Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Aberdeen 1–2 Livingston

Saturday 23 April 2022, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 12,338

Aberdeen Ferguson 90' (pen) · McCrorie sent off 78'

Livingston Devlin 41', Holt 70' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenLivingston
Goals12
xG2.151.54
Non-penalty xG1.360.75
Expected Points1.790.92

Aberdeen 50%Draw 29%Livingston 21%

Most likely score 2–2, 14%. Final score 1–2, 10%.

Livingston goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+2%2%2%10%3%3%3%2%9%8%2%4%3%1%12%14%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMcCrorie (Aberdeen), second yellow card 78'Ramirez on for Gallagher, 70'Jenks on for MacKenzie, 80'Ramsay on for Watkins, 85'Longridge on for Lewis, 46'McMillan on for Kelly, 65'Montano on for Shinnie, 74'Soto on for Bailey, 86'Ferguson 90' (pen)Devlin 41'Holt 70' (pen)Aberdeen 2.15Livingston 1.5401230153045607590HTMcCrorie (Aberdeen), second yellow card 78'Ramirez on for Gallagher, 70'Jenks on for MacKenzie, 80'Ramsay on for Watkins, 85'Longridge on for Lewis, 46'McMillan on for Kelly, 65'Montano on for Shinnie, 74'Soto on for Bailey, 86'Ferguson 90' (pen)Devlin 41'Holt 70' (pen)2.151.54AberdeenLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenLivingston

2.15 +1.05xG1.54 +0.58
1.36Non-penalty xG0.75
1.52 +0.39xG on target2.64 +1.74
18 +5Shots9 −1
5 +0.5Shots on target4 +0.7
1 −0.1Big chances3 +1.9
29 +11Touches in the opposition box15 −3
65% +8Possession35% −6
441 −9Passes252 −57
82% +8Pass accuracy66% +3
68% +12Field tilt32% −9
58 +20Final-third entries21 −5
15 +5.8Box entries7 −1.6
18.2 +4Passes per defensive action14.7 −1
12 +7.3Corners6 +2.1
9 −3Tackles24 +8
2 −6.1Interceptions7 −3.5
15 −2Clearances40 +18
2 +0.5Saves4 +1.1
12 −1Fouls11 −2
0 −1.6Offsides1 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Bates 58', 0.26 xGFerguson 38', 0.19 xGFerguson 76', 0.16 xGGallagher 62', 0.13 xGMcCrorie 38', 0.11 xGMcCrorie 4', 0.10 xGWatkins 13', 0.08 xGBesuijen 15', 0.08 xGBesuijen 49', 0.05 xGMacKenzie 54', 0.04 xGOjo 6', 0.03 xGFerguson 8', 0.03 xGHayes 63', 0.03 xGRamirez 83', 0.03 xGBesuijen 73', 0.02 xGBesuijen 82', 0.02 xGBarron 54', 0.01 xG52%0.71 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 0.71 xG, 0 goals17%0.23 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals19%0.26 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals10%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Bailey 41', 0.44 xGShinnie 41', 0.05 xGObileye 32', 0.04 xGFitzwater 81', 0.04 xGLongridge 85', 0.03 xGShinnie 31', 0.01 xGPittman 72', 0.01 xGDevlin 41', 0.13 xG, goal59%0.44 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.44 xG, 0 goals23%0.17 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 1 goal16%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenLivingston

0.24 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.67 6 shots, 1 goal
0.13 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.98 8 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 2 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
41 min (45%) · Aberdeen 0.61, Livingston 0.67 xG
Livingston ahead
50 min (55%) · Aberdeen 1.53, Livingston 0.87 xG

Line-ups

11652731929102177LewisOjoGallagherBatesMacKenzieFergusonBarronBesuijenMcCrorieHayesWatkinsYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card70'80'85'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin322561618824141922StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyeLewisHoltPittmanKellyBaileyNoubleShinnieYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal46'65'86'74'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 70' Ramirez for Gallagher
  • 80' Jenks for MacKenzie
  • 85' Ramsay for Watkins

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Longridge for Lewis
  • 65' McMillan for Kelly
  • 74' Montano for Shinnie
  • 86' Soto for Bailey

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0220
Ojo RB900.030.1100.17115
GallagherCB700.130.0000.0552
BatesCB900.260.0000.05313
MacKenzieLB800.040.0100.0884
FergusonDM9011.160.2220.1152
BarronDM900.010.2020.0971
Besuijen RW900.170.0200.10130
McCrorie AM780.210.0110.0233
Hayes LW900.030.3020.13100
WatkinsST850.080.0540.0630
RamirezFW200.030.0210.0310
JenksFW100.000.0000.0110
RamsayDF50.000.0000.0100

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Stryjek GK900.000.0000.0110
DevlinRB9010.130.0700.1077
FitzwaterCB900.040.0110.07511
Obileye CB900.040.0000.03512
LewisLB460.000.0000.00110
HoltCM9010.790.0100.0238
PittmanCM900.010.0110.0103
KellyCM650.000.0100.0013
BaileyRW860.440.3010.0752
NoubleST900.000.0310.0141
ShinnieLW740.060.000−0.0107
LongridgeDF440.030.000−0.0104
McMillanDF250.000.0000.0004
MontanoFW160.000.0100.0113
SotoFW40.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Ojo and Watkins: 5 passesMacKenzie and Watkins: 5 passesBesuijen and Watkins: 5 passesOjo and McCrorie: 6 passesGallagher and Hayes: 6 passesFerguson and Hayes: 6 passesBesuijen and Hayes: 6 passesLewis and Bates: 7 passesOjo and Barron: 7 passesBesuijen and McCrorie: 7 passesOjo and Besuijen: 8 passesGallagher and Barron: 8 passesMacKenzie and Barron: 8 passesMacKenzie and Besuijen: 8 passesFerguson and McCrorie: 8 passesOjo and Gallagher: 9 passesOjo and Ferguson: 9 passesGallagher and Ferguson: 10 passesBates and MacKenzie: 10 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 10 passesBates and Ferguson: 11 passesOjo and Hayes: 13 passesFerguson and Besuijen: 13 passesFerguson and Watkins: 13 passesFerguson and Barron: 14 passesMacKenzie and Ferguson: 20 passesLewis: 14 completed passesOjo: 34 completed passesGallagher: 28 completed passesBates: 24 completed passesMacKenzie: 36 completed passesFerguson: 53 completed passesBarron: 29 completed passesBesuijen: 22 completed passesMcCrorie: 14 completed passesHayes: 21 completed passesWatkins: 18 completed passes11652731929102177LewisOjoGallagherBatesMacKenzieFergusonBarronBesuijenMcCrorieHayesWatkinsStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Fitzwater: 3 passesStryjek and Lewis: 3 passesDevlin and Pittman: 3 passesDevlin and Kelly: 3 passesFitzwater and Kelly: 3 passesPittman and Bailey: 3 passesStryjek and Shinnie: 4 passesFitzwater and Obileye: 4 passesLewis and Holt: 4 passesHolt and Nouble: 4 passesHolt and Shinnie: 4 passesKelly and Shinnie: 4 passesDevlin and Bailey: 6 passesObileye and Shinnie: 7 passesStryjek: 9 completed passesDevlin: 9 completed passesFitzwater: 10 completed passesObileye: 12 completed passesLewis: 9 completed passesPittman: 8 completed passesHolt: 10 completed passesKelly: 9 completed passesBailey: 9 completed passesNouble: 3 completed passesShinnie: 11 completed passes322561681824141922StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyeLewisPittmanHoltKellyBaileyNoubleShinnieStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
FergusonMacKenzie13
FergusonBarron11
LewisBates10
BarronFerguson10
OjoHayes10

Livingston

FromToPasses
ShinnieHolt5
HoltKelly5
BaileyDevlin4
DevlinNouble4
KellyFitzwater4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−2.67+1.414+2.71−4.08+3.13−4.17+1.13−1.87−0.15−1.24−0.52−1.36+0.67+1.25+0.82−1.23+0.81−1.73−1.60−2.40−1.30−1.01−0.41−1.50−0.70−0.11+0.31+0.81+0.43−5.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Livingston

10+4.34−1.529+14.05−2.015+8.12−5.85−2.29+2.86−1.910+0.43−3.24−0.83−0.72−3.16−0.32−2.75+2.12−0.91−2.27+2.32−0.53+1.40−1.22+0.14+1.70−1.20−0.50−0.50−0.50−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.020.030.040.030.010.030.030.020.030.060.020.060.030.020.060.100.030.02−0.020.01−0.020.020.130.15LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.030.020.010.010.010.020.020.010.020.010.01−0.010.02−0.01−0.010.02−0.050.020.040.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.18AttackAberdeen1.08 → 1.10Livingston1.03 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.04 → 1.07Livingston1.23 → 1.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
11th2%3%+1
Livingston
11th1%–−1

From the forecast before the match (23 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenLivingston
Expected goals1.300.85
Win47%24%
Expected Points1.701.01
Clean sheet43%27%

Aberdeen 47%Draw 30%Livingston 24%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 42%.

Livingston goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%5%2%10%8%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%12%15%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 23 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawLivingston win
Aberdeen
11th2%<1%2%3%
Livingston
11th1%1%<1%–

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–19 AprRoss County (H)xG 1.06–0.92
  2. D2–22 AprDundee FC (A)xG 0.89–1.07
  3. W3–119 MarHibernian (H)xG 2.19–0.55
  4. L0–15 MarRangers (A)xG 0.09–1.69
  5. L0–22 MarHearts (A)xG 0.92–1.15
  6. D1–126 FebDundee United (H)xG 0.91–0.94

Livingston

  1. D2–29 AprMotherwell (H)xG 1.21–0.90
  2. L0–12 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.73–0.99
  3. L0–219 MarHearts (A)xG 0.61–1.20
  4. L1–36 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.85–3.63
  5. W2–12 MarDundee United (H)xG 2.16–0.93
  6. W4–026 FebDundee FC (A)xG 2.72–0.49

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenLivingston
Position9th8th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠9–⁠1510–⁠8–⁠15
Points36 (1.09 per game)38 (1.15 per game)
Expected Points per game1.411.15
Goals38–⁠4235–⁠43
xG per game1.10–⁠0.950.96–⁠1.27
Home: points, xG per game1.56, 1.39–⁠0.751.19, 1.11–⁠1.26
Away: points, xG per game0.65, 0.82–⁠1.141.12, 0.82–⁠1.27
ManagerJim Goodwin (7)David Martindale (56)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.18AttackAberdeen1.08, 5thLivingston1.03, 7thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.04, 4thLivingston1.23, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen attack: 1.08Livingston attack: 1.031.081.03LivingstonAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen defence: 1.04Livingston defence: 1.231.231.04

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%−31%−22%−7%
Counter-attacks−53%−34%−25%+2%
Set pieces+3%−5%−2%+19%
Penalties+27%+6%−58%+48%
Headers+8%−16%−33%+17%
Left side−5%−28%+3%−12%
Centre−18%−22%−21%+1%
Right side−11%−25%−27%+12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−5%+12%Centre−18%+1%Right side−11%−12%Open play−17%−7%Counter-attacks−53%+2%Set pieces+3%+19%Headers+8%+17%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side+3%−25%Centre−21%−22%Right side−27%−28%Open play−22%−31%Counter-attacks−25%−34%Set pieces−2%−5%Headers−33%−16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenLivingston

1.10xG0.96
0.95xG against1.27
57%Possession41%
13.1Shots10.1
8.8Shots against13.1
4.5Shots on target3.3
1.1Big chances1.1
18.2Touches in the opposition box18.2
450Passes309
75%Pass accuracy63%
4.7Corners3.9
56%Field tilt41%
37.9Final-third entries26.4
9.2Box entries8.6
13.8Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.891.06
Ahead161.211.11
Behind241.450.61

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.011.20
Ahead201.061.37
Behind290.821.29

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.194–6
16–300.130.126–7
31–450.180.126–5
46–600.130.186–10
61–750.290.1311–7
76–900.200.215–7

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.233–9
16–300.180.179–5
31–450.170.176–4
46–600.200.179–7
61–750.140.173–8
76–900.160.355–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 29Woods 4Ramsay 18Ojo 10Gurr 3McCrorie 18Gallagher 16Brown 4Bates 25Considine 2MacKenzie 1Hayes 14MacKenzie 8Campbell 6Ferguson 22McGeouch 8Barron 7Brown 13Ojo 5Longstaff 3Hedges 9Besuijen 7Ojo 6Ferguson 9Brown 6Jenks 6Hayes 8Watkins 8McLennan 4Ramirez 27Watkins 3Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 13 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 4-3-3 (6), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 33Devlin 28McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 31Obileye 29Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 20Longridge 7Kelly 3Pittman 18Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 33Kelly 2Omeonga 24Penrice 3Shinnie 3Bailey 11Forrest 6Sibbald 6Anderson 20Shinnie 6Nouble 5Forrest 17Shinnie 5Montano 44-3-3 in 18 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (18), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 February 2022Livingston2–1AberdeenxG 1.06–1.02
1 December 2021Aberdeen2–0LivingstonxG 1.18–0.08
8 August 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.30–0.44
1 May 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.35–1.78
2 February 2021Aberdeen0–2LivingstonxG 0.36–0.56
30 January 2021Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.98–1.38

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 4, Livingston won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 9–7 and xG 1.19–0.99 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins121,078320.350.09
Ferguson312,781910.300.07
Besuijen10944200.160.12
Emmanuel-Thomas7673010.080.20

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson201,5931140.370.10
Forrest252,215530.220.14
Nouble9770030.060.23
Montano6612010.190.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.