Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 1–2 Dundee FC

Saturday 30 March 2024, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 31 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Iain Snedden · Attendance 6,691

St. Johnstone Sidibeh 60'

Dundee FC Cameron 6', Bakayoko 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Goals12
xG1.281.03
Expected Points1.531.15

St. Johnstone 41%Draw 32%Dundee FC 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–2, 8%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%10%5%1%12%8%2%8%10%6%1%3%4%2%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTKimpioka on for Sidibeh, 77'May on for Clark and Carey on for Gallacher, 83'McGhee on for Costelloe and Mellon on for Tiffoney, 62'Howley on for Dodgson, 78'Lamie on for Cameron, 87'Sidibeh 60'Cameron 6'Bakayoko 80'St. Johnstone 1.28Dundee FC 1.0300.511.50153045607590HTKimpioka on for Sidibeh, 77'May on for Clark and Carey on for Gallacher, 83'McGhee on for Costelloe and Mellon on for Tiffoney, 62'Howley on for Dodgson, 78'Lamie on for Cameron, 87'Sidibeh 60'Cameron 6'Bakayoko 80'1.281.03St. JohnstoneDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneDundee FC

1.28 +0.41xG1.03 −0.24
0.53 −0.32xG on target0.77 −0.57
15 +5.9Shots10 −1.8
4 +1.3Shots on target3 −0.9
1 −0.3Big chances1 −0.8
27 +12Touches in the opposition box14 −7
53% +10Possession47% +4
326 −8Passes308 −24
66% +1Pass accuracy62% −5
61% +22Field tilt39% 0
41 +15Final-third entries23 −10
12 +5.3Box entries7 −2.2
11.4 −5Passes per defensive action9.1 −8
11 +7.4Corners2 −3.1
18 0Tackles19 +3
9 −0.1Interceptions3 −5.8
23 −3Clearances38 +10
1 −2.6Saves3 0.0
8 −4.2Fouls9 −0.9
0 −1.4Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 56', 0.39 xGClark 35', 0.12 xGGordon 45+2', 0.09 xGKimpioka 90', 0.08 xGClark 58', 0.07 xGGordon 55', 0.05 xGGallacher 25', 0.04 xGSidibeh 68', 0.04 xGKeltjens 77', 0.04 xGCarey 89', 0.04 xGPhillips 90+7', 0.04 xGKeltjens 26', 0.03 xGGallacher 38', 0.03 xGSidibeh 12', 0.02 xGSidibeh 60', 0.21 xG, goal38%0.48 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.48 xG, 0 goals37%0.47 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.47 xG, 1 goal12%0.16 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals13%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Tiffoney 1', 0.18 xGBakayoko 49', 0.14 xGPortales 43', 0.07 xGTiffoney 49', 0.07 xGMcCowan 5', 0.06 xGCameron 1', 0.05 xGMcCowan 65', 0.03 xGBakayoko 6', 0.01 xGBakayoko 80', 0.38 xG, goalCameron 6', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals80%0.82 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.82 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals7%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneDundee FC

0.50 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.03 10 shots, 2 goals
0.12 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.66 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
26 min (26%) · St. Johnstone 0.08, Dundee FC 0.76 xG
Dundee FC ahead
73 min (74%) · St. Johnstone 1.20, Dundee FC 0.27 xG

Line-ups

156193315342231610MitovMcGowanGordonRobinsonKeltjensKucheriavyiPhillipsM. SmithGallacherSidibehClarkYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal83'77'83'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Craig Levein222952544102817379McCrackenPortalesShaughnessyDonnellyCostelloeCameronSyllaMcCowanDodgsonTiffoneyBakayokoGoalGoal62'87'78'62'Dundee FC 3-5-2Tony Docherty

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 77' Kimpioka for Sidibeh
  • 83' Carey for Gallacher
  • 83' May for Clark

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 62' McGhee for Costelloe
  • 62' Mellon for Tiffoney · yellow card 82'
  • 78' Howley for Dodgson
  • 87' Lamie for Cameron

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0331
McGowan CB900.000.0000.0538
GordonCB900.140.461−0.06210
Robinson CB900.000.0610.18105
Keltjens RWB900.070.0300.06412
Kucheriavyi CM900.000.0830.0782
PhillipsCM900.040.0310.0554
M. Smith CM900.000.3330.0842
GallacherLWB830.070.0400.0927
SidibehST7710.650.1230.2230
ClarkST830.190.010−0.1402
KimpiokaFW130.080.0110.0200
CareyMF70.040.0000.0120
MayFW70.000.000−0.0100

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0000.0004
PortalesCB900.070.0000.0446
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0000.03211
DonnellyCB900.000.0100.0554
CostelloeRWB620.000.0100.0431
CameronCM8710.120.1920.1986
SyllaCM900.000.010−0.01111
McCowanCM9010.080.5410.2264
DodgsonLWB780.000.0610.0865
TiffoneyST620.240.000−0.0401
BakayokoST90110.520.011−0.0204
McGheeDF280.000.0000.0114
Mellon FW280.000.0000.0000
HowleyMF120.000.0000.0003
LamieDF30.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

McGowan and Clark: 4 passesGordon and Robinson: 4 passesKeltjens and Phillips: 4 passesGallacher and Phillips: 4 passesPhillips and M. Smith: 4 passesKucheriavyi and Clark: 4 passesM. Smith and Clark: 4 passesGallacher and Kucheriavyi: 5 passesKucheriavyi and Sidibeh: 5 passesRobinson and Gallacher: 6 passesRobinson and M. Smith: 6 passesRobinson and Sidibeh: 6 passesKucheriavyi and M. Smith: 6 passesRobinson and Phillips: 7 passesPhillips and Kucheriavyi: 8 passesKeltjens and Kucheriavyi: 9 passesRobinson and Kucheriavyi: 11 passesKeltjens and M. Smith: 17 passesMitov: 9 completed passesMcGowan: 12 completed passesGordon: 11 completed passesRobinson: 25 completed passesKeltjens: 22 completed passesGallacher: 9 completed passesPhillips: 23 completed passesKucheriavyi: 26 completed passesM. Smith: 24 completed passesSidibeh: 8 completed passesClark: 12 completed passes156193333415221610MitovMcGowanGordonRobinsonKeltjensGallacherPhillipsKucheriavyiM. SmithSidibehClarkStarters until 77' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

McCracken and Portales: 3 passesShaughnessy and Donnelly: 3 passesShaughnessy and Portales: 3 passesDonnelly and Sylla: 3 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 3 passesPortales and Sylla: 3 passesPortales and McCowan: 4 passesCostelloe and McCowan: 4 passesDodgson and Bakayoko: 4 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 4 passesDonnelly and Bakayoko: 5 passesPortales and Cameron: 5 passesCameron and Bakayoko: 5 passesSylla and Cameron: 6 passesCameron and Tiffoney: 6 passesDodgson and McCowan: 8 passesDonnelly and Dodgson: 10 passesPortales and Costelloe: 10 passesCostelloe and Cameron: 11 passesMcCracken: 7 completed passesShaughnessy: 8 completed passesDonnelly: 15 completed passesPortales: 19 completed passesCostelloe: 16 completed passesDodgson: 14 completed passesSylla: 14 completed passesMcCowan: 15 completed passesCameron: 19 completed passesBakayoko: 8 completed passesTiffoney: 3 completed passes225252944328171097McCrackenShaughnessyDonnellyPortalesCostelloeDodgsonSyllaMcCowanCameronBakayokoTiffoneyStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
KeltjensM. Smith11
M. SmithKeltjens10
RobinsonKucheriavyi8
KucheriavyiKeltjens7
KucheriavyiRobinson7

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
DonnellyDodgson10
McGheeCameron8
McCowanDodgson7
DonnellyBakayoko6
PortalesCostelloe6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

4−2.06−1.711−4.55−4.79+1.76−0.63−4.53−3.05−2.95−1.04−0.85+1.65−0.110+3.52−2.32−1.25+3.32−0.82−2.41−1.03+1.60−1.22+0.73+0.83+2.40−0.22+1.70−0.22+1.33−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Dundee FC

11+5.56−1.824+4.99−1.37−0.16−1.26−0.79+3.84−3.86+0.34−0.73−0.56+1.45−1.35+0.23+0.11−1.21−2.07+3.920.01−0.72+0.91−0.21−1.51+0.20−0.51+0.60−0.60−0.82−5.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.020.020.020.010.020.010.040.010.040.010.080.070.020.020.030.010.020.120.01−0.210.050.20LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.030.010.010.010.030.030.010.020.030.060.010.060.08−0.010.020.07−0.020.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Johnstone0.94 → 0.94Dundee FC1.12 → 1.13Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.51 → 1.51Dundee FC1.50 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th30%41%+11
Bottom1%2%+1
Dundee FC
Top six31%54%+23
11th<1%–0
Hibernian
Top six64%46%−18
Ross County
11th58%49%−9

From the forecast before the match (30 March 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Expected goals1.291.18
Win38%33%
Expected Points1.441.28
Clean sheet31%28%

St. Johnstone 38%Draw 28%Dundee FC 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 51%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%9%6%2%8%3%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 March 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawDundee FC win
St. Johnstone
11th30%20%33%41%
Bottom1%<1%1%2%
Dundee FC
Top six31%16%26%54%
11th<1%1%<1%–
Hibernian
Top six64%76%68%46%
Ross County
11th58%67%56%49%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–316 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.73–4.02
  2. D1–12 MarLivingston (H)xG 1.09–0.54
  3. W2–028 FebAberdeen (A)xG 1.69–2.17
  4. L0–224 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.70–0.94
  5. L0–318 FebRangers (H)xG 0.21–2.96
  6. L1–211 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.37–3.19

Dundee FC

  1. W1–013 MarAberdeen (H)xG 1.92–0.66
  2. D2–22 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.53–1.56
  3. L1–728 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.45–2.59
  4. L1–224 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.35–1.94
  5. W2–017 FebRoss County (H)xG 0.94–0.73
  6. W2–111 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.19–1.37

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Position10th7th
Played3029
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠10–⁠149–⁠9–⁠11
Points28 (0.93 per game)36 (1.24 per game)
Expected Points per game0.901.22
Goals21–⁠4140–⁠50
xG per game0.87–⁠1.671.27–⁠1.67
Home: points, xG per game1.20, 0.99–⁠1.411.57, 1.46–⁠1.64
Away: points, xG per game0.67, 0.76–⁠1.930.93, 1.08–⁠1.70
ManagerCraig Levein (20)Tony Docherty (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Johnstone0.94, 12thDundee FC1.12, 9thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.51, 11thDundee FC1.50, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Johnstone attack: 0.94Dundee FC attack: 1.121.120.94Dundee FCSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Johnstone defence: 1.51Dundee FC defence: 1.501.511.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−36%+19%−20%+17%
Counter-attacks−68%+35%−36%+46%
Set pieces−10%+39%+36%+5%
Penalties−67%−1%−14%+71%
Headers−1%+43%+9%+44%
Left side−37%+11%−6%+28%
Centre−21%+26%+1%+11%
Right side−49%+41%−19%+12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee FC concededLeft side−37%+12%Centre−21%+11%Right side−49%+28%Open play−36%+17%Counter-attacks−68%+46%Set pieces−10%+5%Headers−1%+44%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−6%+41%Centre+1%+26%Right side−19%+11%Open play−20%+19%Counter-attacks−36%+35%Set pieces+36%+39%Headers+9%+43%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneDundee FC

0.87xG1.27
1.67xG against1.67
43%Possession43%
9.1Shots11.8
14.9Shots against15.0
2.7Shots on target3.9
1.3Big chances1.8
14.9Touches in the opposition box20.9
334Passes332
65%Pass accuracy68%
3.6Corners5.1
38%Field tilt39%
26.1Final-third entries33.1
6.7Box entries9.2
16.5Passes per defensive action17.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.831.19
Ahead160.842.05
Behind250.992.37

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.281.45
Ahead211.131.82
Behind241.361.97

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.124–1
16–300.130.222–4
31–450.150.194–8
46–600.120.332–7
61–750.110.372–11
76–900.270.457–10

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.172–5
16–300.130.246–7
31–450.200.336–8
46–600.220.255–6
61–750.280.238–7
76–900.290.4513–17

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 30McGowan 15Costelloe 4M. Smith 3Gordon 25McClelland 5Considine 20Robinson 7Brown 8Keltjens 7Olufunwa 6Phillips 14M. Smith 11Kucheriavyi 5Robinson 13Carey 6Sprangler 4Sprangler 6Phillips 5Robinson 5M. Smith 7Carey 7Kucheriavyi 5Jaiyesimi 8Kane 7Kimpioka 6Carey 8Clark 6Sidibeh 43-4-1-2 in 7 of 30 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 25McCracken 3Sharp 1Portales 13Ashcroft 7McGhee 6Shaughnessy 29Lamie 12Donnelly 10Dodgson 4McGhee 17McCowan 4Robertson 2Cameron 20Mulligan 4Robertson 4Boateng 21Sylla 11Beck 2McCowan 22Tiffoney 1Beck 22Tiffoney 2Dodgson 2Bakayoko 25Robinson 8Main 4Rudden 9Tiffoney 7McCowan 13-5-2 in 12 of 29 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (12), 5-3-2 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 February 2024Dundee FC2–1St. JohnstonexG 3.19–1.37
2 September 2023St. Johnstone2–2Dundee FCxG 1.75–1.44
23 April 2022Dundee FC1–1St. JohnstonexG 0.37–1.12
26 January 2022St. Johnstone0–0Dundee FCxG 0.67–0.22
1 December 2021Dundee FC1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.01–0.34
2 October 2021St. Johnstone3–1Dundee FCxG 1.90–0.41

6 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 1, Dundee FC won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–7 and xG 1.19–1.11 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark8729600.440.02
Kane7788100.390.03
Jaiyesimi9708110.270.07
Kucheriavyi141,282200.140.09

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson10899300.480.02
Rudden9821210.330.04
McCowan282,454840.210.13
Bakayoko252,126530.260.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.