Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Ross County 1–5 Motherwell

Saturday 11 May 2024, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 36 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 3,399

Ross County Murray 14'

Motherwell Spittal 8', 82', McGinn 40', Zdravkovski 90', Paton 90+4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyMotherwell
Goals15
xG1.211.65
Expected Points1.031.69

Ross County 25%Draw 28%Motherwell 47%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Final score 1–5, <1%.

Motherwell goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+4%9%8%4%1%5%6%2%3%8%8%4%1%1%3%3%1%14%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTWhite on for Brophy, Sims on for Reid, and Ayina on for Leak, 46'Khela on for King, 61'Henderson on for Dhanda, 76'Zdravkovski on for Halliday and Paton on for Nicholson, 67'Butcher on for Miller, Mugabi on for O'Donnell, and Devine on for Gent, 85'Murray 14'Spittal 8'McGinn 40'Spittal 82'Zdravkovski 90'Paton 90+4'Motherwell 1.65Ross County 1.2100.511.520153045607590HTWhite on for Brophy, Sims on for Reid, and Ayina on for Leak, 46'Khela on for King, 61'Henderson on for Dhanda, 76'Zdravkovski on for Halliday and Paton on for Nicholson, 67'Butcher on for Miller, Mugabi on for O'Donnell, and Devine on for Gent, 85'Murray 14'Spittal 8'McGinn 40'Spittal 82'Zdravkovski 90'Paton 90+4'1.651.21Ross CountyMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyMotherwell

1.21 +0.25xG1.65 +0.39
0.62 −0.34xG on target2.95 +1.55
14 +4Shots14 +3
2 −1.3Shots on target7 +3.1
1 −0.6Big chances3 +1.0
28 +10Touches in the opposition box24 +5
55% +11Possession45% 0
415 +79Passes351 −1
81% +15Pass accuracy74% +8
48% +5Field tilt52% +7
38 +6Final-third entries42 +10
12 +2.9Box entries15 +5.3
14.9 0Passes per defensive action28.3 +12
8 +3.5Corners4 −0.6
6 −9Tackles12 −4
7 −2.4Interceptions3 −4.5
25 −2Clearances29 +5
2 −2.1Saves1 −1.7
14 +2Fouls4 −8
1 −0.5Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

White 58', 0.17 xGSims 63', 0.12 xGRandall 31', 0.10 xGRandall 63', 0.10 xGNightingale 63', 0.07 xGMurray 36', 0.06 xGSims 58', 0.06 xGAyina 71', 0.05 xGMurray 80', 0.05 xGDhanda 67', 0.04 xGHenderson 79', 0.04 xGWhite 47', 0.03 xGMurray 34', 0.01 xGMurray 14', 0.31 xG, goal14%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals71%0.85 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.85 xG, 1 goal8%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Halliday 3', 0.14 xGMcGinn 45+3', 0.11 xGBair 76', 0.05 xGBair 4', 0.03 xGMiller 52', 0.03 xGBlaney 88', 0.03 xGGent 2', 0.02 xGBlaney 81', 0.02 xGO'Donnell 13', 0.01 xGSpittal 8', 0.46 xG, goalZdravkovski 90', 0.29 xG, goalMcGinn 40', 0.28 xG, goalPaton 90+4', 0.12 xG, goalSpittal 82', 0.05 xG, goal17%0.28 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.28 xG, 1 goal41%0.68 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.68 xG, 2 goals32%0.53 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.53 xG, 1 goal9%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyMotherwell

0.53 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.14 9 shots, 4 goals
0.31 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.36 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.50 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
34 min (35%) · Ross County 0.17, Motherwell 0.93 xG
Motherwell ahead
64 min (65%) · Ross County 1.03, Motherwell 0.72 xG

Line-ups

1355422421843101527LaidlawNightingaleBaldwinLeakEfeteRandallKingReidDhandaMurrayBrophyYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'61'46'76'46'Ross County 3-4-1-2Don Cowie115162021138319714KellyCaseyMcGinnBlaneyO'DonnellHallidayMillerGentNicholsonSpittalBairGoalYellow cardGoalGoal85'67'85'85'67'Motherwell 3-4-2-1Stuart Kettlewell

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Ayina for Leak · yellow card 47'
  • 46' White for Brophy
  • 46' Sims for Reid
  • 61' Khela for King
  • 76' Henderson for Dhanda

Motherwell substitutes

  • 67' Zdravkovski for Halliday · yellow card 71', goal 90'
  • 67' Paton for Nicholson · goal 90+4'
  • 85' Devine for Gent
  • 85' Mugabi for O'Donnell
  • 85' Butcher for Miller

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0541
NightingaleCB900.070.010−0.0375
Baldwin CB900.000.1810.11119
LeakCB460.000.0100.0133
EfeteRWB900.000.0720.0644
RandallCM900.190.0100.1918
KingCM6110.000.2710.0451
Reid LWB460.000.0100.0110
DhandaAM760.040.3920.29111
MurrayST9010.440.0310.1021
BrophyST460.000.001−0.0110
Ayina DF440.050.0100.0311
WhiteFW440.200.0000.0804
SimsFW440.180.010−0.0100
KhelaMF290.000.0000.0001
HendersonMF140.040.0410.0210

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0100.0542
CaseyCB900.000.0000.0945
McGinnCB9010.390.0210.0987
BlaneyCB900.050.1410.1339
O'DonnellRWB850.010.0100.0357
HallidayCM670.140.0200.0032
MillerCM850.030.0700.0896
Gent LWB850.020.0410.0541
NicholsonAM670.000.0200.0111
SpittalAM90210.520.2420.0383
BairST9020.080.4520.1351
Zdravkovski MF2310.290.0310.0614
PatonMF2310.120.0200.0932
DevineDF50.000.000––0
MugabiDF50.000.0000.0000
ButcherDF50.000.000−0.0200

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Efete: 3 passesBaldwin and Reid: 3 passesNightingale and Efete: 3 passesLeak and Randall: 3 passesKing and Reid: 3 passesLaidlaw and Nightingale: 4 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 4 passesNightingale and Dhanda: 4 passesNightingale and Murray: 4 passesLeak and King: 4 passesEfete and Randall: 4 passesEfete and Murray: 4 passesRandall and King: 4 passesLaidlaw and Baldwin: 5 passesBaldwin and King: 5 passesBaldwin and Dhanda: 5 passesEfete and King: 6 passesEfete and Dhanda: 6 passesRandall and Dhanda: 6 passesLeak and Dhanda: 7 passesLeak and Reid: 8 passesNightingale and Randall: 9 passesNightingale and King: 10 passesBaldwin and Nightingale: 22 passesBaldwin and Leak: 23 passesLaidlaw: 12 completed passesBaldwin: 37 completed passesNightingale: 30 completed passesLeak: 27 completed passesEfete: 15 completed passesRandall: 14 completed passesKing: 20 completed passesReid: 9 completed passesDhanda: 19 completed passesBrophy: 3 completed passesMurray: 3 completed passes1535422421843102715LaidlawBaldwinNightingaleLeakEfeteRandallKingReidDhandaBrophyMurrayStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Casey and O'Donnell: 5 passesBlaney and Gent: 5 passesMcGinn and O'Donnell: 5 passesO'Donnell and Nicholson: 5 passesKelly and Blaney: 6 passesBlaney and McGinn: 6 passesO'Donnell and Miller: 6 passesGent and Halliday: 6 passesHalliday and Miller: 6 passesBlaney and Spittal: 7 passesMcGinn and Halliday: 7 passesCasey and Miller: 9 passesMcGinn and Miller: 9 passesGent and Spittal: 9 passesHalliday and Spittal: 9 passesKelly and Casey: 11 passesCasey and McGinn: 12 passesKelly: 18 completed passesCasey: 24 completed passesBlaney: 18 completed passesMcGinn: 27 completed passesO'Donnell: 17 completed passesGent: 14 completed passesHalliday: 20 completed passesMiller: 23 completed passesSpittal: 23 completed passesNicholson: 9 completed passesBair: 10 completed passes115201623113871914KellyCaseyBlaneyMcGinnO'DonnellGentHallidayMillerSpittalNicholsonBairStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
NightingaleBaldwin17
BaldwinLeak16
BaldwinNightingale13
BaldwinWhite8
DhandaBaldwin7

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CaseyMiller8
CaseyMcGinn7
MillerMcGinn7
BlaneySpittal7
KellyCasey6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

2−2.110+2.315−1.57+1.84−1.85−2.65+0.13−2.28+4.66+1.110+3.62−2.37+3.14+1.71−2.43−2.11−1.60−1.60−1.11−0.71−1.31−0.10−0.60−0.70−0.42+1.33−5.72−5.42−5.04−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Motherwell

6+1.97−0.322+5.26−1.84−1.73−4.13−3.74−2.73−4.66+0.32−2.96+2.14−1.33−4.46+0.94+0.32−0.71−1.83−1.520.01−0.710.00−1.32−0.50−0.90−0.41+0.31+0.60−0.70−6.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.050.020.010.040.030.050.030.040.06−0.020.040.020.09−0.010.07−0.03−0.02−0.010.010.070.170.18LessMore

Motherwell

0.030.020.030.020.010.010.030.040.040.050.040.040.030.040.070.080.01−0.020.040.04−0.040.110.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRoss County1.00 → 1.00Motherwell1.23 → 1.26Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.54 → 1.57Motherwell1.33 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th28%40%+12
St. Johnstone
11th72%60%−12

From the forecast before the match (11 May 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyMotherwell
Expected goals1.221.31
Win34%38%
Expected Points1.301.42
Clean sheet27%29%

Ross County 34%Draw 28%Motherwell 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Motherwell goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawMotherwell win
Ross County
11th28%13%31%40%
St. Johnstone
11th72%87%69%60%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W2–14 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.83–2.55
  2. L0–227 AprLivingston (A)xG 0.99–1.46
  3. W3–214 AprRangers (H)xG 2.91–3.57
  4. L0–16 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 0.47–0.98
  5. L1–230 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.82–0.71
  6. W2–116 MarHearts (H)xG 1.74–1.27

Motherwell

  1. W4–14 MayLivingston (H)xG 2.63–0.66
  2. L0–127 AprAberdeen (A)xG 0.41–2.32
  3. D1–113 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.97–1.51
  4. W3–26 AprDundee FC (A)xG 2.62–0.47
  5. D1–130 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.84–1.32
  6. L0–116 MarAberdeen (H)xG 1.32–1.17

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyMotherwell
Position10th9th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠9–⁠189–⁠13–⁠13
Points33 (0.94 per game)40 (1.14 per game)
Expected Points per game0.981.26
Goals34–⁠5950–⁠53
xG per game0.96–⁠1.631.26–⁠1.48
Home: points, xG per game1.47, 1.11–⁠1.431.17, 1.39–⁠1.36
Away: points, xG per game0.44, 0.81–⁠1.821.12, 1.12–⁠1.61
ManagerDon Cowie (12)Stuart Kettlewell (49)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRoss County1.00, 10thMotherwell1.23, 5thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.54, 10thMotherwell1.33, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRoss County attack: 1.00Motherwell attack: 1.231.231.00MotherwellRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRoss County defence: 1.54Motherwell defence: 1.331.541.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−14%+25%−7%+11%
Counter-attacks−27%+28%+18%−24%
Set pieces−41%+5%−28%+8%
Penalties−100%−2%−2%−2%
Headers−27%−21%−7%+38%
Left side−13%+26%−19%+26%
Centre−25%+25%+6%−1%
Right side−25%+3%−35%+6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdMotherwell concededLeft side−13%+6%Centre−25%−1%Right side−25%+26%Open play−14%+11%Counter-attacks−27%−24%Set pieces−41%+8%Headers−27%+38%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRoss County concededLeft side−19%+3%Centre+6%+25%Right side−35%+26%Open play−7%+25%Counter-attacks+18%+28%Set pieces−28%+5%Headers−7%−21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyMotherwell

0.96xG1.26
1.63xG against1.48
44%Possession45%
10.1Shots11.3
15.9Shots against13.9
3.3Shots on target3.9
1.6Big chances2.0
18.0Touches in the opposition box19.4
336Passes352
65%Pass accuracy66%
4.5Corners4.6
43%Field tilt45%
31.6Final-third entries31.8
9.1Box entries9.7
15.2Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.091.31
Ahead140.941.89
Behind290.752.03

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.011.39
Ahead151.351.93
Behind301.611.39

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.182–7
16–300.170.257–8
31–450.150.343–9
46–600.160.249–9
61–750.130.235–7
76–900.170.388–19

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.135–6
16–300.170.227–12
31–450.210.227–5
46–600.120.292–9
61–750.250.2810–10
76–900.380.3419–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 22Wickens 13Nightingale 15Ayina 10Efete 7Baldwin 27Leak 30Borthwick-Jacks… 2Borthwick-JacksonHarmon 1Brown 24Efete 5Randall 3Randall 19Dhanda 5Sheaf 4Loturi 15Allardice 10King 7Reid 12Purrington 11Harmon 8Dhanda 17King 4Sims 4White 23Brophy 8Murray 32Sims 4Dhanda 33-4-1-2 in 15 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (15), 4-4-2 (6), 4-5-1 (4), 3-4-3 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTKelly 35Casey 26O'Donnell 6Mugabi 26Butcher 7McGinn 23Blaney 17O'Donnell 23Devine 5Spencer 5Spittal 13Zdravkovski 12Paton 10Miller 15Halliday 6Spencer 6Gent 12Slattery 7Spencer 5Bair 13Slattery 9Paton 8Spittal 18Zdravkovski 4Biereth 3Bair 15Vale 6Biereth 63-4-2-1 in 10 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (10), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 February 2024Motherwell5–0Ross CountyxG 2.91–1.05
5 December 2023Ross County3–0MotherwellxG 1.43–1.18
28 October 2023Motherwell3–3Ross CountyxG 2.34–1.92
20 May 2023Motherwell1–0Ross CountyxG 1.47–0.29
4 March 2023Ross County0–2MotherwellxG 1.19–1.42
14 January 2023Motherwell1–1Ross CountyxG 0.82–1.23

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 5, Motherwell won 8, and 2 were drawn. Goals 16–28 and xG 1.15–1.59 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sims10938300.360.05
Murray332,6981240.250.10
White232,025520.280.04
Brophy101,075320.230.05

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Biereth111,022650.360.22
Bair282,3811540.480.09
Spittal343,0537100.170.23
Vale9729220.250.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.