Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Dundee FC 1–0 Aberdeen

Wednesday 13 March 2024, 19:45 · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Round 19 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 8,215

Dundee FC McCowan 66' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCAberdeen
Goals10
xG1.920.66
Non-penalty xG1.130.66
Expected Points2.370.43

Dundee FC 72%Draw 20%Aberdeen 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 19%. Final score 1–0, 15%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+3%2%12%3%5%9%7%2%3%2%15%19%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTRobertson on for Tiffoney and Lamie on for Costelloe, 90+2'Duk on for Hoilett, 60'Clarkson on for Phillips, 71'Sokler on for Barron, 80'McCowan 66' (pen)Dundee FC 1.92Aberdeen 0.6600.511.520153045607590HTRobertson on for Tiffoney and Lamie on for Costelloe, 90+2'Duk on for Hoilett, 60'Clarkson on for Phillips, 71'Sokler on for Barron, 80'McCowan 66' (pen)1.920.66Dundee FCAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCAberdeen

1.92 +0.68xG0.66 −0.70
1.13Non-penalty xG0.66
2.06 +0.75xG on target0.48 −0.77
18 +6Shots10 −2
6 +2.1Shots on target2 −2.1
2 +0.2Big chances0 −1.7
22 +1Touches in the opposition box20 −3
54% +11Possession46% −1
326 −7Passes275 −81
65% −2Pass accuracy62% −4
50% +11Field tilt50% +6
41 +8Final-third entries30 0
10 +0.9Box entries10 −0.2
9.0 −9Passes per defensive action10.7 −4
6 +1.0Corners4 −0.5
14 −2Tackles24 +7
14 +5.4Interceptions3 −4.7
28 0Clearances22 −3
2 −1.1Saves5 +1.7
12 +2.2Fouls8 −3.1
0 −1.3Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Cameron 21', 0.47 xGMcCowan 68', 0.13 xGMain 87', 0.09 xGCameron 41', 0.07 xGCameron 72', 0.06 xGTiffoney 29', 0.04 xGTiffoney 32', 0.04 xGDodgson 87', 0.04 xGTiffoney 3', 0.03 xGCostelloe 73', 0.03 xGTiffoney 87', 0.03 xGCameron 87', 0.03 xGDodgson 27', 0.02 xGCameron 31', 0.02 xGMcCowan 32', 0.02 xGMcCowan 81', 0.02 xGDonnelly 27', 0.01 xG42%0.47 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.47 xG, 0 goals27%0.30 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals8%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals15%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals8%0.09 xGFurther out: 5 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Sokler 90', 0.17 xGPhillips 10', 0.11 xGMacDonald 81', 0.08 xGMcGrath 89', 0.08 xGMiovski 46', 0.06 xGClarkson 81', 0.05 xGHoilett 59', 0.04 xGSokler 90+6', 0.04 xGShinnie 90+7', 0.03 xGMacKenzie 78', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals79%0.53 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.53 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals21%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCAberdeen

1.11 16 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.58 9 shots, 0 goals
0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
66 min (68%) · Dundee FC 1.49, Aberdeen 0.21 xG
Dundee FC ahead
31 min (32%) · Dundee FC 0.42, Aberdeen 0.46 xG

Line-ups

222952544102817387McCrackenPortalesShaughnessyDonnellyCostelloeCameronSyllaMcCowanDodgsonMainTiffoneyGoalYellow cardYellow card90+2'90+2'Dundee FC 3-5-2Tony Docherty242627384718309RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenzieBarronShinnieMcGrathPhillipsHoilettMiovskiYellow card80'71'60'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Peter Leven

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 90+2' Lamie for Costelloe
  • 90+2' Robertson for Tiffoney

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 60' Duk for Hoilett
  • 71' Clarkson for Phillips
  • 80' Sokler for Barron

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0300.0755
PortalesCB900.000.0100.0348
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0300.0419
DonnellyCB900.010.0110.0767
CostelloeRWB900.030.0220.0954
CameronCM900.640.0220.0652
SyllaCM900.000.0000.01115
McCowan CM9010.950.1130.1374
DodgsonLWB900.050.0300.0115
Main ST900.090.5920.2460
TiffoneyST900.130.1530.0850
LamieDF00.000.0000.0001
RobertsonMF00.000.0000.0011

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0211
DevlinRB900.000.0710.0846
GartenmannCB900.000.0300.0859
MacDonaldCB900.080.0100.0327
MacKenzieLB900.020.0700.1452
BarronDM800.000.010−0.0114
ShinnieDM900.030.0200.02312
McGrath RW900.080.0210.0055
PhillipsAM710.110.0000.0016
HoilettLW600.040.0100.0642
MiovskiST900.060.0310.1112
DukMF300.000.0000.0010
ClarksonMF190.050.2620.2340
SoklerFW100.200.0210.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

McCracken and Cameron: 4 passesShaughnessy and Donnelly: 4 passesDonnelly and Main: 4 passesMcCracken and Costelloe: 5 passesShaughnessy and Cameron: 5 passesDonnelly and Sylla: 5 passesPortales and Main: 5 passesCostelloe and Tiffoney: 5 passesMain and Tiffoney: 5 passesMcCracken and Portales: 6 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 6 passesSylla and McCowan: 6 passesMcCowan and Tiffoney: 6 passesMcCracken and Main: 7 passesDonnelly and Cameron: 7 passesDodgson and Cameron: 7 passesDodgson and Tiffoney: 7 passesSylla and Cameron: 7 passesCameron and Tiffoney: 7 passesDodgson and McCowan: 8 passesPortales and Costelloe: 9 passesCameron and McCowan: 10 passesCameron and Main: 10 passesPortales and Cameron: 11 passesCostelloe and Cameron: 14 passesDonnelly and Dodgson: 16 passesMcCracken: 18 completed passesShaughnessy: 12 completed passesDonnelly: 24 completed passesPortales: 27 completed passesCostelloe: 17 completed passesDodgson: 21 completed passesSylla: 20 completed passesCameron: 37 completed passesMcCowan: 22 completed passesMain: 13 completed passesTiffoney: 11 completed passes225252944328101787McCrackenShaughnessyDonnellyPortalesCostelloeDodgsonSyllaCameronMcCowanMainTiffoneyStarters until 90+2' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Aberdeen

Devlin and MacDonald: 3 passesDevlin and Hoilett: 3 passesGartenmann and Miovski: 3 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 4 passesDevlin and McGrath: 4 passesDevlin and Miovski: 4 passesMacDonald and MacKenzie: 4 passesMacKenzie and Phillips: 4 passesDevlin and Barron: 5 passesShinnie and Hoilett: 5 passesBarron and McGrath: 5 passesMacKenzie and Shinnie: 6 passesDevlin and Gartenmann: 7 passesMacKenzie and Hoilett: 12 passesRoos: 7 completed passesDevlin: 16 completed passesGartenmann: 14 completed passesMacDonald: 10 completed passesMacKenzie: 17 completed passesShinnie: 10 completed passesBarron: 10 completed passesMcGrath: 12 completed passesPhillips: 3 completed passesHoilett: 9 completed passesMiovski: 1 completed passes242627348718309RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenzieShinnieBarronMcGrathPhillipsHoilettMiovskiStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
DodgsonDonnelly9
PortalesCameron9
PortalesCostelloe7
CameronMcCowan7
CostelloeCameron7

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacKenzieHoilett9
GartenmannDevlin6
MacDonaldMacKenzie6
DevlinGartenmann5
GartenmannMacDonald5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

13+7.819−0.19−1.42−5.39+1.96−0.85−0.26−1.12−6.07+1.46+1.34+0.54−0.69+2.87+2.32−1.02−0.25+2.02−1.11−1.04+2.40−1.14+2.90−2.52+1.21+0.61+0.60−0.61+0.21−7.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Aberdeen

3−2.05−3.219+3.48+0.47+2.85−2.64−2.19+0.313+4.63−3.12−3.64+0.32−3.16−0.26+1.56+3.02+0.16+2.46+1.00−2.620.00−0.94+2.41−1.60−1.10−0.50−0.40−0.20−0.42−4.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.060.040.020.010.020.030.040.040.010.020.070.050.040.040.010.05−0.010.030.07−0.030.010.20LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.030.040.020.030.060.060.020.110.070.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackDundee FC1.10 → 1.13Aberdeen1.17 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.55 → 1.50Aberdeen1.43 → 1.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six19%33%+14
11th1%<1%−1
Aberdeen
Top six3%<1%−3
11th6%9%+3
Bottom<1%1%+1
Hibernian
Top six52%46%−6
Motherwell
Top six26%22%−4

From the forecast before the match (13 March 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCAberdeen
Expected goals1.441.27
Win40%33%
Expected Points1.481.25
Clean sheet28%24%

Dundee FC 40%Draw 27%Aberdeen 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 56%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+7%8%5%2%9%8%3%1%7%9%6%2%3%4%3%1%1%2%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 13 March 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawAberdeen win
Dundee FC
Top six19%33%15%7%
11th1%<1%1%2%
Aberdeen
Top six3%<1%1%7%
11th6%9%6%3%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%
Hibernian
Top six52%46%57%56%
Motherwell
Top six26%22%27%31%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D2–22 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.53–1.56
  2. L1–728 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.45–2.59
  3. L1–224 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.35–1.94
  4. W2–017 FebRoss County (H)xG 0.94–0.73
  5. W2–111 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.19–1.37
  6. L0–27 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.26–1.63

Aberdeen

  1. L1–22 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.98–2.01
  2. L0–228 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.17–1.69
  3. L0–224 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.48–1.94
  4. D2–217 FebHibernian (H)xG 2.93–1.46
  5. D3–314 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.44–2.56
  6. L1–26 FebRangers (A)xG 0.53–2.12

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCAberdeen
Position7th10th
Played2828
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠9–⁠116–⁠9–⁠13
Points33 (1.18 per game)27 (0.96 per game)
Expected Points per game1.181.22
Goals39–⁠5032–⁠47
xG per game1.24–⁠1.711.36–⁠1.66
Home: points, xG per game1.46, 1.43–⁠1.711.07, 1.56–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game0.93, 1.08–⁠1.700.86, 1.15–⁠1.78
ManagerTony Docherty (28)Peter Leven (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackDundee FC1.10, 9thAberdeen1.17, 7thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.55, 11thAberdeen1.43, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee FC attack: 1.10Aberdeen attack: 1.171.171.10AberdeenDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee FC defence: 1.55Aberdeen defence: 1.431.551.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+21%−12%+22%
Counter-attacks−34%+50%+71%−7%
Set pieces+40%+7%+24%+15%
Penalties−30%+76%−30%+58%
Headers+12%+47%−1%+25%
Left side−6%+31%−3%+16%
Centre+2%+15%+19%+22%
Right side−20%+14%−17%+11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdAberdeen concededLeft side−6%+11%Centre+2%+22%Right side−20%+16%Open play−21%+22%Counter-attacks−34%−7%Set pieces+40%+15%Headers+12%+25%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee FC concededLeft side−3%+14%Centre+19%+15%Right side−17%+31%Open play−12%+21%Counter-attacks+71%+50%Set pieces+24%+7%Headers−1%+47%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCAberdeen

1.24xG1.36
1.71xG against1.66
43%Possession47%
11.6Shots12.0
15.1Shots against13.3
3.9Shots on target4.1
1.8Big chances1.7
20.8Touches in the opposition box23.0
333Passes356
68%Pass accuracy66%
5.0Corners4.5
39%Field tilt44%
32.9Final-third entries30.1
9.1Box entries10.2
17.8Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.241.51
Ahead211.111.83
Behind251.361.97

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.051.44
Ahead191.631.69
Behind261.682.02

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.182–5
16–300.120.256–7
31–450.200.346–8
46–600.230.255–6
61–750.250.247–7
76–900.300.4413–17

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.253–7
16–300.160.355–7
31–450.310.209–3
46–600.240.216–4
61–750.250.235–8
76–900.280.424–18

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 25McCracken 2Sharp 1Portales 12Ashcroft 7McGhee 6Shaughnessy 28Lamie 12Donnelly 9Dodgson 4McGhee 17McCowan 4Robertson 2Cameron 19Mulligan 4Robertson 4Boateng 21Sylla 10Beck 2McCowan 21Tiffoney 1Beck 22Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 25Robinson 8Main 3Rudden 9Tiffoney 6Beck 13-5-2 in 11 of 28 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (11), 5-3-2 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 28Gartenmann 23Devlin 5Polvara 5Rubezic 16MacDonald 7Jensen 21MacKenzie 4Devlin 22Milne 3Morris 3Barron 13Clarkson 12McGrath 3Shinnie 26MacKenzie 12McGarry 6Hayes 5McGrath 10Clarkson 8Polvara 6Miovski 27Sokler 4Duk 13McGrath 7Hayes 23-4-1-2 in 10 of 28 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (10), 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 January 2024Aberdeen1–1Dundee FCxG 1.46–0.59
30 April 2022Aberdeen1–0Dundee FCxG 1.54–0.85
2 April 2022Dundee FC2–2AberdeenxG 1.07–0.89
26 December 2021Aberdeen2–1Dundee FCxG 1.12–0.12
16 October 2021Dundee FC2–1AberdeenxG 0.56–0.96

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 1, Aberdeen won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–7 and xG 0.64–1.19 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson10899300.480.02
Rudden9821210.330.04
McCowan272,364740.180.13
Bakayoko252,126530.260.04

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski282,4261320.450.10
Sokler4527010.390.05
Duk141,325440.270.15
McGrath221,856710.280.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.