Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 0–3 Celtic

Sunday 31 March 2024, 12:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 31 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 8,396

Celtic Brandon 49' (og), Bernardo 72', O'Riley 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonCeltic
Goals03
xG0.142.11
Expected Points0.172.70

Livingston 2%Draw 13%Celtic 86%

Most likely score 0–2, 25%. Final score 0–3, 18%.

Celtic goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%18%9%3%1%4%4%3%1%22%25%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMackay on for Bradley, 53'Anderson on for Holt, 73'Guthrie on for Stephen Kelly, 80'Bernardo on for Hatate, 65'Yang on for Kühn and Idah on for Furuhashi, 71'Forrest on for Maeda and Kelly on for O'Riley, 87'Brandon 49' (og)Bernardo 72'O'Riley 82'Celtic 2.11Livingston 0.1401230153045607590HTMackay on for Bradley, 53'Anderson on for Holt, 73'Guthrie on for Stephen Kelly, 80'Bernardo on for Hatate, 65'Yang on for Kühn and Idah on for Furuhashi, 71'Forrest on for Maeda and Kelly on for O'Riley, 87'Brandon 49' (og)Bernardo 72'O'Riley 82'2.110.14LivingstonCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonCeltic

0.14 −0.82xG2.11 −0.60
0.32 −0.46xG on target3.47 +0.78
5 −4.5Shots21 +0.7
1 −1.5Shots on target10 +2.5
0 −1.2Big chances5 +0.8
9 −8Touches in the opposition box69 +23
24% −20Possession76% +6
209 −115Passes658 −5
56% −6Pass accuracy84% −1
8% −33Field tilt92% +12
13 −14Final-third entries79 +1
1 −6.4Box entries35 +10.5
23.1 +9Passes per defensive action7.7 −3
0 −3.3Corners8 −1.5
19 +2Tackles22 +7
8 +0.9Interceptions2 −3.1
37 +13Clearances6 −9
8 +5.2Saves1 −0.8
7 −5.5Fouls8 −1.8
0 −1.9Offsides3 +0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Stephen Kelly 54', 0.04 xGAnderson 81', 0.04 xGObileye 16', 0.02 xGBrandon 80', 0.02 xGBrandon 90+4', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals40%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals47%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals13%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Furuhashi 51', 0.35 xGHatate 49', 0.29 xGFuruhashi 68', 0.21 xGFuruhashi 49', 0.19 xGKühn 56', 0.17 xGKelly 90+1', 0.13 xGKühn 4', 0.09 xGFuruhashi 45+2', 0.09 xGHatate 5', 0.08 xGForrest 89', 0.08 xGKühn 60', 0.06 xGHatate 40', 0.05 xGIwata 69', 0.04 xGO'Riley 82', 0.04 xGO'Riley 82', 0.03 xGIdah 87', 0.03 xGScales 57', 0.02 xGHatate 59', 0.01 xGO'Riley 69', 0.01 xGO'Riley 82', 0.09 xG, goalBernardo 72', 0.04 xG, goal37%0.77 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.77 xG, 0 goals28%0.59 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.59 xG, 1 goal18%0.38 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.38 xG, 0 goals16%0.33 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.33 xG, 1 goal1%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonCeltic

0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.71 14 shots, 2 goals
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.09 1 shot, 0 goals
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.31 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
51 min (53%) · Livingston 0.02, Celtic 0.79 xG
Celtic ahead
45 min (47%) · Livingston 0.13, Celtic 1.33 xG

Line-ups

121562418128101633GeorgeNottinghamDevlinObileyeSean KellyHoltBrandonPittmanStephen KellyBradleyYengiYellow cardOwn goal73'80'53'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale12205333244110838HartJohnstonCarter-VickersScalesTaylorO'RileyIwataHatateKühnFuruhashiMaedaGoal87'65'71'71'87'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers

Livingston substitutes

  • 53' Mackay for Bradley
  • 73' Anderson for Holt
  • 80' Guthrie for Stephen Kelly

Celtic substitutes

  • 65' Bernardo for Hatate · goal 72'
  • 71' Idah for Furuhashi · 1 assist
  • 71' Yang for Kühn
  • 87' Kelly for O'Riley
  • 87' Forrest for Maeda

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0211
NottinghamRB900.000.0210.03310
Devlin CB900.000.0100.03313
ObileyeCB900.020.0200.0447
Sean KellyLB900.000.0100.02210
HoltDM730.000.0000.0117
BrandonDM900.040.0000.0027
PittmanRW900.000.000−0.0304
Stephen KellyAM800.040.0000.0112
BradleyLW530.000.000−0.0101
YengiST900.000.0000.0124
MackayFW370.000.0310.0032
AndersonFW170.040.0000.0500
GuthrieFW100.000.000−0.0300

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0101
JohnstonRB900.000.2700.2060
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0500.29272
ScalesCB900.020.0400.10176
TaylorLB900.000.0620.11123
O'RileyCM87110.180.183−0.0114
IwataCM900.040.1310.1346
HatateCM650.430.1410.1581
KühnRW710.320.8030.54165
FuruhashiST710.840.0200.0210
MaedaLW870.000.1720.0991
BernardoMF2510.040.1210.0921
IdahFW1910.030.191−0.0100
YangFW190.000.0910.1250
KellyMF30.130.000−0.0120
ForrestFW30.080.2310.2231

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

George and Nottingham: 3 passesGeorge and Devlin: 3 passesNottingham and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 3 passesNottingham and Yengi: 4 passesObileye and Brandon: 4 passesBrandon and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesStephen Kelly and Yengi: 5 passesGeorge and Yengi: 6 passesGeorge: 11 completed passesNottingham: 6 completed passesObileye: 8 completed passesDevlin: 6 completed passesSean Kelly: 6 completed passesHolt: 6 completed passesBrandon: 7 completed passesPittman: 2 completed passesStephen Kelly: 8 completed passesBradley: 5 completed passesYengi: 6 completed passes121652418128101633GeorgeNottinghamObileyeDevlinSean KellyHoltBrandonPittmanStephen KellyBradleyYengiStarters until 53' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Scales and Iwata: 7 passesScales and Furuhashi: 7 passesO'Riley and Kühn: 7 passesScales and Maeda: 8 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Kühn: 9 passesO'Riley and Hatate: 9 passesIwata and Hatate: 10 passesIwata and Kühn: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and Hatate: 12 passesHatate and Kühn: 12 passesHart and Scales: 13 passesTaylor and Iwata: 13 passesTaylor and Maeda: 13 passesHatate and Maeda: 13 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 14 passesTaylor and Hatate: 15 passesJohnston and Kühn: 16 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 16 passesJohnston and Iwata: 17 passesScales and Taylor: 18 passesScales and Hatate: 19 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 20 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 41 passesHart: 23 completed passesJohnston: 35 completed passesScales: 64 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 65 completed passesTaylor: 43 completed passesO'Riley: 33 completed passesIwata: 39 completed passesHatate: 47 completed passesKühn: 22 completed passesFuruhashi: 6 completed passesMaeda: 16 completed passes12520333244110838HartJohnstonScalesCarter-VickersTaylorO'RileyIwataHatateKühnFuruhashiMaedaStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
GeorgeYengi7
BrandonObileye6
YengiStephen Kelly4
ObileyeSean Kelly4
GeorgeNottingham3

Celtic

FromToPasses
ScalesCarter-Vickers29
Carter-VickersScales26
Carter-VickersJohnston16
HartScales15
IwataJohnston15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

3−2.69+1.927+11.417+10.55−0.410+3.312+5.07+2.77−0.47−0.13−3.03−2.34+0.55−0.72−3.93−1.65+1.21−0.90−3.14−1.11−2.26+4.32+1.20−2.21−2.01+0.10−0.31+0.40−0.32+1.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Celtic

2−0.82−2.05−0.76+1.36+0.73−1.47+3.112+5.96−1.15+0.43−0.93−0.56−0.15−2.21−3.24+1.00−2.53−0.24−1.10−3.75+2.13+1.05+2.33−0.72+1.00−0.62+1.42+1.32+0.83−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.020.010.010.020.010.010.020.010.030.01−0.010.01−0.010.02−0.01−0.030.020.01−0.01−0.01−0.020.05LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.060.070.050.030.020.060.030.090.030.070.070.090.120.040.110.150.010.200.20−0.280.190.080.51LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackLivingston0.95 → 0.93Celtic2.32 → 2.34Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.51 → 1.53Celtic0.76 → 0.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th5%4%−1
Bottom94%96%+2
Celtic
Title34%38%+4
Rangers
Title66%62%−4
Ross County
11th59%60%+1
Bottom4%3%−1

From the forecast before the match (31 March 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonCeltic
Expected goals0.662.42
Win8%76%
Expected Points0.402.44
Clean sheet9%52%

Livingston 8%Draw 16%Celtic 76%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 45%.

Celtic goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+5%7%3%2%3%8%9%7%4%2%1%1%2%3%2%1%11%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 31 March 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawCeltic win
Livingston
11th5%13%6%4%
Bottom94%84%93%96%
Celtic
Title34%19%22%38%
Rangers
Title66%81%78%62%
Ross County
11th59%55%58%60%
Bottom4%11%6%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–316 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.93–2.56
  2. D1–12 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.54–1.09
  3. L1–328 FebMotherwell (H)xG 0.92–1.25
  4. L2–324 FebRoss County (A)xG 1.13–1.06
  5. W1–017 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.97–2.07
  6. L0–17 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.72–0.75

Celtic

  1. W3–116 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 4.02–0.73
  2. L0–23 MarHearts (A)xG 2.45–1.65
  3. W7–128 FebDundee FC (H)xG 2.59–0.45
  4. W3–125 FebMotherwell (A)xG 2.87–0.69
  5. D1–117 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.49–0.95
  6. W2–17 FebHibernian (A)xG 2.07–1.00

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonCeltic
Position12th2nd
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠8–⁠1922–⁠5–⁠3
Points17 (0.57 per game)71 (2.37 per game)
Expected Points per game1.182.36
Goals20–⁠5271–⁠23
xG per game0.96–⁠1.362.71–⁠0.87
Home: points, xG per game0.79, 1.18–⁠1.232.40, 2.93–⁠0.74
Away: points, xG per game0.38, 0.76–⁠1.482.33, 2.48–⁠1.01
ManagerDavid Martindale (129)Brendan Rodgers (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackLivingston0.95, 11thCeltic2.32, 1stDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.51, 11thCeltic0.76, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarLivingston attack: 0.95Celtic attack: 2.322.320.95CelticLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarLivingston defence: 1.51Celtic defence: 0.761.510.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−45%−1%+118%−31%
Counter-attacks−25%+18%+92%−14%
Set pieces−17%+3%+42%−31%
Penalties+18%−16%+118%−83%
Headers−26%−12%+55%−22%
Left side−40%+16%+96%−15%
Centre−29%−5%+85%−32%
Right side−47%−1%+116%−42%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−40%−42%Centre−29%−32%Right side−47%−15%Open play−45%−31%Counter-attacks−25%−14%Set pieces−17%−31%Headers−26%−22%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+96%−1%Centre+85%−5%Right side+116%+16%Open play+118%−1%Counter-attacks+92%+18%Set pieces+42%+3%Headers+55%−12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonCeltic

0.96xG2.71
1.36xG against0.87
44%Possession70%
9.5Shots20.3
13.4Shots against8.0
2.5Shots on target7.5
1.2Big chances4.2
17.0Touches in the opposition box45.6
324Passes663
62%Pass accuracy85%
3.3Corners9.5
41%Field tilt80%
26.8Final-third entries78.2
7.4Box entries24.5
14.5Passes per defensive action10.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.831.24
Ahead90.931.60
Behind331.161.47

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level402.750.80
Ahead442.751.01
Behind62.080.40

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.232–5
16–300.080.172–9
31–450.200.164–7
46–600.130.283–9
61–750.160.174–6
76–900.310.365–16

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.390.1010–2
16–300.460.0711–2
31–450.350.1910–3
46–600.450.1212–4
61–750.320.187–4
76–900.740.2221–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTGeorge 24Hamilton 4McGovern 2Nottingham 11de Lucas 10Shinnie 3Obileye 24Devlin 18Sean Kelly 8Parkes 3Brandon 17Mackay 4Nouble 3Shinnie 12Penrice 7Carson 5Holt 27Pittman 4Sean Kelly 2Penrice 15Montano 3Sean Kelly 3Pittman 13Shinnie 6Bradley 5Nouble 11Stephen Kelly 7Anderson 7Nouble 9Guthrie 9Yengi 63-4-2-1 in 8 of 30 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 29Bain 1Johnston 25Ralston 5Carter-Vickers 17Nawrocki 5Welsh 4Scales 27Taylor 27Bernabei 3O'Riley 29Maeda 1McGregor 28Iwata 6Bernardo 11Turnbull 9Hatate 4Maeda 9Yang 7Abada 5Furuhashi 23Idah 4Oh 3Palma 17Maeda 11Yang 24-3-3 in 29 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (29), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
23 December 2023Celtic2–0LivingstonxG 3.66–0.00
23 September 2023Livingston0–3CelticxG 0.94–2.61
1 February 2023Celtic3–0LivingstonxG 1.51–0.35
21 December 2022Celtic2–1LivingstonxG 1.96–0.28
30 October 2022Livingston0–3CelticxG 0.24–2.47
6 March 2022Livingston1–3CelticxG 0.85–3.63

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Celtic won 8, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–27 and xG 0.63–2.12 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Yengi6565310.480.09
Anderson131,495500.320.07
Bradley6471000.200.13
Mackay7676110.140.17

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Turnbull9676700.710.39
Oh3610500.940.05
Palma171,327690.460.44
Furuhashi241,9891040.620.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.