Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenLivingston
1.00 −0.39xG1.53 +0.60
1.73 +0.48xG on target1.77 +1.12
11 −0.1Shots11 +1.9
6 +2.4Shots on target4 +2.0
1 −0.9Big chances3 +2.1
21 −1Touches in the opposition box18 +2
58% +11Possession42% −2
478 +125Passes334 +12
73% +7Pass accuracy60% −2
56% +13Field tilt44% +1
41 +12Final-third entries34 +9
13 +3.0Box entries8 +0.4
11.5 −4Passes per defensive action11.2 −2
1 −3.5Corners3 −0.7
24 +7Tackles31 +15
5 −3.1Interceptions6 −2.0
17 −9Clearances14 −10
3 −0.2Saves4 +1.1
8 −3Fouls15 +2
1 0.0Offsides2 +0.4
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Livingston
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
28'42'65'
0–00–11–12–1
0'HTFT
Level
52 min (57%) · Aberdeen 0.50, Livingston 1.17 xG
Aberdeen ahead
25 min (27%) · Aberdeen 0.46, Livingston 0.27 xG
Livingston ahead
14 min (15%) · Aberdeen 0.04, Livingston 0.09 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
60'Morris for McGarry
79'McGrath for Clarkson
79'Sokler for Duk
Livingston substitutes
58'Kelly for Shinnie
71'Anderson for Brandon
83'Welch-Hayes for Nottingham
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Roos
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Gartenmann
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.10
12
7
MacDonald
CB
90
0.00
0.45
1
0.18
8
6
Jensen
CB
90
0.02
0.03
0
0.20
15
6
Devlin
RWB
90
1
0.00
0.06
1
0.11
6
5
Clarkson
CM
79
0.00
0.09
2
0.03
4
3
Shinnie
CM
90
0.03
0.02
0
0.03
2
5
McGarry
LWB
60
0.03
0.02
0
0.04
3
3
Polvara
AM
90
0.04
0.02
3
0.04
3
8
Miovski
ST
90
2
0.50
0.01
0
−0.01
2
1
Duk
ST
79
1
0.26
0.08
1
0.13
7
3
Morris
FW
30
0.11
0.00
0
0.09
4
0
McGrath
MF
11
0.00
0.03
2
0.10
3
2
Sokler
FW
11
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
0
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.11
12
1
Nottingham
CB
83
0.00
0.05
0
0.01
2
7
Obileye
CB
90
0.00
0.06
0
0.09
4
3
Devlin
CB
90
0.00
0.10
1
0.06
8
5
Brandon
RWB
71
0.00
0.14
1
0.20
2
5
Shinnie
CM
58
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
6
Holt
CM
90
0.03
0.01
1
0.02
3
3
Penrice
LWB
90
1
0.04
0.81
3
0.44
12
12
Pittman
AM
90
0.13
0.01
1
−0.02
0
7
Nouble
AM
90
0.25
0.08
0
0.09
2
0
Guthrie
ST
90
1
0.83
0.11
2
0.02
1
3
Kelly
MF
32
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Anderson
FW
19
0.25
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Welch-Hayes
DF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Livingston
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
MacDonald
Jensen
16
MacDonald
Gartenmann
16
Jensen
MacDonald
14
Clarkson
Jensen
12
Roos
Jensen
12
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Nottingham
George
9
George
Guthrie
7
Obileye
George
7
Penrice
Guthrie
7
George
Nouble
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 15 matches
Livingston
Against its average of 16 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Livingston
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
50%
58%
+8
11th
4%
3%
−1
Bottom
2%
1%
−1
Livingston
Top six
2%
1%
−1
11th
22%
22%
0
Bottom
43%
49%
+6
Ross County
Top six
6%
5%
−1
11th
23%
23%
0
Bottom
21%
19%
−2
Hibernian
Top six
64%
61%
−3
From the forecast before the match (20 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Livingston
Expected goals
1.58
0.90
Win
53%
21%
Expected Points
1.84
0.89
Clean sheet
40%
21%
Aberdeen 53%Draw 26%Livingston 21%
Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 20 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Livingston win
Aberdeen
Top six
50%
58%
44%
35%
11th
4%
3%
5%
7%
Bottom
2%
1%
3%
3%
Livingston
Top six
2%
1%
2%
4%
11th
22%
22%
23%
21%
Bottom
43%
49%
40%
30%
Ross County
Top six
6%
5%
6%
6%
11th
23%
23%
22%
23%
Bottom
21%
19%
22%
25%
Hibernian
Top six
64%
61%
66%
66%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Livingston
Position
10th
12th
Played
15
16
Won, drawn, lost
4–4–7
2–5–9
Points
16 (1.07 per game)
11 (0.69 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.26
1.25
Goals
17–25
9–23
xG per game
1.39–1.67
0.93–1.20
Home: points, xG per game
1.14, 1.51–1.28
0.75, 1.06–1.23
Away: points, xG per game
1.00, 1.29–2.02
0.62, 0.80–1.17
Manager
Barry Robson (30)
David Martindale (115)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Livingston
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−9%
+21%
−49%
−18%
Counter-attacks
+94%
−4%
+2%
−37%
Set pieces
+16%
+39%
−30%
+1%
Penalties
−24%
+13%
+42%
+6%
Headers
−5%
+65%
−23%
−13%
Left side
−8%
+17%
−45%
−3%
Centre
+22%
+42%
−37%
−23%
Right side
−17%
−7%
−43%
−6%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenLivingston
1.39xG0.93
1.67xG against1.20
47%Possession44%
11.1Shots9.1
13.5Shots against13.2
3.6Shots on target2.0
1.9Big chances0.9
22.4Touches in the opposition box16.3
353Passes322
66%Pass accuracy62%
4.5Corners3.7
43%Field tilt42%
29.3Final-third entries25.4
10.0Box entries7.6
15.0Passes per defensive action13.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
44
1.00
1.24
Ahead
19
1.92
2.26
Behind
27
1.65
1.97
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
52
0.79
1.09
Ahead
7
1.69
0.82
Behind
30
0.98
1.48
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.11
0.24
1–3
16–30
0.18
0.32
3–4
31–45
0.34
0.17
4–1
46–60
0.18
0.22
3–1
61–75
0.23
0.24
3–5
76–90
0.35
0.49
3–11
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.16
1–2
16–30
0.04
0.18
0–3
31–45
0.14
0.14
1–3
46–60
0.16
0.27
2–4
61–75
0.21
0.16
4–2
76–90
0.29
0.29
1–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts