Matches › 2022/23

Rangers 2–2 Celtic

Monday 2 January 2023, 12:30 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 20 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 50,066

Rangers Kent 47', Tavernier 53' (pen)

Celtic Maeda 5', Furuhashi 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Goals	2	2
xG	2.00	1.17
Non-penalty xG	1.21	1.17
Expected Points	1.98	0.75

Rangers 57%Draw 27%Celtic 16%

Most likely score 2–1, 15%. Final score 2–2, 10%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersCeltic

2.00 +0.02xG1.17 −1.33

1.21Non-penalty xG1.17

2.36 +0.37xG on target1.00 −1.65

15 −4Shots8 −12

5 −1.6Shots on target2 −5.8

3 −0.2Big chances2 −1.5

31 −9Touches in the opposition box18 −25

40% −28Possession60% −11

343 −244Passes534 −104

73% −12Pass accuracy81% −5

60% −21Field tilt40% −41

45 −23Final-third entries40 −41

13 −9Box entries12 −14

13.9 +4.4Passes per defensive action9.0 −0.8

5 −2.7Corners4 −4.2

16 +1Tackles24 +11

14 +7.4Interceptions12 +4.7

13 +2Clearances20 +6

0 −1.3Saves3 +1.4

11 0Fouls13 +2

2 −0.3Offsides4 +1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Rangers

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersCeltic

0.47 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.12 7 shots, 2 goals

0.20 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.54 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 1 shot, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–12–1

Level: 17 min (18%) · Rangers 0.91, Celtic 0.55 xG
Rangers ahead: 35 min (36%) · Rangers 0.22, Celtic 0.46 xG
Celtic ahead: 44 min (46%) · Rangers 0.87, Celtic 0.16 xG

Line-ups

Rangers substitutes

71' Jack for Lundstram · yellow card 90+4'
80' Wright for Morelos
85' Sands for Tillman

Celtic substitutes

21' Juranovic for Taylor
61' Mooy for O'Riley
61' Abada for Forrest
77' Giakoumakis for Hatate
77' Jota for Maeda

Players

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
McGregor	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
Tavernier	RB	90	1		0.79	0.23	4	0.08	6	6
Goldson	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	8
Davies	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	−0.08	3	3
Barisic	LB	90			0.00	0.48	2	0.14	6	2
Kamara	DM	90			0.00	0.07	1	0.04	6	1
Lundstram	DM	71			0.02	0.01	0	0.04	1	11
Sakala	RW	90		1	0.26	0.08	1	0.17	8	2
Tillman	AM	85			0.39	0.01	0	0.06	1	8
Kent	LW	90	1		0.20	0.05	1	0.10	5	1
Morelos	ST	80			0.34	0.04	2	−0.01	1	0
Jack	MF	19			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	3
Wright	FW	10			0.00	0.03	1	−0.04	1	0
Sands	MF	5			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Johnston	RB	90		0.00	0.04	0	0.09	8	7
Carter-Vickers	CB	90		0.00	0.01	1	0.07	5	8
Starfelt	CB	90		0.05	0.01	0	0.10	4	12
Taylor	LB	21		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	0
McGregor	CM	90		0.14	0.02	0	0.07	5	7
O'Riley	CM	61		0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	0	2
Hatate	CM	77		0.12	0.03	2	0.06	9	6
Maeda	RW	77	1	0.55	0.07	2	−0.05	2	5
Furuhashi	ST	90	1	0.29	0.00	0	0.01	0	3
Forrest	LW	61		0.00	0.03	0	0.10	4	2
Juranovic	DF	69		0.02	0.01	0	0.02	2	7
Mooy	MF	29		0.00	0.11	1	0.09	2	0
Abada	FW	29		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Giakoumakis	FW	13		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Jota	FW	13		0.00	0.03	0	0.04	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Kamara	Kent	12
Barisic	Kamara	9
Kamara	Lundstram	9
Barisic	Davies	9
Goldson	Tavernier	9

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	23
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	21
Carter-Vickers	Johnston	20
Johnston	Carter-Vickers	18
Juranovic	Starfelt	15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

Against its average of 19 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Rangers
Title	6%	5%	−1
Celtic
Title	94%	95%	+1

From the forecast before the match (2 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Expected goals	1.31	1.15
Win	40%	32%
Expected Points	1.48	1.24
Clean sheet	32%	27%

Rangers 40%Draw 28%Celtic 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 2 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Rangers win	Draw	Celtic win
Rangers
Title	6%	10%	5%	1%
Celtic
Title	94%	90%	95%	99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Position	2nd	1st
Played	19	19
Won, drawn, lost	14–⁠3–⁠2	18–⁠0–⁠1
Points	45 (2.37 per game)	54 (2.84 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.28	2.46
Goals	44–⁠18	61–⁠15
xG per game	1.98–⁠0.58	2.50–⁠0.64
Home: points, xG per game	2.80, 2.42–⁠0.44	3.00, 2.49–⁠0.59
Away: points, xG per game	1.89, 1.49–⁠0.74	2.70, 2.51–⁠0.68
Manager	Michael Beale (4)	Ange Postecoglou (57)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Rangers		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+76%	−53%	+131%	−61%
Counter-attacks	−41%	−92%	+133%	−99%
Set pieces	+16%	−31%	+44%	−47%
Penalties	−1%	−100%	−50%	−1%
Headers	+40%	−54%	+74%	−48%
Left side	+64%	−41%	+54%	−54%
Centre	+41%	−49%	+163%	−55%
Right side	+81%	−58%	+87%	−71%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+64%−71%Centre+41%−55%Right side+81%−54%Open play+76%−61%Counter-attacks−41%−99%Set pieces+16%−47%Headers+40%−48%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+54%−58%Centre+163%−49%Right side+87%−41%Open play+131%−53%Counter-attacks+133%−92%Set pieces+44%−31%Headers+74%−54%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersCeltic

1.98xG2.50

0.58xG against0.64

68%Possession71%

19.4Shots19.8

7.5Shots against6.5

6.6Shots on target7.8

3.2Big chances3.5

39.9Touches in the opposition box43.1

587Passes638

85%Pass accuracy87%

7.7Corners8.2

81%Field tilt81%

67.9Final-third entries81.0

22.1Box entries25.6

9.5Passes per defensive action9.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	28	2.38	0.56
Ahead	40	2.00	0.52
Behind	22	1.44	0.70

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	29	2.58	0.45
Ahead	58	2.45	0.71
Behind	4	2.63	0.97

xG by period

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.34	0.08	6–4
16–30	0.26	0.09	4–2
31–45	0.29	0.09	6–4
46–60	0.35	0.12	7–4
61–75	0.25	0.06	9–1
76–90	0.49	0.14	12–3

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.41	0.10	12–1
16–30	0.27	0.07	5–0
31–45	0.45	0.13	12–4
46–60	0.43	0.15	10–5
61–75	0.27	0.12	6–2
76–90	0.67	0.07	16–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (17), 4-3-3 (2)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (17), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
3 September 2022	Celtic	4–0	Rangers	xG 1.88–0.79
1 May 2022	Celtic	1–1	Rangers	xG 1.20–1.43
3 April 2022	Rangers	1–2	Celtic	xG 1.12–1.47
2 February 2022	Celtic	3–0	Rangers	xG 1.45–0.43
29 August 2021	Rangers	1–0	Celtic	xG 0.74–1.44
2 May 2021	Rangers	4–1	Celtic	xG 1.33–2.07

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 4, Celtic won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 11–12 and xG 0.97–1.33 per game.

Key players

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Morelos	4	597	5	2	0.82	0.18
Colak	14	1,055	11	0	0.60	0.08
Sakala	6	504	3	2	0.46	0.23
Tavernier	19	1,686	6	5	0.27	0.27

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	7	828	7	3	0.66	0.50
Furuhashi	15	1,078	14	1	0.93	0.04
Giakoumakis	4	645	6	1	0.83	0.09
Jota	12	1,039	5	6	0.32	0.44

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.