Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 1–2 St. Johnstone

Saturday 17 December 2022, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Graham Grainger · Attendance 4,996

Ross County White 22' · Baldwin sent off 61'

St. Johnstone Crawford 77', 79'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Goals12
xG0.422.31
Expected Points0.252.61

Ross County 4%Draw 14%St. Johnstone 82%

Most likely score 0–2, 18%. Final score 1–2, 9%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+5%8%3%1%2%8%9%7%4%1%1%1%14%18%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBaldwin (Ross County), red card 61'Watson on for Olaigbe and Paton on for Dhanda, 62'Randall on for Loturi and Akio on for Edwards, 72'Hiwula-Mayifuila on for White, 80'Crawford on for Wotherspoon, 56'Bair on for Brown and McLennan on for May, 71'White 22'Crawford 77'Crawford 79'St. Johnstone 2.31Ross County 0.4201230153045607590HTBaldwin (Ross County), red card 61'Watson on for Olaigbe and Paton on for Dhanda, 62'Randall on for Loturi and Akio on for Edwards, 72'Hiwula-Mayifuila on for White, 80'Crawford on for Wotherspoon, 56'Bair on for Brown and McLennan on for May, 71'White 22'Crawford 77'Crawford 79'2.310.42Ross CountySt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.42 −0.33xG2.31 +1.52
0.84 0.00xG on target2.36 +1.55
3 −4.9Shots21 +11.8
1 −1.4Shots on target7 +4.2
2 +1.1Big chances2 +0.9
8 −7Touches in the opposition box32 +18
39% −4Possession61% +19
306 −17Passes472 +150
66% +1Pass accuracy79% +14
31% −4Field tilt69% +36
26 −3Final-third entries55 +30
5 −2.3Box entries17 +9.9
25.0 +10Passes per defensive action13.2 −3
0 −3.6Corners6 +2.9
13 −3Tackles11 −7
15 +5.1Interceptions10 −1.1
21 −1Clearances9 −19
5 +1.8Saves0 −2.6
9 −3Fouls8 −4
2 −0.1Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Olaigbe 39', 0.25 xGOlaigbe 45+3', 0.04 xGWhite 22', 0.12 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals90%0.38 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.38 xG, 1 goal10%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Clark 51', 0.37 xGClark 42', 0.26 xGMontgomery 67', 0.15 xGMay 8', 0.12 xGConsidine 21', 0.11 xGClark 58', 0.10 xGPhillips 73', 0.10 xGCarey 77', 0.09 xGMay 42', 0.08 xGClark 48', 0.08 xGCarey 63', 0.08 xGBair 79', 0.08 xGClark 86', 0.05 xGCarey 1', 0.04 xGCarey 35', 0.04 xGMay 45', 0.03 xGMay 57', 0.03 xGMcLennan 74', 0.03 xGCarey 75', 0.03 xGCrawford 79', 0.38 xG, goalCrawford 77', 0.09 xG, goal4%0.10 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals77%1.78 xGCentral box: 12 shots, 1.78 xG, 2 goals6%0.14 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals13%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.38 2 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.85 14 shots, 2 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.47 7 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
24 min (26%) · Ross County 0.12, St. Johnstone 0.72 xG
Ross County ahead
58 min (62%) · Ross County 0.29, St. Johnstone 1.54 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
11 min (12%) · Ross County 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.05 xG

Line-ups

112561614227101726LaidlawJohnsonBaldwinIacovittiHarmonLoturiTillsonEdwardsDhandaOlaigbeWhiteSent offYellow cardGoal72'72'62'62'80'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay122641423341019377ParishBrownGordonConsidineWrightCareyPhillipsWotherspoonMontgomeryClarkMayYellow card71'56'71'St. Johnstone 3-1-4-2Callum Davidson

Ross County substitutes

  • 62' Paton for Dhanda
  • 62' Watson for Olaigbe
  • 72' Randall for Loturi
  • 72' Akio for Edwards
  • 80' Hiwula-Mayifuila for White

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 56' Crawford for Wotherspoon · goal 77', goal 79'
  • 71' McLennan for May
  • 71' Bair for Brown

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0230
JohnsonRB900.000.0000.0547
Baldwin CB610.000.0100.0895
IacovittiCB900.000.0000.0118
HarmonLB900.000.0110.0015
LoturiDM720.000.0100.0023
Tillson DM900.000.0100.0556
EdwardsRW720.000.0200.0145
DhandaAM6210.000.1520.0941
OlaigbeLW620.290.0100.0230
WhiteST8010.120.0100.0122
PatonDF280.000.0000.0103
WatsonDF280.000.0000.0006
RandallMF180.000.0000.0014
AkioFW180.000.0000.0110
Hiwula-MayifuilaFW100.000.010−0.0100

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ParishGK900.000.0000.0240
BrownCB710.000.0400.1352
GordonCB900.000.0100.0756
ConsidineCB900.110.1910.28234
WrightDM900.000.2130.38162
CareyRWB900.280.1430.10133
PhillipsCM900.100.0310.0226
WotherspoonCM560.000.0310.0020
Montgomery LWB900.150.1110.0835
ClarkST900.860.1410.2611
MayST710.250.3820.2931
CrawfordMF3420.470.021−0.0400
McLennanMF190.030.0300.0230
BairFW190.080.0100.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and Iacovitti: 3 passesBaldwin and Iacovitti: 3 passesBaldwin and Olaigbe: 3 passesBaldwin and White: 3 passesIacovitti and Olaigbe: 3 passesTillson and Edwards: 3 passesDhanda and White: 3 passesJohnson and Tillson: 4 passesJohnson and White: 4 passesHarmon and Tillson: 4 passesTillson and Loturi: 4 passesTillson and White: 4 passesEdwards and Olaigbe: 4 passesEdwards and White: 4 passesIacovitti and Tillson: 5 passesIacovitti and Harmon: 6 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 6 passesDhanda and Olaigbe: 6 passesBaldwin and Loturi: 7 passesLoturi and Olaigbe: 7 passesJohnson and Loturi: 8 passesTillson and Dhanda: 8 passesEdwards and Dhanda: 8 passesJohnson and Baldwin: 9 passesLoturi and Edwards: 10 passesJohnson and Edwards: 16 passesLaidlaw: 7 completed passesJohnson: 25 completed passesBaldwin: 16 completed passesIacovitti: 13 completed passesHarmon: 11 completed passesTillson: 20 completed passesLoturi: 27 completed passesEdwards: 21 completed passesDhanda: 19 completed passesOlaigbe: 13 completed passesWhite: 9 completed passes112561622147101726LaidlawJohnsonBaldwinIacovittiHarmonTillsonLoturiEdwardsDhandaOlaigbeWhiteStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Brown and Carey: 4 passesPhillips and Carey: 4 passesPhillips and May: 4 passesWright and Carey: 4 passesMontgomery and Clark: 4 passesParish and Gordon: 5 passesWright and Clark: 5 passesWright and May: 5 passesCarey and May: 5 passesClark and May: 5 passesWotherspoon and May: 6 passesBrown and Phillips: 7 passesConsidine and Phillips: 7 passesConsidine and Clark: 7 passesWotherspoon and Clark: 7 passesWotherspoon and Carey: 8 passesBrown and Wright: 9 passesConsidine and Montgomery: 9 passesConsidine and Carey: 10 passesParish and Considine: 11 passesBrown and Gordon: 12 passesConsidine and Gordon: 14 passesWotherspoon and Montgomery: 14 passesConsidine and Wotherspoon: 16 passesParish: 16 completed passesBrown: 22 completed passesConsidine: 42 completed passesGordon: 21 completed passesPhillips: 18 completed passesWright: 14 completed passesWotherspoon: 29 completed passesCarey: 17 completed passesMontgomery: 19 completed passesClark: 18 completed passesMay: 10 completed passes122463414102319377ParishBrownConsidineGordonPhillipsWrightWotherspoonCareyMontgomeryClarkMayStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
JohnsonEdwards10
JohnsonBaldwin8
EdwardsJohnson7
EdwardsLoturi6
LoturiJohnson6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
ConsidineGordon14
GordonConsidine13
ConsidineMontgomery12
GordonBrown11
ConsidineClark10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

7+1.112+3.414−2.09+1.46+0.114+7.92−5.213+6.39+1.25−1.93−2.65+1.44+0.45+0.22−2.12−2.23−0.30−2.91−2.02−1.93+0.45+3.40−0.71−0.62+0.30−0.60−0.50−0.80−0.31+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

St. Johnstone

2−5.22−7.17−0.86+0.45−3.40−8.23−3.512+2.413+4.65−1.94−0.62−1.150.03−3.54−0.14+0.24+1.83+0.85+1.32−0.44+2.60−0.23+2.25+2.91+0.11+0.80−0.51+0.72+1.63−13.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.020.030.010.030.010.010.020.020.010.020.040.02−0.010.01−0.010.010.04−0.020.010.08LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.040.010.020.060.010.050.040.020.030.020.070.020.030.040.060.010.120.030.010.150.010.220.160.150.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackRoss County0.90 → 0.89St. Johnstone0.92 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.46 → 1.50St. Johnstone1.29 → 1.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six3%1%−2
11th25%26%+1
Bottom31%40%+9
St. Johnstone
Top six33%45%+12
11th6%3%−3
Bottom3%1%−2
Dundee United
11th24%26%+2
Bottom34%31%−3
Hibernian
Top six52%48%−4

From the forecast before the match (17 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.150.99
Win39%31%
Expected Points1.461.23
Clean sheet37%32%

Ross County 39%Draw 31%St. Johnstone 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%1%12%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Ross County
Top six3%6%3%1%
11th25%23%27%26%
Bottom31%23%33%40%
St. Johnstone
Top six33%23%32%45%
11th6%9%7%3%
Bottom3%5%3%1%
Dundee United
11th24%23%23%26%
Bottom34%37%34%31%
Hibernian
Top six52%54%52%48%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L1–212 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.84–1.88
  2. W2–08 NovHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.14
  3. W3–25 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.14–0.59
  4. L1–230 OctHearts (H)xG 1.44–0.65
  5. L0–122 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 0.70–1.10
  6. D1–115 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.35–1.64

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–112 NovMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–0.93
  2. D2–29 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.19–0.87
  3. W2–16 NovRangers (H)xG 0.81–1.37
  4. W1–029 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 0.39–0.38
  5. W2–121 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.85–0.88
  6. L0–115 OctLivingston (A)xG 0.42–1.08

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Position10th6th
Played1616
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠3–⁠96–⁠3–⁠7
Points15 (0.94 per game)21 (1.31 per game)
Expected Points per game0.941.09
Goals13–⁠2619–⁠21
xG per game0.75–⁠1.390.79–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.81–⁠1.301.38, 0.82–⁠0.92
Away: points, xG per game0.88, 0.69–⁠1.491.25, 0.75–⁠1.39
ManagerMalky Mackay (54)Callum Davidson (92)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackRoss County0.90, 12thSt. Johnstone0.92, 11thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.46, 12thSt. Johnstone1.29, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecRoss County attack: 0.90St. Johnstone attack: 0.920.920.90St. JohnstoneRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecRoss County defence: 1.46St. Johnstone defence: 1.291.461.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−45%+17%−36%+5%
Counter-attacks−40%+153%−57%−100%
Set pieces−14%average−44%−9%
Penalties−67%−67%−34%−67%
Headers−21%average−57%+16%
Left side−30%+14%−42%−12%
Centre−28%+17%−39%−13%
Right side−60%+27%−36%+26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−30%+26%Centre−28%−13%Right side−60%−12%Open play−45%+5%Counter-attacks−40%−100%Set pieces−14%−9%Headers−21%+16%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−42%+27%Centre−39%+17%Right side−36%+14%Open play−36%+17%Counter-attacks−57%+153%Set pieces−44%averageHeaders−57%average

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.75xG0.79
1.39xG against1.16
43%Possession42%
7.9Shots9.2
16.6Shots against15.0
2.4Shots on target2.8
0.9Big chances1.1
15.4Touches in the opposition box14.5
323Passes322
65%Pass accuracy65%
3.6Corners3.1
36%Field tilt33%
28.7Final-third entries25.0
7.3Box entries7.1
15.5Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level540.791.30
Ahead90.241.99
Behind270.831.39

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.871.11
Ahead240.720.90
Behind220.681.53

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.172–2
16–300.120.210–4
31–450.150.262–2
46–600.120.324–8
61–750.130.181–3
76–900.140.264–7

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.193–1
16–300.190.123–1
31–450.110.163–7
46–600.110.161–2
61–750.080.223–2
76–900.220.306–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 16Johnson 12Watson 2Randall 2Baldwin 13Watson 3Iacovitti 16Purrington 11Harmon 5Tillson 7Callachan 6Paton 2Cancola 13Loturi 4Edwards 5Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Sims 2Dhanda 5Callachan 5Tillson 3Edwards 5Sims 3Olaigbe 3White 11Hiwula-Mayifuila 54-2-3-1 in every start

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMatthews 15Parish 1McGowan 9Mitchell 15Gordon 8Considine 16Wright 13Brown 2Carey 1Hallberg 13Brown 3Montgomery 1McGowan 5Murphy 2MacPherson 2Montgomery 8Brown 4Carey 2Carey 6Hallberg 3Wright 2Murphy 8Clark 5May 3May 6Clark 5Bair 43-4-2-1 in 6 of 16 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-3-2 (5), 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 September 2022St. Johnstone0–0Ross CountyxG 0.82–0.39
26 February 2022Ross County3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.28–0.57
22 December 2021St. Johnstone1–2Ross CountyxG 0.32–2.15
31 July 2021Ross County0–0St. JohnstonexG 0.31–1.68
20 March 2021St. Johnstone1–0Ross CountyxG 1.93–0.15
2 January 2021Ross County1–1St. JohnstonexG 0.81–1.57

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 3, St. Johnstone won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–4 and xG 0.62–1.11 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White111,030300.260.05
Edwards10948220.130.11
Harmon6548210.060.13
Dhanda7735020.020.15

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May9870340.180.10
Carey10850300.240.05
Clark10841400.260.02
Wright151,289200.120.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.