Matches › 2023/24

Rangers 3–3 Celtic

Sunday 7 April 2024, 12:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 32 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 50,936

Rangers Tavernier 55' (pen), Sima 86', Matondo 90+3'

Celtic Maeda 1', O'Riley 34' (pen), Idah 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Goals	3	3
xG	1.69	1.96
Non-penalty xG	0.90	1.17
Expected Points	1.16	1.55

Rangers 29%Draw 30%Celtic 42%

Most likely score 2–2, 13%. Final score 3–3, 3%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersCeltic

1.69 −0.70xG1.96 −0.73

0.90Non-penalty xG1.17

2.59 +0.27xG on target1.58 −1.13

12 −9Shots14 −6

5 −2.5Shots on target7 −0.6

3 −0.7Big chances2 −2.2

29 −6Touches in the opposition box17 −30

54% −9Possession46% −24

455 −88Passes385 −278

74% −8Pass accuracy71% −14

63% −9Field tilt37% −43

46 −14Final-third entries31 −47

15 −5Box entries10 −15

11.5 0Passes per defensive action10.7 0

3 −4.4Corners2 −7.5

17 +2Tackles29 +14

7 −0.1Interceptions5 0.0

8 −7Clearances23 +8

4 +2.1Saves2 +0.3

10 −0.8Fouls23 +13.2

1 −1.1Offsides0 −2.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Rangers

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersCeltic

0.63 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.85 9 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.17 2 shots, 0 goals

0.28 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.15 2 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–10–21–2

Level: 7 min (7%) · Rangers 0.03, Celtic 0.11 xG
Celtic ahead: 92 min (93%) · Rangers 1.66, Celtic 1.85 xG

Line-ups

Rangers substitutes

46' Sima for Wright · goal 86'
69' Cantwell for Lawrence
69' Matondo for Silva · goal 90+3'
78' Dowell for Diomande
90+7' Balogun for Goldson

Celtic substitutes

65' McGregor for Hatate
65' Yang for Kühn
69' Idah for Furuhashi · goal 87'
82' Bernardo for O'Riley · 1 assist

Players

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Butland	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	3	0
Tavernier	RB	90	1		0.79	0.19	2	0.07	10	7
Goldson	CB	90			0.26	0.01	0	0.10	10	3
Souttar	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	4	4
Sterling	LB	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.07	5	6
Diomande	DM	78			0.00	0.19	2	0.06	5	5
Lundstram	DM	90		1	0.02	0.04	1	0.07	6	2
Wright	RW	46			0.00	0.29	0	0.04	1	0
Lawrence	AM	69			0.03	0.02	0	0.02	2	4
Silva	LW	69			0.32	0.01	0	0.00	1	0
Dessers	ST	90		1	0.03	0.03	2	0.02	0	1
Sima	FW	44	1		0.08	0.01	0	0.02	0	0
Cantwell	MF	21			0.00	0.05	1	0.03	2	1
Matondo	FW	21	1		0.16	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Dowell	FW	12			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	1
Balogun	DF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Johnston	RB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.07	8	12
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	8
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	7
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.15	1	0.24	8	9
O'Riley	CM	82	1		0.93	0.20	4	0.08	4	4
Iwata	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	0	6
Hatate	CM	65			0.13	0.10	0	0.07	4	1
Kühn	RW	65			0.02	0.10	3	0.12	3	1
Furuhashi	ST	69			0.43	0.00	1	0.05	1	0
Maeda	LW	90	1		0.29	0.01	0	0.20	4	6
McGregor	MF	25			0.00	0.00	1	0.00	2	2
Yang	FW	25			0.00	0.00	0	−0.06	1	1
Idah	FW	21	1		0.16	0.02	0	0.13	4	0
Bernardo	MF	8		1	0.00	0.02	1	0.02	2	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Lundstram	Sterling	15
Tavernier	Goldson	14
Souttar	Goldson	13
Souttar	Sterling	12
Goldson	Tavernier	12

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Hart	Scales	15
Johnston	Kühn	10
O'Riley	Johnston	9
Scales	Taylor	9
Carter-Vickers	O'Riley	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

Against its average of 30 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Rangers
Title	61%	57%	−4
Celtic
Title	39%	43%	+4

From the forecast before the match (7 April 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Expected goals	1.54	1.14
Win	46%	28%
Expected Points	1.64	1.09
Clean sheet	32%	21%

Rangers 46%Draw 27%Celtic 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

From the forecast as it stood on 7 April 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Rangers win	Draw	Celtic win
Rangers
Title	61%	83%	57%	29%
Celtic
Title	39%	17%	43%	71%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Position	2nd	1st
Played	30	31
Won, drawn, lost	24–⁠1–⁠5	23–⁠5–⁠3
Points	73 (2.43 per game)	74 (2.39 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.39	2.37
Goals	67–⁠17	74–⁠23
xG per game	2.39–⁠0.60	2.69–⁠0.85
Home: points, xG per game	2.44, 2.57–⁠0.63	2.40, 2.93–⁠0.74
Away: points, xG per game	2.43, 2.17–⁠0.57	2.38, 2.45–⁠0.96
Manager	Philippe Clement (22)	Brendan Rodgers (31)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Rangers		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+90%	−61%	+120%	−32%
Counter-attacks	+49%	−37%	+84%	−19%
Set pieces	+27%	−43%	+41%	−33%
Penalties	+120%	−66%	+112%	−84%
Headers	+45%	−63%	+53%	−23%
Left side	+77%	−43%	+94%	−16%
Centre	+61%	−61%	+83%	−33%
Right side	+82%	−51%	+124%	−44%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+77%−44%Centre+61%−33%Right side+82%−16%Open play+90%−32%Counter-attacks+49%−19%Set pieces+27%−33%Headers+45%−23%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+94%−51%Centre+83%−61%Right side+124%−43%Open play+120%−61%Counter-attacks+84%−37%Set pieces+41%−43%Headers+53%−63%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersCeltic

2.39xG2.69

0.60xG against0.85

63%Possession70%

21.4Shots20.4

7.2Shots against7.9

7.5Shots on target7.6

3.7Big chances4.2

35.5Touches in the opposition box46.6

543Passes663

82%Pass accuracy85%

7.4Corners9.5

72%Field tilt80%

59.7Final-third entries78.3

19.6Box entries24.8

11.0Passes per defensive action10.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	25	2.35	0.82
Ahead	49	2.31	0.50
Behind	16	2.68	0.58

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	41	2.70	0.77
Ahead	44	2.75	0.99
Behind	6	2.08	0.40

xG by period

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.27	0.12	7–5
16–30	0.37	0.10	13–2
31–45	0.43	0.07	14–4
46–60	0.37	0.13	6–2
61–75	0.38	0.08	10–3
76–90	0.56	0.10	17–1

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.39	0.10	10–2
16–30	0.44	0.07	11–2
31–45	0.34	0.18	10–3
46–60	0.47	0.11	13–4
61–75	0.32	0.17	8–4
76–90	0.73	0.22	22–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (22), 4-3-3 (6), 4-3-1-2 (2)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (30), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
30 December 2023	Celtic	2–1	Rangers	xG 0.64–0.97
3 September 2023	Rangers	0–1	Celtic	xG 1.80–0.95
13 May 2023	Rangers	3–0	Celtic	xG 1.57–1.34
8 April 2023	Celtic	3–2	Rangers	xG 1.09–0.69
2 January 2023	Rangers	2–2	Celtic	xG 2.00–1.17
3 September 2022	Celtic	4–0	Rangers	xG 1.88–0.79

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 5, Celtic won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 19–20 and xG 1.13–1.23 per game.

Key players

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Danilo	5	529	4	1	0.98	0.09
Dessers	20	1,672	13	2	0.78	0.11
Tavernier	30	2,691	15	8	0.44	0.33
Sima	15	1,390	10	2	0.46	0.15

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Turnbull	9	676	7	0	0.71	0.39
Oh	3	610	5	0	0.94	0.05
Palma	17	1,327	6	9	0.46	0.44
Hatate	5	454	2	2	0.61	0.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.