Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 2–0 Livingston

Saturday 6 May 2023, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 3,129

Ross County Iacovitti 40', Samuel 60'

Livingston Guthrie sent off 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyLivingston
Goals20
xG0.720.58
Expected Points1.431.15

Ross County 33%Draw 43%Livingston 24%

Most likely score 0–0, 27%. Final score 2–0, 7%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+15%4%14%3%7%4%1%1%27%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTGuthrie (Livingston), red card 81'Kenneh on for Loturi, Samuel on for Murray, and Stones on for White, 57'Tillson on for Cancola, 71'Edwards on for Dhanda, 84'Penrice on for Montano, 62'Perez on for Fitzwater and Bahamboula on for Bradley, 71'Guthrie on for Anderson, 73'Iacovitti 40'Samuel 60'Ross County 0.72Livingston 0.5800.250.50.750153045607590HTGuthrie (Livingston), red card 81'Kenneh on for Loturi, Samuel on for Murray, and Stones on for White, 57'Tillson on for Cancola, 71'Edwards on for Dhanda, 84'Penrice on for Montano, 62'Perez on for Fitzwater and Bahamboula on for Bradley, 71'Guthrie on for Anderson, 73'Iacovitti 40'Samuel 60'0.720.58Ross CountyLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyLivingston

0.72 −0.17xG0.58 −0.42
0.85 +0.08xG on target0.00 −0.99
7 −2.3Shots10 +0.2
2 −0.7Shots on target0 −3.3
1 0.0Big chances1 −0.3
43% 0Possession57% +15
306 −7Passes409 +111
58% −4Pass accuracy70% +8
36% −1Field tilt64% +22
30 +1Final-third entries36 +9
8 +0.5Box entries8 −0.5
11.6 −4Passes per defensive action19.9 +5
5 +1.2Corners3 −0.9
13 −3Tackles10 −4
9 −0.5Interceptions5 −4.4
21 −3Clearances19 −6
0 −3.4Saves0 −2.8
15 +3Fouls7 −5
2 +0.1Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Iacovitti 68', 0.24 xGSamuel 90+5', 0.11 xGStones 59', 0.07 xGDhanda 74', 0.03 xGTillson 82', 0.02 xGSamuel 60', 0.16 xG, goalIacovitti 40', 0.09 xG, goal58%0.42 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.42 xG, 0 goals35%0.25 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.25 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Holt 3', 0.12 xGAnderson 13', 0.09 xGAnderson 29', 0.08 xGStephen Kelly 90+5', 0.07 xGStephen Kelly 1', 0.06 xGDevlin 45', 0.06 xGMontano 45+1', 0.04 xGStephen Kelly 45+4', 0.03 xGBradley 13', 0.02 xGSean Kelly 69', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals43%0.25 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals34%0.20 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals14%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals9%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyLivingston

0.38 4 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.51 8 shots, 0 goals
0.34 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.06 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
40 min (40%) · Ross County 0.09, Livingston 0.37 xG
Ross County ahead
60 min (60%) · Ross County 0.62, Livingston 0.21 xG

Line-ups

11556214104162617LaidlawWatsonBaldwinIacovittiRandallLoturiDhandaCancolaHarmonWhiteMurrayGoalYellow cardYellow card57'84'71'57'57'Ross County 3-5-2Malky Mackay125151124181617199GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesMontanoSean KellyHoltBradleyStephen KellyNoubleAndersonYellow card71'62'71'73'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale

Ross County substitutes

  • 57' Samuel for Murray · goal 60'
  • 57' Stones for White
  • 57' Kenneh for Loturi
  • 71' Tillson for Cancola
  • 84' Edwards for Dhanda

Livingston substitutes

  • 62' Penrice for Montano
  • 71' Bahamboula for Bradley · yellow card 73'
  • 71' Perez for Fitzwater
  • 73' Guthrie for Anderson · red card 81'

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0212
WatsonCB900.000.0000.0355
BaldwinCB900.000.0000.05410
IacovittiCB9010.330.0000.0537
Randall RWB900.000.0300.1197
Loturi CM570.000.000−0.0110
DhandaCM8420.030.6240.4672
CancolaCM710.000.0100.0127
HarmonLWB900.000.041−0.1515
WhiteST570.000.0000.0101
MurrayST570.000.0000.0311
SamuelFW3310.270.0000.0000
StonesFW330.070.010−0.0700
KennehMF330.000.0100.0131
TillsonMF190.020.0000.0111
EdwardsFW60.000.1210.1830

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0781
DevlinRB900.060.0710.2193
FitzwaterCB710.000.0000.0449
BoyesCB900.000.0100.0534
MontanoLB620.040.0100.0861
Sean KellyDM900.020.0100.0033
HoltDM900.120.0100.1172
BradleyRW710.020.0910.0221
Stephen Kelly AM900.150.0810.0541
NoubleLW900.000.0310.0121
AndersonST730.170.033−0.0301
PenriceDF280.000.0100.0234
Bahamboula FW190.000.0100.0103
PerezDF190.000.0000.0001
Guthrie FW80.000.000−0.0300

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Dhanda: 3 passesBaldwin and White: 3 passesWatson and Randall: 3 passesIacovitti and Dhanda: 3 passesIacovitti and Loturi: 3 passesHarmon and Cancola: 3 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 3 passesBaldwin and Iacovitti: 4 passesBaldwin and Loturi: 4 passesRandall and Murray: 4 passesWatson and Dhanda: 5 passesBaldwin and Watson: 6 passesLaidlaw and Watson: 7 passesWatson and Loturi: 7 passesWatson and Cancola: 8 passesLaidlaw: 6 completed passesBaldwin: 14 completed passesWatson: 18 completed passesIacovitti: 9 completed passesRandall: 7 completed passesHarmon: 6 completed passesCancola: 13 completed passesDhanda: 10 completed passesLoturi: 11 completed passesWhite: 5 completed passesMurray: 1 completed passes15156216410142617LaidlawBaldwinWatsonIacovittiRandallHarmonCancolaDhandaLoturiWhiteMurrayStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Fitzwater and Sean Kelly: 4 passesHolt and Anderson: 4 passesBradley and Anderson: 4 passesStephen Kelly and Anderson: 4 passesNouble and Anderson: 4 passesDevlin and Nouble: 5 passesBoyes and Holt: 5 passesHolt and Sean Kelly: 5 passesHolt and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesGeorge and Boyes: 6 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 7 passesMontano and Sean Kelly: 8 passesMontano and Stephen Kelly: 8 passesHolt and Nouble: 8 passesDevlin and Bradley: 9 passesBoyes and Sean Kelly: 10 passesDevlin and Holt: 11 passesMontano and Holt: 11 passesMontano and Nouble: 12 passesDevlin and Stephen Kelly: 13 passesGeorge: 9 completed passesDevlin: 27 completed passesFitzwater: 15 completed passesBoyes: 21 completed passesMontano: 27 completed passesHolt: 24 completed passesSean Kelly: 23 completed passesBradley: 9 completed passesStephen Kelly: 20 completed passesNouble: 16 completed passesAnderson: 10 completed passes125151118241617199GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesMontanoHoltSean KellyBradleyStephen KellyNoubleAndersonStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
WatsonBaldwin7
CancolaWatson5
BaldwinWatson5
RandallWatson5
KennehTillson5

Livingston

FromToPasses
MontanoNouble10
Stephen KellySean Kelly9
DevlinHolt8
HoltDevlin7
DevlinStephen Kelly7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

7+1.68−0.74−4.09+2.810+1.47−0.38+1.210+2.53−4.88+2.27+3.23−0.45+0.23−0.86+1.42−1.43+0.52−1.01−3.06+2.73+1.24+3.21−0.63+0.610.00−0.40−0.70−0.31+0.410−6.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Livingston

3−2.49+1.513−1.36−2.79+3.77−0.66−0.12−2.98−0.97+1.12−2.61−1.92−2.39+1.95+2.01−1.41−2.23−1.32−0.64+2.410.00−1.41−1.80−1.20−0.30−0.50−0.40−0.74−3.51−3.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.040.020.010.020.030.010.040.060.030.03−0.01−0.030.16−0.13−0.070.270.24LessMore

Livingston

0.010.040.010.010.030.030.010.040.010.030.010.020.040.060.030.040.040.030.04−0.040.010.01−0.020.03−0.010.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackRoss County0.94 → 0.95Livingston0.96 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.48 → 1.45Livingston1.47 → 1.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th19%26%+7
Bottom73%60%−13
Dundee United
11th36%31%−5
Bottom15%21%+6
Kilmarnock
11th30%28%−2
Bottom10%14%+4

From the forecast before the match (6 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyLivingston
Expected goals1.331.02
Win43%28%
Expected Points1.581.13
Clean sheet36%27%

Ross County 43%Draw 29%Livingston 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%2%8%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawLivingston win
Ross County
11th19%26%16%11%
Bottom73%60%78%87%
Dundee United
11th36%31%37%41%
Bottom15%21%13%8%
Kilmarnock
11th30%28%30%32%
Bottom10%14%8%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L1–622 AprHearts (A)xG 1.59–3.68
  2. L0–114 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.94–0.65
  3. W2–08 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.91–0.86
  4. L0–22 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.40–3.30
  5. L1–218 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.29–0.66
  6. L0–24 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.19–1.42

Livingston

  1. L0–222 AprDundee United (A)xG 0.51–0.72
  2. W2–015 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.72–1.13
  3. L0–38 AprMotherwell (A)xG 0.84–1.59
  4. L0–31 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.20–3.07
  5. W2–118 MarRoss County (H)xG 0.66–1.29
  6. D1–18 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.17–1.04

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyLivingston
Position12th7th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠6–⁠2012–⁠6–⁠15
Points27 (0.82 per game)42 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game1.001.03
Goals28–⁠5233–⁠52
xG per game0.89–⁠1.501.00–⁠1.56
Home: points, xG per game0.88, 0.92–⁠1.421.65, 1.06–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 0.85–⁠1.580.88, 0.94–⁠1.69
ManagerMalky Mackay (71)David Martindale (94)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackRoss County0.94, 11thLivingston0.96, 10thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.48, 12thLivingston1.47, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprRoss County attack: 0.94Livingston attack: 0.960.960.94LivingstonRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprRoss County defence: 1.48Livingston defence: 1.471.481.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−40%+24%−38%+13%
Counter-attacks−8%+131%−80%+4%
Set pieces+2%−2%−2%+20%
Penalties−69%−54%+23%+38%
Headers+2%+9%−33%+10%
Left side−29%+16%−16%+7%
Centre−20%+18%−38%+9%
Right side−42%+36%−33%+33%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdLivingston concededLeft side−29%+33%Centre−20%+9%Right side−42%+7%Open play−40%+13%Counter-attacks−8%+4%Set pieces+2%+20%Headers+2%+10%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRoss County concededLeft side−16%+36%Centre−38%+18%Right side−33%+16%Open play−38%+24%Counter-attacks−80%+131%Set pieces−2%−2%Headers−33%+9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyLivingston

0.89xG1.00
1.50xG against1.56
43%Possession42%
9.3Shots9.8
16.9Shots against13.6
2.7Shots on target3.3
1.0Big chances1.3
17.6Touches in the opposition box18.5
313Passes298
62%Pass accuracy62%
3.8Corners3.9
38%Field tilt42%
28.7Final-third entries26.9
7.5Box entries8.5
15.3Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.811.35
Ahead121.081.57
Behind320.921.69

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.081.39
Ahead280.891.51
Behind261.011.84

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.165–4
16–300.130.181–8
31–450.130.353–9
46–600.200.266–10
61–750.140.227–9
76–900.170.346–12

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.1510–4
16–300.160.185–6
31–450.160.368–14
46–600.130.293–7
61–750.130.244–12
76–900.200.343–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 33Randall 14Johnson 14Watson 3Baldwin 22Watson 7Smith 4Iacovitti 32Harmon 13Purrington 11Kenneh 4Loturi 14Callachan 8Harmon 6Cancola 16Tillson 12Kenneh 6Edwards 8Watson 5Sims 4Dhanda 11Callachan 8Tillson 4Edwards 6White 5Harmon 4White 22Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Brophy 44-2-3-1 in 21 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWGeorge 28Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 30Bahamboula 2Bradley 1Fitzwater 21de Lucas 4Devlin 1Obileye 20Boyes 13Sean Kelly 6Montano 20Penrice 8Pittman 2Sean Kelly 18Omeonga 14Shinnie 12Holt 22Pittman 19Stephen Kelly 8Goncalves 1Bradley 9Bahamboula 7Shinnie 5Anderson 16Nouble 13Guthrie 3Nouble 11Stephen Kelly 7Pittman 44-3-3 in 9 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (9), 4-3-2-1 (8), 4-2-3-1 (7), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 March 2023Livingston2–1Ross CountyxG 0.66–1.29
7 January 2023Ross County0–2LivingstonxG 0.86–0.90
8 October 2022Livingston0–1Ross CountyxG 1.73–0.53
9 February 2022Ross County1–1LivingstonxG 0.48–1.75
18 December 2021Livingston1–1Ross CountyxG 1.00–0.57
23 October 2021Ross County2–3LivingstonxG 2.11–0.57

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Livingston won 5, and 3 were drawn. Goals 8–14 and xG 0.90–1.19 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy8536320.370.08
Sims9751000.180.16
White282,514720.270.06
Edwards151,465320.170.08

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson171,517520.220.09
Sean Kelly241,947220.170.10
Bradley10787120.120.14
Nouble252,240720.180.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.