Matches › 2021/22

Hearts 1–1 Dundee FC

Saturday 23 October 2021, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 10 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 17,557

Hearts Souttar 37'

Dundee FC Cummings 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hearts	Dundee FC
Goals	1	1
xG	1.49	0.52
Expected Points	2.10	0.62

Hearts 61%Draw 28%Dundee FC 12%

Most likely score 1–0, 19%. Final score 1–1, 13%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsDundee FC

1.49 +0.07xG0.52 −0.34

0.99 −0.70xG on target0.91 +0.05

21 +10Shots6 −5

4 −0.1Shots on target3 −1.1

0 −1.7Big chances1 +0.1

36 +13Touches in the opposition box14 −3

71% +18Possession29% −14

545 +108Passes215 −100

81% +4Pass accuracy57% −8

83% +30Field tilt17% −24

61 +15Final-third entries17 −11

18 +5.9Box entries8 −0.8

14.6 +2Passes per defensive action20.1 +6

5 −0.3Corners3 −1.8

8 −7Tackles7 −7

2 −7.7Interceptions13 +4.2

9 −10Clearances16 −3

2 −2.7Saves2 −1.9

12 +1Fouls15 +2

1 −1.4Offsides4 +2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hearts

Dundee FC

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsDundee FC

0.99 16 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.15 3 shots, 0 goals

0.49 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.37 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–1

Level: 50 min (52%) · Hearts 0.80, Dundee FC 0.06 xG
Hearts ahead: 46 min (48%) · Hearts 0.69, Dundee FC 0.46 xG

Line-ups

Hearts substitutes

46' Mackay-Steven for Woodburn
60' Gnanduillet for Boyce
77' Ginnelly for McKay

Dundee FC substitutes

55' Mullen for McCowan · yellow card 90+6'
62' Cummings for McMullan · goal 83'
69' Sheridan for Griffiths

Players

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gordon	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
Souttar	CB	90	1		0.19	0.02	1	0.15	11	4
Halkett	CB	90			0.03	0.01	0	0.07	8	3
Kingsley	CB	90			0.06	0.19	2	0.27	13	5
Smith	RWB	90			0.05	0.47	2	0.04	4	1
Devlin	CM	90			0.00	0.07	0	0.07	9	0
Baningime	CM	90			0.08	0.06	3	0.03	7	2
Cochrane	LWB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.07	8	2
McKay	RW	77			0.00	0.77	5	0.30	8	1
Boyce	ST	60			0.66	0.01	0	0.01	0	1
Woodburn	LW	46		1	0.12	0.11	1	0.08	5	0
Mackay-Steven	FW	44			0.09	0.01	1	0.02	2	0
Gnanduillet	FW	30			0.10	0.02	1	−0.05	0	0
Ginnelly	FW	13			0.11	0.00	0	0.02	2	0

Dundee FC

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Legzdins	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	0
Kerr	RB	90		1	0.00	0.08	1	0.01	1	4
Ashcroft	CB	90			0.02	0.00	0	0.02	3	9
Sweeney	CB	90			0.12	0.00	0	0.12	2	6
Marshall	LB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.06	6	5
McGhee	CM	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	5
Adam	CM	90			0.00	0.07	2	0.06	6	3
Anderson	CM	90			0.00	0.04	1	0.03	2	1
McMullan	RW	62			0.00	0.08	0	0.17	4	4
Griffiths	ST	69			0.06	0.01	0	0.00	1	1
McCowan	LW	55			0.06	0.02	0	0.03	3	4
Mullen	FW	35			0.00	0.06	2	0.06	1	0
Cummings	FW	28	1		0.23	0.02	0	0.03	2	1
Sheridan	FW	21			0.03	0.00	0	0.04	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Dundee FC

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Halkett	Souttar	19
Kingsley	Cochrane	16
Devlin	Souttar	16
Devlin	Kingsley	15
Souttar	Devlin	15

Dundee FC

From	To	Passes
Marshall	Adam	8
Ashcroft	Kerr	5
Marshall	McCowan	4
Adam	McCowan	3
McCowan	Adam	3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

Against its average of 9 matches

Dundee FC

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

Dundee FC

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hearts
Title	3%	2%	−1
Top six	96%	94%	−2
Dundee FC
Top six	3%	4%	+1
11th	30%	31%	+1
Bottom	36%	33%	−3
Ross County
Top six	1%	1%	0
11th	28%	26%	−2
Bottom	49%	52%	+3

From the forecast before the match (23 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hearts	Dundee FC
Expected goals	1.86	0.75
Win	63%	14%
Expected Points	2.12	0.65
Clean sheet	47%	16%

Hearts 63%Draw 23%Dundee FC 14%

Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 45%.

From the forecast as it stood on 23 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hearts win	Draw	Dundee FC win
Hearts
Title	3%	3%	2%	2%
Top six	96%	97%	94%	92%
Dundee FC
Top six	3%	2%	4%	6%
11th	30%	30%	31%	28%
Bottom	36%	40%	33%	25%
Ross County
Top six	1%	1%	1%	2%
11th	28%	30%	26%	23%
Bottom	49%	47%	52%	55%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

Dundee FC

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hearts	Dundee FC
Position	2nd	11th
Played	9	9
Won, drawn, lost	5–⁠4–⁠0	1–⁠3–⁠5
Points	19 (2.11 per game)	6 (0.67 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.66	1.01
Goals	15–⁠6	7–⁠17
xG per game	1.42–⁠1.14	0.86–⁠1.74
Home: points, xG per game	2.20, 1.68–⁠0.87	1.20, 1.03–⁠1.47
Away: points, xG per game	2.00, 1.10–⁠1.48	0.00, 0.66–⁠2.09
Manager	Robbie Neilson (9)	James McPake (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hearts		Dundee FC
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−19%	+7%	−33%	+52%
Counter-attacks	−66%	−30%	−27%	+50%
Set pieces	+15%	−7%	−25%	−23%
Penalties	+300%	−100%	−20%	+140%
Headers	−35%	−31%	−8%	−35%
Left side	+12%	+4%	−38%	+33%
Centre	−20%	−11%	−49%	+36%
Right side	−18%	+26%	+15%	+23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee FC concededLeft side+12%+23%Centre−20%+36%Right side−18%+33%Open play−19%+52%Counter-attacks−66%+50%Set pieces+15%−23%Headers−35%−35%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHearts concededLeft side−38%+26%Centre−49%−11%Right side+15%+4%Open play−33%+7%Counter-attacks−27%−30%Set pieces−25%−7%Headers−8%−31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsDundee FC

1.42xG0.86

1.14xG against1.74

53%Possession43%

11.3Shots11.3

12.9Shots against15.4

4.1Shots on target4.1

1.7Big chances0.9

22.6Touches in the opposition box17.0

437Passes315

77%Pass accuracy64%

5.3Corners4.8

52%Field tilt41%

45.7Final-third entries28.1

12.1Box entries8.8

13.1Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	1.78	1.02
Ahead	37	1.09	1.00
Behind	8	0.94	2.50

Dundee FC

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	0.83	1.40
Ahead	8	0.14	1.90
Behind	38	1.05	2.12

xG by period

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.22	0.10	3–1
16–30	0.18	0.14	3–0
31–45	0.37	0.24	2–2
46–60	0.33	0.16	1–1
61–75	0.20	0.12	3–1
76–90	0.14	0.37	3–1

Dundee FC

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.22	0.13	1–1
16–30	0.05	0.40	0–3
31–45	0.07	0.35	1–4
46–60	0.27	0.30	2–4
61–75	0.12	0.26	2–2
76–90	0.13	0.31	1–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

Formations: 3-4-3 (5), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Dundee FC

Formations: 4-3-3 (5), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Boyce	9	782	6	1	0.63	0.06
Mackay-Steven	6	450	1	2	0.42	0.06
Kingsley	6	521	2	0	0.16	0.07
Smith	8	696	1	1	0.04	0.09

Dundee FC

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Cummings	3	463	2	0	0.48	0.10
McMullan	8	720	0	3	0.05	0.24
McGowan	4	462	1	0	0.11	0.05
Anderson	6	461	0	0	0.11	0.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.