Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Hibernian 1–0 Motherwell

Saturday 8 October 2022, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 10 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 16,435

Hibernian Porteous 67'

Motherwell Shields sent off 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianMotherwell
Goals10
xG0.670.34
Expected Points1.580.94

Hibernian 37%Draw 48%Motherwell 15%

Most likely score 0–0, 38%. Final score 1–0, 24%.

Motherwell goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+12%2%24%10%1%8%3%1%38%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTShields (Motherwell), red card 56'McKirdy on for Youan, 58'Magennis on for Kenneh and Stevenson on for Cabraja, 64'Melkersen on for Kukharevych, 80'Tierney on for Spittal, 23'Cornelius on for Slattery, 71'O'Donnell on for Tierney and Moult on for van Veen, 72'McKinstry on for McGinn, 85'Porteous 67'Hibernian 0.67Motherwell 0.3400.250.50.750153045607590HTShields (Motherwell), red card 56'McKirdy on for Youan, 58'Magennis on for Kenneh and Stevenson on for Cabraja, 64'Melkersen on for Kukharevych, 80'Tierney on for Spittal, 23'Cornelius on for Slattery, 71'O'Donnell on for Tierney and Moult on for van Veen, 72'McKinstry on for McGinn, 85'Porteous 67'0.670.34HibernianMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianMotherwell

0.67 −0.78xG0.34 −1.41
0.63 −0.32xG on target0.14 −1.31
14 −5Shots9 −5
5 0.0Shots on target1 −3.0
0 −1.4Big chances0 −2.4
26 −2Touches in the opposition box18 −1
57% −4Possession43% −7
395 −21Passes277 −92
77% −2Pass accuracy64% −6
62% −8Field tilt38% −15
36 −17Final-third entries18 −19
13 −4.0Box entries10 +1.3
8.3 −0.6Passes per defensive action16.4 +3.6
3 −6.1Corners7 +2.6
14 0Tackles20 +6
11 +4.2Interceptions8 −2.1
26 +9Clearances11 −5
1 −0.8Saves4 +1.6
16 +1Fouls10 −4
2 +0.1Offsides4 +2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Newell 14', 0.14 xGBoyle 3', 0.08 xGYouan 55', 0.08 xGCadden 59', 0.06 xGMagennis 83', 0.05 xGYouan 7', 0.04 xGNewell 36', 0.03 xGPorteous 45', 0.03 xGNewell 58', 0.03 xGNewell 59', 0.03 xGBoyle 14', 0.02 xGNewell 42', 0.02 xGCadden 14', 0.01 xGPorteous 67', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals43%0.29 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal16%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals27%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals13%0.09 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Efford 20', 0.08 xGvan Veen 54', 0.08 xGPenney 81', 0.05 xGvan Veen 40', 0.03 xGSlattery 50', 0.03 xGO'Donnell 73', 0.03 xGGoss 72', 0.02 xGMcKinstry 90+3', 0.01 xGGoss 2', 0.00 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals18%0.06 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals36%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals45%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianMotherwell

0.52 10 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.14 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.08 1 shot, 0 goals
0.15 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.11 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
67 min (72%) · Hibernian 0.62, Motherwell 0.22 xG
Hibernian ahead
26 min (28%) · Hibernian 0.05, Motherwell 0.11 xG

Line-ups

11254367711322399MarshallCaddenPorteousHanlonCabrajaKennehBoyleNewellCampbellYouanKukharevychGoalYellow card64'64'58'80'Hibernian 4-1-4-1Lee Johnson11615424827117299KellyMcGinnJohansenLamiePenneySlatteryGossEffordSpittalShieldsvan VeenYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardSent off85'71'23'72'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Steven Hammell

Hibernian substitutes

  • 58' McKirdy for Youan · yellow card 85'
  • 64' Magennis for Kenneh
  • 64' Stevenson for Cabraja
  • 80' Melkersen for Kukharevych

Motherwell substitutes

  • 23' Tierney for Spittal · off 72'
  • 71' Cornelius for Slattery
  • 72' O'Donnell for Tierney
  • 72' Moult for van Veen
  • 85' McKinstry for McGinn

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0332
CaddenRB900.080.0300.0764
PorteousCB9010.060.0210.11107
Hanlon CB900.000.0000.03411
CabrajaLB640.000.1630.19113
KennehDM640.000.0110.0017
BoyleRM900.110.0600.1281
NewellCM900.250.0300.0526
CampbellCM900.000.0720.0932
YouanLM580.120.051−0.0760
KukharevychST800.000.1430.0757
McKirdy FW320.000.0100.0311
MagennisMF260.050.0100.0202
StevensonMF260.000.0000.0121
MelkersenFW100.000.0000.0000

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0300.1160
McGinnRB850.000.0100.0126
JohansenCB900.000.0000.0114
Lamie CB900.000.0100.0138
Penney LB900.050.0000.0425
Slattery DM710.030.0600.0836
GossDM900.020.0310.0355
Efford RW900.080.0110.0343
SpittalAM230.000.0010.0121
Shields LW560.000.020−0.0611
van VeenST720.110.0000.0101
TierneyMF490.000.0100.0001
CorneliusMF190.000.0000.0011
O'DonnellDF180.030.041−0.0211
MoultFW180.000.0200.0120
McKinstryFW50.010.1600.2211

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Marshall and Kenneh: 4 passesHanlon and Kenneh: 4 passesHanlon and Youan: 4 passesCabraja and Kenneh: 4 passesKenneh and Newell: 4 passesCadden and Newell: 5 passesCabraja and Boyle: 5 passesCabraja and Kukharevych: 5 passesBoyle and Campbell: 5 passesYouan and Kukharevych: 5 passesMarshall and Cabraja: 6 passesCadden and Boyle: 6 passesNewell and Youan: 6 passesCadden and Kukharevych: 8 passesPorteous and Campbell: 8 passesHanlon and Cabraja: 10 passesMarshall and Hanlon: 12 passesCadden and Porteous: 12 passesMarshall and Porteous: 13 passesHanlon and Porteous: 15 passesCabraja and Youan: 15 passesMarshall: 20 completed passesCadden: 21 completed passesHanlon: 30 completed passesPorteous: 31 completed passesCabraja: 28 completed passesKenneh: 14 completed passesBoyle: 12 completed passesNewell: 14 completed passesCampbell: 14 completed passesYouan: 17 completed passesKukharevych: 10 completed passes11245367711322399MarshallCaddenHanlonPorteousCabrajaKennehBoyleNewellCampbellYouanKukharevychStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Motherwell

Kelly and McGinn: 3 passesLamie and Penney: 3 passesSlattery and Goss: 4 passesMcGinn and Slattery: 6 passesMcGinn and Efford: 7 passesPenney and Goss: 7 passesKelly: 5 completed passesMcGinn: 13 completed passesJohansen: 2 completed passesLamie: 4 completed passesPenney: 8 completed passesSlattery: 6 completed passesGoss: 9 completed passesEfford: 1 completed passesSpittal: 5 completed passesShields: 2 completed passesvan Veen: 1 completed passes11615424827117299KellyMcGinnJohansenLamiePenneySlatteryGossEffordSpittalShieldsvan VeenStarters until 23' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
HanlonPorteous12
PorteousHanlon10
PorteousCadden10
CaddenPorteous9
HanlonMarshall9

Motherwell

FromToPasses
GossPenney9
McGinnEfford8
KellyMcGinn8
GossSlattery7
LamieGoss7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

2−1.25+0.213+5.013+6.570.01−2.26+0.27+3.110+4.89−0.49+4.19+4.45+2.810+5.211+2.83+0.94−0.63+0.16+2.67+1.41−1.54+1.82+0.51−1.80−3.20−0.62+1.42+0.80−1.02+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Motherwell

50.05+1.012−1.76−0.83−2.74−2.18+3.09+2.88+0.96−1.05−1.96+0.44+1.26−0.63−3.44−0.29+6.03−0.43−0.65+0.80−2.93+2.00−1.00−2.12−1.40−1.11+0.60−1.10−0.30−1.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.020.010.010.010.010.010.070.040.020.030.060.060.010.030.040.020.010.070.050.040.050.08−0.14−0.010.13LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.020.050.010.020.010.020.02−0.010.010.060.06−0.01−0.010.010.060.080.010.020.02−0.12−0.010.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackHibernian1.20 → 1.19Motherwell1.11 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.04 → 1.03Motherwell1.27 → 1.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Top six88%92%+4
Motherwell
Top six49%42%−7
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (8 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianMotherwell
Expected goals1.510.88
Win51%21%
Expected Points1.810.91
Clean sheet41%22%

Hibernian 51%Draw 27%Motherwell 21%

Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

Motherwell goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%4%1%5%2%9%4%1%5%5%2%2%2%10%13%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawMotherwell win
Hibernian
Top six88%92%86%81%
Motherwell
Top six49%42%50%63%
11th2%3%2%1%
Bottom1%1%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. W2–01 OctRoss County (A)xG 1.66–0.66
  2. W3–117 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.80–0.66
  3. W1–03 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.44–0.39
  4. L0–127 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.80–1.37
  5. D2–220 AugRangers (H)xG 0.77–1.57
  6. L1–213 AugLivingston (A)xG 1.86–1.45

Motherwell

  1. W5–04 OctRoss County (A)xG 2.58–0.52
  2. L1–21 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.35–3.50
  3. L0–318 SepHearts (H)xG 2.83–1.92
  4. D0–03 SepDundee United (H)xG 3.28–0.36
  5. L1–227 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 0.70–1.52
  6. W1–020 AugLivingston (H)xG 1.43–0.27

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianMotherwell
Position4th6th
Played89
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠2–⁠24–⁠1–⁠4
Points14 (1.75 per game)13 (1.44 per game)
Expected Points per game1.731.65
Goals11–⁠713–⁠11
xG per game1.45–⁠0.901.75–⁠1.40
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.63–⁠0.901.00, 2.05–⁠0.85
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.28–⁠0.911.80, 1.50–⁠1.84
ManagerLee Johnson (8)Steven Hammell (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackHibernian1.20, 4thMotherwell1.11, 6thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.04, 3rdMotherwell1.27, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.20Motherwell attack: 1.111.201.11MotherwellHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.04Motherwell defence: 1.271.271.04

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+4%−41%+19%+27%
Counter-attacks+14%+70%+135%+10%
Set pieces+49%−22%−8%−9%
Penalties−15%−15%+202%−100%
Headers+37%−20%−20%+42%
Left side+58%−31%+37%−13%
Centre−21%−46%average+65%
Right side+31%−9%+31%−26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdMotherwell concededLeft side+58%−26%Centre−21%+65%Right side+31%−13%Open play+4%+27%Counter-attacks+14%+10%Set pieces+49%−9%Headers+37%+42%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHibernian concededLeft side+37%−9%Centreaverage−46%Right side+31%−31%Open play+19%−41%Counter-attacks+135%+70%Set pieces−8%−22%Headers−20%−20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianMotherwell

1.45xG1.75
0.90xG against1.40
61%Possession50%
18.9Shots14.1
9.0Shots against12.9
5.0Shots on target4.0
1.4Big chances2.4
28.5Touches in the opposition box19.0
416Passes369
79%Pass accuracy70%
9.1Corners4.4
69%Field tilt54%
52.8Final-third entries37.4
17.0Box entries8.7
8.9Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level360.961.02
Ahead191.790.76
Behind351.780.86

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.941.66
Ahead281.391.11
Behind221.841.30

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.091–3
16–300.090.120–1
31–450.290.171–1
46–600.350.223–1
61–750.210.142–0
76–900.380.164–1

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.201–1
16–300.180.242–2
31–450.330.332–1
46–600.360.145–2
61–750.380.201–2
76–900.390.292–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMarshall 8Cadden 8Porteous 7Bushiri 3Hanlon 6Cabraja 7Campbell 1Kenneh 6Campbell 2Doyle-Hayes 2Newell 5Henderson 1Boyle 3Melkersen 3Porteous 1Campbell 3Newell 2Henderson 2Youan 4Henderson 2Boyle 1Youan 4Kukharevych 2Boyle 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 5-3-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTKelly 9McGinn 9Johansen 9Mugabi 2Lamie 7Penney 4O'Donnell 4Carroll 1Maguire 4Slattery 3Goss 6Cornelius 3Tierney 1Shields 4Spittal 2Slattery 1Goss 2Spittal 1Shields 1Spittal 6Shields 1Goss 1van Veen 7Shields 1Efford 14-2-3-1 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 January 2022Motherwell0–0HibernianxG 0.61–0.38
4 December 2021Hibernian1–1MotherwellxG 1.89–1.32
1 August 2021Motherwell2–3HibernianxG 1.47–2.88
27 February 2021Hibernian0–2MotherwellxG 1.70–1.00
5 December 2020Motherwell0–3HibernianxG 1.22–1.08
15 August 2020Hibernian0–0MotherwellxG 1.45–0.89

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 2, Motherwell won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–5 and xG 1.56–1.09 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle5522400.340.15
Youan8634030.220.18
Campbell6474400.240.15
Newell8719100.080.19

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen9784700.910.10
Shields7527010.070.17
Spittal9674110.120.10
Goss9778010.110.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.