Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Ross County 2–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 12 August 2023, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 4,157

Ross County Turner 40', Randall 51'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Goals20
xG2.600.49
Expected Points2.670.22

Ross County 85%Draw 11%St. Johnstone 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 17%. Final score 2–0, 17%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+3%1%10%6%1%9%2%8%2%9%5%1%4%2%2%17%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTTurner on for Dhanda, 34'Tillson on for Loturi and Smith on for Sims, 72'Brophy on for Murray, 76'Jephcott on for Olufunwa, 46'Steven on for Ballantyne and Kucheriavyi on for Smith, 59'Turner 40'Randall 51'Ross County 2.60St. Johnstone 0.4901230153045607590HTTurner on for Dhanda, 34'Tillson on for Loturi and Smith on for Sims, 72'Brophy on for Murray, 76'Jephcott on for Olufunwa, 46'Steven on for Ballantyne and Kucheriavyi on for Smith, 59'Turner 40'Randall 51'2.600.49Ross CountySt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

2.60 +1.47xG0.49 −0.45
2.52 +1.70xG on target0.72 +0.66
19 +12.0Shots12 +2.0
8 +6.0Shots on target3 0.0
7 +6.0Big chances0 −1.0
44% +19Possession56% +24
261 −3Passes338 +131
60% −7Pass accuracy66% +22
57% +31Field tilt43% +22
23 −2Final-third entries23 +6
17 +11.0Box entries9 +5.0
7.7 −21Passes per defensive action8.0 −4
6 −2.0Corners7 +1.0
14 0Tackles18 0
11 −5Interceptions6 −9
25 +6Clearances26 0
3 −5.0Saves6 −1.0
11 −3Fouls14 0
4 +1.0Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

White 57', 0.53 xGMurray 12', 0.36 xGLeak 25', 0.24 xGSims 27', 0.22 xGMurray 11', 0.18 xGTurner 84', 0.17 xGWhite 49', 0.10 xGSims 68', 0.10 xGWhite 17', 0.09 xGRandall 35', 0.08 xGMurray 32', 0.07 xGBrophy 87', 0.06 xGLeak 25', 0.05 xGLeak 90', 0.05 xGMurray 27', 0.04 xGBaldwin 90+1', 0.01 xGWhite 90+3', 0.01 xGTurner 40', 0.19 xG, goalRandall 51', 0.03 xG, goal16%0.42 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.42 xG, 0 goals64%1.66 xGCentral box: 12 shots, 1.66 xG, 0 goals16%0.41 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.41 xG, 1 goal5%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

May 56', 0.08 xGSmith 55', 0.07 xGPhillips 15', 0.06 xGSteven 61', 0.06 xGMay 14', 0.05 xGOlufunwa 15', 0.04 xGPhillips 79', 0.03 xGCarey 88', 0.03 xGMcClelland 56', 0.02 xGSteven 60', 0.02 xGGordon 39', 0.01 xGMcGowan 71', 0.01 xG17%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals19%0.09 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals17%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals42%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals6%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

1.94 11 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.34 8 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.62 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.14 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
40 min (43%) · Ross County 1.54, St. Johnstone 0.17 xG
Ross County ahead
53 min (57%) · Ross County 1.07, St. Johnstone 0.32 xG

Line-ups

145421610214112615LaidlawBrownBaldwinLeakHarmonDhandaRandallLoturiSimsWhiteMurrayYellow cardGoalYellow card34'72'72'76'Ross County 4-4-2Malky Mackay11718645342225117MitovOlufunwaMcClellandGordonConsidineMcGowanPhillipsSmithBallantyneCareyMayYellow card46'59'59'St. Johnstone 4-2-3-1Steven MacLean

Ross County substitutes

  • 34' Turner for Dhanda · goal 40'
  • 72' Smith for Sims
  • 72' Tillson for Loturi
  • 76' Brophy for Murray

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Jephcott for Olufunwa
  • 59' Kucheriavyi for Smith
  • 59' Steven for Ballantyne · yellow card 89'

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0660
BrownRB900.000.4240.4169
BaldwinCB900.010.0200.0784
Leak CB900.350.1010.0949
HarmonLB9010.000.0510.0253
DhandaRM340.000.2720.1820
RandallCM9010.110.0010.0137
LoturiCM720.000.0100.0334
SimsLM720.320.0200.1245
White ST900.730.0300.1335
MurrayST760.650.1810.0222
TurnerMF5610.370.0520.0423
SmithDF180.000.0000.0000
TillsonMF180.000.0120.0321
BrophyFW140.060.0000.0400

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0123
OlufunwaRB460.040.000−0.0311
McClellandCB900.020.0420.0956
Gordon CB900.010.0200.04210
ConsidineLB900.000.0200.07711
McGowanDM900.010.040−0.0328
PhillipsDM900.090.0100.0244
SmithRW590.070.0600.0731
BallantyneAM590.000.0000.0013
CareyLW900.030.1230.1773
MayST900.130.052−0.0922
JephcottFW440.000.0000.0010
KucheriavyiMF310.000.0010.0231
Steven FW310.080.0200.0232

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and White: 3 passesBrown and Baldwin: 3 passesBrown and Dhanda: 3 passesBrown and Murray: 3 passesBaldwin and Harmon: 3 passesBaldwin and Dhanda: 3 passesLeak and Harmon: 3 passesLeak and Dhanda: 3 passesHarmon and Sims: 3 passesDhanda and Murray: 3 passesLaidlaw and Baldwin: 4 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 4 passesHarmon and Murray: 5 passesLaidlaw: 10 completed passesBrown: 7 completed passesBaldwin: 9 completed passesLeak: 11 completed passesHarmon: 10 completed passesDhanda: 9 completed passesRandall: 3 completed passesLoturi: 4 completed passesSims: 2 completed passesWhite: 3 completed passesMurray: 4 completed passes145421610214112615LaidlawBrownBaldwinLeakHarmonDhandaRandallLoturiSimsWhiteMurrayStarters until 34' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Mitov and Carey: 3 passesMcClelland and Smith: 3 passesMcClelland and May: 3 passesConsidine and Ballantyne: 3 passesPhillips and Smith: 3 passesPhillips and May: 3 passesCarey and May: 3 passesMitov and McClelland: 4 passesOlufunwa and Smith: 4 passesGordon and McClelland: 4 passesGordon and Considine: 4 passesMcClelland and Phillips: 4 passesConsidine and Phillips: 4 passesOlufunwa and McClelland: 6 passesConsidine and Carey: 15 passesMitov: 10 completed passesOlufunwa: 12 completed passesGordon: 8 completed passesMcClelland: 15 completed passesConsidine: 21 completed passesMcGowan: 8 completed passesPhillips: 7 completed passesSmith: 6 completed passesBallantyne: 2 completed passesCarey: 13 completed passesMay: 6 completed passes11761845342225117MitovOlufunwaGordonMcClellandConsidineMcGowanPhillipsSmithBallantyneCareyMayStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawWhite9
BaldwinWhite9
HarmonSims7
HarmonMurray5
HarmonLeak5

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
ConsidineCarey12
McGowanCarey8
CareyConsidine7
ConsidinePhillips7
PhillipsCarey6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

8+5.08+1.010−3.07−1.06+2.08−2.04−2.05+1.011+6.010+5.07+1.09+7.01−4.01−3.02−4.09+4.02−3.02−4.06+4.09+6.040.02+2.01−1.03+2.03−1.05+4.000.010.00−1.01+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

St. Johnstone

0−8.010−1.017+12.011+7.06−4.05−1.02−3.010+5.06−3.06−2.08+2.04+2.06−3.08−2.07+4.02−1.00−4.040.07+1.020.000.02+1.00−3.03−1.01+1.000.00−1.000.00−3.04−10.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.040.020.030.010.020.070.010.010.020.010.010.020.04−0.010.050.020.150.040.010.01−0.010.030.65LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.020.010.020.010.040.010.010.050.020.030.020.040.030.01−0.01−0.010.03−0.06−0.070.080.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackRoss County1.06 → 1.10St. Johnstone1.03 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.55 → 1.50St. Johnstone1.41 → 1.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six16%22%+6
11th18%15%−3
Bottom18%13%−5
St. Johnstone
Top six21%15%−6
11th16%19%+3
Bottom14%19%+5

From the forecast before the match (12 August 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.371.08
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.571.15
Clean sheet34%25%

Ross County 43%Draw 28%St. Johnstone 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%9%5%2%7%2%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 August 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Ross County
Top six16%22%15%10%
11th18%15%19%21%
Bottom18%13%19%24%
St. Johnstone
Top six21%15%20%30%
11th16%19%16%12%
Bottom14%19%14%8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L2–45 AugCeltic (A)xG 1.13–4.15
  2. L1–328 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 1.25–1.46
  3. D3–324 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.29–2.53
  4. L0–120 MayMotherwell (A)xG 0.29–1.47
  5. W3–113 MayDundee United (A)xG 3.37–2.19
  6. W2–06 MayLivingston (H)xG 0.72–0.58

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–25 AugHearts (H)xG 0.94–1.77
  2. W2–028 MayLivingston (H)xG 2.46–0.99
  3. D3–324 MayRoss County (A)xG 2.53–2.29
  4. W1–020 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 1.62–1.48
  5. L0–213 MayMotherwell (H)xG 0.75–1.53
  6. W1–06 MayDundee United (H)xG 1.12–1.26

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Position11th12th
Played11
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠0–⁠10–⁠0–⁠1
Points0 (0.00 per game)0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.110.75
Goals2–⁠40–⁠2
xG per game1.13–⁠4.150.94–⁠1.77
Home: points, xG per game–⁠0.00, 0.94–⁠1.77
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 1.13–⁠4.15–⁠
ManagerMalky Mackay (77)Steven MacLean (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackRoss County1.06, 9thSt. Johnstone1.03, 10thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.55, 12thSt. Johnstone1.41, 8th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−25%+46%−34%+12%
Counter-attacks−39%+159%−62%−29%
Set piecesaverage−9%+5%−14%
Penalties−57%+76%−35%−46%
Headers+7%−15%−41%−15%
Left side−22%+32%−19%+9%
Centre−15%+50%−24%+11%
Right side−30%+23%−33%−9%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−22%−9%Centre−15%+11%Right side−30%+9%Open play−25%+12%Counter-attacks−39%−29%Set piecesaverage−14%Headers+7%−15%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−19%+23%Centre−24%+50%Right side−33%+32%Open play−34%+46%Counter-attacks−62%+159%Set pieces+5%−9%Headers−41%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

1.13xG0.94
4.15xG against1.77
25%Possession32%
7.0Shots10.0
18.0Shots against16.0
2.0Shots on target3.0
1.0Big chances1.0
264Passes207
67%Pass accuracy44%
8.0Corners6.0
26%Field tilt20%
25.0Final-third entries17.0
6.0Box entries4.0
28.4Passes per defensive action11.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level174.394.39
Ahead0––
Behind730.374.11

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level751.041.34
Ahead0––
Behind150.423.90

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.830.010–0
16–300.001.330–2
31–450.061.450–1
46–600.190.421–0
61–750.000.430–1
76–900.060.521–0

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.530.000–0
16–300.000.100–0
31–450.080.080–0
46–600.260.080–0
61–750.000.860–1
76–900.070.650–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 1Nightingale 1Baldwin 1Harmon 1Brown 1Randall 1Loturi 1Dhanda 1Sims 1White 1Murray 13-4-1-2 in every start

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 1Olufunwa 1McClelland 1Gordon 1Gallacher 1McGowan 1Phillips 1Wright 1Ballantyne 1Carey 1May 14-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 May 2023Ross County3–3St. JohnstonexG 2.29–2.53
8 April 2023St. Johnstone0–2Ross CountyxG 0.86–0.91
17 December 2022Ross County1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.42–2.31
17 September 2022St. Johnstone0–0Ross CountyxG 0.82–0.39
26 February 2022Ross County3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.28–0.57
22 December 2021St. Johnstone1–2Ross CountyxG 0.32–2.15

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 4, St. Johnstone won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 13–9 and xG 0.79–1.34 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sims11863000.270.14
Murray6699210.270.12
White342,9691220.310.06
Dhanda242,103570.110.16

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May312,698960.230.11
Carey252,135320.200.13
Wright383,285710.160.06
Gordon302,727210.060.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.