Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 2–2 Ross County

Tuesday 30 January 2024, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 15 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 1,142

Livingston Pittman 45', Mackay 88'

Ross County Murray 28', 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonRoss County
Goals22
xG1.340.73
Expected Points1.840.85

Livingston 51%Draw 30%Ross County 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 17%. Final score 2–2, 4%.

Ross County goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+11%8%3%5%12%10%4%5%4%1%1%1%17%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTAnderson on for Guthrie, 46'Kelly on for Bradley, 72'Mackay on for Shinnie, 75'Yengi on for Holt, 89'Sims on for Loturi and White on for Khela, 54'Sheaf on for Dhanda and Harmon on for Murray, 89'Pittman 45'Mackay 88'Murray 28'Murray 85'Livingston 1.34Ross County 0.7300.511.50153045607590HTAnderson on for Guthrie, 46'Kelly on for Bradley, 72'Mackay on for Shinnie, 75'Yengi on for Holt, 89'Sims on for Loturi and White on for Khela, 54'Sheaf on for Dhanda and Harmon on for Murray, 89'Pittman 45'Mackay 88'Murray 28'Murray 85'1.340.73LivingstonRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRoss County

1.34 +0.33xG0.73 −0.15
1.33 +0.53xG on target1.65 +0.85
13 +3.7Shots10 +0.2
4 +1.9Shots on target4 +0.8
4 +2.7Big chances2 +0.6
29 +12Touches in the opposition box18 +1
54% +9Possession46% +3
408 +78Passes352 +23
68% +6Pass accuracy62% −2
58% +13Field tilt42% −1
47 +20Final-third entries36 +7
13 +5.3Box entries8 −1.1
17.8 +4Passes per defensive action14.1 −1
5 +1.5Corners3 −2.0
8 −9Tackles14 0
11 +3.5Interceptions2 −7.8
18 −4Clearances35 +11
2 −0.8Saves2 −1.9
10 −3Fouls16 +4
2 0.0Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Anderson 82', 0.31 xGMackay 90+4', 0.21 xGBradley 45+3', 0.15 xGAnderson 85', 0.10 xGPittman 78', 0.08 xGBradley 34', 0.05 xGGuthrie 1', 0.03 xGGuthrie 45', 0.03 xGObileye 76', 0.03 xGMackay 84', 0.03 xGObileye 37', 0.02 xGPittman 45', 0.20 xG, goalMackay 88', 0.12 xG, goal16%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 0 goals73%0.98 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.98 xG, 2 goals2%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals9%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

White 68', 0.16 xGSims 80', 0.08 xGKing 13', 0.07 xGDhanda 74', 0.07 xGKhela 39', 0.05 xGKing 40', 0.04 xGBrown 59', 0.02 xGNightingale 40', 0.01 xGMurray 85', 0.15 xG, goalMurray 28', 0.06 xG, goal22%0.16 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.16 xG, 0 goals42%0.30 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.30 xG, 1 goal15%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 1 goal19%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRoss County

1.24 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.49 6 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 1 goal
0.11 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.18 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
77 min (79%) · Livingston 0.93, Ross County 0.62 xG
Ross County ahead
20 min (21%) · Livingston 0.41, Ross County 0.10 xG

Line-ups

23122162918221681928McGovernBrandonNottinghamObileyePenriceHoltShinnieBradleyPittmanNoubleGuthrieYellow cardGoal89'75'72'46'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale40428353192118141015WickensBrownAyinaNightingaleBorthwick-JacksonKhelaJenksKingLoturiDhandaMurrayYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card54'54'89'89'Ross County 4-5-1Derek Adams

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Anderson for Guthrie
  • 72' Kelly for Bradley
  • 75' Mackay for Shinnie · goal 88'
  • 89' Yengi for Holt

Ross County substitutes

  • 54' White for Khela · 1 assist
  • 54' Sims for Loturi
  • 89' Harmon for Murray
  • 89' Sheaf for Dhanda

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGovernGK900.000.0000.0222
BrandonRB900.000.1710.29124
NottinghamCB900.000.2100.2575
ObileyeCB900.050.0100.0425
Penrice LB900.000.2220.19105
HoltDM8910.000.5110.2046
ShinnieDM750.000.0200.0356
BradleyRW720.200.0210.0460
PittmanAM9010.280.0500.0624
NoubleLW900.000.1930.0770
GuthrieST460.060.020−0.0811
AndersonFW440.410.0000.1100
KellyMF180.000.0910.0932
MackayFW1510.350.4320.3031
YengiFW10.000.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WickensGK900.000.0000.0111
BrownRB900.020.0100.0325
AyinaCB900.000.0000.0218
Nightingale CB900.010.0000.03318
Borthwick-JacksonLB900.000.0100.0745
KhelaRM540.050.0000.0100
JenksCM900.000.0820.1047
KingCM900.110.0100.0755
LoturiCM540.000.0710.0410
DhandaLM8910.070.2110.13130
Murray ST8920.200.151−0.0110
WhiteFW3610.160.0410.0212
SimsFW360.080.0300.2031
HarmonMF10.000.000−0.0100
SheafMF10.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Brandon and Pittman: 4 passesBrandon and Guthrie: 4 passesNottingham and Guthrie: 4 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 4 passesPenrice and Holt: 4 passesPenrice and Guthrie: 4 passesHolt and Nouble: 4 passesNouble and Guthrie: 4 passesNottingham and Shinnie: 5 passesObileye and Shinnie: 5 passesShinnie and Nouble: 5 passesShinnie and Guthrie: 5 passesBrandon and Shinnie: 6 passesObileye and Penrice: 6 passesObileye and Holt: 6 passesBradley and Guthrie: 6 passesBrandon and Nottingham: 7 passesBrandon and Holt: 7 passesNottingham and Obileye: 7 passesShinnie and Holt: 7 passesBrandon and Bradley: 10 passesPenrice and Nouble: 10 passesMcGovern: 4 completed passesBrandon: 24 completed passesNottingham: 20 completed passesObileye: 17 completed passesPenrice: 20 completed passesShinnie: 23 completed passesHolt: 19 completed passesBradley: 11 completed passesPittman: 9 completed passesNouble: 13 completed passesGuthrie: 8 completed passes23122162922181681928McGovernBrandonNottinghamObileyePenriceShinnieHoltBradleyPittmanNoubleGuthrieStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Ross County

Wickens and Ayina: 3 passesWickens and Nightingale: 3 passesAyina and Jenks: 3 passesKhela and King: 3 passesJenks and Murray: 3 passesBrown and Khela: 4 passesBrown and Murray: 4 passesAyina and King: 4 passesKhela and Jenks: 4 passesDhanda and Murray: 4 passesAyina and Loturi: 5 passesNightingale and Borthwick-Jackson: 5 passesNightingale and Jenks: 5 passesBorthwick-Jackson and Jenks: 5 passesJenks and Dhanda: 5 passesKing and Dhanda: 5 passesJenks and King: 6 passesLoturi and King: 6 passesBrown and Jenks: 8 passesBorthwick-Jackson and Loturi: 8 passesBorthwick-Jackson and King: 9 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 11 passesBorthwick-Jackson and Dhanda: 14 passesWickens: 6 completed passesBrown: 15 completed passesAyina: 15 completed passesNightingale: 13 completed passesBorthwick-Jackson: 29 completed passesKhela: 6 completed passesJenks: 22 completed passesLoturi: 13 completed passesKing: 21 completed passesDhanda: 19 completed passesMurray: 3 completed passes40428353192114181015WickensBrownAyinaNightingaleBorthwick-JacksonKhelaJenksLoturiKingDhandaMurrayStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
BrandonShinnie11
PenriceNouble10
NottinghamBrandon10
HoltPenrice10
BrandonBradley8

Ross County

FromToPasses
Borthwick-JacksonDhanda15
DhandaLoturi8
BrownJenks7
DhandaMurray7
KingBorthwick-Jackson6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

8+1.06−0.26+0.58+1.97−0.23−1.25−2.79+1.78+1.94−1.17+3.59+3.34−2.44−0.61−3.12+0.14+1.07+1.84+0.71−1.11+0.11−1.42−1.34+3.31+0.71+0.30−0.30−0.61−4.910−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Ross County

2−2.62−5.525+11.08−2.24−1.213+4.89+2.26+0.46−1.89−0.64−1.07+2.05+1.58+3.514+8.12−3.02−1.95+2.63−1.21−4.32−0.90−1.82+1.20−1.72−0.40−1.30−0.70−0.90−0.60−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.030.040.050.070.100.130.070.090.010.050.060.030.23−0.05−0.010.320.25LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.020.020.020.060.070.010.020.060.030.01−0.010.020.030.080.090.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackLivingston0.99 → 1.01Ross County0.96 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.40 → 1.39Ross County1.51 → 1.52

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th20%18%−2
Bottom68%72%+4
Ross County
Top six3%3%0
11th30%33%+3
Bottom17%14%−3
St. Johnstone
11th26%25%−1
Bottom10%9%−1
Motherwell
Top six8%8%0
11th13%13%0
Bottom4%4%0

From the forecast before the match (30 January 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonRoss County
Expected goals1.390.96
Win46%25%
Expected Points1.671.05
Clean sheet38%25%

Livingston 46%Draw 28%Ross County 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

Ross County goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%10%13%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 January 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawRoss County win
Livingston
11th20%26%18%13%
Bottom68%57%72%83%
Ross County
Top six3%1%3%6%
11th30%31%33%26%
Bottom17%25%14%6%
St. Johnstone
11th26%22%25%32%
Bottom10%12%9%8%
Motherwell
Top six8%8%8%9%
11th13%11%13%16%
Bottom4%5%4%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–427 JanDundee FC (H)xG 2.22–1.11
  2. L1–22 JanHearts (H)xG 1.66–1.94
  3. L1–330 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.94–1.48
  4. D0–027 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.93–0.25
  5. L0–223 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.00–3.66
  6. L1–220 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.53–1.00

Ross County

  1. L0–127 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.08–2.02
  2. L0–32 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.14–1.72
  3. D2–230 DecHearts (A)xG 1.54–1.87
  4. L0–116 DecDundee FC (H)xG 0.90–2.43
  5. L0–29 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.62–0.94
  6. W3–05 DecMotherwell (H)xG 1.43–1.18

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonRoss County
Position12th11th
Played2220
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠6–⁠144–⁠6–⁠10
Points12 (0.55 per game)18 (0.90 per game)
Expected Points per game1.270.94
Goals13–⁠3617–⁠30
xG per game1.01–⁠1.300.88–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game0.64, 1.21–⁠1.191.10, 0.86–⁠1.32
Away: points, xG per game0.45, 0.80–⁠1.410.70, 0.89–⁠1.82
ManagerDavid Martindale (121)Derek Adams (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackLivingston0.99, 10thRoss County0.96, 12thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.40, 9thRoss County1.51, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston attack: 0.99Ross County attack: 0.960.990.96Ross CountyLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston defence: 1.40Ross County defence: 1.511.511.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−46%−7%−24%+18%
Counter-attacks−19%+2%−52%+46%
Set pieces−21%+2%−28%+10%
Penalties+67%−5%−100%+5%
Headers−20%−15%−13%−14%
Left side−36%+7%−22%+8%
Centre−31%−9%−33%+26%
Right side−49%−4%−20%+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRoss County concededLeft side−36%+14%Centre−31%+26%Right side−49%+8%Open play−46%+18%Counter-attacks−19%+46%Set pieces−21%+10%Headers−20%−14%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdLivingston concededLeft side−22%−4%Centre−33%−9%Right side−20%+7%Open play−24%−7%Counter-attacks−52%+2%Set pieces−28%+2%Headers−13%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonRoss County

1.01xG0.88
1.30xG against1.57
45%Possession43%
9.3Shots9.8
12.5Shots against15.3
2.1Shots on target3.2
1.3Big chances1.4
17.4Touches in the opposition box16.8
330Passes329
62%Pass accuracy65%
3.5Corners5.0
45%Field tilt43%
27.3Final-third entries29.3
7.7Box entries9.1
13.6Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.791.28
Ahead61.570.76
Behind341.231.42

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.891.14
Ahead121.451.98
Behind260.582.24

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.211–3
16–300.080.162–5
31–450.160.141–5
46–600.150.322–7
61–750.190.164–5
76–900.340.313–11

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.121–1
16–300.160.301–7
31–450.110.311–4
46–600.170.216–5
61–750.100.274–5
76–900.190.364–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTGeorge 17Hamilton 4McGovern 1de Lucas 10Nottingham 7Shinnie 3Obileye 16Devlin 17Sean Kelly 7Parkes 3Brandon 11Mackay 4Nouble 3Shinnie 11Penrice 7Sangare 2Holt 19Pittman 3Sean Kelly 2Penrice 13Shinnie 2Pittman 2Pittman 11Stephen Kelly 5Sangare 4Nouble 8Anderson 7Shinnie 2Guthrie 8Nouble 8Anderson 53-4-2-1 in 8 of 22 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 19Wickens 1Nightingale 11Dhanda 3Loturi 2Baldwin 19Ayina 1Leak 18Harmon 1Brown 19Randall 1Randall 15Turner 4Sheaf 2Allardice 10Loturi 6Dhanda 2Purrington 11Harmon 4Reid 3Dhanda 11Sims 4Loturi 2White 16Brophy 2Murray 19Dhanda 2Sims 13-4-1-2 in 10 of 20 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (10), 4-4-2 (5), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 September 2023Ross County1–1LivingstonxG 0.87–0.17
6 May 2023Ross County2–0LivingstonxG 0.72–0.58
18 March 2023Livingston2–1Ross CountyxG 0.66–1.29
7 January 2023Ross County0–2LivingstonxG 0.86–0.90
8 October 2022Livingston0–1Ross CountyxG 1.73–0.53
9 February 2022Ross County1–1LivingstonxG 0.48–1.75

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 5, Ross County won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–11 and xG 1.04–0.88 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson121,238300.320.06
Sean Kelly10818300.300.04
Penrice201,766020.030.20
Guthrie101,018110.170.05

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sims6543000.240.06
Murray191,460410.240.06
White161,284300.210.04
Dhanda191,443220.030.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.