Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 0–2 Ross County

Saturday 8 April 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 31 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 3,027

Ross County Murray 45', Cancola 49'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Goals02
xG0.860.91
Expected Points1.271.37

St. Johnstone 30%Draw 36%Ross County 34%

Most likely score 0–0, 17%. Final score 0–2, 7%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%2%6%2%6%6%3%1%2%17%15%14%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTMurphy on for Rudden, McLennan on for Brown, and Mitchell on for Gordon, 54'MacPherson on for Wotherspoon, 74'Bair on for Hallberg, 79'Murray on for Brophy, 20'Edwards on for Sims, 74'Stones on for Murray and Watson on for Cancola, 83'Murray 45'Cancola 49'Ross County 0.91St. Johnstone 0.8600.250.50.7510153045607590HTMurphy on for Rudden, McLennan on for Brown, and Mitchell on for Gordon, 54'MacPherson on for Wotherspoon, 74'Bair on for Hallberg, 79'Murray on for Brophy, 20'Edwards on for Sims, 74'Stones on for Murray and Watson on for Cancola, 83'Murray 45'Cancola 49'0.910.86St. JohnstoneRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.86 −0.03xG0.91 +0.05
0.16 −0.74xG on target0.83 +0.05
16 +6.0Shots13 +3.9
2 −1.1Shots on target4 +1.3
1 −0.4Big chances1 0.0
29 +14Touches in the opposition box36 +19
54% +12Possession46% +3
308 −14Passes269 −47
59% −7Pass accuracy51% −12
55% +18Field tilt45% +7
30 +2Final-third entries26 −3
14 +6.3Box entries19 +11.9
7.0 −11Passes per defensive action11.2 −4
7 +3.4Corners5 +1.5
19 +2Tackles9 −7
9 −1.8Interceptions8 −1.7
21 −4Clearances28 +4
2 −0.8Saves2 −1.5
16 +5Fouls17 +5
1 −0.4Offsides3 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Gordon 44', 0.15 xGGordon 4', 0.14 xGGordon 39', 0.08 xGMay 63', 0.08 xGMcLennan 80', 0.07 xGMontgomery 15', 0.05 xGWright 41', 0.05 xGWright 51', 0.05 xGMurphy 80', 0.03 xGWright 86', 0.03 xGPhillips 71', 0.02 xGBair 80', 0.02 xGWright 80', 0.02 xGBair 86', 0.02 xGPhillips 86', 0.02 xGMay 13', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%0.55 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.55 xG, 0 goals16%0.14 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals20%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Murray 64', 0.20 xGWhite 27', 0.14 xGMurray 60', 0.09 xGMurray 48', 0.08 xGMurray 59', 0.07 xGBrophy 1', 0.06 xGKenneh 3', 0.05 xGBrophy 18', 0.04 xGStones 90+3', 0.03 xGBrophy 6', 0.02 xGSmith 88', 0.02 xGCancola 49', 0.06 xG, goalMurray 45', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals84%0.76 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.76 xG, 2 goals11%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals5%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.37 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.83 11 shots, 1 goal
0.49 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
45 min (48%) · St. Johnstone 0.48, Ross County 0.37 xG
Ross County ahead
48 min (52%) · St. Johnstone 0.38, Ross County 0.54 xG

Line-ups

113623414102219716MatthewsMcGowanGordonBrownPhillipsWrightWotherspoonHallbergMontgomeryMayRuddenYellow card54'54'74'79'54'St. Johnstone 3-1-4-2Callum Davidson123061114442162627LaidlawRandallSmithIacovittiSimsLoturiCancolaKennehHarmonWhiteBrophyYellow cardGoalYellow card74'83'20'Ross County 3-5-2Malky Mackay

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 54' Mitchell for Gordon
  • 54' McLennan for Brown
  • 54' Murphy for Rudden
  • 74' MacPherson for Wotherspoon · yellow card 77'
  • 79' Bair for Hallberg

Ross County substitutes

  • 20' Murray for Brophy · goal 45', off 83'
  • 74' Edwards for Sims
  • 83' Watson for Cancola
  • 83' Stones for Murray · yellow card 83'

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0332
McGowanCB900.000.1110.04512
GordonCB540.380.0100.0114
BrownCB540.000.0000.0107
Phillips DM900.050.1310.1039
WrightRWB900.150.0400.0972
WotherspoonCM740.000.2830.0332
HallbergCM790.000.0300.0221
MontgomeryLWB900.050.0220.0349
MayST900.090.022−0.0810
RuddenST540.000.000−0.0201
MitchellDF360.000.0000.0222
McLennanMF360.070.0220.0750
MurphyMF360.030.1910.0730
MacPherson MF160.000.0410.0320
BairFW110.040.0000.0110

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0221
RandallCB900.000.0210.0645
SmithCB9010.020.001−0.09113
Iacovitti CB900.000.0900.0349
SimsRWB740.000.6040.4472
LoturiCM900.000.0200.0766
CancolaCM8310.060.030−0.0122
Kenneh CM900.050.0010.0135
HarmonLWB900.000.3920.1344
WhiteST9010.140.2630.1522
BrophyST200.120.010−0.0400
MurrayFW6310.490.0000.0520
EdwardsFW160.000.0000.0411
WatsonDF70.000.0000.0213
Stones FW70.030.0100.0510

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Matthews and Gordon: 3 passesMatthews and Hallberg: 3 passesGordon and Wotherspoon: 3 passesPhillips and Hallberg: 3 passesPhillips and Montgomery: 3 passesWotherspoon and Montgomery: 3 passesHallberg and Montgomery: 4 passesHallberg and May: 4 passesWright and May: 5 passesPhillips and Wright: 6 passesMontgomery and May: 6 passesWright and Wotherspoon: 10 passesMatthews: 12 completed passesMcGowan: 6 completed passesBrown: 7 completed passesGordon: 6 completed passesPhillips: 10 completed passesWright: 15 completed passesWotherspoon: 9 completed passesHallberg: 10 completed passesMontgomery: 11 completed passesMay: 7 completed passesRudden: 1 completed passes113263414102219716MatthewsMcGowanBrownGordonPhillipsWrightWotherspoonHallbergMontgomeryMayRuddenStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MontgomeryMay7
WrightWotherspoon6
WotherspoonWright6
PhillipsWright5
MontgomeryPhillips5

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawWhite10
IacovittiWhite8
LoturiSims6
CancolaSims5
IacovittiCancola5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

2−4.77−1.315−0.18−0.613+7.37−1.98+0.25−0.98−1.28−0.11−5.15+0.32−1.11−4.212+5.83−0.84+0.53+0.64+1.36+1.91−1.61−0.52+1.50−1.14+1.70−0.71+0.81+0.61+0.60−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Ross County

4−1.511+2.419+2.612+4.14−2.414+5.56−1.53−3.75−2.57−0.65−0.93−0.74+0.73−1.73−0.97+2.62−1.41−1.54+1.040.03−0.32+0.21+0.32+0.54+1.82+1.01+0.62+1.40−0.41+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.050.020.040.030.050.02−0.07−0.010.040.080.07LessMore

Ross County

0.020.020.010.010.050.010.060.020.060.010.100.010.020.010.060.080.090.07−0.11−0.010.33LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackSt. Johnstone0.93 → 0.92Ross County0.93 → 0.95Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.38 → 1.39Ross County1.46 → 1.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six<1%–0
11th3%6%+3
Bottom<1%1%+1
Ross County
11th40%41%+1
Bottom37%21%−16
Dundee United
11th31%22%−9
Bottom53%64%+11
Kilmarnock
11th25%29%+4
Bottom10%14%+4

From the forecast before the match (8 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Expected goals1.300.93
Win44%26%
Expected Points1.631.08
Clean sheet39%27%

St. Johnstone 44%Draw 30%Ross County 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%5%1%6%2%9%8%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawRoss County win
St. Johnstone
Top six<1%1%––
11th3%1%3%6%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%
Ross County
11th40%39%40%41%
Bottom37%45%37%21%
Dundee United
11th31%37%30%22%
Bottom53%46%52%64%
Kilmarnock
11th25%22%26%29%
Bottom10%8%10%14%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–11 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.82–1.00
  2. D1–118 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 0.57–1.31
  3. L0–34 MarHearts (A)xG 1.19–1.63
  4. D1–125 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.39–1.59
  5. W2–118 FebDundee United (A)xG 0.95–1.17
  6. L1–45 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.26–2.02

Ross County

  1. L0–22 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.40–3.30
  2. L1–218 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.29–0.66
  3. L0–24 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.19–1.42
  4. W4–025 FebDundee United (H)xG 2.57–0.60
  5. L0–118 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.63–2.34
  6. L1–24 FebRangers (A)xG 1.01–2.15

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Position9th11th
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠5–⁠166–⁠6–⁠18
Points32 (1.07 per game)24 (0.80 per game)
Expected Points per game1.080.99
Goals33–⁠4925–⁠45
xG per game0.89–⁠1.320.86–⁠1.48
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 0.93–⁠1.160.94, 0.92–⁠1.47
Away: points, xG per game1.25, 0.86–⁠1.450.64, 0.79–⁠1.48
ManagerCallum Davidson (106)Malky Mackay (68)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackSt. Johnstone0.93, 12thRoss County0.93, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.38, 9thRoss County1.46, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Johnstone attack: 0.93Ross County attack: 0.930.930.93Ross CountySt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Johnstone defence: 1.38Ross County defence: 1.461.461.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−27%+14%−40%+25%
Counter-attacks−67%−73%−1%+125%
Set pieces−42%−2%−1%−2%
Penalties−33%−50%−83%−66%
Headers−49%+4%−3%+8%
Left side−39%+18%−25%+10%
Centre−28%−2%−22%+23%
Right side−32%+7%−42%+34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−39%+34%Centre−28%+23%Right side−32%+10%Open play−27%+25%Counter-attacks−67%+125%Set pieces−42%−2%Headers−49%+8%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−25%+7%Centre−22%−2%Right side−42%+18%Open play−40%+14%Counter-attacks−1%−73%Set pieces−1%−2%Headers−3%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneRoss County

0.89xG0.86
1.32xG against1.48
42%Possession43%
10.0Shots9.1
14.4Shots against16.7
3.1Shots on target2.7
1.4Big chances1.0
15.1Touches in the opposition box16.7
322Passes316
66%Pass accuracy63%
3.6Corners3.5
38%Field tilt37%
27.7Final-third entries28.9
7.7Box entries7.1
18.1Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.771.27
Ahead180.690.92
Behind331.161.60

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.811.36
Ahead121.081.67
Behind300.861.58

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.254–7
16–300.130.164–6
31–450.150.264–12
46–600.150.163–4
61–750.160.228–6
76–900.230.2610–14

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.165–4
16–300.130.171–4
31–450.140.332–8
46–600.190.265–8
61–750.140.207–9
76–900.150.355–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMatthews 28Parish 2Wright 25Brown 3Carey 2Mitchell 24McGowan 13Gordon 21Wright 1Considine 27Brown 4Montgo… 13MontgomeryBrown 6Wothersp… 3WotherspoonCarey 14Montgomery 5Brown 4Hallberg 24McGowan 9Phillips 11MacPherson 10Murphy 3May 22Bair 6Rudden 1Clark 18Murphy 8McLennan 55-3-2 in 10 of 30 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (10), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 30Johnson 14Randall 12G. Edwards 2Baldwin 21Watson 7Randall 1Iacovitti 30Harmon 13Purrington 11Kenneh 4Loturi 12Callachan 8Harmon 6Cancola 16Tillson 12Kenneh 3O. Edwards 8Watson 5Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Dhanda 11Callachan 8Tillson 4O. Edwards 6White 5Dhanda 4White 19Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Brophy 44-2-3-1 in 21 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 December 2022Ross County1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.42–2.31
17 September 2022St. Johnstone0–0Ross CountyxG 0.82–0.39
26 February 2022Ross County3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.28–0.57
22 December 2021St. Johnstone1–2Ross CountyxG 0.32–2.15
31 July 2021Ross County0–0St. JohnstonexG 0.31–1.68
20 March 2021St. Johnstone1–0Ross CountyxG 1.93–0.15

8 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Ross County won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 6–8 and xG 1.26–0.59 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May221,961650.210.12
Clark191,486420.250.05
Carey191,565310.210.08
Murphy131,120300.120.10

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy7516320.360.09
Sims6533000.230.11
White252,244710.270.06
O. Edwards151,414220.120.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.