Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 1–0 Ross County

Saturday 11 November 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 13 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 3,018

St. Johnstone Carey 71'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Goals10
xG0.690.21
Expected Points1.750.76

St. Johnstone 42%Draw 49%Ross County 9%

Most likely score 0–0, 42%. Final score 1–0, 29%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%29%7%9%2%2%42%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTMay on for Clark, 64'Sprangler on for Kane, 81'Turner on for Loturi, 46'Harmon on for Purrington, 52'Samuel on for Allardice, 73'Sheaf on for Randall, 89'Carey 71'St. Johnstone 0.69Ross County 0.2100.250.50.750153045607590HTMay on for Clark, 64'Sprangler on for Kane, 81'Turner on for Loturi, 46'Harmon on for Purrington, 52'Samuel on for Allardice, 73'Sheaf on for Randall, 89'Carey 71'0.690.21St. JohnstoneRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.69 −0.11xG0.21 −0.71
1.22 +0.64xG on target0.06 −0.84
10 0.0Shots8 −1.9
3 +0.8Shots on target2 −1.4
1 0.0Big chances0 −1.9
20 +3Touches in the opposition box13 −2
44% 0Possession56% +15
300 −27Passes392 +77
57% −6Pass accuracy66% +4
43% +3Field tilt57% +16
27 +1Final-third entries35 +7
7 0.0Box entries7 −1.7
17.8 +1Passes per defensive action8.9 −8
3 −1.6Corners4 −0.6
12 −4Tackles14 +1
10 +0.3Interceptions9 +0.1
32 +8Clearances21 −1
2 −1.7Saves2 −2.5
11 −1Fouls13 0
1 −0.4Offsides2 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

May 85', 0.24 xGGordon 50', 0.10 xGKane 66', 0.09 xGCarey 51', 0.05 xGGordon 51', 0.04 xGCarey 29', 0.03 xGCarey 45+2', 0.03 xGClark 51', 0.03 xGRobinson 49', 0.02 xGCarey 71', 0.06 xG, goal49%0.33 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals41%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Murray 54', 0.05 xGMurray 85', 0.04 xGDhanda 52', 0.03 xGNightingale 87', 0.03 xGAllardice 40', 0.02 xGAllardice 42', 0.02 xGSamuel 78', 0.02 xGDhanda 62', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals38%0.08 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals38%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals19%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals5%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.66 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.12 4 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.06 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
73 min (79%) · St. Johnstone 0.45, Ross County 0.13 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
19 min (21%) · St. Johnstone 0.24, Ross County 0.08 xG

Line-ups

1564234111922910MitovMcGowanGordonConsidineBrownPhillipsCareyRobinsonSmithKaneClarkGoalYellow cardYellow card81'64'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Craig Levein13554221463101526LaidlawNightingaleBaldwinLeakRandallLoturiAllardicePurringtonDhandaMurrayWhiteYellow cardYellow card89'46'73'52'Ross County 3-4-1-2Malky Mackay

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 64' May for Clark · yellow card 89', 1 assist
  • 81' Sprangler for Kane · yellow card 83'

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Turner for Loturi
  • 52' Harmon for Purrington · yellow card 56'
  • 73' Samuel for Allardice
  • 89' Sheaf for Randall

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0220
McGowanCB900.000.0000.05512
GordonCB900.140.0000.01012
ConsidineCB900.000.0900.0225
BrownRWB900.000.011−0.1324
PhillipsCM900.000.0210.0346
Carey CM9010.170.2700.3273
Robinson LWB900.020.4210.3237
SmithAM900.000.0410.1354
KaneST810.090.0220.0933
ClarkST640.030.020−0.2300
May FW2610.240.051−0.1700
Sprangler MF90.000.0000.0003

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0660
NightingaleCB900.030.0100.0244
BaldwinCB900.000.1410.25144
LeakCB900.000.0000.07109
RandallRWB890.000.0100.0007
Loturi CM460.000.010−0.0112
AllardiceCM730.040.0100.0141
PurringtonLWB520.000.0000.0225
DhandaAM900.040.2220.3183
MurrayST900.080.011−0.1512
White ST900.000.040−0.1406
TurnerMF440.000.030−0.0111
Harmon MF380.000.0010.0004
SamuelFW170.020.000−0.0500
SheafFW10.000.000−0.0200

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

McGowan and Clark: 3 passesGordon and Brown: 3 passesBrown and Kane: 3 passesCarey and Smith: 3 passesCarey and Clark: 3 passesPhillips and Smith: 3 passesMitov and Considine: 4 passesMitov and Robinson: 4 passesMcGowan and Carey: 4 passesMcGowan and Smith: 4 passesGordon and Carey: 4 passesBrown and Carey: 4 passesMitov and McGowan: 5 passesMitov and Gordon: 5 passesMcGowan and Kane: 5 passesBrown and Smith: 5 passesCarey and Kane: 5 passesMcGowan and Gordon: 6 passesMcGowan and Brown: 6 passesGordon and Considine: 7 passesConsidine and Carey: 7 passesCarey and Robinson: 9 passesConsidine and Robinson: 11 passesCarey and Phillips: 11 passesMitov: 12 completed passesMcGowan: 26 completed passesGordon: 15 completed passesConsidine: 23 completed passesBrown: 10 completed passesCarey: 21 completed passesPhillips: 16 completed passesRobinson: 12 completed passesSmith: 12 completed passesKane: 6 completed passesClark: 6 completed passes1564211341922910MitovMcGowanGordonConsidineBrownCareyPhillipsRobinsonSmithKaneClarkStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Purrington: 4 passesBaldwin and Loturi: 4 passesBaldwin and Purrington: 4 passesNightingale and Dhanda: 4 passesLeak and Loturi: 4 passesAllardice and Dhanda: 4 passesPurrington and Murray: 4 passesDhanda and Murray: 4 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 6 passesPurrington and White: 6 passesBaldwin and Nightingale: 7 passesNightingale and Loturi: 7 passesLeak and Allardice: 7 passesLeak and Purrington: 7 passesPurrington and Dhanda: 7 passesBaldwin and Leak: 8 passesBaldwin and Allardice: 11 passesLaidlaw: 8 completed passesBaldwin: 26 completed passesNightingale: 14 completed passesLeak: 23 completed passesRandall: 4 completed passesAllardice: 16 completed passesLoturi: 13 completed passesPurrington: 21 completed passesDhanda: 14 completed passesMurray: 6 completed passesWhite: 6 completed passes15354226143101526LaidlawBaldwinNightingaleLeakRandallAllardiceLoturiPurringtonDhandaMurrayWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
ConsidineRobinson9
PhillipsCarey8
CareyConsidine7
McGowanBrown7
CareyRobinson7

Ross County

FromToPasses
LeakBaldwin8
AllardiceBaldwin8
LeakPurrington7
BaldwinNightingale7
DhandaBaldwin7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

2−3.012+4.716+2.09−0.47−0.69+2.411+4.55−0.84−3.79−0.28+0.95+0.31−2.66+0.54−3.64−0.56+3.41−0.64+1.34−1.11−1.20−1.40−1.42+0.91−1.60−0.40−0.30−0.21+0.80−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Ross County

6+1.38+0.511−1.38−2.24−0.96−2.210+3.74−2.05−3.415+5.04−0.82−3.42−0.87+3.06+0.69+4.14−0.60−2.84−0.59+4.23−0.21−1.00−1.02+0.45+2.61−0.40−0.62+1.20−0.40−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.030.010.010.010.030.010.010.010.010.040.070.020.02−0.050.010.03−0.18−0.110.160.140.16LessMore

Ross County

0.020.020.050.030.020.060.010.010.030.010.100.070.050.02−0.01−0.01−0.020.010.07−0.01−0.10−0.240.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackSt. Johnstone0.95 → 0.96Ross County1.01 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.52 → 1.48Ross County1.55 → 1.56

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six4%7%+3
11th23%23%0
Bottom39%29%−10
Ross County
Top six12%8%−4
11th20%22%+2
Bottom18%25%+7
Dundee FC
Top six20%20%0
11th16%15%−1
Bottom14%14%0
Livingston
Top six8%8%0
11th20%20%0
Bottom19%21%+2

From the forecast before the match (11 November 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Expected goals1.351.06
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.571.15
Clean sheet35%26%

St. Johnstone 43%Draw 28%Ross County 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+10%9%5%2%7%2%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 November 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawRoss County win
St. Johnstone
Top six4%7%3%2%
11th23%23%24%23%
Bottom39%29%41%51%
Ross County
Top six12%8%12%18%
11th20%22%20%18%
Bottom18%25%17%9%
Dundee FC
Top six20%20%19%19%
11th16%15%15%18%
Bottom14%14%14%13%
Livingston
Top six8%8%9%8%
11th20%20%20%21%
Bottom19%21%19%18%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D2–27 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.93–2.58
  2. W2–11 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.30
  3. L0–428 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.74–1.52
  4. D0–08 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.33–1.01
  5. D1–130 SepLivingston (H)xG 0.62–0.98
  6. L0–223 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.62–2.78

Ross County

  1. L0–34 NovCeltic (H)xG 0.26–3.40
  2. D2–231 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.52–0.50
  3. D3–328 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.92–2.34
  4. D0–024 OctDundee FC (A)xG 0.32–0.96
  5. L0–130 SepHearts (H)xG 0.40–0.98
  6. L0–424 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.85–3.33

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Position12th10th
Played1111
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠5–⁠52–⁠4–⁠5
Points8 (0.73 per game)10 (0.91 per game)
Expected Points per game0.680.90
Goals7–⁠1811–⁠20
xG per game0.80–⁠1.820.92–⁠1.79
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.05–⁠1.680.80, 0.92–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game0.40, 0.49–⁠1.991.00, 0.91–⁠2.12
ManagerCraig Levein (1)Malky Mackay (87)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackSt. Johnstone0.95, 12thRoss County1.01, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.52, 10thRoss County1.55, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovSt. Johnstone attack: 0.95Ross County attack: 1.011.010.95Ross CountySt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovSt. Johnstone defence: 1.52Ross County defence: 1.551.551.52

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−47%+29%−23%+26%
Counter-attacks−86%+118%−59%+116%
Set pieces+1%+43%−28%average
Penalties−100%−44%−100%+69%
Headers−4%+26%−21%−28%
Left side−39%+6%−4%+18%
Centre−29%+41%−47%+32%
Right side−49%+76%−8%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−39%+19%Centre−29%+32%Right side−49%+18%Open play−47%+26%Counter-attacks−86%+116%Set pieces+1%averageHeaders−4%−28%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−4%+76%Centre−47%+41%Right side−8%+6%Open play−23%+29%Counter-attacks−59%+118%Set pieces−28%+43%Headers−21%+26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.80xG0.92
1.82xG against1.79
44%Possession41%
10.0Shots9.9
14.9Shots against16.3
2.2Shots on target3.4
1.0Big chances1.9
17.1Touches in the opposition box15.0
327Passes315
64%Pass accuracy63%
4.6Corners4.6
40%Field tilt41%
25.8Final-third entries27.7
7.0Box entries8.7
16.6Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.641.20
Ahead151.062.51
Behind280.922.51

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.931.26
Ahead111.792.15
Behind290.532.59

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.082–0
16–300.160.202–1
31–450.050.241–4
46–600.070.330–5
61–750.130.460–5
76–900.210.522–3

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.110–0
16–300.150.380–5
31–450.080.451–4
46–600.160.224–3
61–750.130.223–3
76–900.200.413–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTMitov 11Olufunwa 4McGowan 2Brown 2Gordon 7McClelland 5Considine 8Robinson 2Robinson 7Considine 1Sprangler 1Sprangler 3McGowan 2Turner-Cooke 2Costelloe 4Wright 2Smith 1Phillips 6Kucheriavyi 4Ballantyne 2Smith 7Sprangler 2MacPherson 1Carey 8Costelloe 1Jaiyesimi 1May 4Kane 2Costelloe 24-1-4-1 in 3 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 11Nightingale 5Loturi 2Dhanda 1Baldwin 11Leak 10Harmon 1Brown 11Randall 10Turner 4Allardice 3Loturi 3Harmon 4Purrington 3Reid 3Dhanda 5Loturi 2Sims 2White 9Brophy 2Murray 10Dhanda 13-4-1-2 in 4 of 11 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 August 2023Ross County2–0St. JohnstonexG 2.60–0.49
24 May 2023Ross County3–3St. JohnstonexG 2.29–2.53
8 April 2023St. Johnstone0–2Ross CountyxG 0.86–0.91
17 December 2022Ross County1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.42–2.31
17 September 2022St. Johnstone0–0Ross CountyxG 0.82–0.39
26 February 2022Ross County3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.28–0.57

11 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Ross County won 5, and 4 were drawn. Goals 9–15 and xG 1.27–0.96 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey10900020.020.18
Gordon8669000.120.01
Costelloe7574100.090.03
Smith8626010.040.07

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray10727310.270.07
White9692200.270.04
Loturi7608100.200.05
Dhanda10707020.020.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.