Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 3–2 Rangers

Saturday 8 April 2023, 12:30 · Celtic Park · Round 31 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 59,646

Celtic Furuhashi 26', 62', Jota 73'

Rangers Tavernier 45', 78'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticRangers
Goals32
xG1.090.69
Expected Points1.680.97

Celtic 45%Draw 35%Rangers 21%

Most likely score 1–0, 20%. Final score 3–2, 1%.

Rangers goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+10%3%5%10%8%3%3%2%14%20%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTIwata on for Mooy, 61'Oh on for O'Riley and Haksabanovic on for Jota, 75'Turnbull on for Furuhashi and Bernabei on for Maeda, 85'Sakala on for Tillman, 69'Colak on for Morelos, Lundstram on for Jack, and Wright on for Cantwell, 86'Furuhashi 26'Furuhashi 62'Jota 73'Tavernier 45'Tavernier 78'Celtic 1.09Rangers 0.6900.511.50153045607590HTIwata on for Mooy, 61'Oh on for O'Riley and Haksabanovic on for Jota, 75'Turnbull on for Furuhashi and Bernabei on for Maeda, 85'Sakala on for Tillman, 69'Colak on for Morelos, Lundstram on for Jack, and Wright on for Cantwell, 86'Furuhashi 26'Furuhashi 62'Jota 73'Tavernier 45'Tavernier 78'1.090.69CelticRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRangers

1.09 −1.38xG0.69 −1.57
1.76 −0.74xG on target0.94 −1.35
9 −10Shots8 −12
7 −0.3Shots on target3 −4.3
2 −1.4Big chances2 −1.4
21 −22Touches in the opposition box21 −20
55% −18Possession45% −23
463 −208Passes377 −224
79% −8Pass accuracy76% −10
46% −35Field tilt54% −28
48 −37Final-third entries30 −40
13 −12Box entries5 −17
7.6 −1.9Passes per defensive action14.4 +4.9
4 −3.7Corners3 −4.3
20 +7Tackles18 +3
15 +7.1Interceptions9 +1.9
13 −1Clearances18 +7
1 −0.5Saves4 +2.7
19 +9Fouls12 +1
5 +2.5Offsides3 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Furuhashi 65', 0.09 xGJota 60', 0.06 xGMcGregor 13', 0.04 xGJota 31', 0.04 xGJota 18', 0.03 xGHaksabanovic 76', 0.03 xGJota 73', 0.44 xG, goalFuruhashi 62', 0.19 xG, goalFuruhashi 26', 0.17 xG, goal17%0.19 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 1 goal24%0.26 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.26 xG, 1 goal52%0.57 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.57 xG, 1 goal3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Morelos 51', 0.15 xGMorelos 50', 0.12 xGTavernier 80', 0.06 xGBarisic 90+6', 0.06 xGTillman 29', 0.04 xGCantwell 52', 0.03 xGTavernier 78', 0.16 xG, goalTavernier 45', 0.07 xG, goal31%0.22 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.22 xG, 1 goal39%0.27 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals10%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals20%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRangers

1.09 9 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.21 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.48 5 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
45 min (46%) · Celtic 0.48, Rangers 0.30 xG
Celtic ahead
53 min (54%) · Celtic 0.61, Rangers 0.39 xG

Line-ups

12204313423317838HartJohnstonCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorMooyMcGregorO'RileyJotaFuruhashiMaedaYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalGoal61'75'75'85'85'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou1216263143813711420McGregorTavernierSouttarDaviesBarisicRaskinJackCantwellTillmanKentMorelosGoalGoalYellow cardYellow card86'86'69'86'Rangers 4-2-3-1Michael Beale

Celtic substitutes

  • 61' Iwata for Mooy
  • 75' Haksabanovic for Jota
  • 75' Oh for O'Riley
  • 85' Bernabei for Maeda
  • 85' Turnbull for Furuhashi

Rangers substitutes

  • 69' Sakala for Tillman
  • 86' Lundstram for Jack
  • 86' Colak for Morelos
  • 86' Wright for Cantwell

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0110
JohnstonRB900.000.0100.06411
Carter-Vickers CB900.000.0200.0785
StarfeltCB900.000.0100.0894
TaylorLB900.000.0520.1263
Mooy CM610.000.0310.0224
McGregor CM900.040.0210.0964
O'Riley CM7510.000.2310.0637
JotaRW75110.570.0210.0464
FuruhashiST8520.450.0100.0200
MaedaLW850.000.0110.0572
IwataMF290.000.0000.0121
HaksabanovicMF150.030.0200.0221
OhFW150.000.0000.0220
BernabeiDF50.000.0000.0311
TurnbullMF50.000.0000.0001

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0110
TavernierRB9020.290.1920.1097
SouttarCB900.000.0000.0116
DaviesCB900.000.0800.0057
BarisicLB9010.060.5920.4042
Raskin DM900.000.010−0.0253
JackDM860.000.0100.0124
Cantwell RW860.030.0100.0115
TillmanAM690.040.0100.0744
KentLW900.000.100−0.0622
MorelosST860.270.1400.0414
SakalaFW210.000.0000.0100
LundstramMF40.000.0000.0111
ColakFW40.000.0000.0000
WrightFW40.000.0000.0111

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

O'Riley and Maeda: 4 passesHart and Johnston: 5 passesStarfelt and Mooy: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 5 passesTaylor and Mooy: 5 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 5 passesJohnston and O'Riley: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Mooy: 7 passesJohnston and Jota: 9 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 9 passesTaylor and Maeda: 9 passesJohnston and McGregor: 10 passesStarfelt and Maeda: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 10 passesMooy and Jota: 10 passesTaylor and McGregor: 11 passesMooy and McGregor: 11 passesHart and Starfelt: 12 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 12 passesJohnston and Mooy: 16 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 21 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 29 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 50 passesHart: 18 completed passesJohnston: 37 completed passesStarfelt: 61 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 58 completed passesTaylor: 35 completed passesMooy: 29 completed passesO'Riley: 12 completed passesMcGregor: 31 completed passesJota: 16 completed passesFuruhashi: 2 completed passesMaeda: 10 completed passes12420313334217838HartJohnstonStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorMooyO'RileyMcGregorJotaFuruhashiMaedaStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Rangers

Tavernier and Raskin: 5 passesJack and Cantwell: 5 passesTillman and Kent: 5 passesTavernier and Morelos: 7 passesDavies and Raskin: 7 passesBarisic and Raskin: 7 passesBarisic and Tillman: 7 passesJack and Kent: 7 passesTavernier and Tillman: 8 passesMcGregor and Davies: 9 passesTavernier and Cantwell: 9 passesMcGregor and Souttar: 10 passesDavies and Souttar: 12 passesTavernier and Jack: 13 passesBarisic and Kent: 13 passesTavernier and Souttar: 17 passesDavies and Barisic: 21 passesMcGregor: 24 completed passesTavernier: 36 completed passesDavies: 29 completed passesSouttar: 29 completed passesBarisic: 29 completed passesRaskin: 21 completed passesJack: 22 completed passesCantwell: 11 completed passesTillman: 10 completed passesKent: 18 completed passesMorelos: 10 completed passes1226163143813711420McGregorTavernierDaviesSouttarBarisicRaskinJackCantwellTillmanKentMorelosStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersStarfelt29
StarfeltCarter-Vickers25
StarfeltTaylor20
JohnstonCarter-Vickers17
Carter-VickersJohnston15

Rangers

FromToPasses
SouttarTavernier17
DaviesBarisic16
McGregorSouttar12
SouttarDavies11
McGregorDavies10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

9+6.62−1.29+1.22−4.050.07+1.92−1.88+3.85−1.35−2.96+1.05+0.61−2.711+5.19+1.110+5.44+1.33+0.37+3.714+8.57+3.70−1.85+3.11−1.36+3.53+1.61+0.50−0.910.03+1.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Rangers

9+5.55+1.612+5.06+1.35+0.911+5.45−0.37+3.24−2.05−1.47+1.01−3.35+1.85−1.66−0.32−3.550.06+2.31−2.88+3.12−1.71−1.71−0.72−0.34+1.10−1.20−0.81+0.31+0.54+3.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.020.030.020.020.030.010.010.030.010.050.010.02−0.020.040.030.010.050.020.030.060.070.060.07LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.010.010.030.030.040.040.01−0.01−0.010.05−0.100.01−0.010.200.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackCeltic2.42 → 2.40Rangers2.29 → 2.22Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.62 → 0.63Rangers0.65 → 0.67

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title97%>99%+3
Rangers
Title3%<1%−3

From the forecast before the match (8 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticRangers
Expected goals1.511.03
Win48%25%
Expected Points1.701.03
Clean sheet36%22%

Celtic 48%Draw 27%Rangers 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

Rangers goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%2%2%2%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawRangers win
Celtic
Title97%>99%98%91%
Rangers
Title3%<1%2%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W2–02 AprRoss County (A)xG 3.30–0.40
  2. W3–118 MarHibernian (H)xG 3.96–0.90
  3. W3–18 MarHearts (H)xG 2.08–0.62
  4. W5–15 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.48–0.79
  5. W4–018 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.50–0.27
  6. W4–15 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.02–0.26

Rangers

  1. W2–01 AprDundee United (H)xG 2.02–0.39
  2. W4–218 MarMotherwell (A)xG 4.09–0.88
  3. W4–18 MarHibernian (A)xG 4.02–0.48
  4. W3–14 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 3.55–0.79
  5. W3–018 FebLivingston (A)xG 2.96–0.84
  6. W2–14 FebRoss County (H)xG 2.15–1.01

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticRangers
Position1st2nd
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost28–⁠1–⁠124–⁠4–⁠2
Points85 (2.83 per game)76 (2.53 per game)
Expected Points per game2.472.37
Goals95–⁠2174–⁠27
xG per game2.47–⁠0.622.26–⁠0.63
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.48–⁠0.542.73, 2.48–⁠0.53
Away: points, xG per game2.67, 2.47–⁠0.702.33, 2.05–⁠0.73
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (68)Michael Beale (15)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackCeltic2.42, 1stRangers2.29, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.62, 1stRangers0.65, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprCeltic attack: 2.42Rangers attack: 2.292.422.29RangersCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprCeltic defence: 0.62Rangers defence: 0.650.650.62

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+123%−64%+92%−51%
Counter-attacks+60%−85%−7%−63%
Set pieces+34%−56%+35%−27%
Penaltiesaverage+17%+50%−100%
Headers+61%−47%+67%−51%
Left side+72%−55%+64%−46%
Centre+133%−64%+71%−42%
Right side+67%−68%+87%−52%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+72%−52%Centre+133%−42%Right side+67%−46%Open play+123%−51%Counter-attacks+60%−63%Set pieces+34%−27%Headers+61%−51%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+64%−68%Centre+71%−64%Right side+87%−55%Open play+92%−64%Counter-attacks−7%−85%Set pieces+35%−56%Headers+67%−47%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRangers

2.47xG2.26
0.62xG against0.63
72%Possession68%
19.4Shots20.1
6.2Shots against7.1
7.3Shots on target7.3
3.4Big chances3.4
42.7Touches in the opposition box40.7
671Passes602
87%Pass accuracy86%
7.7Corners7.3
82%Field tilt82%
85.4Final-third entries70.3
25.3Box entries22.3
9.5Passes per defensive action9.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level302.400.61
Ahead542.500.64
Behind62.560.47

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level282.620.69
Ahead462.270.59
Behind161.640.63

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.1017–3
16–300.290.068–1
31–450.480.1518–5
46–600.410.1417–7
61–750.280.099–2
76–900.680.0726–3

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.360.1210–8
16–300.320.118–2
31–450.360.0811–4
46–600.400.1217–6
61–750.320.0714–2
76–900.500.1314–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 30Johnston 10Ralston 10Juranovic 8Carter-Vickers 27Welsh 4Starfelt 18Jenz 10Kobayashi 1Taylor 22Bernabei 7Juranovic 1O'Riley 25Mooy 12McGregor 23Haksabanovic 1Hatate 22Turnbull 6Iwata 1Jota 10Abada 10Maeda 5Furuhashi 25Giakoumakis 4Oh 1Maeda 15Jota 11Haksabanovic 34-3-3 in 28 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (28), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcGregor 20McLaughlin 10Tavernier 30Goldson 23King 7Davies 21Sands 7Lundstram 1Barisic 24Yilmaz 3Devine 3Jack 12Kamara 10Cantwell 3Lundstram 23Raskin 3Sands 3Sakala 11Wright 5Tillman 4Tillman 13Arfield 4Kent 3Kent 24Sakala 2Matondo 2Colak 18Morelos 11Sakala 14-2-3-1 in 25 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (25), 4-3-3 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2023Rangers2–2CelticxG 2.00–1.17
3 September 2022Celtic4–0RangersxG 1.88–0.79
1 May 2022Celtic1–1RangersxG 1.20–1.43
3 April 2022Rangers1–2CelticxG 1.12–1.47
2 February 2022Celtic3–0RangersxG 1.45–0.43
29 August 2021Rangers1–0CelticxG 0.74–1.44

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 3, Rangers won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 14–13 and xG 1.32–1.07 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Giakoumakis4685610.870.09
Abada101,2551040.530.42
Jota211,7841090.470.43
Furuhashi251,8592020.790.06

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Morelos111,226950.850.21
Sakala151,240770.520.30
Colak181,3891310.660.10
Tavernier302,6591360.360.26

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.