Matches › 2022/23

Hibernian 0–4 Celtic

Wednesday 28 December 2022, 20:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 19 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 19,730

Celtic Mooy 28', 58' (pen), Maeda 36', Furuhashi 64'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Goals	0	4
xG	0.55	2.61
Non-penalty xG	0.55	1.82
Expected Points	0.20	2.69

Hibernian 3%Draw 11%Celtic 86%

Most likely score 0–2, 16%. Final score 0–4, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianCeltic

0.55 −0.73xG2.61 +0.11

0.55Non-penalty xG1.82

0.12 −0.95xG on target3.04 +0.41

6 −11Shots20 0

1 −4.2Shots on target7 −0.8

1 −0.4Big chances5 +1.6

17 −8Touches in the opposition box53 +11

30% −28Possession70% −1

268 −153Passes637 −1

63% −15Pass accuracy85% −2

26% −39Field tilt74% −7

25 −24Final-third entries69 −13

10 −4Box entries31 +6

18.4 +7.6Passes per defensive action9.8 0.0

5 −1.7Corners13 +5.1

22 +7Tackles12 −1

19 +11.8Interceptions12 +4.9

21 +3Clearances20 +6

3 +1.1Saves1 −0.7

9 −4Fouls7 −4

1 −0.9Offsides0 −2.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianCeltic

0.43 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.58 16 shots, 3 goals

0.12 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.24 3 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–20–4

Level: 28 min (30%) · Hibernian 0.07, Celtic 0.63 xG
Celtic ahead: 65 min (70%) · Hibernian 0.48, Celtic 1.98 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

65' Kenneh for Hanlon
66' McKirdy for Nisbet
67' McGeady for Magennis
80' Henderson for Campbell

Celtic substitutes

62' Forrest for Abada
68' Bernabei for Taylor
68' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi
84' Jota for Maeda
84' Vata for O'Riley

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Cadden	RB	90	0.00	0.01	1	0.01	2	8
Bushiri	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	9
Hanlon	CB	65	0.12	0.00	0	0.02	1	4
Stevenson	LB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	5	6
Porteous	DM	90	0.00	0.02	1	0.09	6	11
Newell	DM	90	0.06	0.19	1	0.19	1	6
Magennis	RW	67	0.00	0.00	0	0.05	1	5
Campbell	AM	80	0.05	0.03	0	0.02	3	6
Youan	LW	90	0.03	0.04	0	0.07	8	6
Nisbet	ST	66	0.29	0.01	0	−0.10	1	4
Kenneh	MF	25	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
McKirdy	FW	24	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
McGeady	MF	23	0.00	0.00	1	−0.07	1	0
Henderson	MF	10	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Hatate	RB	90		1	0.05	0.11	2	0.11	6	6
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.09	1	0.20	8	6
Starfelt	CB	90		1	0.00	0.03	1	0.19	9	12
Taylor	LB	68			0.00	0.41	0	0.23	5	2
O'Riley	CM	84			0.16	0.14	2	0.14	6	2
McGregor	CM	90			0.05	0.06	2	0.12	8	7
Mooy	CM	90	2		1.02	0.19	1	0.01	3	4
Abada	RW	62			0.08	0.07	0	0.11	4	1
Furuhashi	ST	68	1		0.22	0.02	0	0.06	0	2
Maeda	LW	84	1		0.63	0.45	2	0.28	14	4
Forrest	FW	28			0.29	0.14	2	0.01	0	0
Bernabei	DF	22			0.03	0.03	2	0.07	6	0
Giakoumakis	FW	22			0.00	0.17	2	0.07	0	0
Jota	FW	6			0.06	0.06	0	0.09	3	0
Vata	FW	6			0.02	0.02	0	0.05	4	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Stevenson	Youan	11
Youan	Stevenson	10
Stevenson	Newell	7
Marshall	Youan	6
Bushiri	Marshall	6

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	26
Carter-Vickers	Hatate	21
Hatate	Carter-Vickers	21
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	20
Starfelt	Taylor	15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 18 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 18 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	58%	53%	−5
11th	1%	1%	0
Celtic
Title	92%	94%	+2
Rangers
Title	8%	6%	−2
Livingston
Top six	59%	61%	+2
11th	2%	2%	0

From the forecast before the match (28 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Expected goals	0.75	1.96
Win	13%	65%
Expected Points	0.61	2.18
Clean sheet	14%	47%

Hibernian 13%Draw 22%Celtic 65%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

From the forecast as it stood on 28 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Celtic win
Hibernian
Top six	58%	73%	63%	53%
11th	1%	<1%	1%	1%
Celtic
Title	92%	86%	89%	94%
Rangers
Title	8%	14%	11%	6%
Livingston
Top six	59%	54%	56%	61%
11th	2%	2%	2%	2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Position	8th	1st
Played	18	18
Won, drawn, lost	7–⁠2–⁠9	17–⁠0–⁠1
Points	23 (1.28 per game)	51 (2.83 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.48	2.45
Goals	24–⁠26	57–⁠15
xG per game	1.28–⁠1.12	2.50–⁠0.64
Home: points, xG per game	1.89, 1.46–⁠0.93	3.00, 2.49–⁠0.59
Away: points, xG per game	0.67, 1.09–⁠1.32	2.67, 2.50–⁠0.69
Manager	Lee Johnson (18)	Ange Postecoglou (56)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−2%	−31%	+134%	−62%
Counter-attacks	+15%	+107%	+144%	−99%
Set pieces	+22%	−9%	+46%	−46%
Penalties	−47%	+33%	−73%	+6%
Headers	+11%	−31%	+75%	−51%
Left side	+28%	−29%	+52%	−52%
Centre	−22%	−14%	+166%	−57%
Right side	+20%	−24%	+94%	−71%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+28%−71%Centre−22%−57%Right side+20%−52%Open play−2%−62%Counter-attacks+15%−99%Set pieces+22%−46%Headers+11%−51%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+52%−24%Centre+166%−14%Right side+94%−29%Open play+134%−31%Counter-attacks+144%+107%Set pieces+46%−9%Headers+75%−31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianCeltic

1.28xG2.50

1.12xG against0.64

58%Possession71%

17.3Shots19.8

9.8Shots against6.5

5.2Shots on target7.8

1.4Big chances3.4

24.8Touches in the opposition box42.2

421Passes638

78%Pass accuracy87%

6.7Corners7.9

64%Field tilt81%

49.5Final-third entries81.7

14.2Box entries25.3

10.8Passes per defensive action9.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	1.10	1.19
Ahead	20	1.37	1.23
Behind	33	1.41	0.98

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	29	2.61	0.47
Ahead	57	2.43	0.71
Behind	4	2.63	0.97

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.09	2–6
16–30	0.09	0.14	1–3
31–45	0.27	0.17	6–3
46–60	0.28	0.24	5–5
61–75	0.22	0.16	6–4
76–90	0.25	0.32	4–5

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.43	0.10	12–1
16–30	0.26	0.07	4–0
31–45	0.46	0.13	11–4
46–60	0.40	0.14	9–5
61–75	0.27	0.12	5–2
76–90	0.68	0.07	16–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (16), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
15 October 2022	Celtic	6–1	Hibernian	xG 2.74–0.44
27 February 2022	Hibernian	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.13–0.94
17 January 2022	Celtic	2–0	Hibernian	xG 2.94–0.57
27 October 2021	Hibernian	1–3	Celtic	xG 1.50–2.86
15 May 2021	Hibernian	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.35–2.10
11 January 2021	Celtic	1–1	Hibernian	xG 0.97–1.83

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 0, Celtic won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 5–17 and xG 0.87–2.05 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Kukharevych	10	744	3	1	0.39	0.13
Boyle	10	936	5	1	0.33	0.13
Youan	12	1,052	1	5	0.23	0.15
Henderson	8	664	1	2	0.20	0.11

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	6	766	7	3	0.70	0.53
Furuhashi	14	1,010	13	1	0.98	0.04
Giakoumakis	4	623	6	1	0.86	0.07
Jota	12	1,033	5	6	0.32	0.44

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.