Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 0–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 6 April 2024, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 32 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Graham Grainger · Attendance 2,797

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonAberdeen
Goals00
xG0.760.92
Expected Points1.081.53

Livingston 23%Draw 39%Aberdeen 38%

Most likely score 0–1, 25%. Final score 0–0, 12%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+12%6%9%6%3%8%2%2%25%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTAnderson on for Bradley, 59'Holt on for Brandon, 66'Sangare on for Nottingham, 81'MacDonald on for Jensen, 46'Duk on for Hoilett, 66'Polvara on for Barron, 73'Sokler on for McGrath, 84'Aberdeen 0.92Livingston 0.7600.250.50.7510153045607590HTAnderson on for Bradley, 59'Holt on for Brandon, 66'Sangare on for Nottingham, 81'MacDonald on for Jensen, 46'Duk on for Hoilett, 66'Polvara on for Barron, 73'Sokler on for McGrath, 84'0.920.76LivingstonAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonAberdeen

0.76 −0.17xG0.92 −0.39
0.32 −0.45xG on target0.85 −0.36
9 −0.3Shots5 −6.9
1 −1.4Shots on target3 −1.0
1 −0.2Big chances1 −0.6
21 +4Touches in the opposition box9 −14
44% +1Possession56% +9
345 +25Passes449 +91
72% +11Pass accuracy78% +12
55% +15Field tilt45% 0
30 +4Final-third entries34 +4
9 +1.8Box entries3 −7.7
15.0 0Passes per defensive action21.4 +7
2 −1.2Corners5 +0.5
22 +5Tackles16 −1
6 −1.2Interceptions10 +2.3
11 −13Clearances16 −9
3 0.0Saves1 −2.4
15 +3Fouls7 −4
0 −1.8Offsides2 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Bradley 4', 0.22 xGStephen Kelly 43', 0.13 xGAnderson 69', 0.08 xGObileye 90+7', 0.08 xGSangare 90+7', 0.08 xGStephen Kelly 41', 0.05 xGObileye 82', 0.05 xGStephen Kelly 90+6', 0.05 xGMackay 45+9', 0.02 xG11%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals80%0.61 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.61 xG, 0 goals7%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Miovski 20', 0.68 xGMacDonald 52', 0.16 xGMcGrath 52', 0.04 xGMiovski 88', 0.03 xGJensen 19', 0.02 xG17%0.16 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.16 xG, 0 goals75%0.69 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonAberdeen

0.47 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.68 1 shot, 0 goals
0.29 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.22 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
106 min (100%) · Livingston 0.76, Aberdeen 0.92 xG

Line-ups

121562412816101133GeorgeNottinghamDevlinObileyeSean KellyBrandonPittmanBradleyStephen KellyMackayYengiYellow cardYellow card81'66'59'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale24265384710309RoosDevlinGartenmannJensenMacKenzieBarronShinnieMcGrathClarksonHoilettMiovski46'73'84'66'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Peter Leven

Livingston substitutes

  • 59' Anderson for Bradley
  • 66' Holt for Brandon
  • 81' Sangare for Nottingham

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' MacDonald for Jensen
  • 66' Duk for Hoilett
  • 73' Polvara for Barron
  • 84' Sokler for McGrath

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0120
NottinghamRB810.000.0200.0538
Devlin CB900.000.0110.1087
ObileyeCB900.130.0000.0224
Sean KellyLB900.000.3830.2972
BrandonDM660.000.0700.0812
PittmanDM900.000.0100.0033
BradleyRW590.220.0200.0115
Stephen KellyAM900.230.1300.1050
MackayLW900.020.0330.09120
Yengi ST900.000.3400.0024
AndersonFW310.080.0100.1901
HoltMF240.000.0000.0112
SangareMF90.080.0000.0002

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0211
DevlinRB900.000.0210.0567
GartenmannCB900.000.0100.111110
JensenCB460.020.0000.1043
MacKenzieLB900.000.0100.0649
BarronDM730.000.1510.0432
ShinnieDM900.000.021−0.0114
McGrathRW840.040.0100.0131
ClarksonAM900.000.4710.1071
HoilettLW660.000.0000.0241
MiovskiST900.700.0100.0311
MacDonaldDF440.160.0000.0441
DukFW240.000.000−0.0101
PolvaraMF170.000.000−0.0104
SoklerFW60.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

George and Nottingham: 3 passesDevlin and Mackay: 3 passesDevlin and Yengi: 3 passesSean Kelly and Yengi: 3 passesPittman and Brandon: 3 passesPittman and Bradley: 3 passesBrandon and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesBradley and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesObileye and Brandon: 4 passesSean Kelly and Mackay: 4 passesBrandon and Bradley: 4 passesBradley and Yengi: 4 passesMackay and Yengi: 4 passesNottingham and Devlin: 5 passesStephen Kelly and Yengi: 5 passesNottingham and Brandon: 6 passesObileye and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesDevlin and Brandon: 6 passesDevlin and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesNottingham and Stephen Kelly: 7 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 7 passesGeorge and Obileye: 9 passesObileye and Sean Kelly: 9 passesNottingham and Bradley: 10 passesGeorge and Devlin: 11 passesGeorge: 16 completed passesNottingham: 20 completed passesObileye: 18 completed passesDevlin: 19 completed passesSean Kelly: 18 completed passesPittman: 8 completed passesBrandon: 17 completed passesBradley: 13 completed passesStephen Kelly: 19 completed passesMackay: 6 completed passesYengi: 11 completed passes121652481216101133GeorgeNottinghamObileyeDevlinSean KellyPittmanBrandonBradleyStephen KellyMackayYengiStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Gartenmann and Hoilett: 4 passesBarron and McGrath: 4 passesDevlin and Barron: 5 passesJensen and Barron: 5 passesMacKenzie and Shinnie: 5 passesBarron and Miovski: 5 passesGartenmann and McGrath: 6 passesGartenmann and Clarkson: 7 passesMacKenzie and Hoilett: 7 passesRoos and Jensen: 8 passesDevlin and McGrath: 9 passesGartenmann and Barron: 9 passesJensen and MacKenzie: 9 passesDevlin and Gartenmann: 10 passesBarron and Clarkson: 10 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 15 passesGartenmann and Jensen: 34 passesRoos: 21 completed passesDevlin: 16 completed passesGartenmann: 47 completed passesJensen: 34 completed passesMacKenzie: 20 completed passesShinnie: 10 completed passesBarron: 22 completed passesMcGrath: 9 completed passesClarkson: 18 completed passesHoilett: 8 completed passesMiovski: 8 completed passes24265348710309RoosDevlinGartenmannJensenMacKenzieShinnieBarronMcGrathClarksonHoilettMiovskiStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
Sean KellyObileye10
Sean KellyStephen Kelly9
GeorgeDevlin8
ObileyeSean Kelly8
Sean KellyYengi7

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
JensenGartenmann18
GartenmannJensen16
RoosGartenmann15
DevlinMcGrath12
MacKenzieHoilett10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

2−3.53−4.22−4.82−3.412+5.27−0.25+0.65−2.47−0.17+1.17+1.75+1.55−0.76+0.22−2.54+0.17+5.230.050.04+0.92+0.20−0.80−2.11−1.91+0.10−0.30−0.63+2.71+0.39−6.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Aberdeen

1−3.93−5.15−2.57+2.714+6.61−5.35−1.24−4.79+0.53−2.91−4.33−0.73−2.06−0.13−1.74+0.83+1.06+2.56+1.21−1.51−0.91+0.11−0.61−1.50−1.00−0.60−0.40−0.30−0.39−7.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.030.020.020.010.070.040.010.020.010.030.020.100.030.10−0.010.050.010.06−0.050.190.17LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.030.020.030.030.030.020.030.020.010.010.01−0.01−0.040.04−0.010.060.050.050.070.05LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackLivingston0.93 → 0.92Aberdeen1.15 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.53 → 1.53Aberdeen1.43 → 1.42

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th3%2%−1
Bottom96%97%+1
Aberdeen
11th1%1%0
Ross County
11th60%61%+1
Bottom3%2%−1

From the forecast before the match (6 April 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonAberdeen
Expected goals1.221.22
Win36%36%
Expected Points1.361.36
Clean sheet30%30%

Livingston 36%Draw 29%Aberdeen 36%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%6%3%8%3%1%6%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%10%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 April 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawAberdeen win
Livingston
11th3%6%2%1%
Bottom96%93%97%99%
Aberdeen
11th1%2%1%<1%
Ross County
11th60%56%61%63%
Bottom3%5%2%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–331 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.14–2.11
  2. L0–316 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.93–2.56
  3. D1–12 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.54–1.09
  4. L1–328 FebMotherwell (H)xG 0.92–1.25
  5. L2–324 FebRoss County (A)xG 1.13–1.06
  6. W1–017 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.97–2.07

Aberdeen

  1. W2–130 MarRoss County (H)xG 0.71–0.82
  2. W1–016 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.17–1.32
  3. L0–113 MarDundee FC (A)xG 0.66–1.92
  4. L1–22 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.98–2.01
  5. L0–228 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.17–1.69
  6. L0–224 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.48–1.94

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonAberdeen
Position12th9th
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠8–⁠208–⁠9–⁠14
Points17 (0.55 per game)33 (1.06 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.19
Goals20–⁠5535–⁠49
xG per game0.93–⁠1.381.31–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game0.73, 1.11–⁠1.291.20, 1.50–⁠1.49
Away: points, xG per game0.38, 0.76–⁠1.480.94, 1.12–⁠1.76
ManagerDavid Martindale (130)Peter Leven (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackLivingston0.93, 12thAberdeen1.15, 7thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.53, 11thAberdeen1.43, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarLivingston attack: 0.93Aberdeen attack: 1.151.150.93AberdeenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarLivingston defence: 1.53Aberdeen defence: 1.431.531.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−47%+3%−13%+18%
Counter-attacks−26%+18%+57%−11%
Set pieces−19%+3%+16%+11%
Penalties+14%−18%−35%+63%
Headers−28%−13%−6%+17%
Left side−42%+26%−3%+12%
Centre−30%−5%+12%+18%
Right side−48%−1%−20%+8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−42%+8%Centre−30%+18%Right side−48%+12%Open play−47%+18%Counter-attacks−26%−11%Set pieces−19%+11%Headers−28%+17%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−3%−1%Centre+12%−5%Right side−20%+26%Open play−13%+3%Counter-attacks+57%+18%Set pieces+16%+3%Headers−6%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonAberdeen

0.93xG1.31
1.38xG against1.63
43%Possession47%
9.3Shots11.9
13.6Shots against13.4
2.4Shots on target4.0
1.2Big chances1.6
16.7Touches in the opposition box23.3
320Passes358
62%Pass accuracy66%
3.2Corners4.5
40%Field tilt45%
26.4Final-third entries30.5
7.2Box entries10.7
14.7Passes per defensive action14.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.801.24
Ahead90.931.60
Behind331.121.53

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.021.44
Ahead201.511.61
Behind241.682.01

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.232–5
16–300.070.172–9
31–450.190.164–7
46–600.120.303–10
61–750.150.174–7
76–900.310.365–17

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.234–7
16–300.160.346–8
31–450.290.199–3
46–600.230.206–4
61–750.240.265–9
76–900.280.415–18

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTGeorge 25Hamilton 4McGovern 2Nottingham 11de Lucas 10Shinnie 3Obileye 25Devlin 19Sean Kelly 8Parkes 3Brandon 17Mackay 4Nottingham 3Holt 28Penrice 7Carson 5Shinnie 12Pittman 4Sean Kelly 2Penrice 15Sean Kelly 4Montano 3Pittman 13Stephen Kelly 8Bradley 6Nouble 11Anderson 7Shinnie 6Nouble 9Guthrie 9Yengi 73-4-2-1 in 8 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 31Gartenmann 26Devlin 5McGrath 5Rubezic 16MacDonald 9Jensen 22MacKenzie 4Devlin 25Milne 3Morris 3Barron 16Clarkson 12McGrath 3Shinnie 29MacKenzie 15McGarry 6Hayes 5Clarkson 10McGrath 10Polvara 6Miovski 30Sokler 4Duk 13McGrath 7Hoilett 43-4-1-2 in 10 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (10), 4-2-3-1 (9), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 December 2023Aberdeen2–1LivingstonxG 1.00–1.53
5 August 2023Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.76–0.70
25 February 2023Aberdeen1–0LivingstonxG 1.08–0.43
8 November 2022Livingston2–1AberdeenxG 1.29–3.34
27 August 2022Aberdeen5–0LivingstonxG 4.14–0.53
23 April 2022Aberdeen1–2LivingstonxG 2.15–1.54

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 4, Aberdeen won 7, and 2 were drawn. Goals 12–19 and xG 1.00–1.59 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Yengi7655310.410.08
Anderson131,512500.320.06
Mackay7713110.130.16
Bradley7524000.180.11

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski312,6941420.430.10
Sokler4539010.440.06
Duk141,378450.270.16
McGrath252,126810.270.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.