Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Motherwell 0–0 Hibernian

Wednesday 26 January 2022, 19:45 · Fir Park · Round 23 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Andrew Dallas · Attendance 5,202

Motherwell Donnelly sent off 73'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellHibernian
Goals00
xG0.610.38
Expected Points1.481.03

Motherwell 33%Draw 49%Hibernian 18%

Most likely score 0–0, 38%. Final score 0–0, 38%.

Hibernian goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+14%2%22%11%1%6%3%1%38%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTDonnelly (Motherwell), second yellow card 73'Tierney on for Shields, 66'Shaw on for Roberts, 84'Slattery on for Tierney, 85'Wright on for Mueller, 62'Mitchell on for Campbell and Henderson on for Stevenson, 76'Doidge on for Newell, 82'Motherwell 0.61Hibernian 0.3800.250.50.750153045607590HTDonnelly (Motherwell), second yellow card 73'Tierney on for Shields, 66'Shaw on for Roberts, 84'Slattery on for Tierney, 85'Wright on for Mueller, 62'Mitchell on for Campbell and Henderson on for Stevenson, 76'Doidge on for Newell, 82'0.610.38MotherwellHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellHibernian

0.61 −0.41xG0.38 −0.92
0.14 −1.06xG on target0.00 −1.20
9 −1Shots4 −8
2 −1.6Shots on target0 −3.6
1 −0.5Big chances1 −0.5
14 −4Touches in the opposition box7 −13
37% −3Possession63% +9
265 −19Passes448 +25
62% +1Pass accuracy77% +2
43% +9Field tilt57% +3
23 −3Final-third entries26 −14
4 −3.7Box entries6 −5.9
12.3 −1Passes per defensive action12.7 0
4 −0.3Corners5 −0.4
17 +3Tackles13 −1
12 +0.9Interceptions9 −0.4
21 −4Clearances19 +3
0 −3.9Saves2 −0.6
14 −1Fouls14 +2
1 −0.8Offsides0 −2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

O'Donnell 56', 0.14 xGvan Veen 27', 0.11 xGvan Veen 81', 0.10 xGShields 27', 0.07 xGvan Veen 12', 0.05 xGGoss 82', 0.05 xGDonnelly 7', 0.03 xGvan Veen 45', 0.03 xGDonnelly 23', 0.02 xG18%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals20%0.12 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals32%0.19 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals25%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Doidge 86', 0.19 xGNisbet 1', 0.09 xGCampbell 60', 0.08 xGMueller 32', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals21%0.08 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals74%0.28 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals5%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellHibernian

0.22 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.29 3 shots, 0 goals
0.39 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (100%) · Motherwell 0.61, Hibernian 0.38 xG

Line-ups

12213192262728929KellyO'DonnellJohansenCarrollMcGinleyDonnellyMaguireGossRobertsvan VeenShieldsYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card84'66'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander1633162722113321514MaceyMcGinnBushiriStevensonCaddenDoyle-HayesNewellDoigCampbellNisbetMuellerYellow cardYellow card76'82'76'62'Hibernian 3-4-1-2Shaun Maloney

Motherwell substitutes

  • 66' Tierney for Shields · off 85'
  • 84' Shaw for Roberts
  • 85' Slattery for Tierney

Hibernian substitutes

  • 62' Wright for Mueller
  • 76' Mitchell for Campbell
  • 76' Henderson for Stevenson
  • 82' Doidge for Newell

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.07100
O'DonnellRB900.140.0800.0884
Johansen CB900.000.0000.0114
CarrollCB900.000.0610.0367
McGinleyLB900.000.0100.0226
Donnelly CM730.050.000−0.0107
MaguireCM900.000.0210.04411
GossCM900.050.1100.1266
RobertsRW840.000.0210.0123
van Veen ST900.300.0210.0021
ShieldsLW660.070.0000.0002
TierneyMF190.000.0000.0101
ShawMF60.000.0000.0000
SlatteryMF50.000.1600.0100

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0010
McGinn CB900.000.0000.0567
BushiriCB900.000.0000.0007
Stevenson CB760.000.0000.0429
CaddenRWB900.000.0100.0774
Doyle-HayesCM900.000.010−0.0115
NewellCM820.000.2120.0153
DoigLWB900.000.0000.1186
CampbellAM760.080.000−0.0102
NisbetST900.090.0100.0310
MuellerST620.020.0200.0431
WrightMF280.000.000−0.0100
MitchellMF140.000.0000.0010
HendersonMF140.000.1310.0311
DoidgeFW80.190.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and Donnelly: 3 passesCarroll and Johansen: 3 passesJohansen and Donnelly: 3 passesMcGinley and van Veen: 3 passesGoss and Roberts: 3 passesGoss and Shields: 3 passesMaguire and Donnelly: 3 passesRoberts and van Veen: 3 passesMcGinley and Maguire: 4 passesMcGinley and Shields: 4 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 5 passesKelly and Roberts: 5 passesO'Donnell and Donnelly: 5 passesCarroll and McGinley: 5 passesKelly and McGinley: 6 passesO'Donnell and Johansen: 6 passesO'Donnell and van Veen: 6 passesGoss and van Veen: 6 passesMcGinley and Roberts: 7 passesO'Donnell and Roberts: 9 passesMcGinley and Goss: 9 passesKelly: 13 completed passesO'Donnell: 27 completed passesCarroll: 10 completed passesJohansen: 14 completed passesMcGinley: 26 completed passesGoss: 16 completed passesMaguire: 10 completed passesDonnelly: 10 completed passesRoberts: 8 completed passesvan Veen: 6 completed passesShields: 1 completed passes12321192762228929KellyO'DonnellCarrollJohansenMcGinleyGossMaguireDonnellyRobertsvan VeenShieldsStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Macey and Nisbet: 4 passesStevenson and Newell: 4 passesStevenson and Nisbet: 4 passesDoyle-Hayes and Newell: 4 passesNewell and Nisbet: 4 passesMacey and Bushiri: 5 passesMacey and Stevenson: 5 passesBushiri and Stevenson: 5 passesMcGinn and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesMcGinn and Newell: 5 passesCadden and Nisbet: 5 passesNewell and Mueller: 5 passesMueller and Nisbet: 5 passesStevenson and Doyle-Hayes: 6 passesDoyle-Hayes and Doig: 6 passesMacey and McGinn: 8 passesCadden and Doyle-Hayes: 8 passesCadden and Newell: 8 passesCadden and Mueller: 8 passesNewell and Doig: 8 passesCadden and Campbell: 9 passesDoig and Mueller: 15 passesStevenson and Doig: 19 passesMcGinn and Cadden: 20 passesMacey: 19 completed passesBushiri: 11 completed passesMcGinn: 28 completed passesStevenson: 24 completed passesCadden: 30 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 21 completed passesNewell: 23 completed passesDoig: 27 completed passesCampbell: 7 completed passesMueller: 15 completed passesNisbet: 8 completed passes1336162722113321415MaceyBushiriMcGinnStevensonCaddenDoyle-HayesNewellDoigCampbellMuellerNisbetStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
O'DonnellRoberts8
O'Donnellvan Veen8
Gossvan Veen7
McGinleyGoss7
McGinleyvan Veen6

Hibernian

FromToPasses
McGinnCadden25
StevensonDoig17
CaddenMcGinn15
CaddenCampbell11
BushiriDoig10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

2−2.45−1.412−6.73−4.013+7.310+3.57+1.23−2.94−3.95−3.25−0.42−2.60−3.78+3.27+0.914+9.93−0.33+0.66+2.89+4.82−1.60−1.20−1.13+0.87+3.90−0.90−0.41+0.22+1.33+2.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Hibernian

9+4.52−2.615+3.84−1.41−4.07+0.713+6.04−1.69+2.87+1.25−0.54+0.411+4.18+2.97+2.01−2.82−0.11−2.33−1.02−0.20−1.60−0.90−1.23+0.61−0.20−0.11+0.10−0.21+0.12−6.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.020.010.010.020.030.020.010.020.010.030.020.050.010.03−0.010.040.03−0.030.02−0.020.07LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.030.010.010.010.020.030.010.040.030.020.010.01−0.01−0.01−0.010.010.060.040.04LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackMotherwell1.01 → 0.98Hibernian1.21 → 1.17Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34 → 1.29Hibernian1.02 → 0.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six78%79%+1
Hibernian
Top six92%91%−1
Dundee United
Top six17%17%0
11th7%7%0

From the forecast before the match (26 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellHibernian
Expected goals1.021.32
Win28%43%
Expected Points1.131.58
Clean sheet27%36%

Motherwell 28%Draw 29%Hibernian 43%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Hibernian goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%4%1%9%9%4%1%5%7%4%2%2%2%2%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawHibernian win
Motherwell
Top six78%89%79%70%
Hibernian
Top six92%86%91%97%
Dundee United
Top six17%15%17%19%
11th7%8%7%7%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L1–318 JanRoss County (A)xG 0.59–1.20
  2. W2–126 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.92–0.43
  3. W2–018 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–0.52
  4. L0–112 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.75–2.45
  5. D1–14 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.32–1.89
  6. W1–030 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.72–0.31

Hibernian

  1. L0–217 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.57–2.94
  2. W3–126 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.80–0.54
  3. W1–022 DecAberdeen (H)xG 0.41–0.70
  4. W1–014 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.14–0.62
  5. D1–111 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.06–0.60
  6. L0–18 DecLivingston (A)xG 1.95–1.23

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellHibernian
Position4th5th
Played2121
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠4–⁠88–⁠5–⁠8
Points31 (1.48 per game)29 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.091.54
Goals26–⁠3024–⁠24
xG per game1.02–⁠1.431.30–⁠1.06
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 0.99–⁠1.321.70, 1.22–⁠1.02
Away: points, xG per game0.90, 1.05–⁠1.561.09, 1.37–⁠1.09
ManagerGraham Alexander (39)Shaun Maloney (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackMotherwell1.01, 7thHibernian1.21, 4thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.34, 10thHibernian1.02, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanMotherwell attack: 1.01Hibernian attack: 1.211.211.01HibernianMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanMotherwell defence: 1.34Hibernian defence: 1.021.341.02

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+18%+13%−13%
Counter-attacks−21%−65%+55%+40%
Set pieces+15%+14%−39%−11%
Penalties−29%+78%+78%−29%
Headers+38%−1%−14%+3%
Left side−5%+30%−4%−14%
Centre+1%+1%+2%+4%
Right side−50%+21%+5%−37%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHibernian concededLeft side−5%−37%Centre+1%+4%Right side−50%−14%Open play−24%−13%Counter-attacks−21%+40%Set pieces+15%−11%Headers+38%+3%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdMotherwell concededLeft side−4%+21%Centre+2%+1%Right side+5%+30%Open play+13%+18%Counter-attacks+55%−65%Set pieces−39%+14%Headers−14%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellHibernian

1.02xG1.30
1.43xG against1.06
40%Possession54%
10.1Shots11.9
15.0Shots against10.5
3.6Shots on target3.6
1.5Big chances1.5
17.6Touches in the opposition box19.6
284Passes423
60%Pass accuracy75%
4.3Corners5.4
34%Field tilt55%
25.8Final-third entries40.4
7.7Box entries11.9
13.4Passes per defensive action12.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level351.001.50
Ahead290.991.18
Behind261.071.63

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.330.86
Ahead221.151.00
Behind241.381.46

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.205–2
16–300.140.214–5
31–450.110.171–9
46–600.260.279–3
61–750.210.224–5
76–900.160.363–6

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.101–5
16–300.150.203–5
31–450.250.156–3
46–600.210.195–3
61–750.280.174–2
76–900.250.245–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 21O'Donnell 14Mugabi 7Mugabi 12Johansen 10Ojala 10Lamie 9McGinley 17Carroll 4Grimshaw 10Cornelius 2Slattery 17Maguire 9Donnelly 5Goss 12O'Hara 8Woolery 16Roberts 3Amaluzor 2van Veen 10Watt 7Shields 4Watt 11van Veen 4Woolery 34-3-3 in every start

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMacey 21Boyle 9McGinn 9Cadden 1Porteous 17Wood 1Hanlon 18McGregor 5Doig 1Cadden 12McGinn 8Doig 1Doyle-Hayes 17Cadden 2Newell 15Gogic 3Magennis 3Doig 15Stevenson 4Newell 1Campbell 8Allan 4Magennis 4Nisbet 18Scott 2Doidge 1Boyle 11Murphy 8Gullan 23-4-1-2 in 8 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (8), 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 December 2021Hibernian1–1MotherwellxG 1.89–1.32
1 August 2021Motherwell2–3HibernianxG 1.47–2.88
27 February 2021Hibernian0–2MotherwellxG 1.70–1.00
5 December 2020Motherwell0–3HibernianxG 1.22–1.08
15 August 2020Hibernian0–0MotherwellxG 1.45–0.89

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 1, Hibernian won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 5–7 and xG 1.18–1.80 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt181,598900.350.06
van Veen141,286720.290.09
Shields6509110.220.10
Goss121,112040.070.17

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murphy8776210.330.20
Boyle201,781730.310.21
Nisbet191,592500.380.04
Magennis7580210.240.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.