passesPittman: 17 completed passesBrandon: 26 completed passesNouble: 14 completed passesStephen Kelly: 29 completed passesYengi: 10 completed passesAnderson: 6 completed passes12152438121910339GeorgeNottinghamDevlinSean KellyMontanoPittmanBrandonNoubleStephen KellyYengiAndersonStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Wright and McGowan: 3 passesWright and Clark: 3 passesGordon and Carey: 3 passesPhillips and Clark: 3 passesKeltjens and Carey: 4 passesKeltjens and May: 4 passesPhillips and May: 4 passesMacPherson and Clark: 4 passesClark and May: 4 passesWright and Phillips: 5 passesGordon and MacPherson: 5 passesMacPherson and Sidibeh: 5 passesCarey and Clark: 5 passesCarey and Sidibeh: 5 passesMay and Sidibeh: 5 passesWright and Carey: 6 passesKeltjens and MacPherson: 6 passesPhillips and MacPherson: 6 passesPhillips and Carey: 6 passesMacPherson and Carey: 7 passesWright and Sidibeh: 8 passesMacPherson and May: 10 passesMitov: 4 completed passesWright: 15 completed passesMcGowan: 9 completed passesGordon: 10 completed passesKeltjens: 14 completed passesPhillips: 17 completed passesMacPherson: 23 completed passesCarey: 20 completed passesClark: 12 completed passesMay: 11 completed passesSidibeh: 10 completed passes11456333481110716MitovWrightMcGowanGordonKeltjensPhillipsMacPhersonCareyClarkMaySidibehStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
NottinghamDevlin15
GeorgeDevlin10
DevlinNottingham10
Sean KellyDevlin9
DevlinSean Kelly9

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
CareyClark6
WrightSidibeh6
WrightCarey5
MacPhersonMay5
PhillipsWright5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

2−3.26−1.113−2.911+4.42−3.15−1.88+0.85+0.58+0.93−2.96+0.810+6.59+3.26+0.38+3.73−0.94+2.12−0.92−2.91−2.02+0.10−0.91−1.00−2.90−0.90−0.30−0.70−0.40−0.71−5.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

St. Johnstone

2−3.75−2.517+1.52−7.46−1.02−4.63−4.46+0.14−3.919+10.39+3.12−2.75+1.54−1.18+1.67+3.04+0.83+1.12−0.77+2.74+2.12+0.40−1.11−0.31−1.40−0.70−0.11+0.61+0.70−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.040.020.010.010.020.030.010.040.040.050.030.020.030.010.060.040.03−0.010.010.050.010.08LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.010.040.010.040.010.050.020.040.010.040.010.030.050.050.050.160.12−0.010.070.340.41LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackLivingston0.92 → 0.93St. Johnstone0.90 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.57 → 1.59St. Johnstone1.59 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th72%83%+11
Ross County
11th28%17%−11

From the forecast before the match (11 May 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.350.98
Win45%27%
Expected Points1.621.09
Clean sheet37%26%

Livingston 45%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Johnstone
11th72%83%75%51%
Ross County
11th28%17%25%49%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–44 MayMotherwell (A)xG 0.66–2.63
  2. W2–027 AprRoss County (H)xG 1.46–0.99
  3. L2–413 AprHearts (A)xG 0.97–3.81
  4. D0–06 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.76–0.92
  5. L0–331 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.14–2.11
  6. L0–316 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.93–2.56

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–14 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.99–3.34
  2. L1–327 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.82–1.76
  3. L0–213 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 1.22–3.51
  4. W2–16 AprHibernian (A)xG 0.62–0.95
  5. L1–230 MarDundee FC (H)xG 1.28–1.03
  6. L1–316 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.73–4.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Position12th11th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠9–⁠227–⁠10–⁠18
Points21 (0.60 per game)31 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game1.110.88
Goals25–⁠6325–⁠50
xG per game0.93–⁠1.460.89–⁠1.73
Home: points, xG per game0.88, 1.11–⁠1.251.00, 1.01–⁠1.52
Away: points, xG per game0.33, 0.77–⁠1.670.76, 0.76–⁠1.95
ManagerDavid Martindale (134)Craig Levein (25)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackLivingston0.92, 11thSt. Johnstone0.90, 12thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.57, 11thSt. Johnstone1.59, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayLivingston attack: 0.92St. Johnstone attack: 0.900.920.90St. JohnstoneLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayLivingston defence: 1.57St. Johnstone defence: 1.591.591.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−49%+8%−37%+18%
Counter-attacks−29%+34%−60%+42%
Set pieces−17%−6%−9%+48%
Penalties+12%−2%−72%−2%
Headers−23%−10%−7%+36%
Left side−41%+15%−41%+16%
Centre−33%+1%−21%+29%
Right side−48%+7%−43%+41%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−41%+41%Centre−33%+29%Right side−48%+16%Open play−49%+18%Counter-attacks−29%+42%Set pieces−17%+48%Headers−23%+36%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side−41%+7%Centre−21%+1%Right side−43%+15%Open play−37%+8%Counter-attacks−60%+34%Set pieces−9%−6%Headers−7%−10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.93xG0.89
1.46xG against1.73
43%Possession44%
9.1Shots9.3
13.4Shots against14.8
2.4Shots on target2.8
1.3Big chances1.3
16.7Touches in the opposition box14.7
324Passes332
62%Pass accuracy65%
3.3Corners3.7
41%Field tilt39%
26.8Final-third entries27.2
7.2Box entries6.7
14.8Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.811.26
Ahead110.941.81
Behind331.111.64

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.801.32
Ahead140.812.02
Behind281.072.29

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.214–5
16–300.070.213–11
31–450.180.224–11
46–600.150.284–10
61–750.140.204–9
76–900.300.356–17

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.144–3
16–300.120.202–5
31–450.140.244–9
46–600.150.324–8
61–750.110.372–12
76–900.270.469–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTGeorge 29Hamilton 4McGovern 2Nottingham 11de Lucas 10Brandon 3Obileye 29Devlin 23Sean Kelly 8Parkes 3Brandon 17Nottingham 7Mackay 4Holt 31Penrice 7Carson 5Shinnie 12Pittman 5Stephen Kelly 4Penrice 15Sean Kelly 8Montano 3Pittman 16Stephen Kelly 9Mackay 6Nouble 11Anderson 7Shinnie 6Yengi 9Nouble 9Guthrie 93-4-2-1 in 8 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 35McGowan 20M. Smith 4Costelloe 4Gordon 28McClelland 5Considine 24Robinson 9Keltjens 10Brown 8Olufunwa 6Phillips 16M. Smith 12Kucheriavyi 6Robinson 15Carey 8Sprangler 4Phillips 6Sprangler 6M. Smith 5M. Smith 8Carey 7Phillips 5Clark 11Kimpioka 7Kane 7Carey 8Sidibeh 8Jaiyesimi 83-4-1-2 in 7 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 March 2024St. Johnstone1–1LivingstonxG 1.09–0.54
27 December 2023Livingston0–0St. JohnstonexG 0.93–0.25
30 September 2023St. Johnstone1–1LivingstonxG 0.62–0.98
28 May 2023St. Johnstone2–0LivingstonxG 2.46–0.99
15 April 2023Livingston2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.72–1.13
14 January 2023St. Johnstone2–4LivingstonxG 1.86–1.46

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 6, St. Johnstone won 4, and 5 were drawn. Goals 19–13 and xG 0.94–1.07 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Yengi9846320.330.10
Anderson151,740600.290.06
Sean Kelly181,588400.200.09
Bradley8612000.180.10

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sidibeh8698200.470.03
Kane7788100.390.03
Clark131,127600.330.02
Jaiyesimi9708110.270.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.