Matches › 2022/23

Aberdeen 1–0 Livingston

Saturday 25 February 2023, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 14,091

Aberdeen Miovski 44'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Aberdeen	Livingston
Goals	1	0
xG	1.08	0.43
Expected Points	1.90	0.74

Aberdeen 52%Draw 35%Livingston 13%

Most likely score 1–0, 25%. Final score 1–0, 25%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenLivingston

1.08 −0.23xG0.43 −0.65

0.56 −0.86xG on target0.00 −1.19

12 +0.3Shots6 −3.4

2 −1.9Shots on target1 −2.4

1 −0.9Big chances0 −1.6

24 +5Touches in the opposition box12 −6

50% +2Possession50% +11

348 −17Passes355 +76

64% −8Pass accuracy59% −2

65% +26Field tilt35% −2

36 +1Final-third entries36 +11

12 +2.4Box entries6 −1.8

14.0 −3Passes per defensive action8.4 −8

8 +2.9Corners8 +4.4

16 +3Tackles19 +5

10 +1.3Interceptions9 −1.3

28 +5Clearances30 +4

0 −3.0Saves1 −2.2

11 +1.1Fouls11 −1.3

5 +3.9Offsides0 −1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Aberdeen

Livingston

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenLivingston

0.57 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.34 5 shots, 0 goals

0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.09 1 shot, 0 goals

0.47 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 44 min (47%) · Aberdeen 0.84, Livingston 0.15 xG
Aberdeen ahead: 50 min (53%) · Aberdeen 0.24, Livingston 0.28 xG

Line-ups

Aberdeen substitutes

78' Hayes for Duncan
83' Watkins for Miovski
89' Coulson for Duk

Livingston substitutes

46' Boyes for Bradley
46' Holt for Sean Kelly
65' Shinnie for Stephen Kelly · yellow card 89'
78' Bahamboula for Penrice

Players

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gorter	GK	90		0.00	0.00	1	0.03	2	2
McCrorie	RB	90		0.19	0.01	0	0.21	7	5
MacDonald	CB	90		0.06	0.01	0	0.02	5	10
Pollock	CB	90		0.15	0.00	0	0.02	0	13
MacKenzie	LB	90		0.01	0.01	0	0.03	4	7
Ramadani	CM	90		0.07	0.34	1	0.20	4	3
Clarkson	CM	90		0.00	0.12	2	0.06	1	3
Shinnie	CM	90		0.00	0.02	0	0.04	4	7
Duncan	RW	78		0.00	0.16	3	0.22	6	3
Miovski	ST	83	1	0.29	0.01	0	0.03	1	2
Duk	LW	89		0.31	0.03	1	0.11	11	2
Hayes	DF	12		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Watkins	FW	7		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Coulson	DF	1		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.07	9	1
Devlin	RB	90	0.00	0.03	1	0.05	4	10
Fitzwater	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	16
Obileye	CB	90	0.00	0.01	1	0.06	5	11
Penrice	LB	78	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	5
Sean Kelly	CM	46	0.03	0.04	0	0.06	4	4
Pittman	CM	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	6
Stephen Kelly	CM	65	0.04	0.03	1	0.04	3	2
Bradley	AM	46	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	3
Nouble	AM	90	0.15	0.02	1	−0.01	1	1
Anderson	ST	90	0.17	0.00	0	0.01	2	0
Boyes	DF	44	0.00	0.03	0	0.11	3	1
Holt	MF	44	0.04	0.00	0	−0.01	0	2
Shinnie	MF	25	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	3
Bahamboula	FW	12	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Livingston

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Duncan	McCrorie	11
McCrorie	Ramadani	10
MacKenzie	Duk	10
McCrorie	Duncan	9
Ramadani	McCrorie	8

Livingston

From	To	Passes
George	Nouble	9
Obileye	George	6
Devlin	Nouble	6
Nouble	Devlin	6
Shinnie	Devlin	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

Against its average of 26 matches

Livingston

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

Livingston

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Aberdeen
Top six	36%	51%	+15
11th	1%	<1%	−1
Livingston
Top six	84%	75%	−9
St. Mirren
Top six	67%	63%	−4
Hibernian
Top six	92%	90%	−2

From the forecast before the match (25 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Aberdeen	Livingston
Expected goals	1.46	1.04
Win	46%	26%
Expected Points	1.66	1.06
Clean sheet	35%	23%

Aberdeen 46%Draw 28%Livingston 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 25 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Aberdeen win	Draw	Livingston win
Aberdeen
Top six	36%	51%	27%	18%
11th	1%	<1%	1%	1%
Livingston
Top six	84%	75%	88%	96%
St. Mirren
Top six	67%	63%	69%	71%
Hibernian
Top six	92%	90%	93%	94%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

Livingston

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Aberdeen	Livingston
Position	7th	6th
Played	26	25
Won, drawn, lost	10–⁠2–⁠14	10–⁠5–⁠10
Points	32 (1.23 per game)	35 (1.40 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.21	1.09
Goals	39–⁠51	27–⁠37
xG per game	1.31–⁠1.68	1.08–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game	1.92, 1.72–⁠1.21	1.62, 1.15–⁠1.50
Away: points, xG per game	0.54, 0.90–⁠2.15	1.17, 1.00–⁠1.72
Manager	Barry Robson (3)	David Martindale (86)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Aberdeen		Livingston
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−11%	+12%	−39%	+17%
Counter-attacks	+63%	+15%	−94%	−1%
Set pieces	−19%	+32%	+16%	+32%
Penalties	+82%	+122%	+68%	+47%
Headers	+13%	+13%	−30%	+28%
Left side	−17%	+28%	−14%	+9%
Centre	−13%	+8%	−30%	+16%
Right side	+3%	+20%	−38%	+40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−17%+40%Centre−13%+16%Right side+3%+9%Open play−11%+17%Counter-attacks+63%−1%Set pieces−19%+32%Headers+13%+28%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−14%+20%Centre−30%+8%Right side−38%+28%Open play−39%+12%Counter-attacks−94%+15%Set pieces+16%+32%Headers−30%+13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenLivingston

1.31xG1.08

1.68xG against1.60

48%Possession39%

11.7Shots9.4

14.5Shots against14.6

3.9Shots on target3.4

1.9Big chances1.6

19.4Touches in the opposition box17.9

365Passes279

72%Pass accuracy61%

5.1Corners3.6

38%Field tilt37%

35.1Final-third entries24.8

9.6Box entries7.8

17.0Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	1.16	1.58
Ahead	23	1.74	1.27
Behind	29	1.17	2.14

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.10	1.34
Ahead	30	0.98	1.57
Behind	20	1.19	2.17

xG by period

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.24	3–8
16–30	0.16	0.21	4–5
31–45	0.32	0.31	9–10
46–60	0.23	0.25	6–7
61–75	0.28	0.34	10–8
76–90	0.24	0.34	7–13

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.13	8–2
16–30	0.18	0.13	4–3
31–45	0.18	0.33	5–9
46–60	0.11	0.34	3–6
61–75	0.14	0.30	4–10
76–90	0.23	0.39	3–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (9), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3)

Livingston

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 4-3-2-1 (6), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
8 November 2022	Livingston	2–1	Aberdeen	xG 1.29–3.34
27 August 2022	Aberdeen	5–0	Livingston	xG 4.14–0.53
23 April 2022	Aberdeen	1–2	Livingston	xG 2.15–1.54
5 February 2022	Livingston	2–1	Aberdeen	xG 1.06–1.02
1 December 2021	Aberdeen	2–0	Livingston	xG 1.18–0.08
8 August 2021	Livingston	1–2	Aberdeen	xG 1.30–0.44

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 5, Livingston won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 16–11 and xG 1.79–1.03 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	26	2,063	14	0	0.61	0.02
Besuijen	9	897	3	1	0.23	0.18
Duk	18	1,618	10	2	0.29	0.04
Hayes	14	1,210	1	5	0.10	0.20

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Anderson	11	983	5	1	0.27	0.07
Sean Kelly	23	1,893	2	2	0.17	0.11
Nouble	17	1,520	4	2	0.19	0.08
Montano	16	1,277	4	1	0.14	0.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.