Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 2–0 Ross County

Saturday 27 April 2024, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 34 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 1,531

Livingston Anderson 12', Sean Kelly 53' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonRoss County
Goals20
xG1.460.99
Non-penalty xG0.670.99
Expected Points1.780.91

Livingston 49%Draw 31%Ross County 20%

Most likely score 1–1, 20%. Final score 2–0, 11%.

Ross County goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+4%4%2%9%2%11%13%7%2%3%4%2%15%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTSangare on for Obileye, 59'Carson on for Mackay, 83'Sharp on for Anderson, 90+6'Brophy on for Loturi and White on for Sims, 46'Reid on for Harmon, 62'Brown on for Efete, 63'Khela on for Randall, 75'Anderson 12'Sean Kelly 53' (pen)Livingston 1.46Ross County 0.9900.511.520153045607590HTSangare on for Obileye, 59'Carson on for Mackay, 83'Sharp on for Anderson, 90+6'Brophy on for Loturi and White on for Sims, 46'Reid on for Harmon, 62'Brown on for Efete, 63'Khela on for Randall, 75'Anderson 12'Sean Kelly 53' (pen)1.460.99LivingstonRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRoss County

1.46 +0.53xG0.99 +0.06
0.67Non-penalty xG0.99
1.86 +1.11xG on target1.13 +0.19
8 −1.3Shots15 +5.2
4 +1.6Shots on target4 +0.7
4 +2.8Big chances2 +0.5
20 +3Touches in the opposition box34 +17
45% +2Possession55% +11
323 +2Passes397 +62
59% −3Pass accuracy67% +2
49% +8Field tilt51% +8
26 0Final-third entries43 +12
9 +1.8Box entries14 +5.2
21.7 +7Passes per defensive action10.8 −4
4 +0.8Corners5 +0.5
12 −5Tackles13 −2
6 −1.2Interceptions7 −2.6
36 +12Clearances11 −17
4 +1.1Saves3 −1.1
13 0Fouls13 +1
0 −1.8Offsides3 +1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Devlin 7', 0.14 xGMackay 41', 0.12 xGSangare 64', 0.10 xGStephen Kelly 69', 0.04 xGSean Kelly 1', 0.01 xGNottingham 2', 0.01 xGAnderson 12', 0.26 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals53%0.35 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals45%0.30 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.30 xG, 1 goal2%0.01 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Sims 35', 0.28 xGBrophy 72', 0.15 xGBrophy 90', 0.10 xGReid 90', 0.07 xGEfete 29', 0.06 xGDhanda 49', 0.06 xGDhanda 87', 0.05 xGBrophy 77', 0.04 xGKhela 90', 0.04 xGBrophy 70', 0.03 xGBrophy 90+1', 0.03 xGKhela 90+5', 0.03 xGBaldwin 77', 0.02 xGKhela 86', 0.02 xGKhela 90+1', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals41%0.41 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.41 xG, 0 goals42%0.42 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.42 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRoss County

0.18 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.72 10 shots, 0 goals
0.26 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.24 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.27 5 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
12 min (12%) · Livingston 0.42, Ross County 0.00 xG
Livingston ahead
84 min (88%) · Livingston 1.04, Ross County 0.99 xG

Line-ups

12156241211181089GeorgeNottinghamDevlinObileyeSean KellyBrandonMackayHoltStephen KellyPittmanAndersonGoalGoal59'83'90+6'Livingston 4-1-4-1David Martindale1254216241018141115LaidlawRandallBaldwinLeakHarmonEfeteDhandaKingLoturiSimsMurray75'62'63'46'46'Ross County 4-5-1Don Cowie

Livingston substitutes

  • 59' Sangare for Obileye
  • 83' Carson for Mackay · yellow card 90+4'
  • 90+6' Sharp for Anderson

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Brophy for Loturi
  • 46' White for Sims
  • 62' Reid for Harmon
  • 63' Brown for Efete
  • 75' Khela for Randall

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0110
NottinghamRB900.010.0400.0668
DevlinCB900.140.0300.03415
ObileyeCB590.000.0000.0455
Sean KellyLB9010.800.2410.0114
BrandonDM900.000.0000.0448
MackayRM830.120.0300.1255
HoltCM900.000.0820.0754
Stephen KellyCM900.040.2110.0562
PittmanLM900.000.0200.0124
AndersonST9010.260.0920.0511
SangareMF310.100.0000.0004
Carson MF70.000.0000.0001
SharpMF00.000.000––0

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0210
RandallRB750.000.0300.0451
BaldwinCB900.020.0200.10159
LeakCB900.000.020−0.0147
HarmonLB620.000.0310.0724
EfeteRM630.060.0000.0122
DhandaCM900.110.2130.0663
KingCM900.000.1220.0551
LoturiCM460.000.0100.0230
SimsLM460.280.0300.0522
MurrayST900.000.181−0.2151
BrophyFW440.340.000−0.0130
WhiteFW440.000.050−0.0900
ReidMF280.070.0810.0502
BrownMF270.000.2510.2030
KhelaMF150.110.031−0.0560

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Nottingham and Pittman: 3 passesObileye and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesObileye and Holt: 3 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 3 passesDevlin and Brandon: 3 passesDevlin and Anderson: 3 passesBrandon and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesBrandon and Holt: 3 passesHolt and Pittman: 3 passesGeorge and Obileye: 4 passesNottingham and Devlin: 4 passesObileye and Anderson: 4 passesBrandon and Pittman: 4 passesHolt and Anderson: 4 passesNottingham and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesSean Kelly and Pittman: 5 passesMackay and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesMackay and Holt: 6 passesMackay and Anderson: 6 passesNottingham and Mackay: 7 passesNottingham and Holt: 7 passesObileye and Sean Kelly: 7 passesSean Kelly and Brandon: 7 passesStephen Kelly and Pittman: 9 passesStephen Kelly and Holt: 10 passesGeorge: 6 completed passesNottingham: 21 completed passesObileye: 17 completed passesDevlin: 9 completed passesSean Kelly: 18 completed passesBrandon: 12 completed passesMackay: 7 completed passesStephen Kelly: 21 completed passesHolt: 20 completed passesPittman: 12 completed passesAnderson: 10 completed passes12165241211101889GeorgeNottinghamObileyeDevlinSean KellyBrandonMackayStephen KellyHoltPittmanAndersonStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Baldwin and Harmon: 3 passesEfete and Dhanda: 3 passesDhanda and Murray: 3 passesRandall and Baldwin: 4 passesRandall and Efete: 4 passesRandall and King: 4 passesHarmon and King: 4 passesDhanda and King: 4 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 5 passesBaldwin and King: 6 passesLeak and Harmon: 6 passesKing and Loturi: 6 passesHarmon and Loturi: 7 passesHarmon and Sims: 9 passesLaidlaw: 4 completed passesRandall: 12 completed passesBaldwin: 11 completed passesLeak: 10 completed passesHarmon: 16 completed passesEfete: 4 completed passesDhanda: 10 completed passesKing: 13 completed passesLoturi: 14 completed passesSims: 7 completed passesMurray: 4 completed passes1254216241018141115LaidlawRandallBaldwinLeakHarmonEfeteDhandaKingLoturiSimsMurrayStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
Stephen KellyHolt11
PittmanStephen Kelly10
NottinghamStephen Kelly9
HoltMackay8
Stephen KellyPittman8

Ross County

FromToPasses
DhandaKing8
BaldwinKing7
KingRandall6
KingBaldwin6
BaldwinDhanda6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

5−0.210+2.928+12.27+0.31−4.36−0.89+2.08+3.67−0.36−1.05−1.03−2.32−1.55−0.85−0.84−0.30−3.90−2.02−1.10−5.12−1.11−0.90−0.81−1.12−0.91+0.10−0.31+0.32+1.60−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Ross County

1−3.33−4.92−7.010+4.84−3.62−5.12−4.16−1.710+0.62−3.08+2.82−1.53−2.06−0.51−3.37+3.10−2.22−1.55−0.13+0.41−0.62+1.02+0.42−0.21−0.12+1.53+2.30−0.40−0.87−9.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.020.010.010.030.030.02−0.010.010.030.020.010.070.030.040.01−0.010.010.010.03−0.03−0.010.15LessMore

Ross County

0.010.020.010.010.010.060.010.020.050.010.010.030.010.060.040.090.010.08−0.53−0.020.120.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackLivingston0.92 → 0.94Ross County1.00 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.57 → 1.53Ross County1.53 → 1.54

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th51%63%+12
St. Johnstone
11th46%35%−11

From the forecast before the match (27 April 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonRoss County
Expected goals1.281.09
Win40%31%
Expected Points1.501.21
Clean sheet34%28%

Livingston 40%Draw 29%Ross County 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Ross County goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+10%6%2%7%3%8%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%10%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 April 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawRoss County win
Ross County
11th51%63%52%35%
St. Johnstone
11th46%35%46%61%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L2–413 AprHearts (A)xG 0.97–3.81
  2. D0–06 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.76–0.92
  3. L0–331 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.14–2.11
  4. L0–316 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.93–2.56
  5. D1–12 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.54–1.09
  6. L1–328 FebMotherwell (H)xG 0.92–1.25

Ross County

  1. W3–214 AprRangers (H)xG 2.91–3.57
  2. L0–16 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 0.47–0.98
  3. L1–230 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.82–0.71
  4. W2–116 MarHearts (H)xG 1.74–1.27
  5. D2–213 MarHibernian (H)xG 1.14–1.33
  6. L0–22 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.35–1.27

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonRoss County
Position12th11th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠9–⁠217–⁠9–⁠17
Points18 (0.55 per game)30 (0.91 per game)
Expected Points per game1.110.98
Goals22–⁠5932–⁠56
xG per game0.93–⁠1.440.93–⁠1.61
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.09–⁠1.261.38, 1.07–⁠1.36
Away: points, xG per game0.35, 0.77–⁠1.610.47, 0.80–⁠1.84
ManagerDavid Martindale (132)Don Cowie (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackLivingston0.92, 12thRoss County1.00, 10thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.57, 12thRoss County1.53, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston attack: 0.92Ross County attack: 1.001.000.92Ross CountyLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston defence: 1.57Ross County defence: 1.531.571.53

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−47%+8%−16%+27%
Counter-attacks−36%+28%−27%+30%
Set pieces−15%−1%−41%+1%
Penalties+5%−10%−100%−10%
Headers−21%−16%−30%−15%
Left side−40%+21%−17%+25%
Centre−31%+1%−26%+25%
Right side−48%+4%−25%+5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRoss County concededLeft side−40%+5%Centre−31%+25%Right side−48%+25%Open play−47%+27%Counter-attacks−36%+30%Set pieces−15%+1%Headers−21%−15%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdLivingston concededLeft side−17%+4%Centre−26%+1%Right side−25%+21%Open play−16%+8%Counter-attacks−27%+28%Set pieces−41%−1%Headers−30%−16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonRoss County

0.93xG0.93
1.44xG against1.61
43%Possession44%
9.3Shots9.8
13.3Shots against16.0
2.4Shots on target3.3
1.2Big chances1.5
16.6Touches in the opposition box17.2
321Passes335
62%Pass accuracy65%
3.2Corners4.5
41%Field tilt43%
26.4Final-third entries31.2
7.2Box entries8.8
14.7Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.791.23
Ahead90.871.99
Behind321.141.61

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.051.22
Ahead150.941.88
Behind280.722.11

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.213–5
16–300.070.203–10
31–450.180.214–10
46–600.130.293–10
61–750.150.184–7
76–900.300.345–17

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.142–5
16–300.150.266–8
31–450.150.353–9
46–600.170.219–8
61–750.130.245–7
76–900.140.407–19

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTGeorge 27Hamilton 4McGovern 2Nottingham 11de Lucas 10Shinnie 3Obileye 27Devlin 21Sean Kelly 8Parkes 3Brandon 17Nottingham 5Mackay 4Holt 29Penrice 7Carson 5Shinnie 12Pittman 5Brandon 2Penrice 15Sean Kelly 6Montano 3Pittman 14Stephen Kelly 9Bradley 6Nouble 11Anderson 7Shinnie 6Yengi 9Nouble 9Guthrie 93-4-2-1 in 8 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 20Wickens 13Nightingale 14Ayina 10Efete 6Baldwin 25Leak 28Borthwick-Jacks… 2Borthwick-JacksonHarmon 1Brown 24Efete 4Randall 2Randall 18Dhanda 4Sheaf 4Loturi 14Allardice 10King 6Reid 11Purrington 11Harmon 7Dhanda 16Sims 4Loturi 4White 23Murray 30Brophy 7Sims 33-4-1-2 in 14 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (14), 4-4-2 (6), 4-5-1 (3), 3-4-3 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 February 2024Ross County3–2LivingstonxG 1.06–1.13
30 January 2024Livingston2–2Ross CountyxG 1.34–0.73
16 September 2023Ross County1–1LivingstonxG 0.87–0.17
6 May 2023Ross County2–0LivingstonxG 0.72–0.58
18 March 2023Livingston2–1Ross CountyxG 0.66–1.29
7 January 2023Ross County0–2LivingstonxG 0.86–0.90

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 5, Ross County won 3, and 5 were drawn. Goals 19–16 and xG 1.07–0.88 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Yengi9802320.350.11
Anderson131,576500.310.06
Bradley8583000.190.10
Mackay9893110.120.13

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sims9892300.350.05
Murray312,5181140.250.10
White231,967420.260.04
Dhanda272,125340.050.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.