Matches › 2023/24

Motherwell 1–1 Hibernian

Saturday 13 April 2024, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 33 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 7,509

Motherwell Blaney 90+4'

Hibernian Maolida 65' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	Hibernian
Goals	1	1
xG	0.97	1.51
Non-penalty xG	0.97	0.72
Expected Points	0.86	1.83

Motherwell 18%Draw 31%Hibernian 51%

Most likely score 1–1, 20%. Final score 1–1, 20%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellHibernian

0.97 −0.28xG1.51 +0.31

0.97Non-penalty xG0.72

0.32 −1.11xG on target1.93 +0.69

8 −4Shots9 −2

1 −3.0Shots on target4 0.0

1 −1.0Big chances3 +1.2

12 −8Touches in the opposition box32 +9

51% +6Possession49% −4

395 +44Passes380 −45

64% −2Pass accuracy64% −13

39% −5Field tilt61% +13

34 +2Final-third entries28 −9

8 −1.7Box entries13 +1.2

13.3 −3Passes per defensive action18.8 +3

4 −0.5Corners6 +0.8

15 −1Tackles11 −3

7 −0.6Interceptions5 −2.4

26 +2Clearances23 0

4 +1.3Saves0 −2.9

7 −4.6Fouls10 +0.1

1 −0.2Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellHibernian

0.77 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.70 7 shots, 0 goals

0.20 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.02 1 shot, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 66 min (69%) · Motherwell 0.62, Hibernian 1.34 xG
Hibernian ahead: 29 min (31%) · Motherwell 0.34, Hibernian 0.17 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

69' Nicholson for O'Donnell
70' Halliday for Zdravkovski
70' Ebiye for Vale
89' Ferrie for Spittal
90' Shaw for Miller

Hibernian substitutes

67' Levitt for Moriah-Welsh
80' Campbell for Boyle

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kelly	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.06	10	0
Casey	CB	90		0.01	0.01	0	0.08	11	9
McGinn	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.04	3	3
Blaney	CB	90	1	0.06	0.01	0	0.05	5	8
O'Donnell	RWB	69		0.00	0.03	1	0.12	8	7
Zdravkovski	CM	70		0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	5
Miller	CM	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.05	4	4
Gent	LWB	90		0.00	0.13	2	0.20	10	4
Spittal	AM	89		0.14	0.03	1	0.00	3	6
Vale	ST	70		0.09	0.04	0	0.09	5	2
Bair	ST	90		0.00	0.02	0	−0.06	0	0
Nicholson	DF	21		0.03	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Halliday	MF	20		0.10	0.05	0	0.01	1	1
Ebiye	FW	20		0.15	0.42	2	0.18	1	0
Ferrie	FW	1		0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0
Shaw	FW	0		0.38	0.00	0	–	–	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	0
Cadden	RB	90		0.16	0.01	0	0.04	7	5
Fish	CB	90		0.02	0.00	0	0.02	1	12
Bushiri	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.04	1	5
Obita	LB	90		0.00	0.02	1	0.08	8	1
Moriah-Welsh	DM	67		0.00	0.03	0	0.09	3	0
Newell	DM	90		0.02	0.05	1	0.12	6	5
Boyle	RW	80		0.00	0.02	1	0.00	0	1
Marcondes	AM	90		0.00	0.66	3	0.13	3	8
Youan	LW	90		0.27	0.10	0	0.14	8	2
Maolida	ST	90	1	1.04	0.15	1	−0.08	2	0
Levitt	MF	23		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Campbell	MF	10		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	2

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
Spittal	Gent	10
Casey	McGinn	8
Gent	Spittal	7
McGinn	Casey	7
Gent	Blaney	7

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Marshall	Bushiri	13
Obita	Youan	11
Newell	Obita	8
Bushiri	Marshall	8
Bushiri	Obita	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 32 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Motherwell
Top six	17%	–	−17
Hibernian
Top six	28%	37%	+9
Dundee FC
Top six	56%	63%	+7
Rangers
Title	57%	58%	+1

From the forecast before the match (13 April 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	Hibernian
Expected goals	1.55	1.11
Win	47%	27%
Expected Points	1.67	1.07
Clean sheet	33%	21%

Motherwell 47%Draw 27%Hibernian 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 13 April 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Motherwell win	Draw	Hibernian win
Motherwell
Top six	17%	36%	–	–
Hibernian
Top six	28%	–	37%	68%
Dundee FC
Top six	56%	64%	63%	32%
Rangers
Title	57%	58%	58%	54%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	Hibernian
Position	8th	7th
Played	32	32
Won, drawn, lost	8–⁠12–⁠12	9–⁠11–⁠12
Points	36 (1.12 per game)	38 (1.19 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.26	1.17
Goals	45–⁠50	43–⁠50
xG per game	1.25–⁠1.48	1.20–⁠1.51
Home: points, xG per game	1.06, 1.34–⁠1.39	1.29, 1.32–⁠1.32
Away: points, xG per game	1.19, 1.17–⁠1.56	1.07, 1.06–⁠1.74
Manager	Stuart Kettlewell (46)	Nick Montgomery (28)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−5%	+16%	−2%	+9%
Counter-attacks	+21%	−30%	−18%	−18%
Set pieces	−23%	+11%	−13%	+5%
Penalties	−7%	−7%	−53%	+55%
Headers	−12%	+44%	−26%	−15%
Left side	−17%	+26%	−8%	−11%
Centre	+10%	+5%	−14%	+9%
Right side	−34%	+7%	+10%	+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHibernian concededLeft side−17%+17%Centre+10%+9%Right side−34%−11%Open play−5%+9%Counter-attacks+21%−18%Set pieces−23%+5%Headers−12%−15%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdMotherwell concededLeft side−8%+7%Centre−14%+5%Right side+10%+26%Open play−2%+16%Counter-attacks−18%−30%Set pieces−13%+11%Headers−26%+44%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellHibernian

1.25xG1.20

1.48xG against1.51

45%Possession53%

11.5Shots11.1

14.1Shots against13.7

4.0Shots on target4.0

2.0Big chances1.8

19.7Touches in the opposition box23.3

351Passes425

66%Pass accuracy77%

4.5Corners5.2

45%Field tilt48%

31.5Final-third entries37.1

9.7Box entries11.8

16.5Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	0.99	1.39
Ahead	14	1.24	2.12
Behind	31	1.66	1.31

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	1.30	1.38
Ahead	22	1.09	1.61
Behind	24	1.12	1.66

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.14	5–6
16–30	0.15	0.22	6–12
31–45	0.22	0.24	6–5
46–60	0.12	0.30	2–8
61–75	0.25	0.25	8–9
76–90	0.37	0.33	18–10

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.22	5–6
16–30	0.19	0.17	6–6
31–45	0.21	0.32	5–9
46–60	0.17	0.23	7–8
61–75	0.18	0.24	11–8
76–90	0.26	0.33	9–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (3), 3-1-4-2 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2)

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (15), 4-2-3-1 (9), 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 January 2024	Hibernian	2–2	Motherwell	xG 0.72–1.55
13 August 2023	Motherwell	2–1	Hibernian	xG 0.60–0.86
1 April 2023	Hibernian	1–3	Motherwell	xG 0.90–1.79
8 January 2023	Motherwell	2–3	Hibernian	xG 1.64–1.73
8 October 2022	Hibernian	1–0	Motherwell	xG 0.67–0.34
26 January 2022	Motherwell	0–0	Hibernian	xG 0.61–0.38

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 3, Hibernian won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 14–15 and xG 1.13–1.30 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Biereth	11	1,022	6	5	0.36	0.22
Bair	25	2,111	13	4	0.47	0.10
Spittal	31	2,790	7	9	0.17	0.25
Vale	7	603	2	2	0.29	0.11

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Le Fondre	7	814	5	1	0.46	0.11
Doidge	6	643	3	2	0.49	0.05
Maolida	10	877	6	1	0.38	0.11
Marcondes	9	854	2	0	0.27	0.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.