Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 3–3 St. Johnstone

Wednesday 24 May 2023, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 37 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 4,700

Ross County Dhanda 54' (pen), White 69', Baldwin 90'

St. Johnstone May 24', 51' (pen), McGowan 90+5'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Goals33
xG2.292.53
Non-penalty xG1.501.75
Expected Points1.161.57

Ross County 30%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 43%

Most likely score 2–2, 13%. Final score 3–3, 9%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+1%1%3%8%7%3%4%4%3%9%9%3%1%4%4%2%1%1%13%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTSamuel on for Murray, 56'Cancola on for Loturi, 79'Tillson on for Dhanda, 85'Phillips on for Ballantyne and Wotherspoon on for MacPherson, 68'Rudden on for May, 86'McLennan on for Wright, 88'Dhanda 54' (pen)White 69'Baldwin 90'May 24'May 51' (pen)McGowan 90+5'St. Johnstone 2.53Ross County 2.2901230153045607590HTSamuel on for Murray, 56'Cancola on for Loturi, 79'Tillson on for Dhanda, 85'Phillips on for Ballantyne and Wotherspoon on for MacPherson, 68'Rudden on for May, 86'McLennan on for Wright, 88'Dhanda 54' (pen)White 69'Baldwin 90'May 24'May 51' (pen)McGowan 90+5'2.532.29Ross CountySt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

2.29 +1.35xG2.53 +1.61
1.50Non-penalty xG1.75
2.99 +2.15xG on target2.62 +1.69
14 +4.9Shots11 +0.3
8 +5.2Shots on target5 +1.7
4 +2.9Big chances3 +1.6
52% +9Possession48% +5
310 +1Passes286 −37
61% −1Pass accuracy58% −7
47% +9Field tilt53% +12
24 −5Final-third entries19 −10
10 +2.2Box entries17 +8.6
10.3 −5Passes per defensive action13.4 −4
6 +2.2Corners4 −0.2
13 −3Tackles12 −4
10 +0.6Interceptions5 −5.4
18 −6Clearances27 +3
2 −1.4Saves5 +2.3
15 +3Fouls15 +4
3 +1.1Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Samuel 60', 0.26 xGSamuel 90+4', 0.23 xGSmith 77', 0.16 xGRandall 34', 0.14 xGKenneh 34', 0.11 xGSamuel 83', 0.10 xGWhite 8', 0.09 xGKenneh 69', 0.08 xGKenneh 28', 0.03 xGKenneh 45', 0.02 xGBaldwin 47', 0.02 xGWhite 69', 0.25 xG, goalBaldwin 90', 0.02 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals78%1.18 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.18 xG, 1 goal17%0.26 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.26 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 1 goal2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Wright 21', 0.40 xGConsidine 90+5', 0.14 xGGordon 82', 0.12 xGMay 14', 0.08 xGMcGowan 49', 0.04 xGWright 82', 0.04 xGGordon 17', 0.03 xGMay 49', 0.02 xGMcGowan 90+5', 0.83 xG, goalMay 24', 0.06 xG, goal47%0.83 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.83 xG, 1 goal39%0.69 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals6%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals7%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

1.30 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.74 7 shots, 1 goal
0.20 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.00 3 shots, 1 goal
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
46 min (48%) · Ross County 0.36, St. Johnstone 0.85 xG
Ross County ahead
5 min (5%) · Ross County 0.23, St. Johnstone 0.83 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
45 min (47%) · Ross County 1.69, St. Johnstone 0.85 xG

Line-ups

1155302421416101726LaidlawWatsonBaldwinSmithRandallKennehLoturiHarmonDhandaMurrayWhiteYellow cardGoalGoalGoalYellow card79'85'56'Ross County 3-4-1-2Malky Mackay202641913141825237SinclairBrownGordonConsidineMontgomeryMcGowanWrightMacPhersonBallantyneCareyMayGoalGoalGoal88'68'68'86'St. Johnstone 4-1-4-1Steven MacLean

Ross County substitutes

  • 56' Samuel for Murray
  • 79' Cancola for Loturi
  • 85' Tillson for Dhanda

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 68' Phillips for Ballantyne
  • 68' Wotherspoon for MacPherson
  • 86' Rudden for May
  • 88' McLennan for Wright

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0220
Watson CB900.000.0310.0968
BaldwinCB9010.040.0600.08510
SmithCB900.160.000−0.0737
RandallRWB900.140.0000.0231
KennehCM9010.230.1820.0716
LoturiCM790.000.010−0.0115
HarmonLWB9010.000.4330.1553
DhandaAM8510.790.1520.2272
MurrayST560.000.1400.1910
White ST9010.350.0510.0841
SamuelFW340.580.000−0.1010
CancolaMF110.000.0000.0101
TillsonMF50.000.0000.0000

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinclairGK900.000.0000.0111
BrownRB900.000.0110.0555
GordonCB900.150.000−0.01212
ConsidineCB900.140.0000.0124
MontgomeryLB900.000.0200.0955
McGowanDM9010.880.0110.0309
WrightRM8810.430.0210.0842
MacPhersonCM680.000.0900.0821
BallantyneCM680.000.0000.0003
CareyLM900.000.2630.20110
MayST8620.940.0810.0231
PhillipsMF220.000.0000.0012
WotherspoonMF220.000.1010.0331
RuddenFW40.000.0000.0000
McLennanFW20.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Loturi: 3 passesWatson and Randall: 3 passesHarmon and White: 3 passesHarmon and Murray: 3 passesDhanda and White: 3 passesDhanda and Murray: 3 passesWhite and Murray: 3 passesBaldwin and Randall: 4 passesBaldwin and Kenneh: 4 passesWatson and Dhanda: 4 passesRandall and White: 4 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 4 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 4 passesBaldwin and Smith: 5 passesRandall and Kenneh: 5 passesLoturi and Harmon: 5 passesBaldwin and White: 6 passesBaldwin and Dhanda: 7 passesSmith and Harmon: 7 passesSmith and Loturi: 8 passesLaidlaw: 3 completed passesBaldwin: 20 completed passesWatson: 10 completed passesSmith: 16 completed passesRandall: 10 completed passesKenneh: 9 completed passesLoturi: 14 completed passesHarmon: 11 completed passesDhanda: 16 completed passesWhite: 9 completed passesMurray: 4 completed passes1515302421416102617LaidlawBaldwinWatsonSmithRandallKennehLoturiHarmonDhandaWhiteMurrayStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Montgomery and May: 3 passesMcGowan and MacPherson: 3 passesWright and MacPherson: 3 passesWright and May: 3 passesMacPherson and Ballantyne: 3 passesBrown and Gordon: 4 passesGordon and MacPherson: 4 passesMontgomery and Wright: 4 passesMontgomery and MacPherson: 4 passesWright and Carey: 4 passesMacPherson and Carey: 4 passesBrown and Wright: 5 passesBrown and Carey: 5 passesBrown and May: 5 passesMcGowan and Carey: 5 passesCarey and May: 5 passesBrown and MacPherson: 6 passesMontgomery and Ballantyne: 10 passesBallantyne and Carey: 10 passesMontgomery and Carey: 15 passesSinclair: 9 completed passesBrown: 16 completed passesGordon: 9 completed passesConsidine: 8 completed passesMontgomery: 22 completed passesMcGowan: 11 completed passesWright: 8 completed passesMacPherson: 17 completed passesBallantyne: 12 completed passesCarey: 24 completed passesMay: 7 completed passes202641913141825237SinclairBrownGordonConsidineMontgomeryMcGowanWrightMacPhersonBallantyneCareyMayStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
BaldwinWhite10
SmithHarmon8
HarmonSmith8
SmithBaldwin6
BaldwinDhanda5

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MontgomeryCarey9
CareyMontgomery7
MayCarey6
CareyBallantyne6
MontgomeryBallantyne6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

4−1.611+2.310+2.21−5.56−2.66−1.22−4.84−3.412+4.39+3.312+8.11−2.33−1.88+4.04−0.62−1.42−0.57+4.25+1.24+0.40−1.82+1.12+0.44+1.70−1.00−0.42+1.31+0.70−0.68−8.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

St. Johnstone

5−1.17−1.115+0.56−2.28+2.29+0.29+1.210+4.36−3.29+0.84−1.96+1.31−2.18+1.77+3.12−1.63+0.63+0.23−1.24+1.31−0.50−0.60−0.92−0.40−0.71+0.70−0.50−0.41+0.41−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.020.020.020.010.040.010.030.020.01−0.010.030.010.010.090.050.03−0.160.140.160.19LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.080.040.05−0.010.030.020.040.100.060.04−0.07−0.05−0.020.010.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackRoss County0.98 → 1.00St. Johnstone0.94 → 0.98Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.43 → 1.46St. Johnstone1.34 → 1.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th55%55%0
Bottom13%11%−2
Dundee United
11th21%20%−1
Bottom73%74%+1
Kilmarnock
11th24%25%+1
Bottom14%15%+1

From the forecast before the match (24 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.260.97
Win42%28%
Expected Points1.571.13
Clean sheet38%28%

Ross County 42%Draw 30%St. Johnstone 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

St. Johnstone goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+10%5%2%6%2%9%8%4%1%4%3%2%1%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Ross County
11th55%54%55%55%
Bottom13%4%11%30%
Dundee United
11th21%15%20%31%
Bottom73%81%74%59%
Kilmarnock
11th24%31%25%14%
Bottom14%15%15%11%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–120 MayMotherwell (A)xG 0.29–1.47
  2. W3–113 MayDundee United (A)xG 3.37–2.19
  3. W2–06 MayLivingston (H)xG 0.72–0.58
  4. L1–622 AprHearts (A)xG 1.59–3.68
  5. L0–114 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.94–0.65
  6. W2–08 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.91–0.86

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–020 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 1.62–1.48
  2. L0–213 MayMotherwell (H)xG 0.75–1.53
  3. W1–06 MayDundee United (H)xG 1.12–1.26
  4. D1–122 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.84–0.45
  5. L0–215 AprLivingston (A)xG 1.13–0.72
  6. L0–28 AprRoss County (H)xG 0.86–0.91

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
Position11th9th
Played3636
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠6–⁠2111–⁠6–⁠19
Points33 (0.92 per game)39 (1.08 per game)
Expected Points per game1.031.12
Goals33–⁠5436–⁠56
xG per game0.94–⁠1.490.92–⁠1.28
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.91–⁠1.370.89, 0.92–⁠1.14
Away: points, xG per game0.83, 0.96–⁠1.611.28, 0.92–⁠1.41
ManagerMalky Mackay (74)Steven MacLean (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackRoss County0.98, 9thSt. Johnstone0.94, 11thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.43, 10thSt. Johnstone1.34, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRoss County attack: 0.98St. Johnstone attack: 0.940.980.94St. JohnstoneRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRoss County defence: 1.43St. Johnstone defence: 1.341.431.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountySt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−35%+20%−28%+10%
Counter-attacks−22%+113%−54%−77%
Set pieces+8%−5%−29%−13%
Penalties−71%−29%−43%−43%
Headers+13%+4%−37%−5%
Left side−33%+12%−28%+8%
Centre−10%+12%−30%−3%
Right side−39%+33%−29%average

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−33%averageCentre−10%−3%Right side−39%+8%Open play−35%+10%Counter-attacks−22%−77%Set pieces+8%−13%Headers+13%−5%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−28%+33%Centre−30%+12%Right side−29%+12%Open play−28%+20%Counter-attacks−54%+113%Set pieces−29%−5%Headers−37%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountySt. Johnstone

0.94xG0.92
1.49xG against1.28
43%Possession43%
9.1Shots10.7
16.7Shots against13.7
2.8Shots on target3.3
1.1Big chances1.4
17.6Touches in the opposition box16.1
309Passes323
62%Pass accuracy65%
3.8Corners4.2
38%Field tilt41%
28.9Final-third entries28.8
7.8Box entries8.4
14.9Passes per defensive action17.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.851.33
Ahead141.251.63
Behind290.921.69

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.801.19
Ahead190.831.06
Behind311.131.51

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.166–4
16–300.120.191–9
31–450.120.334–9
46–600.210.248–10
61–750.160.228–9
76–900.180.356–13

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.235–7
16–300.120.155–7
31–450.150.265–15
46–600.150.183–6
61–750.150.208–6
76–900.260.2610–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 36Randall 15Johnson 14Watson 4Baldwin 25Watson 7Smith 4Iacovitti 35Harmon 15Purrington 11Kenneh 4Loturi 17Callachan 8Harmon 6Cancola 18Tillson 12Kenneh 7Edwards 8Watson 6Randall 4Dhanda 14Callachan 8Tillson 4White 6Edwards 6Harmon 5White 24Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Brophy 44-2-3-1 in 21 of 36 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMatthews 34Parish 2Wright 27Brown 6Carey 2Mitchell 24McGowan 16Gordon 27Phillips 3Wright 1Considine 31Brown 5Montgo… 19MontgomeryBrown 6Carey 3Carey 15Wright 7Montgomery 5Hallberg 27Phillips 13McGowan 9MacPherson 15Wotherspoon 4Murphy 3May 28Bair 6Rudden 2Clark 18Murphy 10McLennan 65-3-2 in 10 of 36 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (10), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 April 2023St. Johnstone0–2Ross CountyxG 0.86–0.91
17 December 2022Ross County1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.42–2.31
17 September 2022St. Johnstone0–0Ross CountyxG 0.82–0.39
26 February 2022Ross County3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.28–0.57
22 December 2021St. Johnstone1–2Ross CountyxG 0.32–2.15
31 July 2021Ross County0–0St. JohnstonexG 0.31–1.68

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 4, St. Johnstone won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 10–6 and xG 0.63–1.21 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy8536320.370.08
Murray4542210.280.13
Sims10806000.230.15
White312,7511020.310.06

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May282,471760.210.12
Carey221,865320.220.10
Clark191,486420.250.05
McLennan7976110.170.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.