Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 0–3 Celtic

Sunday 30 October 2022, 12:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 13 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 8,825

Celtic Furuhashi 9', Taylor 53', Jota 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonCeltic
Goals03
xG0.242.47
Non-penalty xG0.241.68
Expected Points0.092.85

Livingston 1%Draw 6%Celtic 93%

Most likely score 0–2, 27%. Final score 0–3, 22%.

Celtic goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+2%13%10%3%4%7%6%3%27%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTShinnie on for Stephen Kelly, 63'Omeonga on for Penrice, 74'Anderson on for Pittman, 78'Abada on for Forrest and Turnbull on for O'Riley, 67'Jota on for Haksabanovic, Abildgaard on for Hatate, and Giakoumakis on for Furuhashi, 80'Furuhashi 9'Taylor 53'Jota 87'Celtic 2.47Livingston 0.2401230153045607590HTShinnie on for Stephen Kelly, 63'Omeonga on for Penrice, 74'Anderson on for Pittman, 78'Abada on for Forrest and Turnbull on for O'Riley, 67'Jota on for Haksabanovic, Abildgaard on for Hatate, and Giakoumakis on for Furuhashi, 80'Furuhashi 9'Taylor 53'Jota 87'2.470.24LivingstonCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonCeltic

0.24 −0.70xG2.47 −0.15
0.24Non-penalty xG1.68
0.08 −0.84xG on target1.41 −1.47
4 −6Shots17 −1
2 −1.1Shots on target6 −1.5
0 −1.7Big chances2 −1.8
8 −19Touches in the opposition box42 +9
25% −16Possession75% +6
215 −72Passes645 +45
55% −8Pass accuracy87% +2
9% −36Field tilt91% +16
12 −17Final-third entries65 −10
2 −7.7Box entries29 +7.8
17.1 +2Passes per defensive action10.9 +1
0 −4.0Corners4 −3.5
16 +3Tackles7 −7
14 +3.9Interceptions4 −2.9
23 −1Clearances11 −4
3 +1.2Saves2 −0.1
15 +1Fouls15 +4
2 +0.9Offsides2 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Nouble 9', 0.11 xGHolt 81', 0.05 xGStephen Kelly 24', 0.04 xGObileye 87', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals46%0.11 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals12%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals42%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Furuhashi 22', 0.18 xGGiakoumakis 90+1', 0.16 xGFuruhashi 22', 0.11 xGMooy 53', 0.09 xGMooy 32', 0.06 xGForrest 26', 0.05 xGHatate 66', 0.05 xGHaksabanovic 74', 0.05 xGJenz 75', 0.05 xGForrest 64', 0.04 xGO'Riley 21', 0.02 xGRalston 21', 0.02 xGTaylor 47', 0.02 xGJota 87', 0.67 xG, goalFuruhashi 9', 0.07 xG, goalTaylor 53', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals66%1.11 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.11 xG, 1 goal26%0.43 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.43 xG, 1 goal8%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.14 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonCeltic

0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.58 13 shots, 3 goals
0.16 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
9 min (10%) · Livingston 0.11, Celtic 0.07 xG
Celtic ahead
82 min (90%) · Livingston 0.13, Celtic 2.40 xG

Line-ups

32562428182931719HamiltonFitzwaterObileyeSean KellyDevlinPittmanHoltPenriceLongridgeStephen KellyNoubleYellow card78'74'63'Livingston 3-5-1-1David Martindale15620631333414989HartRalstonCarter-VickersJenzTaylorMooyO'RileyHatateForrestFuruhashiHaksabanovicYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal67'80'67'80'80'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Livingston substitutes

  • 63' Shinnie for Stephen Kelly · yellow card 78'
  • 74' Omeonga for Penrice
  • 78' Anderson for Pittman

Celtic substitutes

  • 67' Turnbull for O'Riley · 1 assist
  • 67' Abada for Forrest
  • 80' Abildgaard for Hatate
  • 80' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi · penalty missed 84'
  • 80' Jota for Haksabanovic · goal 87'

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HamiltonGK900.000.0000.0120
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.0426
ObileyeCB900.030.000−0.0108
Sean KellyCB900.000.0100.0422
DevlinRWB900.000.0000.0226
PittmanCM780.000.000−0.0103
HoltCM900.050.0100.03210
PenriceCM740.000.0000.0112
Longridge LWB900.000.0100.0108
Stephen KellyAM630.040.111−0.0115
NoubleST900.110.1000.0611
Shinnie FW270.000.0110.0322
OmeongaMF160.000.0000.0004
AndersonFW120.000.000−0.0200

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0100
RalstonRB900.020.0800.21125
Carter-Vickers CB900.000.0200.1082
Jenz CB900.050.0110.20154
Taylor LB90110.050.2620.16151
MooyCM900.150.1230.1233
O'RileyCM670.020.0200.0112
HatateCM800.050.1210.1750
ForrestRW670.090.050−0.0110
FuruhashiST8010.360.010−0.0710
HaksabanovicLW800.050.1410.1760
TurnbullMF2310.000.3820.2523
AbadaFW230.000.0820.1561
AbildgaardMF100.000.0000.0003
GiakoumakisFW100.950.030−0.0310
JotaFW1010.670.0100.0220

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Fitzwater and Holt: 3 passesObileye and Sean Kelly: 3 passesSean Kelly and Devlin: 3 passesSean Kelly and Holt: 3 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesLongridge and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesLongridge and Nouble: 3 passesHolt and Nouble: 3 passesFitzwater and Devlin: 4 passesDevlin and Nouble: 4 passesDevlin and Pittman: 5 passesHamilton and Sean Kelly: 6 passesSean Kelly and Longridge: 11 passesHamilton: 8 completed passesFitzwater: 5 completed passesObileye: 2 completed passesSean Kelly: 17 completed passesDevlin: 13 completed passesLongridge: 8 completed passesPittman: 7 completed passesPenrice: 1 completed passesHolt: 6 completed passesStephen Kelly: 7 completed passesNouble: 7 completed passes32562423829181719HamiltonFitzwaterObileyeSean KellyDevlinLongridgePittmanPenriceHoltStephen KellyNoubleStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Ralston and Taylor: 6 passesRalston and Hatate: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 6 passesMooy and Haksabanovic: 7 passesHart and Jenz: 8 passesJenz and Hatate: 8 passesJenz and Haksabanovic: 8 passesO'Riley and Hatate: 8 passesHatate and Forrest: 8 passesRalston and Jenz: 9 passesMooy and Hatate: 9 passesJenz and O'Riley: 14 passesRalston and O'Riley: 15 passesRalston and Forrest: 15 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 15 passesTaylor and Haksabanovic: 15 passesMooy and Forrest: 15 passesTaylor and Mooy: 16 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 21 passesJenz and Carter-Vickers: 21 passesHatate and Haksabanovic: 26 passesRalston and Mooy: 33 passesTaylor and Hatate: 43 passesJenz and Taylor: 53 passesHart: 13 completed passesRalston: 55 completed passesJenz: 68 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 37 completed passesTaylor: 84 completed passesMooy: 43 completed passesO'Riley: 41 completed passesHatate: 53 completed passesForrest: 20 completed passesFuruhashi: 7 completed passesHaksabanovic: 29 completed passes15662031333414989HartRalstonJenzCarter-VickersTaylorMooyO'RileyHatateForrestFuruhashiHaksabanovicStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
Sean KellyLongridge9
HamiltonSean Kelly6
LongridgeSean Kelly5
DevlinPittman4
Sean KellyHamilton4

Celtic

FromToPasses
JenzTaylor36
TaylorJenz31
TaylorHatate29
RalstonMooy27
Carter-VickersRalston18

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

7+1.69+2.217+4.610+1.23−1.89+1.18+1.74−1.04−2.37−0.95−0.93−2.63+0.54−0.74−3.55+1.00−3.24+2.33−0.43−1.54+1.90−1.60−0.91−0.32−0.93+2.00−0.20−0.62+1.61+0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Celtic

2−0.65+1.56−0.94−1.72−1.43−1.44−2.210+3.23−1.86+2.01−2.54−2.16−1.15+0.94+1.46+4.24+2.04+0.51−0.31−1.10−2.70−2.40−1.40−0.81+0.43+2.20−1.14−5.30−5.61−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.020.010.010.01−0.010.030.010.010.030.02−0.020.01−0.01−0.010.07LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.020.070.020.060.030.030.070.030.010.080.100.040.120.130.070.110.040.13−0.10−0.060.040.190.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackLivingston1.04 → 1.01Celtic2.28 → 2.31Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.21 → 1.25Celtic0.66 → 0.65

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six57%54%−3
11th3%3%0
Bottom1%1%0
Celtic
Title72%75%+3
Rangers
Title28%25%−3
St. Mirren
Top six37%38%+1

From the forecast before the match (30 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonCeltic
Expected goals0.692.07
Win11%69%
Expected Points0.522.28
Clean sheet13%50%

Livingston 11%Draw 20%Celtic 69%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Celtic goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%9%5%2%1%4%9%9%6%3%1%2%3%3%2%1%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawCeltic win
Livingston
Top six57%72%62%54%
11th3%1%2%3%
Bottom1%<1%<1%1%
Celtic
Title72%61%68%75%
Rangers
Title28%39%32%25%
St. Mirren
Top six37%33%37%38%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. D1–122 OctRangers (A)xG 0.33–1.56
  2. W1–015 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.08–0.42
  3. L0–18 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.73–0.53
  4. L1–21 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.45–0.77
  5. W1–017 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 0.83–0.11
  6. W1–03 SepHearts (H)xG 1.19–0.69

Celtic

  1. W4–322 OctHearts (A)xG 2.82–2.90
  2. W6–115 OctHibernian (H)xG 2.74–0.44
  3. W2–18 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.66–0.43
  4. W2–11 OctMotherwell (H)xG 3.50–0.35
  5. L0–218 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.18–0.82
  6. W4–03 SepRangers (H)xG 1.88–0.79

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonCeltic
Position8th1st
Played1111
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠1–⁠510–⁠0–⁠1
Points16 (1.45 per game)30 (2.73 per game)
Expected Points per game1.302.42
Goals9–⁠1339–⁠9
xG per game0.94–⁠1.202.62–⁠0.69
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.14–⁠0.793.00, 2.51–⁠0.42
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 0.70–⁠1.682.50, 2.71–⁠0.91
ManagerDavid Martindale (72)Ange Postecoglou (49)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackLivingston1.04, 7thCeltic2.28, 1stDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.21, 4thCeltic0.66, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctLivingston attack: 1.04Celtic attack: 2.282.281.04CelticLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctLivingston defence: 1.21Celtic defence: 0.661.210.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−31%−23%+144%−56%
Counter-attacks−100%−79%+103%−100%
Set pieces+11%+27%+83%−32%
Penalties−37%+90%−100%+26%
Headers−17%+56%+92%−31%
Left side−21%−28%+44%−37%
Centre−23%−19%+219%−56%
Right side−31%+8%+72%−64%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−21%−64%Centre−23%−56%Right side−31%−37%Open play−31%−56%Counter-attacks−100%−100%Set pieces+11%−32%Headers−17%−31%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+44%+8%Centre+219%−19%Right side+72%−28%Open play+144%−23%Counter-attacks+103%−79%Set pieces+83%+27%Headers+92%+56%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonCeltic

0.94xG2.62
1.20xG against0.69
41%Possession68%
10.2Shots18.4
13.0Shots against7.8
3.1Shots on target7.5
1.7Big chances3.8
26.8Touches in the opposition box33.2
287Passes600
63%Pass accuracy86%
4.0Corners7.5
45%Field tilt75%
29.1Final-third entries74.6
9.7Box entries21.2
15.4Passes per defensive action10.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.101.14
Ahead380.680.87
Behind111.242.54

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level262.960.48
Ahead592.490.74
Behind52.371.18

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.103–0
16–300.130.042–0
31–450.150.221–1
46–600.070.221–2
61–750.180.330–7
76–900.210.292–3

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.520.068–0
16–300.250.102–0
31–450.530.198–3
46–600.420.157–4
61–750.310.123–1
76–900.590.0811–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 11Devlin 11Obileye 11Fitzwater 6Sean Kelly 5Montano 9Holt 1Cancar 1Sean Kelly 6Omeonga 5Shinnie 1Holt 10Bahamboula 2Pittman 7Goncalves 1Shinnie 6Omeonga 3Bahamboula 2Pittman 4Nouble 3Penrice 2Nouble 8Guthrie 34-3-2-1 in 5 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-3-3 (3), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 11Juranovic 7Ralston 4Carter-Vickers 9Welsh 4Jenz 7Starfelt 2Taylor 8Bernabéi 3O'Riley 10Mooy 3McGregor 8Haksabanovic 1Hatate 7Turnbull 4Abada 4Jota 3Maeda 2Furuhashi 8Giakoumakis 3Maeda 5Jota 5Haksabanovic 14-3-3 in 9 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (9), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 March 2022Livingston1–3CelticxG 0.85–3.63
30 October 2021Celtic0–0LivingstonxG 1.80–0.10
19 September 2021Livingston1–0CelticxG 0.62–1.24
10 April 2021Celtic6–0LivingstonxG 2.83–0.79
20 January 2021Livingston2–2CelticxG 0.77–1.69
16 January 2021Celtic0–0LivingstonxG 0.42–1.22

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Celtic won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 6–14 and xG 0.81–1.88 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nouble11967320.190.10
Sean Kelly11895020.110.14
Montano9706300.070.16
Holt11939020.050.11

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Abada4476620.870.35
Furuhashi8545711.070.05
Jota8682450.320.45
Giakoumakis3458600.640.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.