Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 1–1 Livingston

Saturday 2 March 2024, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 29 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 3,287

St. Johnstone Clark 87'

Livingston Shinnie 37'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Johnstone	Livingston
Goals	1	1
xG	1.09	0.54
Expected Points	1.83	0.81

St. Johnstone 49%Draw 35%Livingston 15%

Most likely score 1–0, 23%. Final score 1–1, 17%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneLivingston

1.09 +0.22xG0.54 −0.43

1.10 +0.27xG on target0.47 −0.32

10 +0.8Shots8 −1.5

3 +0.3Shots on target4 +1.6

3 +1.8Big chances0 −1.3

12 −3Touches in the opposition box16 −1

60% +16Possession40% −4

405 +71Passes273 −52

59% −6Pass accuracy42% −20

75% +37Field tilt25% −17

40 +14Final-third entries24 −3

7 +0.1Box entries4 −3.5

10.0 −7Passes per defensive action12.3 −2

2 −1.7Corners2 −1.4

15 −3Tackles13 −4

9 −0.2Interceptions8 +1.0

21 −5Clearances25 +1

3 −0.6Saves2 −0.9

15 +3Fouls16 +4

2 +0.6Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Johnstone

Livingston

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneLivingston

0.95 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.15 3 shots, 0 goals

0.14 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.39 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–1

Level: 49 min (45%) · St. Johnstone 0.08, Livingston 0.42 xG
Livingston ahead: 61 min (55%) · St. Johnstone 1.01, Livingston 0.12 xG

Line-ups

St. Johnstone substitutes

45+4' Carey for Jaiyesimi · 1 assist
56' Considine for Gordon
56' May for Kimpioka
77' Sidibeh for M. Smith

Livingston substitutes

50' Guthrie for Devlin · yellow card 90+7'
82' Nouble for Mackay
85' Brandon for Shinnie
85' Sangare for Montano

Players

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.02	3	1
Keltjens	RB	90			0.03	0.02	0	0.04	4	9
McGowan	CB	90			0.09	0.00	0	−0.13	1	3
Gordon	CB	56			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	8
Robinson	LB	90			0.03	0.03	0	0.07	7	8
Sprangler	DM	90			0.00	0.05	0	0.08	1	3
Phillips	DM	90			0.01	0.03	0	0.03	2	4
M. Smith	RW	77			0.02	0.14	1	0.04	0	2
Clark	AM	90	1		0.49	0.01	0	−0.02	0	2
Jaiyesimi	LW	45			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	1
Kimpioka	ST	56			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Carey	MF	45		1	0.00	0.73	4	0.37	5	3
Considine	DF	34			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	1
May	FW	34			0.02	0.01	1	0.02	2	0
Sidibeh	FW	13			0.40	0.00	1	0.00	0	1

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	5	1
Nottingham	RB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	7
Obileye	CB	90			0.00	0.02	1	0.00	0	10
Devlin	CB	50		1	0.02	0.00	1	0.03	3	3
Sean Kelly	LB	90			0.00	0.10	1	0.04	4	3
Carson	DM	90			0.00	0.08	1	0.16	7	4
Holt	DM	90			0.08	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Mackay	RW	82			0.08	0.00	0	0.06	3	3
Shinnie	AM	85	1		0.28	0.00	0	−0.01	0	3
Montano	LW	85			0.03	0.00	0	0.01	3	5
Yengi	ST	90			0.03	0.11	1	−0.03	0	4
Guthrie	FW	40			0.02	0.01	0	0.02	0	1
Nouble	FW	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Brandon	MF	5			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
Sangare	MF	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Livingston

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Robinson	M. Smith	9
M. Smith	Keltjens	9
Sprangler	Keltjens	7
Robinson	Jaiyesimi	6
Keltjens	Phillips	6

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Nottingham	Shinnie	4
Devlin	Sean Kelly	4
Nottingham	Mackay	3
Carson	Yengi	3
Sean Kelly	Shinnie	3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 28 matches

Livingston

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

Livingston

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Johnstone
Top six	1%	<1%	−1
11th	20%	22%	+2
Bottom	2%	2%	0
Livingston
11th	12%	11%	−1
Bottom	86%	87%	+1
Ross County
11th	57%	56%	−1
Bottom	11%	10%	−1

From the forecast before the match (2 March 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Johnstone	Livingston
Expected goals	1.26	1.02
Win	41%	29%
Expected Points	1.53	1.18
Clean sheet	36%	28%

St. Johnstone 41%Draw 30%Livingston 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

From the forecast as it stood on 2 March 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Johnstone win	Draw	Livingston win
St. Johnstone
Top six	1%	2%	<1%	–
11th	20%	13%	22%	28%
Bottom	2%	<1%	2%	6%
Livingston
11th	12%	8%	11%	18%
Bottom	86%	91%	87%	76%
Ross County
11th	57%	66%	56%	45%
Bottom	11%	8%	10%	17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

Livingston

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Johnstone	Livingston
Position	10th	12th
Played	28	28
Won, drawn, lost	6–⁠9–⁠13	3–⁠7–⁠18
Points	27 (0.96 per game)	16 (0.57 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.90	1.22
Goals	19–⁠37	19–⁠48
xG per game	0.87–⁠1.63	0.97–⁠1.33
Home: points, xG per game	1.21, 0.98–⁠1.47	0.79, 1.18–⁠1.23
Away: points, xG per game	0.71, 0.76–⁠1.78	0.36, 0.76–⁠1.43
Manager	Craig Levein (18)	David Martindale (127)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Johnstone		Livingston
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−37%	+18%	−44%	−3%
Counter-attacks	−68%	+39%	−21%	−5%
Set pieces	−9%	+26%	−20%	+6%
Penalties	−64%	+9%	+28%	−9%
Headers	−3%	+40%	−28%	−11%
Left side	−38%	+8%	−40%	+8%
Centre	−19%	+20%	−27%	−7%
Right side	−51%	+41%	−46%	average

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side−38%averageCentre−19%−7%Right side−51%+8%Open play−37%−3%Counter-attacks−68%−5%Set pieces−9%+6%Headers−3%−11%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−40%+41%Centre−27%+20%Right side−46%+8%Open play−44%+18%Counter-attacks−21%+39%Set pieces−20%+26%Headers−28%+40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneLivingston

0.87xG0.97

1.63xG against1.33

44%Possession44%

9.2Shots9.5

14.9Shots against13.5

2.7Shots on target2.4

1.2Big chances1.3

15.4Touches in the opposition box17.1

334Passes325

65%Pass accuracy62%

3.7Corners3.4

38%Field tilt42%

26.0Final-third entries27.0

6.9Box entries7.5

16.7Passes per defensive action14.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	50	0.87	1.12
Ahead	17	0.84	2.05
Behind	23	0.91	2.41

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	50	0.83	1.24
Ahead	8	1.09	1.55
Behind	32	1.17	1.41

xG by period

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.13	4–1
16–30	0.14	0.19	2–4
31–45	0.15	0.16	4–6
46–60	0.12	0.32	2–6
61–75	0.12	0.39	2–10
76–90	0.24	0.44	5–10

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.20	2–3
16–30	0.08	0.16	2–8
31–45	0.19	0.15	3–7
46–60	0.12	0.28	3–9
61–75	0.17	0.17	4–6
76–90	0.32	0.35	5–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
27 December 2023	Livingston	0–0	St. Johnstone	xG 0.93–0.25
30 September 2023	St. Johnstone	1–1	Livingston	xG 0.62–0.98
28 May 2023	St. Johnstone	2–0	Livingston	xG 2.46–0.99
15 April 2023	Livingston	2–0	St. Johnstone	xG 0.72–1.13
14 January 2023	St. Johnstone	2–4	Livingston	xG 1.86–1.46
15 October 2022	Livingston	1–0	St. Johnstone	xG 1.08–0.42

14 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 4, Livingston won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 12–18 and xG 1.07–0.97 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Clark	7	639	5	0	0.44	0.02
Kane	7	788	1	0	0.39	0.03
Jaiyesimi	8	663	1	1	0.29	0.08
Kucheriavyi	14	1,217	2	0	0.14	0.09

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Anderson	13	1,469	5	0	0.31	0.07
Mackay	6	594	1	1	0.14	0.19
Sean Kelly	11	958	3	0	0.26	0.05
Montano	5	502	0	1	0.07	0.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.