Matches › 2023/24

Rangers 0–1 Celtic

Sunday 3 September 2023, 12:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 50,652

Celtic Furuhashi 45+2'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Goals	0	1
xG	1.80	0.95
Expected Points	1.99	0.75

Rangers 58%Draw 26%Celtic 16%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Final score 0–1, 5%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersCeltic

1.80 −0.12xG0.95 −2.09

0.57 −1.72xG on target0.92 −2.66

17 −4Shots7 −11

3 −4.3Shots on target5 −4.0

3 −0.3Big chances4 −1.3

50% −18Possession50% −22

465 −109Passes481 −208

75% −7Pass accuracy79% −4

65% −6Field tilt35% −42

40 −27Final-third entries36 −30

18 +2Box entries7 −15

16.0 +6.2Passes per defensive action14.1 +4.8

6 −1.0Corners2 −8.7

11 −5Tackles20 +8

10 +1.3Interceptions7 −2.7

10 −2Clearances29 +12

3 +0.7Saves3 +2.0

15 +4.7Fouls15 +6.3

5 +2.7Offsides1 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Rangers

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersCeltic

1.63 12 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.82 6 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.13 1 shot, 0 goals

0.17 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 47 min (48%) · Rangers 0.11, Celtic 0.60 xG
Celtic ahead: 50 min (52%) · Rangers 1.70, Celtic 0.35 xG

Line-ups

Rangers substitutes

64' Danilo for Roofe
64' Lammers for Matondo
65' Yilmaz for Sterling
76' Sima for Dessers
76' Lawrence for Jack

Celtic substitutes

65' Ralston for Johnston
66' Yang for Abada
66' Holm for Turnbull
74' Bernabei for Taylor
76' Oh for Furuhashi

Players

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Butland	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Tavernier	RB	90	0.04	0.37	3	0.24	7	6
Goldson	CB	90	0.01	0.04	1	0.07	5	6
Souttar	CB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.09	6	3
Sterling	LB	65	0.00	0.02	0	0.05	4	5
Cantwell	CM	90	0.29	0.20	2	0.16	8	2
Jack	CM	76	0.02	0.03	0	0.02	2	2
Raskin	CM	90	0.00	0.20	1	0.09	6	1
Roofe	RW	64	0.03	0.00	0	−0.02	0	1
Dessers	ST	76	0.00	0.02	1	0.00	0	1
Matondo	LW	64	0.07	0.02	0	0.01	0	4
Danilo	FW	26	0.62	0.00	0	0.14	2	0
Lammers	FW	26	0.72	0.09	0	0.14	0	0
Yilmaz	DF	25	0.00	0.07	2	0.12	3	1
Sima	FW	14	0.00	0.12	2	0.13	2	0
Lawrence	FW	14	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	2	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	1
Johnston	RB	65			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	7
Lagerbielke	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	1	11
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	2	17
Taylor	LB	74			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	6	2
O'Riley	CM	90		1	0.00	0.14	2	0.01	2	7
McGregor	CM	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.03	6	1
Turnbull	CM	66			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	5
Abada	RW	66			0.05	0.04	2	0.03	3	0
Furuhashi	ST	76	1		0.73	0.00	1	0.20	2	0
Maeda	LW	90			0.13	0.01	1	0.05	5	1
Ralston	DF	25			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	6
Yang	FW	24			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Holm	MF	24			0.04	0.06	0	0.06	4	1
Bernabei	DF	16			0.00	0.02	0	0.08	2	0
Oh	FW	14			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Goldson	Souttar	15
Goldson	Tavernier	14
Tavernier	Cantwell	14
Cantwell	Tavernier	14
Souttar	Goldson	13

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Scales	Taylor	18
Scales	Lagerbielke	15
Lagerbielke	Johnston	15
Johnston	Lagerbielke	15
Taylor	Scales	14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

Against its average of 3 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Rangers
Title	41%	26%	−15
Celtic
Title	59%	74%	+15

From the forecast before the match (3 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Expected goals	1.54	1.17
Win	45%	28%
Expected Points	1.62	1.12
Clean sheet	31%	21%

Rangers 45%Draw 26%Celtic 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 55%.

From the forecast as it stood on 3 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Rangers win	Draw	Celtic win
Rangers
Title	41%	54%	36%	26%
Celtic
Title	59%	46%	64%	74%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Rangers	Celtic
Position	4th	2nd
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠0–⁠1	2–⁠1–⁠0
Points	6 (2.00 per game)	7 (2.33 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.41	2.54
Goals	6–⁠1	7–⁠3
xG per game	1.92–⁠0.37	3.04–⁠1.06
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.44–⁠0.12	2.00, 3.08–⁠0.70
Away: points, xG per game	1.50, 1.66–⁠0.50	3.00, 2.94–⁠1.76
Manager	Michael Beale (26)	Brendan Rodgers (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Rangers		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+75%	−59%	+126%	−32%
Counter-attacks	−10%	−42%	+179%	−56%
Set pieces	+56%	−43%	+50%	−28%
Penalties	−35%	−100%	+40%	−48%
Headers	+87%	−58%	+3%	−25%
Left side	+45%	−55%	+63%	−51%
Centre	+55%	−53%	+145%	−24%
Right side	+115%	−58%	+83%	−40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+45%−40%Centre+55%−24%Right side+115%−51%Open play+75%−32%Counter-attacks−10%−56%Set pieces+56%−28%Headers+87%−25%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+63%−58%Centre+145%−53%Right side+83%−55%Open play+126%−59%Counter-attacks+179%−42%Set pieces+50%−43%Headers+3%−58%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersCeltic

1.92xG3.04

0.37xG against1.06

68%Possession72%

21.3Shots17.7

8.0Shots against7.7

7.3Shots on target9.0

3.3Big chances5.3

574Passes689

81%Pass accuracy84%

7.0Corners10.7

71%Field tilt78%

67.3Final-third entries65.7

16.0Box entries22.3

9.8Passes per defensive action9.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	32	1.74	0.50
Ahead	49	2.04	0.30
Behind	8	1.91	0.32

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	41	2.84	0.94
Ahead	49	3.20	1.15
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.30	0.07	1–0
16–30	0.14	0.03	2–0
31–45	0.23	0.00	0–0
46–60	0.19	0.13	0–0
61–75	0.34	0.12	0–1
76–90	0.72	0.02	3–0

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.46	0.36	1–0
16–30	0.74	0.37	3–1
31–45	0.60	0.11	1–0
46–60	0.56	0.07	0–1
61–75	0.23	0.09	1–0
76–90	0.45	0.05	1–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

Formations: 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1)

Celtic

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
13 May 2023	Rangers	3–0	Celtic	xG 1.57–1.34
8 April 2023	Celtic	3–2	Rangers	xG 1.09–0.69
2 January 2023	Rangers	2–2	Celtic	xG 2.00–1.17
3 September 2022	Celtic	4–0	Rangers	xG 1.88–0.79
1 May 2022	Celtic	1–1	Rangers	xG 1.20–1.43
3 April 2022	Rangers	1–2	Celtic	xG 1.12–1.47

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 5, Celtic won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 18–17 and xG 1.08–1.30 per game.

Key players

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Tavernier	41	3,627	17	9	0.31	0.27
Cantwell	17	1,474	6	4	0.25	0.19
Matondo	9	909	0	5	0.18	0.23
Barisic	30	2,810	1	12	0.04	0.29

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	15	1,637	11	6	0.50	0.36
Forrest	5	586	4	2	0.57	0.27
Furuhashi	34	2,581	29	3	0.75	0.07
Turnbull	9	1,046	6	6	0.39	0.29

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.