Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Ross County 0–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 3 February 2024, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 24 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 3,086

St. Johnstone Kimpioka 34'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Goals01
xG0.580.54
Expected Points1.301.23

Ross County 28%Draw 47%St. Johnstone 25%

Most likely score 0–0, 33%. Final score 0–1, 18%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+18%4%18%12%3%5%3%33%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTBrophy on for White, 67'Efete on for Brown, 78'Reid on for Harmon and Khela on for Borthwick-Jackson, 79'Olufunwa on for Keltjens, 46'Clark on for Franczak and Sidibeh on for Kimpioka, 59'K. Smith on for Gallacher, 90+6'Kimpioka 34'Ross County 0.58St. Johnstone 0.5400.250.50.750153045607590HTBrophy on for White, 67'Efete on for Brown, 78'Reid on for Harmon and Khela on for Borthwick-Jackson, 79'Olufunwa on for Keltjens, 46'Clark on for Franczak and Sidibeh on for Kimpioka, 59'K. Smith on for Gallacher, 90+6'Kimpioka 34'0.580.54Ross CountySt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.58 −0.29xG0.54 −0.34
0.82 −0.02xG on target1.02 +0.21
12 +2.2Shots8 −1.4
5 +1.7Shots on target2 −0.8
0 −1.5Big chances2 +0.8
22 +5Touches in the opposition box9 −7
63% +20Possession37% −6
491 +160Passes296 −35
79% +14Pass accuracy64% −1
72% +29Field tilt28% −10
51 +21Final-third entries31 +6
12 +3.0Box entries6 −1.3
10.8 −4Passes per defensive action21.7 +5
8 +3.1Corners4 +0.6
17 +3Tackles28 +11
9 −0.4Interceptions5 −4.7
13 −12Clearances29 +3
1 −2.8Saves5 +1.5
11 −2Fouls7 −5
1 −0.8Offsides4 +2.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Dhanda 27', 0.08 xGWhite 34', 0.08 xGBrown 42', 0.08 xGBrown 7', 0.07 xGMurray 50', 0.06 xGMurray 55', 0.06 xGJenks 44', 0.04 xGJenks 87', 0.04 xGAyina 68', 0.03 xGDhanda 43', 0.02 xGMurray 53', 0.02 xGBrown 66', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals36%0.21 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals38%0.22 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals26%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Gallacher 19', 0.17 xGOlufunwa 62', 0.07 xGC. Smith 11', 0.06 xGFranczak 40', 0.05 xGC. Smith 11', 0.04 xGCarey 60', 0.01 xGSidibeh 90+2', 0.01 xGKimpioka 34', 0.12 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals53%0.29 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal31%0.17 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals11%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.58 12 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.36 6 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.17 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
34 min (35%) · Ross County 0.22, St. Johnstone 0.39 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
62 min (65%) · Ross County 0.37, St. Johnstone 0.15 xG

Line-ups

40283534211816101526WickensAyinaNightingaleBorthwick-JacksonBrownJenksKingHarmonDhandaMurrayWhiteYellow cardYellow cardYellow card79'78'79'67'Ross County 3-4-1-2Derek Adams133541946155011329MitovKeltjensMcGowanConsidineRobinsonFranczakKucheriavyiC. SmithCareyGallacherKimpiokaYellow cardGoal46'59'90+6'59'St. Johnstone 4-5-1Craig Levein

Ross County substitutes

  • 67' Brophy for White
  • 78' Efete for Brown
  • 79' Khela for Borthwick-Jackson
  • 79' Reid for Harmon

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Olufunwa for Keltjens
  • 59' Clark for Franczak
  • 59' Sidibeh for Kimpioka
  • 90+6' K. Smith for Gallacher

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WickensGK900.000.0000.0101
AyinaCB900.030.0100.12116
NightingaleCB900.000.0100.0758
Borthwick-Jackson CB790.000.0300.17115
BrownRWB780.160.0410.0733
JenksCM900.080.0200.0403
KingCM900.000.0910.02102
HarmonLWB790.000.0820.1294
Dhanda AM900.090.1220.1781
MurrayST900.140.0420.0432
White ST670.080.021−0.0203
BrophyFW230.000.000−0.0100
EfeteMF120.000.0000.0002
KhelaMF110.000.0400.0811
ReidMF110.000.0100.0210

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0112
KeltjensRB460.000.0100.0435
McGowanCB900.000.0000.01113
ConsidineCB900.000.0000.0227
RobinsonLB900.000.0200.0895
FranczakRM590.050.0000.0222
KucheriavyiCM900.000.0410.0457
C. Smith CM900.100.0100.0368
CareyCM9010.010.0920.1978
GallacherLM900.170.0000.0215
KimpiokaST5910.120.0100.0611
OlufunwaDF440.070.0120.0432
ClarkMF310.000.0610.0002
SidibehFW310.010.0200.0920
K. SmithDF00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Wickens and Borthwick-Jackson: 5 passesAyina and Dhanda: 5 passesJenks and Harmon: 5 passesBorthwick-Jackson and White: 6 passesNightingale and King: 6 passesHarmon and White: 6 passesWickens and Ayina: 7 passesBorthwick-Jackson and Dhanda: 7 passesHarmon and Murray: 9 passesDhanda and Murray: 10 passesBorthwick-Jackson and Nightingale: 11 passesBrown and Dhanda: 11 passesKing and Dhanda: 12 passesBrown and King: 13 passesDhanda and White: 13 passesAyina and Borthwick-Jackson: 14 passesAyina and Nightingale: 14 passesAyina and Brown: 14 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 14 passesBorthwick-Jackson and King: 15 passesAyina and King: 20 passesBorthwick-Jackson and Harmon: 29 passesWickens: 16 completed passesAyina: 43 completed passesBorthwick-Jackson: 48 completed passesNightingale: 28 completed passesBrown: 27 completed passesJenks: 13 completed passesKing: 42 completed passesHarmon: 38 completed passesDhanda: 34 completed passesWhite: 17 completed passesMurray: 6 completed passes40283354211816102615WickensAyinaBorthwick-JacksonNightingaleBrownJenksKingHarmonDhandaWhiteMurrayStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

Keltjens and Kucheriavyi: 3 passesRobinson and Kimpioka: 3 passesCarey and Kucheriavyi: 3 passesKucheriavyi and C. Smith: 3 passesRobinson and Gallacher: 4 passesFranczak and Carey: 4 passesFranczak and Kucheriavyi: 4 passesKeltjens and Carey: 5 passesKeltjens and Kimpioka: 5 passesConsidine and Carey: 5 passesRobinson and Carey: 5 passesConsidine and Robinson: 6 passesCarey and Gallacher: 6 passesKucheriavyi and Kimpioka: 6 passesKeltjens and Franczak: 7 passesRobinson and Kucheriavyi: 8 passesKeltjens and C. Smith: 14 passesMitov: 6 completed passesKeltjens: 22 completed passesMcGowan: 7 completed passesConsidine: 10 completed passesRobinson: 14 completed passesFranczak: 8 completed passesCarey: 21 completed passesKucheriavyi: 14 completed passesC. Smith: 10 completed passesGallacher: 4 completed passesKimpioka: 9 completed passes133541946111550329MitovKeltjensMcGowanConsidineRobinsonFranczakCareyKucheriavyiC. SmithGallacherKimpiokaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
Borthwick-JacksonHarmon20
AyinaNightingale12
KingAyina11
HarmonBorthwick-Jackson10
NightingaleAyina10

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
KeltjensC. Smith9
RobinsonKucheriavyi9
CareyGallacher8
CareyRobinson8
KucheriavyiRobinson6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

4−0.54−3.212+6.88−0.49+2.11−4.65−2.79−0.68+3.07+1.90−3.66+1.45−1.35+0.19+5.21−1.53−1.17+1.96+3.24+2.30−0.82+0.44+1.62+0.80−0.60−0.90−0.51+0.37−7.52−8.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

St. Johnstone

6+0.611+3.618+3.99−0.87−0.217+10.614+6.67+1.05−3.15−3.96−0.53−2.06+2.36+0.63−3.75+0.75+1.91−0.81−1.72−2.51−1.00−1.61−0.34+3.05+3.01+0.40−0.20−0.20−0.30−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.030.030.010.010.050.030.020.05−0.010.020.020.030.060.06−0.030.060.080.080.070.080.070.07LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.040.010.010.020.010.020.010.020.040.050.030.100.020.02−0.020.01−0.030.070.010.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackRoss County0.96 → 0.95St. Johnstone0.96 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.52 → 1.52St. Johnstone1.43 → 1.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six2%1%−1
11th33%42%+9
Bottom15%22%+7
St. Johnstone
Top six4%7%+3
11th25%15%−10
Bottom9%4%−5
Livingston
11th19%21%+2
Bottom71%69%−2

From the forecast before the match (3 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.271.05
Win41%30%
Expected Points1.511.19
Clean sheet35%28%

Ross County 41%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+10%5%2%7%2%8%8%4%2%3%4%2%1%1%11%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Ross County
Top six2%4%1%1%
11th33%26%34%42%
Bottom15%9%16%22%
St. Johnstone
Top six4%2%3%7%
11th25%33%25%15%
Bottom9%14%8%4%
Livingston
11th19%17%19%21%
Bottom71%72%71%69%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. D2–230 JanLivingston (A)xG 0.73–1.34
  2. L0–127 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.08–2.02
  3. L0–32 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.14–1.72
  4. D2–230 DecHearts (A)xG 1.54–1.87
  5. L0–116 DecDundee FC (H)xG 0.90–2.43
  6. L0–29 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.62–0.94

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–127 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–0.87
  2. D1–124 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.99–1.21
  3. D0–027 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.25–0.93
  4. L1–223 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 1.37–1.37
  5. L0–220 DecRangers (A)xG 0.09–3.14
  6. W1–016 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.94–0.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Position11th10th
Played2122
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠7–⁠104–⁠9–⁠9
Points19 (0.90 per game)21 (0.95 per game)
Expected Points per game0.940.92
Goals19–⁠3215–⁠29
xG per game0.87–⁠1.560.88–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game1.10, 0.86–⁠1.321.42, 1.09–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game0.73, 0.88–⁠1.780.40, 0.64–⁠1.80
ManagerDerek Adams (9)Craig Levein (12)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackRoss County0.96, 12thSt. Johnstone0.96, 11thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.52, 12thSt. Johnstone1.43, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanRoss County attack: 0.96St. Johnstone attack: 0.960.960.96St. JohnstoneRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanRoss County defence: 1.52St. Johnstone defence: 1.431.521.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+20%−34%+23%
Counter-attacks−52%+36%−86%+69%
Set pieces−28%+7%−3%+12%
Penalties−100%average−76%−28%
Headers−16%−14%+5%+23%
Left side−20%+10%−42%+7%
Centre−34%+26%−14%+26%
Right side−22%+10%−46%+39%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−20%+39%Centre−34%+26%Right side−22%+7%Open play−24%+23%Counter-attacks−52%+69%Set pieces−28%+12%Headers−16%+23%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−42%+10%Centre−14%+26%Right side−46%+10%Open play−34%+20%Counter-attacks−86%+36%Set pieces−3%+7%Headers+5%−14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.87xG0.88
1.56xG against1.59
44%Possession43%
9.8Shots9.4
15.2Shots against14.6
3.3Shots on target2.8
1.5Big chances1.2
16.9Touches in the opposition box16.4
330Passes331
64%Pass accuracy65%
4.9Corners3.4
43%Field tilt38%
29.6Final-third entries25.1
9.0Box entries7.3
14.9Passes per defensive action16.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.881.14
Ahead121.381.97
Behind250.582.24

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.871.17
Ahead140.821.78
Behind230.962.45

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.111–1
16–300.150.292–7
31–450.110.321–5
46–600.160.206–5
61–750.110.264–5
76–900.190.385–9

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.103–1
16–300.140.222–4
31–450.120.162–4
46–600.120.282–5
61–750.140.402–8
76–900.250.444–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 19Wickens 2Nightingale 12Dhanda 3Loturi 2Baldwin 19Ayina 2Leak 18Harmon 1Brown 20Randall 1Randall 15Turner 4Jenks 2Allardice 10Loturi 7Dhanda 2Purrington 11Harmon 4Reid 3Dhanda 11Sims 4Loturi 2White 16Brophy 2Murray 20Dhanda 3Sims 13-4-1-2 in 10 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (10), 4-4-2 (5), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 22McGowan 9Costelloe 4Olufunwa 2Gordon 19McClelland 5Considine 14Robinson 7Brown 8Olufunwa 4Franczak 3Phillips 11Kucheriavyi 4Sprangler 4M. Smith 9Robinson 6Carey 4Phillips 5Robinson 4Gallacher 4M. Smith 6Kucheriavyi 5Carey 4Kane 7Jaiyesimi 6May 6Carey 8Clark 5Robinson 33-4-1-2 in 6 of 22 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 November 2023St. Johnstone1–0Ross CountyxG 0.69–0.21
12 August 2023Ross County2–0St. JohnstonexG 2.60–0.49
24 May 2023Ross County3–3St. JohnstonexG 2.29–2.53
8 April 2023St. Johnstone0–2Ross CountyxG 0.86–0.91
17 December 2022Ross County1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.42–2.31
17 September 2022St. Johnstone0–0Ross CountyxG 0.82–0.39

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 5, St. Johnstone won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–10 and xG 0.90–1.22 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray201,549610.240.07
Sims6579000.240.06
White161,320310.210.04
Dhanda201,532230.030.19

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7788100.390.03
Jaiyesimi7544100.350.06
Kucheriavyi12970200.170.09
Carey181,670230.040.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.