Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 4–0 Rangers

Saturday 3 September 2022, 12:30 · Celtic Park · Round 6 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 58,636

Celtic Abada 8', 40', Jota 32', Turnbull 78'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticRangers
Goals40
xG1.880.79
Expected Points2.150.61

Celtic 64%Draw 23%Rangers 13%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Final score 4–0, 3%.

Rangers goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%4%2%4%5%8%7%3%3%3%1%12%12%13%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTGiakoumakis on for Furuhashi, 5'Jenz on for Starfelt, 56'Turnbull on for O'Riley, 72'Mooy on for Hatate and Maeda on for Abada, 73'Wright on for Kamara, 46'Arfield on for Tillman and Morelos on for Colak, 60'Jack on for Lundstram and Sakala on for Kent, 78'Abada 8'Jota 32'Abada 40'Turnbull 78'Celtic 1.88Rangers 0.7900.511.520153045607590HTGiakoumakis on for Furuhashi, 5'Jenz on for Starfelt, 56'Turnbull on for O'Riley, 72'Mooy on for Hatate and Maeda on for Abada, 73'Wright on for Kamara, 46'Arfield on for Tillman and Morelos on for Colak, 60'Jack on for Lundstram and Sakala on for Kent, 78'Abada 8'Jota 32'Abada 40'Turnbull 78'1.880.79CelticRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRangers

1.88 −1.13xG0.79 −1.21
1.77 −1.76xG on target0.34 −1.93
15 −7Shots11 −10
6 −3.4Shots on target2 −4.6
3 −1.0Big chances1 −2.2
45% −28Possession55% −16
416 −223Passes501 −116
83% −3Pass accuracy86% 0
46% −33Field tilt54% −27
48 −34Final-third entries46 −26
16 −8Box entries12 −11
13.6 +3.8Passes per defensive action9.0 +0.1
3 −5.8Corners4 −3.0
14 +1Tackles24 +9
13 +7.4Interceptions14 +8.2
17 +4.4Clearances13 +6.2
3 +1.2Saves2 +1.0
12 +3.2Fouls11 +0.2
1 −2.4Offsides2 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Giakoumakis 18', 0.19 xGJota 40', 0.15 xGJuranovic 77', 0.10 xGO'Riley 24', 0.07 xGGiakoumakis 80', 0.05 xGGiakoumakis 14', 0.04 xGO'Riley 17', 0.04 xGO'Riley 59', 0.04 xGHatate 64', 0.04 xGGiakoumakis 27', 0.03 xGAbada 67', 0.03 xGTurnbull 78', 0.43 xG, goalJota 32', 0.34 xG, goalAbada 40', 0.17 xG, goalAbada 8', 0.14 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals59%1.11 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.11 xG, 3 goals23%0.43 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.43 xG, 1 goal18%0.34 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Colak 22', 0.24 xGColak 37', 0.17 xGTillman 19', 0.09 xGLundstram 28', 0.09 xGDavis 45+1', 0.04 xGLundstram 50', 0.04 xGMorelos 70', 0.04 xGMorelos 89', 0.04 xGWright 70', 0.02 xGGoldson 89', 0.02 xGColak 31', 0.00 xG30%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 0 goals38%0.30 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals6%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals23%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRangers

1.74 14 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.56 8 shots, 0 goals
0.14 1 shot, 1 goalSet pieces0.23 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
8 min (9%) · Celtic 0.14, Rangers 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
83 min (91%) · Celtic 1.74, Rangers 0.79 xG

Line-ups

188204333424111817HartJuranovicCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorO'RileyMcGregorHatateAbadaFuruhashiJotaYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalGoal56'72'73'73'5'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou332619311047118149McLaughlinTavernierGoldsonSandsBarisicDavisLundstramTillmanKamaraKentColakYellow cardYellow cardYellow card78'60'46'78'60'Rangers 4-2-3-1Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Celtic substitutes

  • 5' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi · yellow card 90'
  • 56' Jenz for Starfelt
  • 72' Turnbull for O'Riley · goal 78'
  • 73' Mooy for Hatate
  • 73' Maeda for Abada

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Wright for Kamara
  • 60' Morelos for Colak
  • 60' Arfield for Tillman
  • 78' Sakala for Kent
  • 78' Jack for Lundstram

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0331
JuranovicRB900.100.0420.18122
Carter-Vickers CB900.000.0000.0448
Starfelt CB560.000.0000.0135
TaylorLB900.000.0300.0969
O'RileyCM7220.150.4740.29102
McGregorCM900.000.020−0.0136
HatateCM730.040.0300.07103
AbadaRW7320.340.0420.1472
FuruhashiST50.000.0000.0000
JotaLW9010.490.0200.1260
Giakoumakis FW850.310.0100.0014
JenzDF340.000.0010.0312
TurnbullMF1810.430.011−0.0122
MooyMF170.000.000−0.0111
MaedaFW170.000.0100.0110

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McLaughlinGK900.000.0000.0010
TavernierRB900.000.2550.15167
Goldson CB900.020.0000.0058
SandsCB900.000.0100.07710
Barisic LB900.000.4920.3088
DavisDM900.040.0410.0252
LundstramDM780.140.0200.0327
Tillman RW600.090.0100.1123
KamaraAM460.000.0100.0021
KentLW780.000.0300.0752
ColakST600.410.000−0.0100
WrightFW440.020.0100.0423
MorelosFW300.080.010−0.0111
ArfieldMF300.000.0100.0101
SakalaFW120.000.0000.0810
JackMF120.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Tavernier and Colak: 3 passesLundstram and Tillman: 3 passesTavernier and Sands: 4 passesSands and Lundstram: 4 passesLundstram and Kamara: 4 passesDavis and Kent: 4 passesTavernier and Goldson: 6 passesTavernier and Tillman: 6 passesGoldson and Davis: 7 passesTavernier and Davis: 8 passesSands and Davis: 8 passesLundstram and Kent: 8 passesKamara and Kent: 8 passesMcLaughlin and Goldson: 9 passesBarisic and Davis: 9 passesMcLaughlin and Sands: 10 passesBarisic and Kamara: 10 passesLundstram and Davis: 10 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 13 passesBarisic and Kent: 13 passesSands and Goldson: 21 passesSands and Barisic: 29 passesMcLaughlin: 14 completed passesTavernier: 17 completed passesSands: 39 completed passesGoldson: 24 completed passesBarisic: 38 completed passesLundstram: 24 completed passesDavis: 26 completed passesTillman: 8 completed passesKamara: 14 completed passesKent: 18 completed passesColak: 1 completed passes332196314107118149McLaughlinTavernierSandsGoldsonBarisicLundstramDavisTillmanKamaraKentColakStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
HartCarter-Vickers13
Carter-VickersJuranovic11
Carter-VickersHart11
TaylorJota11
TaylorHatate10

Rangers

FromToPasses
SandsGoldson26
SandsBarisic25
BarisicSands24
GoldsonSands19
McLaughlinSands16

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−1.84+1.821+13.87+0.42−3.85+0.22−0.66+2.011+4.43−5.29+5.24+1.45+0.82−4.47+0.87+5.02−0.64+1.81−0.83−3.24−0.23+2.42−0.63+0.21−1.20−2.01+0.20−1.01+0.22+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Rangers

5+2.86+3.08+3.011+7.43+0.28+3.04−1.85+2.45+0.63−3.44−1.45+2.43−0.82−4.04−2.410+6.66+3.64+0.85+1.24+0.87+3.84+1.63+1.02−0.42−0.810.00−1.20−1.21+0.60−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.030.010.010.020.020.010.030.040.010.020.040.030.030.110.020.020.060.050.070.010.09−0.02−0.02−0.050.020.150.18LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.010.020.050.040.020.010.020.060.070.040.070.100.090.01−0.030.020.01−0.02−0.050.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackCeltic2.28 → 2.28Rangers2.08 → 2.00Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.61 → 0.61Rangers0.64 → 0.67

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title71%82%+11
Rangers
Title29%18%−11

From the forecast before the match (3 September 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticRangers
Expected goals1.460.97
Win48%25%
Expected Points1.711.01
Clean sheet38%23%

Celtic 48%Draw 28%Rangers 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

Rangers goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%1%6%2%9%9%4%1%5%4%2%2%2%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 September 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawRangers win
Celtic
Title71%82%69%54%
Rangers
Title29%18%31%46%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W9–028 AugDundee United (A)xG 5.53–0.22
  2. W2–021 AugHearts (H)xG 2.55–0.29
  3. W5–014 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.34–0.69
  4. W3–16 AugRoss County (A)xG 1.75–0.39
  5. W2–031 JulAberdeen (H)xG 1.90–0.23
  6. W6–014 MayMotherwell (H)xG 2.32–0.90

Rangers

  1. W4–027 AugRoss County (H)xG 3.19–0.48
  2. D2–220 AugHibernian (A)xG 1.57–0.77
  3. W4–013 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.32–0.33
  4. W2–06 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 1.77–0.37
  5. W2–130 JulLivingston (A)xG 1.15–0.57
  6. W3–114 MayHearts (A)xG 1.22–0.62

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticRangers
Position1st2nd
Played55
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠0–⁠04–⁠1–⁠0
Points15 (3.00 per game)13 (2.60 per game)
Expected Points per game2.692.36
Goals21–⁠114–⁠3
xG per game3.01–⁠0.362.00–⁠0.50
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.22–⁠0.263.00, 2.43–⁠0.39
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 3.54–⁠0.432.00, 1.36–⁠0.67
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (43)Giovanni van Bronckhorst (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackCeltic2.28, 1stRangers2.08, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.61, 1stRangers0.64, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugCeltic attack: 2.28Rangers attack: 2.082.282.08RangersCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugCeltic defence: 0.61Rangers defence: 0.640.640.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+138%−68%+85%−62%
Counter-attacks+198%−95%−79%−99%
Set pieces+154%−57%−14%−28%
Penalties−78%−94%+42%−91%
Headers+46%−71%+40%−58%
Left side+58%−42%+70%−38%
Centre+228%−80%+40%−52%
Right side+93%−70%+67%−80%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+58%−80%Centre+228%−52%Right side+93%−38%Open play+138%−62%Counter-attacks+198%−99%Set pieces+154%−28%Headers+46%−58%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+70%−70%Centre+40%−80%Right side+67%−42%Open play+85%−68%Counter-attacks−79%−95%Set pieces−14%−57%Headers+40%−71%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRangers

3.01xG2.00
0.36xG against0.50
73%Possession71%
21.8Shots20.8
6.4Shots against6.2
9.4Shots on target6.6
4.0Big chances3.2
639Passes617
87%Pass accuracy86%
8.8Corners7.0
80%Field tilt80%
81.6Final-third entries71.6
24.4Box entries22.8
9.8Passes per defensive action8.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level222.830.39
Ahead683.070.36
Behind0––

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level332.360.41
Ahead431.980.61
Behind131.180.38

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.450.044–0
16–300.290.070–0
31–450.740.135–0
46–600.610.074–1
61–750.250.021–0
76–900.670.037–0

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.070–1
16–300.180.041–0
31–450.460.063–0
46–600.410.103–1
61–750.240.093–0
76–900.410.154–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 5Juranovic 5Carter-Vickers 5Jenz 3Starfelt 1Welsh 1Taylor 5O'Riley 5McGregor 5Turnbull 3Hatate 2Jota 3Abada 1Maeda 1Furuhashi 5Maeda 3Jota 24-3-3 in 4 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcLaughlin 5Tavernier 5Goldson 5Sands 3Davies 1Souttar 1Barisic 4Yilmaz 1Lundstram 5Jack 1Kamara 1Tillman 1Lawrence 1Davis 1Wright 4Matondo 1Lawrence 3Tillman 1Jack 1Kent 3Tillman 1Matondo 1Colak 54-2-3-1 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 May 2022Celtic1–1RangersxG 1.20–1.43
3 April 2022Rangers1–2CelticxG 1.12–1.47
2 February 2022Celtic3–0RangersxG 1.45–0.43
29 August 2021Rangers1–0CelticxG 0.74–1.44
2 May 2021Rangers4–1CelticxG 1.33–2.07
21 March 2021Celtic1–1RangersxG 1.33–0.83

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 2, Rangers won 4, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–11 and xG 1.26–0.99 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Giakoumakis111,1451510.890.13
Furuhashi211,5661810.840.12
Abada252,3901470.560.34
O'Riley151,348460.260.51

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Morelos252,1811270.670.17
Tavernier403,57611150.280.31
Arfield181,725610.410.11
Wright131,193420.250.24

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.