Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 2–1 Ross County

Saturday 30 March 2024, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 31 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 17,616

Aberdeen Miovski 5', McGrath 78'

Ross County Murray 26'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenRoss County
Goals21
xG0.710.82
Expected Points1.211.40

Aberdeen 27%Draw 39%Ross County 34%

Most likely score 0–0, 21%. Final score 2–1, 5%.

Ross County goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%2%15%5%1%5%5%2%1%21%18%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTPolvara on for Barron and Duk on for Hoilett, 67'Sokler on for Miovski, 90+2'White on for Sims, 46'Khela on for Dhanda, 75'Sheaf on for Randall, 76'Harmon on for Reid, 84'Brophy on for Loturi, 85'Miovski 5'McGrath 78'Murray 26'Ross County 0.82Aberdeen 0.7100.250.50.7510153045607590HTPolvara on for Barron and Duk on for Hoilett, 67'Sokler on for Miovski, 90+2'White on for Sims, 46'Khela on for Dhanda, 75'Sheaf on for Randall, 76'Harmon on for Reid, 84'Brophy on for Loturi, 85'Miovski 5'McGrath 78'Murray 26'0.820.71AberdeenRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenRoss County

0.71 −0.62xG0.82 −0.06
1.29 +0.09xG on target1.29 +0.41
10 −2.0Shots10 +0.3
4 0.0Shots on target3 −0.2
1 −0.6Big chances1 −0.5
18 −6Touches in the opposition box26 +9
50% +3Possession50% +6
401 +44Passes393 +55
70% +3Pass accuracy69% +4
57% +12Field tilt43% 0
33 +3Final-third entries43 +12
13 +2.3Box entries10 +1.2
13.8 −1Passes per defensive action13.7 −2
2 −2.6Corners8 +3.5
21 +4Tackles13 −1
5 −2.8Interceptions8 −1.6
23 −2Clearances22 −5
2 −1.4Saves2 −2.1
12 +1Fouls16 +4
1 −0.4Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

MacKenzie 58', 0.09 xGBarron 56', 0.07 xGDuk 70', 0.05 xGPolvara 85', 0.05 xGMiovski 43', 0.04 xGClarkson 75', 0.04 xGDuk 80', 0.04 xGHoilett 56', 0.03 xGMcGrath 78', 0.17 xG, goalMiovski 5', 0.13 xG, goal17%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 1 goal36%0.25 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.25 xG, 1 goal24%0.17 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals23%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Dhanda 64', 0.16 xGEfete 71', 0.11 xGWhite 48', 0.09 xGMurray 25', 0.08 xGReid 14', 0.04 xGLeak 50', 0.04 xGDhanda 62', 0.04 xGLoturi 81', 0.04 xGMurray 77', 0.03 xGMurray 26', 0.18 xG, goal28%0.23 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.23 xG, 1 goal54%0.45 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.45 xG, 0 goals10%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals5%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenRoss County

0.67 9 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.39 6 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.43 4 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
57 min (60%) · Aberdeen 0.61, Ross County 0.47 xG
Aberdeen ahead
38 min (40%) · Aberdeen 0.09, Ross County 0.34 xG

Line-ups

24265384710309RoosDevlinGartenmannJensenMacKenzieBarronShinnieMcGrathClarksonHoilettMiovskiYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal67'67'90+2'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Peter Leven40285422421443101115WickensAyinaBaldwinLeakEfeteRandallLoturiReidDhandaSimsMurrayYellow cardYellow cardGoal76'85'84'75'46'Ross County 3-4-1-2Don Cowie

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 67' Polvara for Barron
  • 67' Duk for Hoilett · 1 assist
  • 90+2' Sokler for Miovski

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' White for Sims · yellow card 53'
  • 75' Khela for Dhanda
  • 76' Sheaf for Randall · yellow card 90+5'
  • 84' Harmon for Reid
  • 85' Brophy for Loturi

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0321
DevlinRB900.000.1600.2654
Gartenmann CB900.000.0200.10611
JensenCB900.000.0100.0228
MacKenzieLB900.090.1110.20113
BarronDM670.070.0000.0232
ShinnieDM900.000.0200.03510
McGrathRW9010.170.1020.1848
ClarksonAM900.040.0810.0231
Hoilett LW6710.030.2120.0961
MiovskiST9010.170.000−0.0401
PolvaraMF230.050.011−0.1011
DukMF2310.090.3110.0730
SoklerFW00.000.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Wickens GK900.000.0500.0850
AyinaCB900.000.0300.09510
BaldwinCB900.000.0300.0769
LeakCB900.040.0300.0878
EfeteRWB900.110.1310.1050
RandallCM760.000.010−0.0123
LoturiCM850.040.0700.0842
Reid LWB840.040.0200.0434
DhandaAM7510.200.5420.1821
SimsST460.000.0100.0614
MurrayST9010.290.0210.0030
White FW440.090.0620.0002
KhelaMF150.000.0000.0202
Sheaf MF140.000.0000.0000
HarmonMF60.000.000−0.0101
BrophyFW50.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

MacKenzie and Shinnie: 4 passesShinnie and Clarkson: 4 passesBarron and Clarkson: 4 passesBarron and Hoilett: 4 passesMcGrath and Hoilett: 4 passesClarkson and Miovski: 4 passesDevlin and Hoilett: 5 passesGartenmann and McGrath: 5 passesMacKenzie and Clarkson: 5 passesBarron and McGrath: 5 passesDevlin and Clarkson: 6 passesGartenmann and Clarkson: 6 passesJensen and Barron: 6 passesMcGrath and Clarkson: 6 passesShinnie and Hoilett: 7 passesRoos and Jensen: 8 passesDevlin and Barron: 9 passesGartenmann and Barron: 9 passesDevlin and McGrath: 10 passesMacKenzie and Barron: 10 passesMacKenzie and Hoilett: 11 passesGartenmann and Jensen: 12 passesJensen and MacKenzie: 13 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 15 passesDevlin and Gartenmann: 17 passesRoos: 15 completed passesDevlin: 23 completed passesGartenmann: 38 completed passesJensen: 27 completed passesMacKenzie: 25 completed passesShinnie: 9 completed passesBarron: 27 completed passesMcGrath: 15 completed passesClarkson: 21 completed passesHoilett: 16 completed passesMiovski: 3 completed passes24265348710309RoosDevlinGartenmannJensenMacKenzieShinnieBarronMcGrathClarksonHoilettMiovskiStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Ross County

Wickens and Efete: 4 passesAyina and Loturi: 4 passesBaldwin and Leak: 4 passesBaldwin and Sims: 4 passesLeak and Dhanda: 4 passesReid and Dhanda: 4 passesDhanda and Murray: 4 passesAyina and Baldwin: 5 passesLeak and Loturi: 5 passesEfete and Murray: 5 passesLoturi and Reid: 5 passesAyina and Randall: 6 passesAyina and Dhanda: 6 passesEfete and Dhanda: 6 passesReid and Murray: 6 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 7 passesReid and Sims: 8 passesWickens and Ayina: 9 passesDhanda and Sims: 12 passesLeak and Reid: 16 passesWickens: 14 completed passesAyina: 20 completed passesBaldwin: 17 completed passesLeak: 15 completed passesEfete: 12 completed passesRandall: 9 completed passesLoturi: 16 completed passesReid: 28 completed passesDhanda: 26 completed passesSims: 16 completed passesMurray: 8 completed passes40285422421443101115WickensAyinaBaldwinLeakEfeteRandallLoturiReidDhandaSimsMurrayStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
GartenmannRoos11
GartenmannDevlin9
GartenmannJensen9
JensenMacKenzie9
DevlinGartenmann9

Ross County

FromToPasses
LeakReid10
ReidLeak10
DhandaSims8
ReidMurray7
BaldwinEfete6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

5+0.110+2.013−3.13−4.71−3.45−2.512+5.97+0.89+0.48−0.56+0.15−0.35+1.36+1.14−2.26+1.43−0.24+2.11−2.64−0.93+0.51−1.00−0.90−1.61−1.510.00−0.61+0.61+0.71+0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Ross County

3−1.210+2.612−4.25−0.35−2.64−3.18+0.46−3.44−1.03−2.13−0.68+3.110+3.71−3.52−2.04+1.82−1.68+2.92−0.72+0.32+1.02+0.33+0.80−1.21+0.50−0.70−0.50−0.83−6.20−6.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.020.010.030.010.020.060.020.010.040.020.040.040.020.030.04−0.020.050.07−0.02−0.110.080.040.210.16LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.030.030.010.02−0.020.030.040.050.050.030.030.070.070.070.01−0.02−0.05−0.030.010.170.13LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.15 → 1.15Ross County0.97 → 0.98Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44 → 1.43Ross County1.55 → 1.54

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
11th6%2%−4
Ross County
11th58%66%+8
Bottom3%4%+1
St. Johnstone
11th30%26%−4

From the forecast before the match (30 March 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenRoss County
Expected goals1.630.97
Win52%22%
Expected Points1.830.91
Clean sheet38%20%

Aberdeen 52%Draw 26%Ross County 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

Ross County goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%12%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 March 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawRoss County win
Aberdeen
11th6%2%7%14%
Ross County
11th58%66%57%40%
Bottom3%4%3%1%
St. Johnstone
11th30%26%31%41%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W1–016 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.17–1.32
  2. L0–113 MarDundee FC (A)xG 0.66–1.92
  3. L1–22 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.98–2.01
  4. L0–228 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.17–1.69
  5. L0–224 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.48–1.94
  6. D2–217 FebHibernian (H)xG 2.93–1.46

Ross County

  1. W2–116 MarHearts (H)xG 1.74–1.27
  2. D2–213 MarHibernian (H)xG 1.14–1.33
  3. L0–22 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.35–1.27
  4. D1–127 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.02–0.67
  5. W3–224 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.06–1.13
  6. L0–217 FebDundee FC (A)xG 0.73–0.94

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenRoss County
Position9th11th
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠9–⁠146–⁠9–⁠15
Points30 (1.00 per game)27 (0.90 per game)
Expected Points per game1.190.97
Goals33–⁠4828–⁠51
xG per game1.33–⁠1.660.88–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game1.07, 1.56–⁠1.541.27, 0.94–⁠1.21
Away: points, xG per game0.94, 1.12–⁠1.760.53, 0.82–⁠1.97
ManagerPeter Leven (2)Don Cowie (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.15, 7thRoss County0.97, 10thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44, 8thRoss County1.55, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAberdeen attack: 1.15Ross County attack: 0.971.150.97Ross CountyAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAberdeen defence: 1.44Ross County defence: 1.551.551.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−13%+21%−19%+27%
Counter-attacks+61%−9%−47%+54%
Set pieces+19%+10%−40%−3%
Penalties−34%+66%−100%−17%
Headers−2%+21%−25%−18%
Left side−3%+13%−15%+22%
Centre+15%+21%−33%+29%
Right side−20%+8%−26%+5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRoss County concededLeft side−3%+5%Centre+15%+29%Right side−20%+22%Open play−13%+27%Counter-attacks+61%+54%Set pieces+19%−3%Headers−2%−18%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdAberdeen concededLeft side−15%+8%Centre−33%+21%Right side−26%+13%Open play−19%+21%Counter-attacks−47%−9%Set pieces−40%+10%Headers−25%+21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenRoss County

1.33xG0.88
1.66xG against1.59
47%Possession44%
12.0Shots9.7
13.5Shots against15.8
4.0Shots on target3.2
1.6Big chances1.5
23.5Touches in the opposition box16.8
357Passes338
66%Pass accuracy65%
4.6Corners4.5
45%Field tilt43%
30.4Final-third entries31.2
10.7Box entries8.8
14.4Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.021.47
Ahead201.581.65
Behind251.682.01

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.021.23
Ahead150.891.68
Behind280.642.16

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.243–7
16–300.160.356–7
31–450.290.209–3
46–600.230.206–4
61–750.240.265–9
76–900.280.424–18

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.142–3
16–300.150.255–8
31–450.150.373–9
46–600.140.217–8
61–750.110.244–6
76–900.160.387–17

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 30Gartenmann 25Devlin 5Polvara 5Rubezic 16MacDonald 9Jensen 21MacKenzie 4Devlin 24Milne 3Morris 3Barron 15Clarkson 12McGrath 3Shinnie 28MacKenzie 14McGarry 6Hayes 5McGrath 10Clarkson 9Polvara 6Miovski 29Sokler 4Duk 13McGrath 7Hoilett 33-4-1-2 in 10 of 30 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (10), 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 19Wickens 11Nightingale 14Ayina 8Efete 5Baldwin 22Leak 25Borthwick-Jacks… 2Borthwick-JacksonHarmon 1Brown 24Efete 2Ayina 1Randall 16Sheaf 4Jenks 4Loturi 12Allardice 10King 5Purrington 11Reid 9Harmon 6Dhanda 15Loturi 4Sims 4White 22Murray 27Brophy 7Dhanda 33-4-1-2 in 13 of 30 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (13), 4-4-2 (6), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2024Ross County0–3AberdeenxG 0.14–1.72
24 September 2023Aberdeen4–0Ross CountyxG 3.33–0.85
14 April 2023Ross County0–1AberdeenxG 0.94–0.65
2 January 2023Aberdeen0–0Ross CountyxG 2.08–0.44
3 September 2022Ross County1–1AberdeenxG 1.36–0.83
9 April 2022Aberdeen0–1Ross CountyxG 1.06–0.92

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 5, Ross County won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 17–8 and xG 1.83–0.76 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski302,6041320.440.11
Sokler4539010.440.06
Duk141,355440.270.14
McGrath242,036710.270.12

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sims7743200.320.05
Murray282,248940.240.10
White221,846420.270.04
Brophy8860320.180.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.