Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 0–3 Rangers

Sunday 18 February 2024, 12:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 26 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 6,986

Rangers Diomande 37', Tavernier 79' (pen), 87' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneRangers
Goals03
xG0.212.96
Non-penalty xG0.211.38
Expected Points0.042.93

St. Johnstone <1%Draw 3%Rangers 97%

Most likely score 0–3, 26%. Final score 0–3, 26%.

Rangers goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%16%6%2%2%5%6%4%1%22%26%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTKimpioka on for Keltjens, 46'Kucheriavyi on for C. Smith, 80'Clark on for Sidibeh, 82'Sterling on for Wright, 46'Lawrence on for Cantwell, 60'Dessers on for Silva and McCausland on for Cortés, 69'Yilmaz on for Barisic, 82'Diomande 37'Tavernier 79' (pen)Tavernier 87' (pen)Rangers 2.96St. Johnstone 0.21012340153045607590HTKimpioka on for Keltjens, 46'Kucheriavyi on for C. Smith, 80'Clark on for Sidibeh, 82'Sterling on for Wright, 46'Lawrence on for Cantwell, 60'Dessers on for Silva and McCausland on for Cortés, 69'Yilmaz on for Barisic, 82'Diomande 37'Tavernier 79' (pen)Tavernier 87' (pen)2.960.21St. JohnstoneRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneRangers

0.21 −0.66xG2.96 +0.55
0.21Non-penalty xG1.38
0.00 −0.79xG on target2.57 +0.31
4 −5.6Shots15 −6.6
0 −2.8Shots on target5 −2.4
0 −1.2Big chances6 +2.4
4 −12Touches in the opposition box25 −11
39% −4Possession61% −3
285 −48Passes434 −122
63% −2Pass accuracy78% −4
38% +1Field tilt62% −11
22 −4Final-third entries33 −28
2 −5.2Box entries11 −8.6
12.0 −5Passes per defensive action13.9 +3
3 −0.5Corners1 −6.5
22 +5Tackles15 −1
7 −2.4Interceptions8 +0.6
17 −9Clearances15 0
2 −1.6Saves0 −1.8
24 +12Fouls6 −4
0 −1.5Offsides4 +2.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 34', 0.10 xGSidibeh 47', 0.07 xGSidibeh 41', 0.03 xGCarey 63', 0.01 xG33%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals48%0.10 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals5%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals14%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Sterling 53', 0.27 xGDessers 84', 0.24 xGDessers 90+5', 0.23 xGCantwell 45', 0.22 xGBarisic 72', 0.07 xGWright 19', 0.06 xGSilva 46', 0.06 xGGoldson 58', 0.05 xGLawrence 84', 0.05 xGLundstram 84', 0.04 xGBarisic 30', 0.03 xGLawrence 68', 0.03 xGDiomande 37', 0.02 xG, goal38%0.52 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.52 xG, 0 goals49%0.67 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.67 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals11%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 1 goal3%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneRangers

0.10 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.73 8 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.23 1 shot, 0 goals
0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.42 4 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties1.58 2 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
37 min (39%) · St. Johnstone 0.10, Rangers 0.11 xG
Rangers ahead
58 min (61%) · St. Johnstone 0.12, Rangers 2.85 xG

Line-ups

156433113419221650MitovMcGowanGordonConsidineKeltjensCareyPhillipsRobinsonM. SmithSidibehC. SmithYellow cardYellow cardYellow card46'82'80'St. Johnstone 3-4-3Craig Levein1265314242313167ButlandTavernierGoldsonSouttarBarisicDiomandeLundstramWrightCantwellCortésSilvaGoalGoalGoal82'46'60'69'69'Rangers 4-2-3-1Philippe Clement

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Kimpioka for Keltjens
  • 80' Kucheriavyi for C. Smith
  • 82' Clark for Sidibeh

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Sterling for Wright
  • 60' Lawrence for Cantwell
  • 69' McCausland for Cortés
  • 69' Dessers for Silva
  • 82' Yilmaz for Barisic

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0221
McGowan CB900.000.0100.0437
GordonCB900.000.0000.0217
ConsidineCB900.000.0000.01213
Keltjens RWB460.000.0000.0135
CareyCM900.010.020−0.0133
Phillips CM900.000.010−0.0514
RobinsonLWB900.000.0110.0225
M. SmithRW900.000.2910.1923
SidibehST820.200.000−0.0100
C. SmithLW800.000.0100.0133
KimpiokaFW440.000.000−0.0100
KucheriavyiMF100.000.0100.0100
ClarkMF80.000.000−0.0100

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0220
TavernierRB9021.580.2110.0844
GoldsonCB900.050.0100.0467
SouttarCB900.000.0000.0854
BarisicLB820.100.0810.0333
DiomandeDM9010.020.0920.1437
LundstramDM900.040.0310.08114
WrightRW460.060.1010.0620
CantwellAM600.220.3410.2453
CortésLW690.000.0300.0303
SilvaST690.060.0200.0210
SterlingDF440.270.0110.0433
LawrenceMF300.080.0100.0110
McCauslandMF210.000.101−0.0200
DessersFW210.480.0100.2830
YilmazDF80.000.0110.0202

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

McGowan and Carey: 3 passesMcGowan and M. Smith: 3 passesKeltjens and Phillips: 3 passesKeltjens and M. Smith: 3 passesCarey and Sidibeh: 3 passesPhillips and M. Smith: 3 passesMcGowan and Keltjens: 4 passesConsidine and Carey: 4 passesKeltjens and Carey: 4 passesCarey and M. Smith: 4 passesMcGowan and Gordon: 5 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 5 passesRobinson and Sidibeh: 5 passesRobinson and Phillips: 7 passesConsidine and Robinson: 8 passesCarey and Phillips: 8 passesRobinson and C. Smith: 9 passesRobinson and Carey: 11 passesMitov: 4 completed passesMcGowan: 13 completed passesConsidine: 10 completed passesGordon: 7 completed passesKeltjens: 5 completed passesRobinson: 23 completed passesCarey: 20 completed passesPhillips: 19 completed passesC. Smith: 8 completed passesM. Smith: 6 completed passesSidibeh: 2 completed passes154633191134502216MitovMcGowanConsidineGordonKeltjensRobinsonCareyPhillipsC. SmithM. SmithSidibehStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Goldson and Diomande: 4 passesBarisic and Cantwell: 4 passesBarisic and Cortés: 4 passesTavernier and Cortés: 5 passesGoldson and Wright: 5 passesLundstram and Cortés: 5 passesDiomande and Cantwell: 5 passesBarisic and Diomande: 6 passesWright and Cantwell: 6 passesCantwell and Cortés: 6 passesTavernier and Diomande: 7 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 8 passesSouttar and Lundstram: 8 passesButland and Goldson: 9 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 9 passesTavernier and Goldson: 10 passesTavernier and Cantwell: 11 passesLundstram and Cantwell: 11 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 12 passesButland and Souttar: 15 passesSouttar and Barisic: 16 passesGoldson and Souttar: 22 passesButland: 17 completed passesTavernier: 23 completed passesGoldson: 35 completed passesSouttar: 40 completed passesBarisic: 28 completed passesLundstram: 33 completed passesDiomande: 17 completed passesWright: 8 completed passesCantwell: 17 completed passesCortés: 11 completed passesSilva: 2 completed passes1265314422313167ButlandTavernierGoldsonSouttarBarisicLundstramDiomandeWrightCantwellCortésSilvaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
PhillipsCarey13
CareyRobinson9
McGowanM. Smith7
RobinsonC. Smith7
CareyM. Smith7

Rangers

FromToPasses
SouttarGoldson16
GoldsonTavernier14
BarisicSouttar12
SouttarButland11
LundstramCantwell10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

4−2.215+0.211+1.46−1.28+0.460.010+2.211+2.37+0.76+1.35+1.46+0.65−1.66+1.55+1.93+1.23+0.23−1.54+2.10−1.41−0.34+2.82−0.20−0.60−0.21+0.80−0.20−0.85−3.14−2.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Rangers

3−0.58+3.66−2.32−2.51−3.25−1.06+1.44−3.211+2.79+2.14−1.45+1.59+2.85−2.06+0.86+1.66+2.81−2.76+1.57+4.63+0.41−0.82−0.30−2.62+1.10−0.70−0.90−0.60−1.20−4.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.020.02−0.010.04−0.020.010.010.02−0.02−0.02−0.010.18LessMore

Rangers

0.020.030.010.010.010.030.030.020.020.040.060.040.030.040.14−0.010.090.030.100.010.07−0.01−0.050.220.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackSt. Johnstone0.94 → 0.92Rangers2.27 → 2.31Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.45 → 1.49Rangers0.67 → 0.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six1%1%0
11th18%19%+1
Bottom6%6%0
Rangers
Title67%70%+3
Celtic
Title33%30%−3
Aberdeen
Top six35%36%+1
11th1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (18 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneRangers
Expected goals0.592.33
Win7%76%
Expected Points0.382.45
Clean sheet10%56%

St. Johnstone 7%Draw 16%Rangers 76%

Most likely score 0–2, 15%. Both sides score 40%.

Rangers goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%7%3%2%3%8%9%7%4%2%1%2%3%2%1%12%15%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawRangers win
St. Johnstone
Top six1%4%1%1%
11th18%8%16%19%
Bottom6%2%3%6%
Rangers
Title67%50%57%70%
Celtic
Title33%50%43%30%
Aberdeen
Top six35%30%35%36%
11th1%1%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–211 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.37–3.19
  2. L0–17 FebHearts (H)xG 0.45–0.70
  3. W1–03 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.54–0.58
  4. D1–127 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–0.87
  5. D1–124 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.99–1.21
  6. D0–027 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.25–0.93

Rangers

  1. W3–114 FebRoss County (H)xG 4.94–0.54
  2. W2–16 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.12–0.53
  3. W3–03 FebLivingston (H)xG 2.68–0.00
  4. W1–027 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.34–0.61
  5. W3–024 JanHibernian (A)xG 2.09–0.93
  6. W3–12 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 2.27–1.55

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneRangers
Position10th2nd
Played2525
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠9–⁠1120–⁠1–⁠4
Points24 (0.96 per game)61 (2.44 per game)
Expected Points per game0.922.42
Goals17–⁠3253–⁠13
xG per game0.87–⁠1.582.41–⁠0.58
Home: points, xG per game1.31, 1.04–⁠1.362.54, 2.58–⁠0.62
Away: points, xG per game0.58, 0.69–⁠1.822.33, 2.23–⁠0.53
ManagerCraig Levein (15)Philippe Clement (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackSt. Johnstone0.94, 11thRangers2.27, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.45, 9thRangers0.67, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Johnstone attack: 0.94Rangers attack: 2.272.270.94RangersSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Johnstone defence: 1.45Rangers defence: 0.671.450.67

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+18%+99%−60%
Counter-attacks−74%+42%+56%−41%
Set pieces−7%+20%+27%−44%
Penalties−79%−17%+87%−79%
Headers+1%+33%+42%−61%
Left side−37%+9%+77%−46%
Centre−18%+19%+68%−60%
Right side−48%+38%+93%−53%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRangers concededLeft side−37%−53%Centre−18%−60%Right side−48%−46%Open play−34%−60%Counter-attacks−74%−41%Set pieces−7%−44%Headers+1%−61%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+77%+38%Centre+68%+19%Right side+93%+9%Open play+99%+18%Counter-attacks+56%+42%Set pieces+27%+20%Headers+42%+33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneRangers

0.87xG2.41
1.58xG against0.58
43%Possession64%
9.6Shots21.6
14.8Shots against6.8
2.8Shots on target7.4
1.2Big chances3.6
16.2Touches in the opposition box35.9
333Passes556
65%Pass accuracy82%
3.5Corners7.5
38%Field tilt73%
25.8Final-third entries60.8
7.2Box entries19.6
16.9Passes per defensive action11.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.841.18
Ahead170.851.86
Behind220.952.30

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level262.420.74
Ahead502.340.50
Behind152.620.57

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.134–1
16–300.140.202–4
31–450.130.163–4
46–600.130.282–6
61–750.130.392–9
76–900.240.414–8

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.106–3
16–300.350.1212–2
31–450.450.0610–3
46–600.330.122–2
61–750.440.089–2
76–900.550.1114–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 25McGowan 11Costelloe 4Olufunwa 2Gordon 20McClelland 5Considine 17Robinson 7Brown 8Olufunwa 6Keltjens 3Phillips 11Kucheriavyi 5Sprangler 4M. Smith 10Robinson 8Carey 5Robinson 5Phillips 5Gallacher 4M. Smith 6Carey 6Kucheriavyi 5Kane 7Jaiyesimi 6May 6Carey 8Clark 5Robinson 33-4-1-2 in 7 of 25 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 25Tavernier 25Goldson 22Souttar 13Balogun 11Davies 4Yilmaz 13Barisic 11Sterling 1Raskin 8Cifuentes 6Lawrence 4Lundstram 18Cantwell 5Jack 4McCausland 11Lammers 4Wright 3Cantwell 10Lammers 6Lundstram 3Sima 15Matondo 5Lawrence 1Dessers 17Danilo 4Silva 24-2-3-1 in 17 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (17), 4-3-3 (6), 4-3-1-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 December 2023Rangers2–0St. JohnstonexG 3.14–0.09
16 September 2023St. Johnstone0–2RangersxG 0.32–2.02
28 January 2023Rangers2–0St. JohnstonexG 3.29–0.23
6 November 2022St. Johnstone2–1RangersxG 0.81–1.37
13 August 2022Rangers4–0St. JohnstonexG 2.32–0.33
2 March 2022St. Johnstone0–1RangersxG 0.08–1.00

12 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 1, Rangers won 10, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–24 and xG 0.51–1.78 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7788100.390.03
Jaiyesimi7550100.340.06
Clark5461400.360.02
Kucheriavyi141,182200.150.09

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Danilo5529410.980.09
Dessers171,3711020.770.11
Tavernier252,2411080.370.33
Sima151,3801020.450.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.