Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Ross County 1–1 Livingston

Saturday 16 September 2023, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 5 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 3,160

Ross County Murray 59'

Livingston Anderson 72'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyLivingston
Goals11
xG0.870.17
Expected Points1.950.62

Ross County 51%Draw 43%Livingston 6%

Most likely score 0–0, 36%. Final score 1–1, 6%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+6%6%13%2%3%36%31%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTBrophy on for Murray, 80'Harmon on for Reid and Sims on for Dhanda, 84'Sangare on for Kelly and Guthrie on for Penrice, 65'Lloyd-McGoldrick on for Brandon, 79'Parkes on for Devlin, 90'Murray 59'Anderson 72'Ross County 0.87Livingston 0.1700.250.50.7510153045607590HTBrophy on for Murray, 80'Harmon on for Reid and Sims on for Dhanda, 84'Sangare on for Kelly and Guthrie on for Penrice, 65'Lloyd-McGoldrick on for Brandon, 79'Parkes on for Devlin, 90'Murray 59'Anderson 72'0.870.17Ross CountyLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyLivingston

0.87 −0.36xG0.17 −0.83
1.78 +0.59xG on target0.82 −0.08
16 +5.5Shots5 −4.8
5 +1.0Shots on target2 −0.5
2 −0.8Big chances0 −1.0
57% +22Possession43% +2
398 +134Passes314 +31
62% +3Pass accuracy55% −6
70% +32Field tilt30% −6
38 +13Final-third entries21 +2
12 +2.2Box entries3 −4.2
11.2 −4Passes per defensive action20.9 +9
6 +1.0Corners2 −3.0
14 −1Tackles8 −14
6 −7Interceptions6 −6
11 −16Clearances33 +7
1 −4.5Saves3 +0.8
14 +1Fouls13 −2
3 0.0Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

White 30', 0.15 xGMurray 52', 0.10 xGTurner 66', 0.10 xGReid 59', 0.05 xGSims 87', 0.05 xGWhite 26', 0.04 xGWhite 90+4', 0.04 xGMurray 12', 0.03 xGDhanda 55', 0.03 xGRandall 88', 0.03 xGReid 30', 0.02 xGNightingale 55', 0.02 xGBrophy 90+7', 0.02 xGNightingale 30', 0.01 xGMurray 68', 0.01 xGMurray 59', 0.17 xG, goal17%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals43%0.37 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.37 xG, 1 goal13%0.11 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals23%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Nouble 47', 0.07 xGAnderson 90+5', 0.03 xGKelly 26', 0.02 xGObileye 27', 0.01 xGAnderson 72', 0.05 xG, goal41%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals6%0.01 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals29%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 1 goal24%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyLivingston

0.65 12 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.16 4 shots, 1 goal
0.22 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
84 min (87%) · Ross County 0.71, Livingston 0.12 xG
Ross County ahead
13 min (13%) · Ross County 0.15, Livingston 0.05 xG

Line-ups

13554242743102615LaidlawNightingaleBaldwinLeakBrownRandallTurnerReidDhandaWhiteMurrayGoal84'84'80'Ross County 3-4-1-2Malky Mackay123651218222910919GeorgePerezObileyeDevlinBrandonHoltShinniePenriceKellyAndersonNoubleYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal90'79'65'65'Livingston 3-4-3David Martindale

Ross County substitutes

  • 80' Brophy for Murray
  • 84' Harmon for Reid
  • 84' Sims for Dhanda

Livingston substitutes

  • 65' Guthrie for Penrice · 1 assist
  • 65' Sangare for Kelly
  • 79' Lloyd-McGoldrick for Brandon
  • 90' Parkes for Devlin

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0330
NightingaleCB900.030.0420.0793
BaldwinCB900.000.0300.0765
LeakCB900.000.010−0.0246
BrownRWB900.000.2220.3144
RandallCM900.030.021−0.0112
TurnerCM900.100.0500.0452
ReidLWB8410.060.0420.0363
DhandaAM840.030.0520.0251
WhiteST900.230.102−0.0712
MurrayST8010.320.0200.0323
BrophyFW100.020.0910.0910
HarmonDF60.000.022−0.0100
SimsMF60.050.010−0.1101

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0344
PerezCB900.000.0000.03216
Obileye CB900.010.0410.0938
Devlin CB900.000.0200.0445
Brandon RWB790.000.0100.0662
HoltCM900.000.0100.0115
ShinnieCM900.000.0100.0452
PenriceLWB650.000.0420.0943
KellyRW650.020.010−0.0211
AndersonST9010.070.000−0.0100
NoubleLW900.070.0210.1334
GuthrieFW2510.000.0210.0310
SangareDF250.000.0000.0012
Lloyd-McGoldrickMF110.000.0000.0000
ParkesDF00.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Reid: 4 passesBrown and Dhanda: 4 passesRandall and Turner: 4 passesTurner and Reid: 4 passesReid and White: 4 passesDhanda and Murray: 4 passesLaidlaw and White: 5 passesNightingale and Randall: 5 passesBrown and Randall: 5 passesBrown and Murray: 5 passesReid and Dhanda: 5 passesBaldwin and Dhanda: 6 passesTurner and Dhanda: 6 passesReid and Murray: 6 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 7 passesRandall and Reid: 7 passesLeak and Reid: 8 passesRandall and Dhanda: 8 passesNightingale and Turner: 9 passesLeak and Randall: 9 passesBrown and White: 9 passesBaldwin and Turner: 11 passesNightingale and Dhanda: 11 passesNightingale and Brown: 13 passesBrown and Turner: 14 passesLaidlaw: 16 completed passesBaldwin: 20 completed passesNightingale: 29 completed passesLeak: 20 completed passesBrown: 31 completed passesRandall: 23 completed passesTurner: 31 completed passesReid: 22 completed passesDhanda: 22 completed passesWhite: 11 completed passesMurray: 6 completed passes15354242743102615LaidlawBaldwinNightingaleLeakBrownRandallTurnerReidDhandaWhiteMurrayStarters until 80' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Livingston

George and Devlin: 4 passesGeorge and Perez: 4 passesObileye and Shinnie: 4 passesDevlin and Brandon: 4 passesBrandon and Shinnie: 4 passesBrandon and Kelly: 4 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 4 passesPenrice and Kelly: 4 passesPenrice and Nouble: 4 passesKelly and Nouble: 4 passesPerez and Shinnie: 5 passesShinnie and Anderson: 5 passesHolt and Kelly: 5 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 6 passesDevlin and Holt: 6 passesPerez and Kelly: 6 passesShinnie and Holt: 6 passesBrandon and Nouble: 7 passesBrandon and Holt: 10 passesGeorge: 7 completed passesObileye: 9 completed passesDevlin: 18 completed passesPerez: 17 completed passesBrandon: 19 completed passesPenrice: 10 completed passesShinnie: 23 completed passesHolt: 23 completed passesKelly: 14 completed passesAnderson: 5 completed passesNouble: 10 completed passes165231229221810919GeorgeObileyeDevlinPerezBrandonPenriceShinnieHoltKellyAndersonNoubleStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
TurnerBrown10
TurnerNightingale7
NightingaleBrown7
LaidlawWhite7
BrownWhite7

Livingston

FromToPasses
NoubleBrandon6
HoltBrandon6
PerezKelly6
HoltShinnie6
HoltDevlin5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

1−4.03−5.55−0.29−0.88+2.86+0.53−6.012+2.25−1.810+3.86+3.53−0.57+2.86−0.550.040.05+1.51−5.54−0.55+2.20−1.52−0.20−3.02+0.21+0.510.00−0.52+1.84−9.84−9.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Livingston

8−0.58−1.219+1.810+1.59+2.54−5.09−3.86+1.514+8.28−0.83−5.24−1.27+2.811+5.85−3.24−1.81−4.01−0.54+0.50−3.04+1.51−0.81+0.22−0.80−3.20−0.50−0.50−0.500.01+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.030.020.010.010.040.010.020.010.050.030.040.040.050.060.02−0.01−0.020.07−0.230.01−0.010.110.09LessMore

Livingston

0.010.020.010.020.010.020.020.020.020.010.040.020.010.010.01−0.01−0.010.030.070.100.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRoss County1.07 → 1.08Livingston1.02 → 1.01Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.51 → 1.48Livingston1.45 → 1.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six33%30%−3
11th11%12%+1
Bottom10%10%0
Livingston
Top six24%23%−1
11th15%15%0
Bottom15%15%0

From the forecast before the match (16 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyLivingston
Expected goals1.421.06
Win45%27%
Expected Points1.621.10
Clean sheet35%24%

Ross County 45%Draw 28%Livingston 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

Livingston goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%8%5%2%7%2%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawLivingston win
Ross County
Top six33%41%30%23%
11th11%9%12%14%
Bottom10%7%10%15%
Livingston
Top six24%18%23%34%
11th15%17%15%11%
Bottom15%19%15%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.72–1.42
  2. L0–226 AugRangers (H)xG 0.48–1.96
  3. W2–012 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.60–0.49
  4. L2–45 AugCeltic (A)xG 1.13–4.15
  5. L1–328 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 1.25–1.46
  6. D3–324 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.29–2.53

Livingston

  1. D1–12 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.45–0.67
  2. W3–226 AugHibernian (A)xG 1.68–0.81
  3. L0–412 AugRangers (A)xG 0.12–2.44
  4. D0–05 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.76–0.70
  5. L0–228 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.99–2.46
  6. D1–124 MayMotherwell (H)xG 0.70–0.47

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyLivingston
Position5th7th
Played44
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠21–⁠2–⁠1
Points6 (1.50 per game)5 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game0.971.40
Goals5–⁠64–⁠7
xG per game1.23–⁠2.001.00–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 1.54–⁠1.231.00, 1.10–⁠0.69
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.92–⁠2.791.50, 0.90–⁠1.62
ManagerMalky Mackay (80)David Martindale (103)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRoss County1.07, 9thLivingston1.02, 11thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.51, 12thLivingston1.45, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepRoss County attack: 1.07Livingston attack: 1.021.071.02LivingstonRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepRoss County defence: 1.51Livingston defence: 1.451.511.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open playaverage+24%−32%+2%
Counter-attacks−69%+157%−66%−22%
Set pieces−1%+4%+14%+5%
Penalties−83%+139%−65%−52%
Headers+13%−6%+23%+9%
Left side+23%+31%−32%+34%
Centre−19%+31%−11%−5%
Right side−5%+21%−37%−22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdLivingston concededLeft side+23%−22%Centre−19%−5%Right side−5%+34%Open playaverage+2%Counter-attacks−69%−22%Set pieces−1%+5%Headers+13%+9%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRoss County concededLeft side−32%+21%Centre−11%+31%Right side−37%+31%Open play−32%+24%Counter-attacks−66%+157%Set pieces+14%+4%Headers+23%−6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyLivingston

1.23xG1.00
2.00xG against1.16
35%Possession41%
10.5Shots9.8
17.2Shots against13.5
4.0Shots on target2.5
2.8Big chances1.0
264Passes283
59%Pass accuracy61%
5.0Corners5.0
38%Field tilt36%
25.2Final-third entries19.3
9.8Box entries7.2
15.6Passes per defensive action11.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.911.45
Ahead221.501.46
Behind350.432.88

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.460.64
Ahead200.731.16
Behind200.132.44

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.370.200–0
16–300.180.430–4
31–450.130.461–1
46–600.320.203–0
61–750.130.250–1
76–900.110.471–0

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.151–1
16–300.060.050–0
31–450.090.140–0
46–600.120.230–0
61–750.350.172–1
76–900.300.411–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTLaidlaw 4Brown 3Nightingale 1Baldwin 4Leak 3Harmon 1Harmon 2Dhanda 1Randall 1Nightingale 1Dhanda 1Brown 1Randall 3Turner 1Dhanda 2Loturi 2Sims 2Reid 1Loturi 1White 4Murray 44-4-2 in 2 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTGeorge 4Perez 4Obileye 4Devlin 4Brandon 4Holt 3Sangare 1Shinnie 4Penrice 2Montano 2Pittman 2Holt 1Sangare 1Nouble 4Guthrie 3Kelly 13-4-2-1 in 2 of 4 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 May 2023Ross County2–0LivingstonxG 0.72–0.58
18 March 2023Livingston2–1Ross CountyxG 0.66–1.29
7 January 2023Ross County0–2LivingstonxG 0.86–0.90
8 October 2022Livingston0–1Ross CountyxG 1.73–0.53
9 February 2022Ross County1–1LivingstonxG 0.48–1.75
18 December 2021Livingston1–1Ross CountyxG 1.00–0.57

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 2, Livingston won 5, and 3 were drawn. Goals 10–14 and xG 0.88–1.13 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy8588320.350.08
Murray9917310.290.11
Sims131,025000.260.12
White373,2391220.320.06

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson211,939720.260.07
Bradley12945120.120.14
Nouble332,956730.160.07
Montano272,183420.120.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.