Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 0–2 Livingston

Saturday 7 January 2023, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 21 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 3,083

Livingston Anderson 67', 70'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyLivingston
Goals02
xG0.860.90
Expected Points1.291.34

Ross County 31%Draw 37%Livingston 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 0–2, 6%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%6%6%3%1%1%16%15%15%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTHiwula-Mayifuila on for Olaigbe, 59'Loturi on for Cancola, 65'Obileye on for Bradley, 79'Bahamboula on for Stephen Kelly, 90+3'Anderson 67'Anderson 70'Livingston 0.90Ross County 0.8600.250.50.7510153045607590HTHiwula-Mayifuila on for Olaigbe, 59'Loturi on for Cancola, 65'Obileye on for Bradley, 79'Bahamboula on for Stephen Kelly, 90+3'Anderson 67'Anderson 70'0.900.86Ross CountyLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyLivingston

0.86 +0.15xG0.90 −0.24
0.19 −0.56xG on target1.62 +0.41
10 +2.5Shots12 +2.4
2 −0.1Shots on target5 +1.6
2 +1.1Big chances1 −0.7
19 +5Touches in the opposition box18 −1
56% +14Possession44% +6
383 +60Passes304 +30
63% −2Pass accuracy56% −6
70% +35Field tilt30% −8
40 +11Final-third entries22 −3
10 +3.1Box entries12 +4.2
15.4 0Passes per defensive action14.9 −2
4 +1.0Corners4 +0.2
13 −4Tackles17 +4
9 −1Interceptions15 +4
23 +1Clearances29 +2
3 −0.5Saves2 −1.2
8 −4Fouls7 −6
3 +0.9Offsides1 −0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Cancola 60', 0.29 xGCallachan 47', 0.18 xGWatson 64', 0.09 xGCallachan 65', 0.09 xGTillson 90+1', 0.09 xGWhite 68', 0.04 xGEdwards 11', 0.03 xGIacovitti 85', 0.02 xGLoturi 90+4', 0.02 xGWhite 23', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals89%0.76 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.76 xG, 0 goals5%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Boyes 8', 0.12 xGAnderson 7', 0.08 xGAnderson 30', 0.08 xGAnderson 90+4', 0.08 xGStephen Kelly 63', 0.05 xGBradley 7', 0.03 xGPenrice 53', 0.03 xGOmeonga 7', 0.02 xGSean Kelly 29', 0.02 xGOmeonga 40', 0.02 xGAnderson 67', 0.29 xG, goalAnderson 70', 0.07 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals54%0.49 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.49 xG, 1 goal17%0.15 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 1 goal27%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyLivingston

0.39 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.71 10 shots, 1 goal
0.29 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.07 1 shot, 1 goal
0.18 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.12 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
67 min (71%) · Ross County 0.68, Livingston 0.74 xG
Livingston ahead
27 min (29%) · Ross County 0.18, Livingston 0.15 xG

Line-ups

1215616422178726LaidlawRandallWatsonIacovittiHarmonCancolaTillsonOlaigbeCallachanEdwardsWhite65'59'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay125152922243316917GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesPenriceShinnieSean KellyOmeongaBradleyAndersonStephen KellyYellow cardGoalGoal79'90+3'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

Ross County substitutes

  • 59' Hiwula-Mayifuila for Olaigbe
  • 65' Loturi for Cancola

Livingston substitutes

  • 79' Obileye for Bradley
  • 90+3' Bahamboula for Stephen Kelly

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0650
RandallRB900.000.1210.09611
WatsonCB900.090.0100.1074
IacovittiCB900.020.0000.0546
HarmonLB900.000.1620.2739
CancolaDM650.290.0200.0437
TillsonDM900.090.0710.0623
OlaigbeRW590.000.0000.0033
CallachanAM900.270.040−0.0622
EdwardsLW900.030.0300.0361
WhiteST900.050.1210.0934
Hiwula-MayifuilaFW310.000.0510.0400
LoturiMF250.020.0000.0110

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0331
DevlinRB900.000.0910.14710
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.03310
BoyesCB900.120.0100.0436
PenriceLB900.030.0100.0119
ShinnieCM9010.000.033−0.0225
Sean Kelly CM900.020.0310.0754
OmeongaCM900.040.0200.0469
BradleyRW7910.030.5020.1746
AndersonST9020.600.0300.0020
Stephen KellyLW900.050.0720.1032
ObileyeDF110.000.0000.0000
BahamboulaFW00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and Randall: 4 passesLaidlaw and Watson: 4 passesRandall and White: 4 passesCancola and Tillson: 4 passesTillson and Olaigbe: 4 passesCallachan and Edwards: 4 passesRandall and Tillson: 5 passesTillson and Edwards: 5 passesOlaigbe and Callachan: 5 passesIacovitti and Tillson: 6 passesHarmon and Callachan: 6 passesTillson and Callachan: 6 passesWatson and Cancola: 7 passesIacovitti and Harmon: 7 passesCancola and Callachan: 7 passesRandall and Cancola: 9 passesHarmon and Cancola: 9 passesRandall and Callachan: 11 passesHarmon and Edwards: 11 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 12 passesRandall and Watson: 14 passesRandall and Olaigbe: 14 passesLaidlaw: 18 completed passesRandall: 32 completed passesWatson: 14 completed passesIacovitti: 14 completed passesHarmon: 19 completed passesCancola: 26 completed passesTillson: 20 completed passesOlaigbe: 15 completed passesCallachan: 21 completed passesEdwards: 13 completed passesWhite: 5 completed passes1215616422178726LaidlawRandallWatsonIacovittiHarmonCancolaTillsonOlaigbeCallachanEdwardsWhiteStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Livingston

Devlin and Sean Kelly: 4 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 4 passesFitzwater and Bradley: 4 passesSean Kelly and Shinnie: 4 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesShinnie and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesFitzwater and Omeonga: 5 passesOmeonga and Sean Kelly: 5 passesOmeonga and Bradley: 5 passesOmeonga and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesDevlin and Bradley: 6 passesBoyes and Penrice: 6 passesBoyes and Sean Kelly: 6 passesBoyes and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesAnderson and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesGeorge and Fitzwater: 7 passesGeorge and Boyes: 8 passesFitzwater and Boyes: 10 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 14 passesPenrice and Stephen Kelly: 16 passesGeorge: 17 completed passesDevlin: 17 completed passesFitzwater: 18 completed passesBoyes: 21 completed passesPenrice: 25 completed passesOmeonga: 18 completed passesSean Kelly: 17 completed passesShinnie: 15 completed passesBradley: 12 completed passesAnderson: 6 completed passesStephen Kelly: 21 completed passes125152933242216917GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesPenriceOmeongaSean KellyShinnieBradleyAndersonStephen KellyStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
RandallWatson10
OlaigbeRandall10
RandallCallachan9
HarmonEdwards9
LaidlawIacovitti8

Livingston

FromToPasses
PenriceShinnie10
PenriceStephen Kelly9
Stephen KellyPenrice7
ShinniePenrice5
GeorgeBoyes5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

3−3.217+0.77−0.510+4.411+3.59+1.56−0.94+0.12−1.64−0.74+0.12−2.35+1.42−0.66+3.140.06+3.54+2.41+0.40−1.42+0.10−0.70−0.40−0.70−0.20−0.64−4.84−4.13−4.31−4.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Livingston

8+2.55−3.714+5.74−0.910+2.45−1.33−1.811+4.29+0.58+2.44−0.81−1.73−1.070.09+5.430.01−1.41−1.75+1.22−0.20−1.52+1.24+2.84+1.74+3.00−0.20−0.50−0.40−0.510−5.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.030.010.050.020.010.01−0.010.040.030.020.080.010.020.010.030.070.050.010.010.01−0.010.030.010.24LessMore

Livingston

0.020.010.020.020.010.010.030.020.020.020.060.060.010.030.010.080.05−0.010.05−0.05−0.010.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.23AttackRoss County0.86 → 0.86Livingston1.06 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.52 → 1.51Livingston1.31 → 1.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six1%<1%−1
11th20%18%−2
Bottom62%71%+9
Livingston
Top six63%75%+12
11th3%1%−2
Bottom1%<1%−1
Kilmarnock
Top six5%5%0
11th24%26%+2
Bottom15%12%−3
Dundee United
Top six7%6%−1
11th26%27%+1
Bottom14%11%−3

From the forecast before the match (7 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyLivingston
Expected goals1.111.18
Win33%37%
Expected Points1.301.40
Clean sheet31%33%

Ross County 33%Draw 30%Livingston 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+7%3%8%3%6%7%4%2%2%3%2%11%11%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawLivingston win
Ross County
Top six1%1%<1%<1%
11th20%23%21%18%
Bottom62%52%63%71%
Livingston
Top six63%52%60%75%
11th3%5%2%1%
Bottom1%2%1%<1%
Kilmarnock
Top six5%6%5%5%
11th24%22%25%26%
Bottom15%18%14%12%
Dundee United
Top six7%7%8%6%
11th26%24%25%27%
Bottom14%17%13%11%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. D0–02 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.44–2.08
  2. L0–328 DecDundee United (A)xG 0.98–0.85
  3. L0–123 DecRangers (H)xG 0.38–2.13
  4. L1–217 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.42–2.31
  5. L1–212 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.84–1.88
  6. W2–08 NovHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.14

Livingston

  1. D1–12 JanMotherwell (H)xG 2.40–1.82
  2. D1–128 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.59–1.36
  3. L0–424 DecHibernian (A)xG 2.06–2.06
  4. L1–221 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.28–1.96
  5. D1–112 NovHearts (A)xG 1.84–2.95
  6. W2–18 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.29–3.34

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyLivingston
Position12th6th
Played2019
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠4–⁠127–⁠4–⁠8
Points16 (0.80 per game)25 (1.32 per game)
Expected Points per game0.861.18
Goals14–⁠3218–⁠28
xG per game0.71–⁠1.481.14–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 0.73–⁠1.481.70, 1.24–⁠1.38
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 0.70–⁠1.480.89, 1.04–⁠1.82
ManagerMalky Mackay (58)David Martindale (80)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.23AttackRoss County0.86, 12thLivingston1.06, 6thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.52, 12thLivingston1.31, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRoss County attack: 0.86Livingston attack: 1.061.060.86LivingstonRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRoss County defence: 1.52Livingston defence: 1.311.521.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−47%+29%−41%+14%
Counter-attacks−46%+168%−100%−72%
Set pieces−21%−2%+21%+44%
Penalties−77%−77%+93%+45%
Headers−21%+1%−27%+49%
Left side−34%+18%−10%−5%
Centre−31%+31%−34%+13%
Right side−62%+30%−38%+50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdLivingston concededLeft side−34%+50%Centre−31%+13%Right side−62%−5%Open play−47%+14%Counter-attacks−46%−72%Set pieces−21%+44%Headers−21%+49%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRoss County concededLeft side−10%+30%Centre−34%+31%Right side−38%+18%Open play−41%+29%Counter-attacks−100%+168%Set pieces+21%−2%Headers−27%+1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyLivingston

0.71xG1.14
1.48xG against1.59
42%Possession38%
7.5Shots9.6
16.9Shots against15.5
2.1Shots on target3.4
0.9Big chances1.7
14.0Touches in the opposition box18.8
323Passes274
65%Pass accuracy62%
3.0Corners3.8
35%Field tilt38%
28.9Final-third entries25.1
6.9Box entries7.8
15.3Passes per defensive action16.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.741.39
Ahead100.302.14
Behind290.801.43

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.201.31
Ahead300.931.62
Behind201.342.09

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.172–3
16–300.130.201–4
31–450.130.242–3
46–600.110.334–8
61–750.110.211–4
76–900.120.334–10

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.154–2
16–300.190.093–1
31–450.160.374–7
46–600.120.283–5
61–750.160.282–8
76–900.300.422–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 20Johnson 14Randall 4Watson 2Baldwin 14Watson 5Randall 1Iacovitti 20Purrington 11Harmon 9Tillson 9Callachan 7Loturi 7Cancola 14Paton 2Dhanda 1Edwards 7Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Tillson 2Dhanda 6Callachan 6Tillson 4Edwards 5Olaigbe 4Sims 3White 13Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Dhanda 14-2-3-1 in 19 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (19), 5-3-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWGeorge 14Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 17Bahamboula 2Obileye 18Fitzwater 11Sean Kelly 6Boyes 2Montano 14Penrice 1Pittman 1Pittman 11Omeonga 7Penrice 1Holt 14Shinnie 5Sean Kelly 12Stephen Kelly 3Goncalves 1Bahamboula 7Shinnie 4Stephen Kelly 3Nouble 10Anderson 5Guthrie 3Nouble 5Pittman 4Penrice 34-3-3 in 5 of 19 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (5), 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 October 2022Livingston0–1Ross CountyxG 1.73–0.53
9 February 2022Ross County1–1LivingstonxG 0.48–1.75
18 December 2021Livingston1–1Ross CountyxG 1.00–0.57
23 October 2021Ross County2–3LivingstonxG 2.11–0.57
10 January 2021Livingston3–1Ross CountyxG 1.74–1.28
6 November 2020Ross County1–1LivingstonxG 0.62–1.07

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Livingston won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–10 and xG 0.85–1.31 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White151,364400.210.05
Edwards131,180220.150.09
Dhanda111,018030.040.15
Harmon10898210.060.10

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sean Kelly181,504220.220.13
Nouble151,327320.170.08
Anderson6584200.220.03
Montano151,154410.140.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.