Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
RangersHibernian
2.82 +0.45xG0.50 −0.73
2.03Non-penalty xG0.50
3.01 +0.71xG on target0.25 −1.01
24 +3Shots6 −5
8 +0.5Shots on target1 −3.0
4 +0.3Big chances0 −1.8
37 +2Touches in the opposition box14 −9
60% −4Possession40% −13
524 −20Passes349 −76
86% +4Pass accuracy77% 0
79% +8Field tilt21% −27
70 +11Final-third entries24 −13
24 +5Box entries7 −5
13.2 +2Passes per defensive action21.6 +6
9 +1.7Corners4 −0.9
12 −3Tackles21 +7
5 −2.2Interceptions6 −1.6
15 0Clearances29 +5
0 −1.9Saves4 +1.1
14 +3Fouls7 −3
2 −0.1Offsides0 −1.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Rangers
Hibernian
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
26'45+2'45+7'85'
0–01–02–13–1
0'HTFT
Level
31 min (30%) · Rangers 1.64, Hibernian 0.07 xG
Rangers ahead
71 min (70%) · Rangers 1.17, Hibernian 0.43 xG
Line-ups
Rangers substitutes
58'Sterling for Wright · 1 assist
58'Lawrence for Cantwell
67'McCausland for Barisic
79'Matondo for Silva · goal 85'
80'Sima for Dessers
Hibernian substitutes
59'Tavares for Le Fondre
59'Moriah-Welsh for Triantis
70'Boyle for Youan
83'Levitt for Cadden · yellow card 89'
83'Stevenson for Obita
Players
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Butland
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Tavernier
RB
90
1
1.02
0.38
1
0.24
7
5
Goldson
CB
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.17
6
5
Souttar
CB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.23
11
8
Barisic
LB
67
0.00
0.53
2
0.43
7
1
Diomande
DM
90
0.06
0.08
1
0.05
5
4
Lundstram
DM
90
0.12
0.05
2
0.08
8
6
Wright
RW
58
0.43
0.02
1
0.07
5
1
Cantwell
AM
58
1
0.03
0.55
2
0.30
3
0
Silva
LW
79
0.04
0.07
2
0.08
6
1
Dessers
ST
80
1
0.90
0.08
4
−0.05
1
1
Sterling
DF
32
1
0.02
0.02
1
0.05
4
1
Lawrence
MF
32
0.04
0.03
1
0.03
1
0
McCausland
MF
23
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
0
0
Matondo
FW
11
1
0.03
0.01
1
0.02
2
0
Sima
FW
10
0.13
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marshall
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
4
3
Cadden
RB
83
0.00
0.02
0
0.08
8
8
Fish
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
5
11
Bushiri
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
3
6
Obita
LB
83
0.03
0.00
0
0.04
4
4
Triantis
DM
59
0.00
0.01
1
0.03
2
5
Youan
RM
70
1
0.00
0.23
3
0.22
8
5
Marcondes
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
3
7
Newell
CM
90
0.05
0.02
0
0.00
0
6
Maolida
LM
90
1
0.34
0.04
0
0.06
5
2
Le Fondre
ST
59
0.02
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Tavares
MF
31
0.06
0.00
0
−0.02
0
2
Moriah-Welsh
MF
31
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
3
Boyle
FW
20
0.00
0.04
1
0.00
0
0
Levitt
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
1
Stevenson
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Rangers
Hibernian
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Souttar
Lundstram
22
Souttar
Goldson
17
Goldson
Souttar
17
Lundstram
Goldson
17
Lundstram
Souttar
16
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Bushiri
Marshall
13
Marshall
Fish
9
Bushiri
Obita
8
Cadden
Youan
8
Marshall
Bushiri
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Rangers
Against its average of 29 matches
Hibernian
Against its average of 30 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Rangers
Hibernian
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Rangers
Title
62%
65%
+3
Hibernian
Top six
64%
59%
−5
Celtic
Title
38%
35%
−3
Dundee FC
Top six
31%
34%
+3
From the forecast before the match (30 March 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Rangers
Hibernian
Expected goals
2.73
0.60
Win
82%
5%
Expected Points
2.58
0.29
Clean sheet
55%
7%
Rangers 82%Draw 13%Hibernian 5%
Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 42%.
From the forecast as it stood on 30 March 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Rangers win
Draw
Hibernian win
Rangers
Title
62%
65%
47%
40%
Hibernian
Top six
64%
59%
78%
93%
Celtic
Title
38%
35%
53%
60%
Dundee FC
Top six
31%
34%
22%
11%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Rangers
Hibernian
Position
2nd
6th
Played
29
30
Won, drawn, lost
23–1–5
9–11–10
Points
70 (2.41 per game)
38 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.38
1.19
Goals
64–16
41–45
xG per game
2.37–0.60
1.23–1.50
Home: points, xG per game
2.40, 2.56–0.63
1.38, 1.34–1.36
Away: points, xG per game
2.43, 2.17–0.57
1.14, 1.10–1.66
Manager
Philippe Clement (21)
Nick Montgomery (26)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Rangers
Hibernian
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+88%
−61%
average
+7%
Counter-attacks
+53%
−46%
−23%
−28%
Set pieces
+29%
−41%
−11%
+9%
Penalties
+106%
−66%
−50%
+49%
Headers
+43%
−62%
−22%
−16%
Left side
+79%
−43%
−7%
−13%
Centre
+59%
−62%
−12%
+7%
Right side
+82%
−51%
+12%
+20%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
RangersHibernian
2.37xG1.23
0.60xG against1.50
64%Possession53%
21.3Shots11.2
7.3Shots against13.6
7.5Shots on target4.0
3.7Big chances1.8
35.5Touches in the opposition box23.3
544Passes425
82%Pass accuracy77%
7.3Corners4.9
72%Field tilt48%
59.4Final-third entries37.1
19.4Box entries11.8
10.9Passes per defensive action15.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
25
2.22
0.84
Ahead
49
2.34
0.50
Behind
16
2.68
0.58
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
43
1.34
1.33
Ahead
24
1.09
1.61
Behind
24
1.17
1.70
xG by period
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.27
0.12
7–5
16–30
0.35
0.10
12–2
31–45
0.43
0.06
13–3
46–60
0.35
0.13
6–2
61–75
0.39
0.08
10–3
76–90
0.58
0.11
16–1
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.18
0.23
5–6
16–30
0.20
0.14
6–5
31–45
0.21
0.32
4–8
46–60
0.18
0.21
6–7
61–75
0.18
0.26
11–8
76–90
0.28
0.34
9–11
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts