Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 2–1 Aberdeen

Tuesday 8 November 2022, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 15 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 2,598

Livingston Fitzwater 6', Sean Kelly 17' (pen)

Aberdeen Duk 58' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonAberdeen
Goals21
xG1.293.34
Non-penalty xG0.501.76
Expected Points0.252.63

Livingston 4%Draw 12%Aberdeen 84%

Most likely score 1–3, 16%. Final score 2–1, 2%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+3%4%3%2%4%11%7%3%2%6%8%6%3%2%1%2%1%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTShinnie on for Bahamboula and Omeonga on for Holt, 61'Goncalves on for Anderson and Penrice on for Montano, 72'Boyes on for Pittman, 85'Kennedy on for McCrorie, 46'Coulson on for MacKenzie, 71'Besuijen on for Clarkson, 72'Ramirez on for Stewart, 83'Watkins on for Richardson, 90+3'Fitzwater 6'Sean Kelly 17' (pen)Duk 58' (pen)Aberdeen 3.34Livingston 1.29012340153045607590HTShinnie on for Bahamboula and Omeonga on for Holt, 61'Goncalves on for Anderson and Penrice on for Montano, 72'Boyes on for Pittman, 85'Kennedy on for McCrorie, 46'Coulson on for MacKenzie, 71'Besuijen on for Clarkson, 72'Ramirez on for Stewart, 83'Watkins on for Richardson, 90+3'Fitzwater 6'Sean Kelly 17' (pen)Duk 58' (pen)3.341.29LivingstonAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonAberdeen

1.29 +0.35xG3.34 +1.82
0.50Non-penalty xG1.76
1.33 +0.42xG on target3.05 +1.30
8 −1.7Shots24 +11.8
3 −0.1Shots on target10 +5.7
1 −0.5Big chances4 +1.3
12 −10Touches in the opposition box43 +24
37% −3Possession63% +13
227 −58Passes378 +4
61% −1Pass accuracy76% +3
36% −6Field tilt64% +24
20 −8Final-third entries44 +6
4 −5.0Box entries18 +7.6
17.3 +2Passes per defensive action8.8 −6
7 +3.3Corners8 +3.5
8 −5Tackles14 −1
6 −4.5Interceptions6 −2.8
41 +18Clearances16 −9
8 +6.1Saves1 −2.5
11 −3Fouls9 −1
1 −0.2Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Bahamboula 13', 0.14 xGFitzwater 13', 0.13 xGBahamboula 1', 0.06 xGObileye 12', 0.06 xGBahamboula 13', 0.03 xGMontano 38', 0.03 xGFitzwater 6', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals62%0.31 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals14%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 1 goal24%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Duk 68', 0.23 xGMiovski 45+4', 0.19 xGMiovski 54', 0.19 xGDuk 74', 0.12 xGDuk 90+6', 0.11 xGMiovski 42', 0.10 xGScales 60', 0.10 xGKennedy 62', 0.09 xGDuk 87', 0.09 xGRamirez 90+6', 0.08 xGMiovski 30', 0.06 xGMacKenzie 32', 0.06 xGClarkson 45', 0.06 xGRichardson 42', 0.05 xGMiovski 90+3', 0.05 xGDuk 21', 0.04 xGBesuijen 73', 0.04 xGMiovski 3', 0.03 xGScales 30', 0.02 xGMcCrorie 32', 0.02 xGMiovski 44', 0.02 xGDuk 63', 0.02 xG1%0.02 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals84%1.47 xGCentral box: 14 shots, 1.47 xG, 0 goals3%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals11%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonAberdeen

0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play1.46 17 shots, 0 goals
0.44 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.31 5 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties1.58 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (6%) · Livingston 0.10, Aberdeen 0.03 xG
Livingston ahead
94 min (94%) · Livingston 1.19, Aberdeen 3.31 xG

Line-ups

126511241878199GeorgeDevlinObileyeFitzwaterMontanoSean KellyHoltBahamboulaPittmanNoubleAndersonYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card72'61'61'85'72'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale2425425816203911RoosMcCrorieStewartScalesRichardsonBarronRamadaniClarksonMacKenzieMiovskiDukYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'83'90+3'72'71'Aberdeen 3-5-2Barry Robson

Livingston substitutes

  • 61' Omeonga for Holt
  • 61' Shinnie for Bahamboula
  • 72' Penrice for Montano
  • 72' Goncalves for Anderson
  • 85' Boyes for Pittman

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Kennedy for McCrorie
  • 71' Coulson for MacKenzie
  • 72' Besuijen for Clarkson
  • 83' Ramirez for Stewart
  • 90+3' Watkins for Richardson

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
George GK900.000.0000.0224
Devlin RB900.000.0000.0315
ObileyeCB900.060.0100.0657
Fitzwater CB9010.170.0000.02315
MontanoLB7210.030.0010.0226
Sean KellyDM9010.790.2210.1833
Holt DM610.000.0100.0323
BahamboulaRW610.230.0100.0440
PittmanAM850.000.0110.0105
NoubleLW900.000.0200.0433
AndersonST720.000.020−0.0111
OmeongaMF290.000.0000.0013
ShinnieFW290.000.0100.0222
PenriceDF180.000.0000.0122
GoncalvesFW180.000.0000.0101
BoyesDF50.000.0000.0110

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0210
McCrorie CB460.020.0000.0115
StewartCB830.000.0720.1548
ScalesCB900.120.1510.0383
RichardsonRWB900.050.0340.1161
Barron CM900.000.1210.2584
Ramadani CM900.000.041−0.0121
ClarksonCM720.060.0410.0635
MacKenzieLWB710.060.0610.0514
MiovskiST901.420.010−0.0212
DukST9011.400.0810.1791
KennedyMF440.090.1910.2092
CoulsonDF190.000.0500.2241
BesuijenMF180.040.0100.0110
RamirezMF70.080.5610.0710
WatkinsFW00.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Pittman: 3 passesFitzwater and Sean Kelly: 3 passesFitzwater and Bahamboula: 3 passesObileye and Nouble: 3 passesHolt and Anderson: 3 passesSean Kelly and Bahamboula: 3 passesBahamboula and Pittman: 3 passesFitzwater and Montano: 4 passesObileye and Bahamboula: 4 passesMontano and Nouble: 4 passesSean Kelly and Anderson: 4 passesPittman and Anderson: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesMontano and Pittman: 5 passesMontano and Anderson: 5 passesHolt and Bahamboula: 5 passesHolt and Pittman: 5 passesNouble and Anderson: 5 passesGeorge and Fitzwater: 6 passesGeorge and Obileye: 6 passesMontano and Sean Kelly: 6 passesDevlin and Bahamboula: 8 passesGeorge: 13 completed passesDevlin: 11 completed passesFitzwater: 10 completed passesObileye: 9 completed passesMontano: 13 completed passesHolt: 15 completed passesSean Kelly: 12 completed passesBahamboula: 9 completed passesPittman: 9 completed passesNouble: 6 completed passesAnderson: 12 completed passes125611182478199GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterObileyeMontanoHoltSean KellyBahamboulaPittmanNoubleAndersonStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Stewart and MacKenzie: 3 passesRichardson and Clarkson: 3 passesMacKenzie and Duk: 3 passesScales and Barron: 4 passesStewart and Barron: 4 passesRichardson and Barron: 4 passesMcCrorie and Richardson: 5 passesMacKenzie and Barron: 5 passesClarkson and Duk: 5 passesRoos and Stewart: 6 passesMcCrorie and Barron: 6 passesMcCrorie and Miovski: 6 passesBarron and Miovski: 7 passesRoos and Scales: 10 passesScales and Stewart: 10 passesScales and Clarkson: 10 passesMacKenzie and Clarkson: 11 passesStewart and McCrorie: 14 passesScales and MacKenzie: 15 passesRoos: 10 completed passesScales: 28 completed passesStewart: 20 completed passesMcCrorie: 18 completed passesRichardson: 8 completed passesMacKenzie: 21 completed passesClarkson: 18 completed passesBarron: 17 completed passesRamadani: 2 completed passesMiovski: 8 completed passesDuk: 4 completed passes2445225320816911RoosScalesStewartMcCrorieRichardsonMacKenzieClarksonBarronRamadaniMiovskiDukStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
GeorgeFitzwater6
GeorgeObileye5
DevlinBahamboula5
HoltPittman4
MontanoPittman4

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacKenzieScales13
ScalesStewart11
MacKenzieClarkson11
ScalesMacKenzie10
RoosScales8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

6+0.714+7.123+10.74−4.52−2.86−2.17+1.06+1.29+3.02−6.55−0.82−3.21−1.50−4.411+3.81−3.330.04+1.90−3.23−1.24+1.82+0.51+0.20−1.36+3.41−0.10−0.11+0.50−0.50−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Aberdeen

4−0.85−1.26−2.67+0.98+2.27+1.23−2.94−2.55−1.22−3.41−4.04+0.53−1.76−0.33−0.83−1.53−0.15+1.42−1.91−0.43+1.52+1.23+1.95+2.90−0.90−0.21+0.50−0.12+1.49−8.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.030.020.030.020.010.020.010.020.03−0.020.010.030.010.020.20LessMore

Aberdeen

0.030.040.010.030.040.020.050.010.020.120.050.020.040.040.140.090.010.050.060.01−0.10−0.020.100.43LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackLivingston1.05 → 1.04Aberdeen1.18 → 1.21Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.24 → 1.28Aberdeen1.23 → 1.21

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six62%73%+11
11th2%1%−1
Bottom<1%<1%0
Aberdeen
Top six89%84%−5
Motherwell
Top six29%28%−1
11th5%6%+1
Bottom2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (8 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonAberdeen
Expected goals1.271.08
Win40%31%
Expected Points1.501.21
Clean sheet34%28%

Livingston 40%Draw 29%Aberdeen 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+10%6%2%7%3%8%8%4%2%3%4%2%1%1%10%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawAberdeen win
Livingston
Top six62%73%60%50%
11th2%1%2%3%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%
Aberdeen
Top six89%84%90%95%
Motherwell
Top six29%28%29%32%
11th5%6%5%6%
Bottom2%2%3%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W3–24 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 1.68–1.04
  2. L0–330 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.24–2.47
  3. D1–122 OctRangers (A)xG 0.33–1.56
  4. W1–015 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.08–0.42
  5. L0–18 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.73–0.53
  6. L1–21 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.45–0.77

Aberdeen

  1. W4–14 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.69–1.50
  2. L1–429 OctRangers (A)xG 0.42–4.47
  3. W2–122 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.11–0.71
  4. W2–016 OctHearts (H)xG 1.73–1.36
  5. L0–48 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.89–2.25
  6. W4–11 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 2.33–0.47

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonAberdeen
Position8th3rd
Played1313
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠67–⁠1–⁠5
Points19 (1.46 per game)22 (1.69 per game)
Expected Points per game1.251.35
Goals12–⁠1827–⁠21
xG per game0.94–⁠1.281.52–⁠1.64
Home: points, xG per game1.71, 1.01–⁠1.032.50, 2.42–⁠1.25
Away: points, xG per game1.17, 0.86–⁠1.571.00, 0.74–⁠1.98
ManagerDavid Martindale (74)Barry Robson (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackLivingston1.05, 7thAberdeen1.18, 5thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.24, 5thAberdeen1.23, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovLivingston attack: 1.05Aberdeen attack: 1.181.181.05AberdeenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovLivingston defence: 1.24Aberdeen defence: 1.231.241.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%−18%+10%+14%
Counter-attacks−100%−65%+88%+31%
Set pieces+1%+30%−24%+44%
Penalties−8%+85%+131%+85%
Headers−27%+54%+27%−1%
Left side−16%−30%−26%+10%
Centre−32%−12%+13%+12%
Right side−35%+17%+24%+50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−16%+50%Centre−32%+12%Right side−35%+10%Open play−34%+14%Counter-attacks−100%+31%Set pieces+1%+44%Headers−27%−1%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−26%+17%Centre+13%−12%Right side+24%−30%Open play+10%−18%Counter-attacks+88%−65%Set pieces−24%+30%Headers+27%+54%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonAberdeen

0.94xG1.52
1.28xG against1.64
40%Possession50%
9.7Shots12.2
13.3Shots against15.0
3.1Shots on target4.3
1.5Big chances2.7
22.4Touches in the opposition box19.5
285Passes374
62%Pass accuracy74%
3.7Corners4.5
42%Field tilt40%
27.8Final-third entries37.8
9.0Box entries10.4
15.5Passes per defensive action15.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.061.17
Ahead340.650.87
Behind191.212.21

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.421.37
Ahead312.121.31
Behind200.802.65

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.103–2
16–300.140.072–0
31–450.170.212–2
46–600.060.221–3
61–750.220.302–7
76–900.190.382–4

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.142–1
16–300.230.224–3
31–450.370.326–4
46–600.250.284–5
61–750.290.336–5
76–900.280.365–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 12Hamilton 1Devlin 13Obileye 13Fitzwater 7Sean Kelly 6Montano 9Longridge 1Holt 1Sean Kelly 7Omeonga 5Longridge 1Holt 11Bahamboula 2Pittman 9Stephen Kelly 2Goncalves 1Shinnie 6Bahamboula 3Omeonga 3Pittman 4Nouble 4Penrice 2Nouble 9Guthrie 3Anderson 14-3-2-1 in 5 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-3-3 (3), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 13Richardson 9McCrorie 4Stewart 13Scales 10McCrorie 3Coulson 8Duk 4Scales 1Ramadani 10Richardson 3Barron 1McCrorie 6Clarkson 4Kennedy 1Besuijen 4Barron 3Kennedy 3Besuijen 5Clarkson 3Ramadani 3Hayes 9MacKenzie 2Clarkson 1Miovski 134-2-3-1 in 6 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 August 2022Aberdeen5–0LivingstonxG 4.14–0.53
23 April 2022Aberdeen1–2LivingstonxG 2.15–1.54
5 February 2022Livingston2–1AberdeenxG 1.06–1.02
1 December 2021Aberdeen2–0LivingstonxG 1.18–0.08
8 August 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.30–0.44
1 May 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.35–1.78

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 3, Aberdeen won 5, and 1 was a draw. Goals 9–15 and xG 1.00–1.62 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sean Kelly131,075120.160.12
Nouble131,147320.180.09
Montano9740300.070.15
Bahamboula5450100.130.09

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski131,0691000.740.03
Duk5554520.410.03
Besuijen9746300.220.21
Hayes9750130.110.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.