Saturday 6 May 2023, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 3,129
Ross County Iacovitti 40', Samuel 60'
Livingston Guthrie sent off 81'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Ross County
Livingston
Goals
2
0
xG
0.72
0.58
Expected Points
1.43
1.15
Ross County 33%Draw 43%Livingston 24%
Most likely score 0–0, 27%. Final score 2–0, 7%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Ross CountyLivingston
0.72 −0.17xG0.58 −0.42
0.85 +0.08xG on target0.00 −0.99
7 −2.3Shots10 +0.2
2 −0.7Shots on target0 −3.3
1 0.0Big chances1 −0.3
43% 0Possession57% +15
306 −7Passes409 +111
58% −4Pass accuracy70% +8
36% −1Field tilt64% +22
30 +1Final-third entries36 +9
8 +0.5Box entries8 −0.5
11.6 −4Passes per defensive action19.9 +5
5 +1.2Corners3 −0.9
13 −3Tackles10 −4
9 −0.5Interceptions5 −4.4
21 −3Clearances19 −6
0 −3.4Saves0 −2.8
15 +3Fouls7 −5
2 +0.1Offsides0 −1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Ross County
Livingston
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
40'60'
0–01–02–0
0'HTFT
Level
40 min (40%) · Ross County 0.09, Livingston 0.37 xG
Ross County ahead
60 min (60%) · Ross County 0.62, Livingston 0.21 xG
Line-ups
Ross County substitutes
57'Samuel for Murray · goal 60'
57'Stones for White
57'Kenneh for Loturi
71'Tillson for Cancola
84'Edwards for Dhanda
Livingston substitutes
62'Penrice for Montano
71'Bahamboula for Bradley · yellow card 73'
71'Perez for Fitzwater
73'Guthrie for Anderson · red card 81'
Players
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
2
Watson
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
5
5
Baldwin
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
4
10
Iacovitti
CB
90
1
0.33
0.00
0
0.05
3
7
Randall
RWB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.11
9
7
Loturi
CM
57
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
1
0
Dhanda
CM
84
2
0.03
0.62
4
0.46
7
2
Cancola
CM
71
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
7
Harmon
LWB
90
0.00
0.04
1
−0.15
1
5
White
ST
57
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Murray
ST
57
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
1
1
Samuel
FW
33
1
0.27
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Stones
FW
33
0.07
0.01
0
−0.07
0
0
Kenneh
MF
33
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
1
Tillson
MF
19
0.02
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Edwards
FW
6
0.00
0.12
1
0.18
3
0
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.07
8
1
Devlin
RB
90
0.06
0.07
1
0.21
9
3
Fitzwater
CB
71
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
9
Boyes
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
3
4
Montano
LB
62
0.04
0.01
0
0.08
6
1
Sean Kelly
DM
90
0.02
0.01
0
0.00
3
3
Holt
DM
90
0.12
0.01
0
0.11
7
2
Bradley
RW
71
0.02
0.09
1
0.02
2
1
Stephen Kelly
AM
90
0.15
0.08
1
0.05
4
1
Nouble
LW
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.01
2
1
Anderson
ST
73
0.17
0.03
3
−0.03
0
1
Penrice
DF
28
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
3
4
Bahamboula
FW
19
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
3
Perez
DF
19
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Guthrie
FW
8
0.00
0.00
0
−0.03
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Ross County
Livingston
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Watson
Baldwin
7
Cancola
Watson
5
Baldwin
Watson
5
Randall
Watson
5
Kenneh
Tillson
5
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Montano
Nouble
10
Stephen Kelly
Sean Kelly
9
Devlin
Holt
8
Holt
Devlin
7
Devlin
Stephen Kelly
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Ross County
Against its average of 33 matches
Livingston
Against its average of 33 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Ross County
Livingston
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Ross County
11th
19%
26%
+7
Bottom
73%
60%
−13
Dundee United
11th
36%
31%
−5
Bottom
15%
21%
+6
Kilmarnock
11th
30%
28%
−2
Bottom
10%
14%
+4
From the forecast before the match (6 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Ross County
Livingston
Expected goals
1.33
1.02
Win
43%
28%
Expected Points
1.58
1.13
Clean sheet
36%
27%
Ross County 43%Draw 29%Livingston 28%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 6 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Ross County win
Draw
Livingston win
Ross County
11th
19%
26%
16%
11%
Bottom
73%
60%
78%
87%
Dundee United
11th
36%
31%
37%
41%
Bottom
15%
21%
13%
8%
Kilmarnock
11th
30%
28%
30%
32%
Bottom
10%
14%
8%
4%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Ross County
Livingston
Position
12th
7th
Played
33
33
Won, drawn, lost
7–6–20
12–6–15
Points
27 (0.82 per game)
42 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.00
1.03
Goals
28–52
33–52
xG per game
0.89–1.50
1.00–1.56
Home: points, xG per game
0.88, 0.92–1.42
1.65, 1.06–1.43
Away: points, xG per game
0.75, 0.85–1.58
0.88, 0.94–1.69
Manager
Malky Mackay (71)
David Martindale (94)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Ross County
Livingston
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−40%
+24%
−38%
+13%
Counter-attacks
−8%
+131%
−80%
+4%
Set pieces
+2%
−2%
−2%
+20%
Penalties
−69%
−54%
+23%
+38%
Headers
+2%
+9%
−33%
+10%
Left side
−29%
+16%
−16%
+7%
Centre
−20%
+18%
−38%
+9%
Right side
−42%
+36%
−33%
+33%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−29%+33%Centre−20%+9%Right side−42%+7%Open play−40%+13%Counter-attacks−8%+4%Set pieces+2%+20%Headers+2%+10%
Livingston attacking
Livingston createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−16%+36%Centre−38%+18%Right side−33%+16%Open play−38%+24%Counter-attacks−80%+131%Set pieces−2%−2%Headers−33%+9%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Ross CountyLivingston
0.89xG1.00
1.50xG against1.56
43%Possession42%
9.3Shots9.8
16.9Shots against13.6
2.7Shots on target3.3
1.0Big chances1.3
17.6Touches in the opposition box18.5
313Passes298
62%Pass accuracy62%
3.8Corners3.9
38%Field tilt42%
28.7Final-third entries26.9
7.5Box entries8.5
15.3Passes per defensive action15.2
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
46
0.81
1.35
Ahead
12
1.08
1.57
Behind
32
0.92
1.69
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
36
1.08
1.39
Ahead
28
0.89
1.51
Behind
26
1.01
1.84
xG by period
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.16
5–4
16–30
0.13
0.18
1–8
31–45
0.13
0.35
3–9
46–60
0.20
0.26
6–10
61–75
0.14
0.22
7–9
76–90
0.17
0.34
6–12
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.22
0.15
10–4
16–30
0.16
0.18
5–6
31–45
0.16
0.36
8–14
46–60
0.13
0.29
3–7
61–75
0.13
0.24
4–12
76–90
0.20
0.34
3–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.