Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticSt. Mirren
2.25 −0.23xG0.53 −0.57
2.24 −0.33xG on target0.62 −0.37
17 −2Shots9 −3
6 −1.6Shots on target3 0.0
4 +0.6Big chances0 −1.9
32 −10Touches in the opposition box15 −3
76% +5Possession24% −12
743 +105Passes227 −31
89% +3Pass accuracy60% −1
81% +2Field tilt19% −18
84 +3Final-third entries21 −9
16 −8.6Box entries6 −2.8
8.5 −1.1Passes per defensive action33.2 +16.2
8 +0.2Corners2 −3.8
15 +1Tackles18 +3
15 +7.6Interceptions15 +5.2
21 +6Clearances22 0
3 +1.4Saves2 −0.4
5 −6Fouls5 −9
2 −0.5Offsides4 +2.8
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
St. Mirren
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
15'35'53'86'
0–01–02–03–04–0
0'HTFT
Level
15 min (16%) · Celtic 0.52, St. Mirren 0.07 xG
Celtic ahead
78 min (84%) · Celtic 1.73, St. Mirren 0.46 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
69'Forrest for Abada
70'Mooy for Hatate · 1 assist
70'Turnbull for O'Riley · goal 86'
79'Maeda for Furuhashi
80'Haksabanovic for Jota
St. Mirren substitutes
61'R. Taylor for Dunne
61'Greive for Ayunga
61'Kiltie for Baccus
84'Flynn for Strain
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
Johnston
RB
90
0.00
0.05
0
0.06
11
7
Starfelt
CB
90
0.27
0.01
0
0.12
7
14
Kobayashi
CB
90
0.27
0.01
0
0.11
10
3
Juranovic
LB
90
0.00
0.08
1
0.18
21
8
O'Riley
CM
70
0.25
0.24
3
0.00
2
5
McGregor
CM
90
0.00
0.06
0
0.06
5
2
Hatate
CM
70
1
0.07
0.22
1
0.16
10
3
Abada
RW
69
1
0.21
0.13
1
0.13
4
2
Furuhashi
ST
79
2
0.67
0.00
0
−0.02
0
1
Jota
LW
80
1
0.41
0.79
6
0.60
7
3
Forrest
FW
21
0.07
0.02
0
0.03
3
1
Mooy
MF
20
1
0.00
0.02
1
0.03
3
1
Turnbull
MF
20
1
0.03
0.02
0
0.01
2
3
Maeda
FW
11
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Haksabanovic
FW
10
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
4
1
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Carson
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Strain
RWB
84
0.00
0.08
1
0.11
5
6
Shaughnessy
CB
90
0.00
0.05
1
0.09
3
9
Gallagher
CB
90
0.12
0.22
1
0.00
1
4
Dunne
CB
61
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
6
Tanser
LWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
4
13
Baccus
CM
61
0.07
0.00
1
0.01
1
5
Erhahon
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
5
Gogic
CM
90
0.24
0.01
0
0.02
1
4
Main
ST
90
0.00
0.07
0
0.08
1
1
Ayunga
ST
61
0.07
0.11
1
0.06
1
1
R. Taylor
DF
29
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
4
Greive
FW
29
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Kiltie
FW
29
0.04
0.01
0
0.04
4
2
Flynn
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
St. Mirren
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Kobayashi
Juranovic
36
Starfelt
Johnston
25
Starfelt
Kobayashi
24
Juranovic
Kobayashi
24
Juranovic
Jota
22
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Strain
Shaughnessy
7
Shaughnessy
Main
6
Erhahon
Tanser
5
Baccus
Erhahon
4
Strain
Baccus
4
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Against its average of 21 matches
St. Mirren
Against its average of 20 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Celtic
St. Mirren
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
94%
95%
+1
St. Mirren
Top six
45%
43%
−2
11th
4%
5%
+1
Bottom
1%
1%
0
Hibernian
Top six
55%
56%
+1
Rangers
Title
6%
5%
−1
From the forecast before the match (18 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
St. Mirren
Expected goals
3.04
0.47
Win
87%
3%
Expected Points
2.72
0.19
Clean sheet
63%
5%
Celtic 87%Draw 9%St. Mirren 3%
Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Both sides score 36%.
From the forecast as it stood on 18 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
St. Mirren win
Celtic
Title
94%
95%
92%
88%
St. Mirren
Top six
45%
43%
53%
72%
11th
4%
5%
2%
2%
Bottom
1%
1%
<1%
<1%
Hibernian
Top six
55%
56%
50%
46%
Rangers
Title
6%
5%
8%
12%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Celtic
St. Mirren
Position
1st
6th
Played
21
20
Won, drawn, lost
19–1–1
7–6–7
Points
58 (2.76 per game)
27 (1.35 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.41
1.11
Goals
65–17
22–27
xG per game
2.48–0.67
1.10–1.42
Home: points, xG per game
3.00, 2.58–0.54
2.00, 1.22–1.07
Away: points, xG per game
2.55, 2.39–0.80
0.56, 0.94–1.84
Manager
Ange Postecoglou (59)
Stephen Robinson (13)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
St. Mirren
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+132%
−61%
−31%
−2%
Counter-attacks
+104%
−77%
+29%
+27%
Set pieces
+49%
−44%
+15%
−12%
Penalties
−53%
+19%
average
+99%
Headers
+64%
−40%
+23%
+8%
Left side
+60%
−52%
−13%
+15%
Centre
+159%
−55%
−26%
−8%
Right side
+82%
−68%
−10%
−17%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
St. Mirren createdCeltic concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−13%−68%Centre−26%−55%Right side−10%−52%Open play−31%−61%Counter-attacks+29%−77%Set pieces+15%−44%Headers+23%−40%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
CelticSt. Mirren
2.48xG1.10
0.67xG against1.42
71%Possession36%
19.5Shots11.6
6.7Shots against12.3
7.6Shots on target3.0
3.4Big chances1.9
41.5Touches in the opposition box17.6
638Passes258
86%Pass accuracy62%
7.8Corners5.8
80%Field tilt37%
80.6Final-third entries30.4
24.6Box entries8.8
9.6Passes per defensive action17.0
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
29
2.54
0.55
Ahead
56
2.48
0.72
Behind
5
2.14
0.83
St. Mirren
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
48
1.00
1.31
Ahead
20
1.32
1.41
Behind
22
1.11
1.66
xG by period
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.41
0.09
13–1
16–30
0.25
0.07
5–0
31–45
0.45
0.15
13–4
46–60
0.40
0.18
11–7
61–75
0.27
0.11
6–2
76–90
0.71
0.08
17–3
St. Mirren
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.17
3–3
16–30
0.11
0.22
0–4
31–45
0.21
0.27
6–5
46–60
0.23
0.23
6–5
61–75
0.19
0.19
2–4
76–90
0.27
0.34
5–6
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Celtic
Formations: 4-3-3 (19), 4-2-3-1 (2)
St. Mirren
Formations: 5-3-2 (19), 3-5-2 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts