Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 2–1 Ross County

Saturday 18 March 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 29 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 1,283

Livingston Nouble 37', Devlin 38'

Ross County Murray 69'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Livingston	Ross County
Goals	2	1
xG	0.66	1.29
Expected Points	0.81	1.89

Livingston 17%Draw 31%Ross County 53%

Most likely score 0–1, 20%. Final score 2–1, 4%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRoss County

0.66 −0.38xG1.29 +0.43

0.40 −0.70xG on target0.17 −0.66

13 +3.5Shots11 +2.0

7 +3.7Shots on target1 −1.8

0 −1.4Big chances1 0.0

24 +6Touches in the opposition box23 +6

54% +14Possession46% +2

297 +9Passes253 −69

60% −1Pass accuracy53% −11

67% +28Field tilt33% −5

28 +3Final-third entries26 −3

10 +1.9Box entries5 −2.2

11.7 −4Passes per defensive action9.3 −6

8 +4.2Corners6 +2.6

13 −1Tackles17 +1

9 −0.9Interceptions7 −2.8

27 +1Clearances31 +8

0 −3.0Saves5 +1.7

8 −4Fouls17 +5

1 −0.1Offsides3 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Livingston

Ross County

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRoss County

0.40 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.57 7 shots, 1 goal

0.14 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.02 1 shot, 0 goals

0.12 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.69 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–02–02–1

Level: 37 min (39%) · Livingston 0.19, Ross County 0.87 xG
Livingston ahead: 57 min (61%) · Livingston 0.47, Ross County 0.42 xG

Line-ups

Livingston substitutes

79' Omeonga for Anderson
79' Bahamboula for Holt · yellow card 89'
83' Kelly for Montano
90+4' Guthrie for Pittman

Ross County substitutes

57' Callachan for Sims
57' Murray for Edwards · goal 69'
64' Smith for Kenneh
64' Cancola for Watson
78' A. Samuel for Loturi

Players

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
Devlin	RB	90	1		0.28	0.01	0	0.09	5	4
de Lucas	CB	90			0.07	0.03	0	0.02	2	5
Boyes	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.06	7	13
Montano	LB	83			0.07	0.28	0	0.21	4	6
Holt	DM	79			0.00	0.04	2	0.02	3	6
Shinnie	DM	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.06	2	7
Penrice	RW	90		1	0.00	0.40	4	0.20	4	2
Pittman	AM	90		1	0.00	0.03	2	−0.12	0	3
Nouble	LW	90	1		0.07	0.05	2	0.04	3	2
Anderson	ST	79			0.17	0.02	0	0.02	2	1
Omeonga	MF	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	2
Bahamboula	FW	11			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	2	0
Kelly	MF	7			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Guthrie	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Laidlaw	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Randall	CB	90		0.00	0.04	0	0.06	6	11
Watson	CB	64		0.49	0.00	1	0.03	3	4
Iacovitti	CB	90		0.00	0.29	0	0.01	1	8
Edwards	RWB	57		0.00	0.11	1	0.03	5	5
Kenneh	CM	64		0.00	0.01	1	−0.10	0	5
Loturi	CM	78		0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	3
Harmon	LWB	90		0.00	0.19	3	0.03	0	6
Sims	AM	57		0.11	0.16	1	0.20	6	1
White	ST	90		0.20	0.01	1	−0.01	1	4
Brophy	ST	90		0.26	0.00	0	0.04	1	0
Callachan	MF	33		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	4
Murray	FW	33	1	0.23	0.00	0	−0.02	1	0
Smith	DF	26		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	5
Cancola	MF	26		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
A. Samuel	FW	12		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Ross County

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Holt	Devlin	10
Shinnie	Montano	8
Montano	Shinnie	7
Devlin	Holt	6
Devlin	Penrice	6

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Randall	Edwards	8
Harmon	Sims	7
Harmon	White	5
Randall	White	5
Sims	Loturi	4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

Against its average of 28 matches

Ross County

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

Ross County

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
Top six	52%	68%	+16
Ross County
11th	33%	35%	+2
Bottom	26%	32%	+6
St. Mirren
Top six	61%	53%	−8
Aberdeen
Top six	81%	75%	−6

From the forecast before the match (18 March 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Livingston	Ross County
Expected goals	1.39	0.96
Win	46%	25%
Expected Points	1.67	1.04
Clean sheet	38%	25%

Livingston 46%Draw 28%Ross County 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 18 March 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Livingston win	Draw	Ross County win
Livingston
Top six	52%	68%	44%	34%
Ross County
11th	33%	35%	34%	31%
Bottom	26%	32%	25%	13%
St. Mirren
Top six	61%	53%	66%	70%
Aberdeen
Top six	81%	75%	84%	86%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

Ross County

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Livingston	Ross County
Position	7th	10th
Played	28	28
Won, drawn, lost	10–⁠6–⁠12	6–⁠6–⁠16
Points	36 (1.29 per game)	24 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.07	0.99
Goals	29–⁠43	24–⁠41
xG per game	1.04–⁠1.56	0.86–⁠1.44
Home: points, xG per game	1.47, 1.11–⁠1.46	1.00, 0.96–⁠1.34
Away: points, xG per game	1.08, 0.96–⁠1.67	0.69, 0.76–⁠1.55
Manager	David Martindale (89)	Malky Mackay (66)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Livingston		Ross County
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−40%	+14%	−39%	+23%
Counter-attacks	−88%	+6%	+3%	+115%
Set pieces	+8%	+27%	−2%	−1%
Penalties	+51%	+32%	−81%	−81%
Headers	−36%	+19%	−1%	+9%
Left side	−16%	+8%	−31%	+11%
Centre	−34%	+13%	−21%	+20%
Right side	−37%	+34%	−40%	+33%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRoss County concededLeft side−16%+33%Centre−34%+20%Right side−37%+11%Open play−40%+23%Counter-attacks−88%+115%Set pieces+8%−1%Headers−36%+9%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdLivingston concededLeft side−31%+34%Centre−21%+13%Right side−40%+8%Open play−39%+14%Counter-attacks+3%+6%Set pieces−2%+27%Headers−1%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonRoss County

1.04xG0.86

1.56xG against1.44

40%Possession44%

9.5Shots9.0

14.1Shots against16.4

3.3Shots on target2.8

1.4Big chances1.0

18.3Touches in the opposition box16.7

288Passes322

62%Pass accuracy64%

3.8Corners3.4

39%Field tilt38%

25.4Final-third entries29.4

8.1Box entries7.2

15.9Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	1.11	1.30
Ahead	29	0.93	1.61
Behind	22	1.05	1.95

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	49	0.80	1.34
Ahead	13	1.08	1.67
Behind	28	0.88	1.51

xG by period

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.24	0.11	10–2
16–30	0.17	0.15	4–4
31–45	0.17	0.34	5–11
46–60	0.11	0.32	3–7
61–75	0.14	0.28	4–11
76–90	0.21	0.36	3–8

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.16	5–4
16–30	0.13	0.18	1–4
31–45	0.12	0.31	2–5
46–60	0.19	0.27	5–8
61–75	0.14	0.20	6–9
76–90	0.15	0.33	5–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (8), 4-3-3 (8), 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Ross County

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (5), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
7 January 2023	Ross County	0–2	Livingston	xG 0.86–0.90
8 October 2022	Livingston	0–1	Ross County	xG 1.73–0.53
9 February 2022	Ross County	1–1	Livingston	xG 0.48–1.75
18 December 2021	Livingston	1–1	Ross County	xG 1.00–0.57
23 October 2021	Ross County	2–3	Livingston	xG 2.11–0.57
10 January 2021	Livingston	3–1	Ross County	xG 1.74–1.28

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 4, Ross County won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 12–7 and xG 1.26–0.85 per game.

Key players

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Bradley	7	569	1	2	0.15	0.19
Anderson	14	1,218	5	1	0.24	0.07
Sean Kelly	24	1,939	2	2	0.17	0.10
Nouble	20	1,790	5	2	0.18	0.07

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
White	23	2,064	7	1	0.29	0.06
O. Edwards	15	1,398	2	2	0.12	0.08
Callachan	17	1,476	1	1	0.11	0.09
Dhanda	18	1,545	3	4	0.04	0.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.