Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 0–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 5 August 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 1 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 5,630

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonAberdeen
Goals00
xG0.760.70
Expected Points1.351.24

Livingston 32%Draw 40%Aberdeen 28%

Most likely score 0–0, 23%. Final score 0–0, 23%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+16%5%1%15%4%6%5%2%1%1%23%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTPittman on for Sangare, 46'Anderson on for Guthrie, 63'Penrice on for Montano, 73'Mackay on for Anderson, 90+4'Sokler on for Morris, 78'Livingston 0.76Aberdeen 0.7000.250.50.7510153045607590HTPittman on for Sangare, 46'Anderson on for Guthrie, 63'Penrice on for Montano, 73'Mackay on for Anderson, 90+4'Sokler on for Morris, 78'0.760.70LivingstonAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonAberdeen

0.76xG0.70
0.70xG on target0.00
12Shots11
2Shots on target0
1Big chances0
47%Possession53%
288Passes320
54%Pass accuracy55%
48%Field tilt52%
20Final-third entries30
7Box entries11
6.3Passes per defensive action9.5
7Corners7
26Tackles11
11Interceptions12
27Clearances28
0Saves2
22Fouls13
1Offsides2

Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Obileye 75', 0.15 xGPerez 84', 0.14 xGMontano 63', 0.10 xGMontano 70', 0.09 xGPerez 5', 0.08 xGPerez 59', 0.06 xGSangare 22', 0.03 xGMontano 56', 0.03 xGHolt 84', 0.02 xGDevlin 90+4', 0.02 xGGuthrie 45+2', 0.01 xGDevlin 90+5', 0.01 xG20%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals64%0.48 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.48 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals11%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Duk 57', 0.13 xGDuk 14', 0.10 xGRubezic 61', 0.10 xGMorris 37', 0.07 xGMiovski 40', 0.07 xGRubezic 51', 0.06 xGDuk 45+3', 0.05 xGShinnie 6', 0.04 xGDuk 86', 0.04 xGPolvara 16', 0.02 xGClarkson 17', 0.01 xG24%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals51%0.36 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals14%0.10 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals10%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonAberdeen

0.33 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.37 7 shots, 0 goals
0.43 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.33 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
98 min (100%) · Livingston 0.76, Aberdeen 0.70 xG

Line-ups

123651218202232819GeorgePerezObileyeDevlinBrandonHoltSangareShinnieMontanoGuthrieNoubleYellow cardYellow cardYellow card46'73'63'Livingston 3-5-2David Martindale242333202110417911RoosDevlinRubezicMacKenzieMorrisPolvaraClarksonShinnieHayesMiovskiDukYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card78'Aberdeen 3-5-2Barry Robson

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Pittman for Sangare
  • 63' Anderson for Guthrie · off 90+4'
  • 73' Penrice for Montano
  • 90+4' Mackay for Anderson

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 78' Sokler for Morris

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0220
PerezCB900.280.0200.04416
ObileyeCB900.150.0020.0236
Devlin CB900.040.0410.0979
BrandonRWB900.000.0100.0458
HoltCM900.020.0210.01111
Sangare CM460.030.1110.0433
ShinnieCM900.000.1520.0778
Montano LWB730.220.0100.0314
GuthrieST630.010.000−0.0311
NoubleST900.000.1010.0521
PittmanMF440.000.040−0.0214
AndersonFW270.000.0110.0010
PenriceDF170.000.0510.0110
MackayMF00.000.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0120
Devlin CB900.000.0300.0766
Rubezic CB900.160.0110.06514
MacKenzieCB900.000.0100.0233
MorrisRWB780.070.0100.0433
PolvaraCM900.020.0910.1273
Clarkson CM900.010.3310.1931
ShinnieCM900.040.1310.16210
Hayes LWB900.000.1710.05610
MiovskiST900.070.0310.0023
DukST900.330.171−0.0211
SoklerMF120.000.021−0.0500

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Obileye and Shinnie: 3 passesDevlin and Montano: 3 passesDevlin and Guthrie: 3 passesPerez and Guthrie: 3 passesBrandon and Holt: 3 passesBrandon and Nouble: 3 passesMontano and Holt: 3 passesDevlin and Sangare: 4 passesBrandon and Shinnie: 4 passesMontano and Shinnie: 4 passesShinnie and Guthrie: 4 passesHolt and Nouble: 4 passesObileye and Sangare: 5 passesMontano and Nouble: 5 passesSangare and Nouble: 5 passesGeorge and Obileye: 6 passesGeorge: 5 completed passesObileye: 12 completed passesDevlin: 10 completed passesPerez: 6 completed passesBrandon: 7 completed passesMontano: 8 completed passesSangare: 9 completed passesShinnie: 13 completed passesHolt: 8 completed passesGuthrie: 4 completed passesNouble: 8 completed passes165231232022182819GeorgeObileyeDevlinPerezBrandonMontanoSangareShinnieHoltGuthrieNoubleStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Roos and MacKenzie: 4 passesMacKenzie and Duk: 4 passesHayes and Duk: 4 passesMacKenzie and Shinnie: 5 passesMorris and Polvara: 5 passesPolvara and Miovski: 5 passesClarkson and Miovski: 5 passesRubezic and MacKenzie: 6 passesDevlin and Morris: 6 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 6 passesDevlin and Miovski: 6 passesMacKenzie and Clarkson: 6 passesHayes and Shinnie: 6 passesMacKenzie and Polvara: 7 passesPolvara and Shinnie: 7 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 8 passesPolvara and Duk: 8 passesHayes and Polvara: 9 passesRoos: 6 completed passesRubezic: 16 completed passesDevlin: 20 completed passesMacKenzie: 27 completed passesMorris: 10 completed passesHayes: 19 completed passesPolvara: 27 completed passesClarkson: 12 completed passesShinnie: 14 completed passesMiovski: 10 completed passesDuk: 9 completed passes243323201721104911RoosRubezicDevlinMacKenzieMorrisHayesPolvaraClarksonShinnieMiovskiDukStarters until 78' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
ObileyeGeorge6
DevlinNouble5
ShinnieMontano5
PittmanBrandon5
ObileyeSangare4

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacKenzieHayes10
DevlinMiovski6
HayesShinnie5
DukPolvara5
RubezicMacKenzie5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

810989379851284617842227112015LessMore

Aberdeen

61115117471243239523561117217LessMore

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.020.010.020.010.010.010.030.010.020.010.010.020.020.010.02−0.010.040.010.02−0.01−0.020.10LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.040.030.030.050.020.040.010.04−0.030.090.080.030.03−0.05−0.060.010.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackLivingston1.00 → 0.99Aberdeen1.19 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.50 → 1.48Aberdeen1.35 → 1.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six16%14%−2
11th19%20%+1
Bottom19%18%−1
Aberdeen
Top six50%49%−1
11th6%6%0
Bottom3%3%0
Dundee FC
Top six16%15%−1
11th16%16%0
Bottom34%34%0

From the forecast before the match (5 August 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonAberdeen
Expected goals1.241.21
Win36%35%
Expected Points1.381.34
Clean sheet30%29%

Livingston 36%Draw 29%Aberdeen 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 51%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%6%3%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%10%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 August 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawAberdeen win
Livingston
Top six16%21%14%11%
11th19%17%20%22%
Bottom19%14%18%24%
Aberdeen
Top six50%41%49%59%
11th6%8%6%4%
Bottom3%5%3%2%
Dundee FC
Top six16%17%15%15%
11th16%15%16%17%
Bottom34%36%34%32%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–228 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.99–2.46
  2. D1–124 MayMotherwell (H)xG 0.70–0.47
  3. W2–120 MayDundee United (H)xG 1.06–1.17
  4. L0–213 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 0.32–1.75
  5. L0–26 MayRoss County (A)xG 0.58–0.72
  6. L0–222 AprDundee United (A)xG 0.51–0.72

Aberdeen

  1. L0–527 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.00–3.56
  2. W3–024 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 1.53–0.70
  3. L1–220 MayHearts (A)xG 1.01–2.55
  4. D0–013 MayHibernian (H)xG 0.30–1.95
  5. L0–17 MayRangers (A)xG 1.30–2.00
  6. W2–023 AprRangers (H)xG 0.94–1.90

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackLivingston1.00, 11thAberdeen1.19, 6thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.50, 10thAberdeen1.35, 5th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−37%+10%−17%+14%
Counter-attacks−79%−4%+106%−10%
Set pieces−11%+12%−15%+24%
Penalties+4%+43%+17%+70%
Headers−36%+4%+7%+14%
Left side−13%+6%−13%+22%
Centre−40%+4%−19%+10%
Right side−38%+24%+2%+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−13%+18%Centre−40%+10%Right side−38%+22%Open play−37%+14%Counter-attacks−79%−10%Set pieces−11%+24%Headers−36%+14%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−13%+24%Centre−19%+4%Right side+2%+6%Open play−17%+10%Counter-attacks+106%−4%Set pieces−15%+12%Headers+7%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 February 2023Aberdeen1–0LivingstonxG 1.08–0.43
8 November 2022Livingston2–1AberdeenxG 1.29–3.34
27 August 2022Aberdeen5–0LivingstonxG 4.14–0.53
23 April 2022Aberdeen1–2LivingstonxG 2.15–1.54
5 February 2022Livingston2–1AberdeenxG 1.06–1.02
1 December 2021Aberdeen2–0LivingstonxG 1.18–0.08

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 4, Aberdeen won 6, and 1 was a draw. Goals 11–17 and xG 0.98–1.73 per game.